Zum Inhalt springen
Performance Workspace
Predicition
Live data
Prediction comparison

Youth Women

13.06.2026 CHN
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Asia Triathlon Super Sprint Elite, Youth, U15 Championship Xuzhou

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 13.06.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 41/100 niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 16 früheren Rennen und 316 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 28.1 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 13.06.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 6 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 17.6 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 76.5 % · 16 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error2.6
Mean swim error14.1 s
Mean bike-speed error2.84 km/h
Correct bike groups4/15
No history2
Within the 80% range35.3 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 1 Shujia Zheng
CHN
+27 s
+1 s
G1 / G1
correct 		6:49
7:13
 24:16
Show details
Prediction details: Shujia Zheng

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 2–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 4:26
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 25.5 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 58 %
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.3 s
Gap behind: 3.3 s
Result: Group 1 (2 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.89 km/h

Running and total

Run: 6:49 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:13 (3:37 / km)
Error: −0:24 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 24:16
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 4:26 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:50 (35.7 km/h)
Run: 6:49 (3:25 / km)
Total: 24:16
2 / 2 Sarah Modiano
HKG
+44 s
+31 s
G2 / G2
correct 		7:06
6:58
 24:34
Show details
Prediction details: Sarah Modiano

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 3–10
Top-10 probability: 94 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 4:43
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 12.7 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 37 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 34 %
Speed: 36.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.5 s
Gap behind: 3.3 s
Result: Group 2 (9 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.93 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:06 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 38 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:58 (3:29 / km)
Error: +0:08 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 24:34
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:43 (1:34 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:40 (36.0 km/h)
Run: 7:06 (3:33 / km)
Total: 24:34
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:42
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m
About 0.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +43.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 5 Kaleriya Shneider
KAZ
+23 s
+20 s
G1 / G2
 7:17
7:29
 24:44
Show details
Prediction details: Kaleriya Shneider

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 3–6
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 4:22
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 3.0 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -0.93 %, Sicherheit 30 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 66 %
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (9 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:17 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.77 %, Sicherheit 32 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:29 (3:45 / km)
Error: −0:12 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 24:44
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 4:22 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:50 (35.7 km/h)
Run: 7:17 (3:39 / km)
Total: 24:44
4 / 7 Alua Nurmuhamet
KAZ
+23 s
+21 s
G1 / G2
 7:19
7:45
 24:46
Show details
Prediction details: Alua Nurmuhamet

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 3–8
Top-10 probability: 98 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 4:22
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 1.5 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 38 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 63 %
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 2 (9 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:19 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur 0.62 %, Sicherheit 37 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:45 (3:53 / km)
Error: −0:26 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 24:46
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:22 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:50 (35.7 km/h)
Run: 7:19 (3:39 / km)
Total: 24:46
5 / 8 Aira Martha Ardistri
INA
+21 s
+20 s
G1 / G2
 7:22
7:45
 24:49
Show details
Prediction details: Aira Martha Ardistri

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 3–8
Top-10 probability: 98 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 4:20
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 1.4 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.20 %, Sicherheit 41 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 70 %
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 21.4 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 2 (9 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.18 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:22 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:41 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 38 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:45 (3:53 / km)
Error: −0:23 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 24:49
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:20 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:50 (35.7 km/h)
Run: 7:22 (3:41 / km)
Total: 24:49
6 / 4 Peiya Chen
CHN
+30 s
+14 s
G1 / G2
 7:29
7:23
 24:56
Show details
Prediction details: Peiya Chen

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 5–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 4:29
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 15.8 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 15 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 54 %
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.3 s
Gap behind: 5.2 s
Result: Group 2 (9 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.68 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:29 (3:45 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 12 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:23 (3:42 / km)
Error: +0:06 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 24:56
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 4:29 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:50 (35.7 km/h)
Run: 7:29 (3:45 / km)
Total: 24:56
7 / 3 Zijia Bian
CHN
+0 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		7:40
7:27
 25:07
Show details
Prediction details: Zijia Bian

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 5–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:59
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.53 %, Sicherheit 38 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 98 %
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 21.4 s
Result: Group 1 (2 people)
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.93 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:40 (3:50 / km)
Historical basis: 3:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:49 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -0.36 %, Sicherheit 32 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:27 (3:44 / km)
Error: +0:13 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 25:07
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 3:59 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:50 (35.7 km/h)
Run: 7:40 (3:50 / km)
Total: 25:07
8 / 14 Yuna Tamagawa
JPN
+48 s
+18 s
G2 / G3
 7:47
8:37
 25:15
Show details
Prediction details: Yuna Tamagawa

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 9–13
Top-10 probability: 39 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 4:47
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 29.9 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.55 %, Sicherheit 14 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 36.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 6.9 s
Result: Group 3 (4 people)
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.07 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:47 (3:54 / km)
Historical basis: 3:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 19 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:37 (4:19 / km)
Error: −0:50 / −0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 25:15
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 4:47 (1:36 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:40 (36.0 km/h)
Run: 7:47 (3:54 / km)
Total: 25:15
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:46
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
About 0.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +47 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 9 Lok Tung Wong
HKG
+23 s
+27 s
G1 / G2
 8:02
7:52
 25:29
Show details
Prediction details: Lok Tung Wong

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 8–11
Top-10 probability: 73 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 4:22
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: -3.8 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 64 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 55 %
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 3.3 s
Result: Group 2 (9 people)
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.35 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:02 (4:01 / km)
Historical basis: 4:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 61 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:52 (3:56 / km)
Error: +0:10 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 25:29
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:22 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:50 (35.7 km/h)
Run: 8:02 (4:01 / km)
Total: 25:29
10 / 13 Yuet Hei Ng
HKG
+35 s
+37 s
G1 / G3
 8:03
8:09
 25:30
Show details
Prediction details: Yuet Hei Ng

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 9–12
Top-10 probability: 48 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 4:34
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: -2.0 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 46 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 40 %
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.2 s
Gap behind: 2.2 s
Result: Group 3 (4 people)
Speed: 35.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:03 (4:01 / km)
Historical basis: 4:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -0.46 %, Sicherheit 48 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:09 (4:05 / km)
Error: −0:06 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 25:30
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:34 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:50 (35.7 km/h)
Run: 8:03 (4:01 / km)
Total: 25:30
11 / 12 Charlotte Thurston
UAE
+22 s
+40 s
G1 / G3
 8:14
7:48
 25:41
Show details
Prediction details: Charlotte Thurston

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 7–12
Top-10 probability: 49 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 4:21
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: -17.6 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.69 %, Sicherheit 19 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 70 %
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 3 (4 people)
Speed: 35.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.26 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:14 (4:07 / km)
Historical basis: 4:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:08 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 24 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:48 (3:54 / km)
Error: +0:26 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 25:41
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 4:21 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:50 (35.7 km/h)
Run: 8:14 (4:07 / km)
Total: 25:41
12 / 16 Charlene Lee
TPE
+47 s
+47 s
G2 / G4
 8:20
8:13
 25:48
Show details
Prediction details: Charlene Lee

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 13–14
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 4:46
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 14 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 36.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.3 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 32.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.58 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:20 (4:10 / km)
Historical basis: 4:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 20 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:13 (4:07 / km)
Error: +0:07 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 25:48
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 4:46 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:40 (36.0 km/h)
Run: 8:20 (4:10 / km)
Total: 25:48
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:42
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m
About 3.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +43.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 17 Mikayla Sze Kee Ng
SGP
+37 s
+51 s
G1 / G5
 8:49
9:16
 26:16
Show details
Prediction details: Mikayla Sze Kee Ng

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 13–15
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 4:36
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +51 s
Fehler: -13.8 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.85 %, Sicherheit 29 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 35 %
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.2 s
Gap behind: 6.5 s
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 32.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:49 (4:25 / km)
Historical basis: 4:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 28 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:16 (4:38 / km)
Error: −0:27 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 26:16
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 4:36 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:50 (35.7 km/h)
Run: 8:49 (4:25 / km)
Total: 26:16
14 / 15 Oi Yin Chan
HKG
+55 s
+34 s
G3 / G3
correct 		8:53
8:49
 28:30
Show details
Prediction details: Oi Yin Chan

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 12–15
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +55 s
Time: 4:54
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: 20.8 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.52 %, Sicherheit 23 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 32.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.9 s
Gap behind: 38.4 s
Result: Group 3 (4 people)
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.04 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:53 (4:26 / km)
Historical basis: 4:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.47 %, Sicherheit 20 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:49 (4:25 / km)
Error: +0:04 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 28:30
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:54 (1:38 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:04 (32.2 km/h)
Run: 8:53 (4:26 / km)
Total: 28:30
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:42
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m
About 11.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +43.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 6 Xingzhen Zi
CHN
+93 s
+30 s
G3 / G2
7:32
Show details
Prediction details: Xingzhen Zi

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +93 s
Time: 5:32
Pace: 1:51 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: 63.2 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 38.4 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (9 people)
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -6.78 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:32 (3:46 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 5:32 (1:51 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:04 (32.2 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:39
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
About 53.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +39.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 10 Yuxin Zhang
CHN
+0 s
+14 s
G0 / G2
8:24
Show details
Prediction details: Yuxin Zhang

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 16–16
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:59
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (9 people)
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:24 (4:12 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 3:59 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 11 Lingna Li
CHN
+0 s
+17 s
G0 / G2
8:39
Show details
Prediction details: Lingna Li

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 17–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:59
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (9 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:39 (4:20 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 3:59 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.