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Elite Men

16.05.2026 Stubenberg am See AUT
Race information and calculation basis
2026 AUT Triathlon National Championships

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 16.05.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 38/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 10 früheren Rennen und 235 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 42.6 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 16.05.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 10 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 20.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 48.0 % · 10 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error6.7
Mean swim error63.4 s
Mean bike-speed error1.76 km/h
Correct bike groups3/16
No history9
Within the 80% range12.0 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 1 Philip Pertl
AUT
+46 s
+32 s
G1 / G1
correct 		32:49
33:39
 1:29:26
Show details
Prediction details: Philip Pertl

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 5–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 18:49
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: 13.6 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 89 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 18.1 s
Gap behind: 13.9 s
Result: Group 1 (2 people)
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 32:49 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 3 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 33:39 (3:22 / km)
Error: −0:50 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 1:29:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:49 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 55:36 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 32:49 (3:17 / km)
Total: 1:29:26
2 / 4 Samuel Künz
AUT
+28 s
+0 s
G1 / G3
 33:59
34:50
 1:30:36
Show details
Prediction details: Samuel Künz

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 6–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 18:31
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 27.5 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.59 %, Sicherheit 16 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 74 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 18.1 s
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.42 km/h

Running and total

Run: 33:59 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.71 %, Sicherheit 13 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 34:50 (3:29 / km)
Error: −0:51 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 1:30:36
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:31 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 55:36 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 33:59 (3:24 / km)
Total: 1:30:36
3 / 2 Jakob Meier
AUT
+61 s
+33 s
G1 / G1
correct 		34:17
35:31
 1:30:54
Show details
Prediction details: Jakob Meier

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 7–10
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +61 s
Time: 19:04
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: 28.0 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.84 %, Sicherheit 37 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 56 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 5.5 s
Result: Group 1 (2 people)
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.74 km/h

Running and total

Run: 34:17 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.59 %, Sicherheit 24 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 35:31 (3:33 / km)
Error: −1:14 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 1:30:54
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:04 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 55:36 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 34:17 (3:26 / km)
Total: 1:30:54
4 / 5 Jan Christian Schiebl
AUT
+61 s
+34 s
G1 / G3
 34:25
35:24
 1:31:02
Show details
Prediction details: Jan Christian Schiebl

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 7–10
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +61 s
Time: 19:04
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: 26.6 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -1.28 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 43 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.91 km/h

Running and total

Run: 34:25 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.39 %, Sicherheit 5 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 35:24 (3:32 / km)
Error: −0:59 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 1:31:02
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 19:04 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 55:36 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 34:25 (3:26 / km)
Total: 1:31:02
5 / 3 Moritz Meier
AUT
+67 s
+100 s
G2 / G2
correct 		34:06
35:34
 1:31:30
Show details
Prediction details: Moritz Meier

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 6–9
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +67 s
Time: 19:10
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +100 s
Fehler: -33.5 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur 0.50 %, Sicherheit 38 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 56 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.5 s
Gap behind: 66.5 s
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: 34:06 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 0.32 %, Sicherheit 28 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 35:34 (3:33 / km)
Error: −1:28 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 1:31:30
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:10 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 56:18 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 34:06 (3:25 / km)
Total: 1:31:30
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 19:08
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 1.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +64.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 6 Noah Künz
AUT
+60 s
+31 s
G1 / G4
 35:41
36:39
 1:32:18
Show details
Prediction details: Noah Künz

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 5–10
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +60 s
Time: 19:03
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 28.5 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 17 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 49 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 13.9 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 35:41 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.93 %, Sicherheit 13 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 36:39 (3:40 / km)
Error: −0:58 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 1:32:18
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:03 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 55:36 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 35:41 (3:34 / km)
Total: 1:32:18
7 / 10 Marcel Spandl
AUT
+189 s
+295 s
G3 / G6
 36:00
36:05
 1:38:01
Show details
Prediction details: Marcel Spandl

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 11–11
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +189 s
Time: 21:12
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +295 s
Fehler: -106.5 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 53.1 s
Gap behind: 6.3 s
Result: Group 6 (3 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: 36:00 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 36:05 (3:37 / km)
Error: −0:05 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 1:38:01
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 21:12 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 58:53 (38.7 km/h)
Run: 36:00 (3:36 / km)
Total: 1:38:01
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 19:08
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 123.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +64.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 22 Felix Bachleitner-Hofmann
AUT
+135 s
+308 s
G3 / G13
 42:10
42:20
 1:44:11
Show details
Prediction details: Felix Bachleitner-Hofmann

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 12–12
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +135 s
Time: 20:18
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +308 s
Fehler: -172.6 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.86 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.4 s
Gap behind: 53.1 s
Result: Group 13 (3 people)
Speed: 37.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 42:10 (4:13 / km)
Historical basis: 4:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.83 %, Sicherheit 5 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 42:20 (4:14 / km)
Error: −0:10 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 1:44:11
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 20:18 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 58:53 (38.7 km/h)
Run: 42:10 (4:13 / km)
Total: 1:44:11
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 19:08
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 70.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +64.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 11 Nicolas Kaufmann
AUT
+342 s
+300 s
G4 / G9
 37:34
36:50
 1:46:13
Show details
Prediction details: Nicolas Kaufmann

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 13–14
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +342 s
Time: 23:45
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +300 s
Fehler: 41.9 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -0.39 %, Sicherheit 28 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 35.6 s
Gap behind: 54.1 s
Result: Group 9 (3 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.39 km/h

Running and total

Run: 37:34 (3:45 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -0.48 %, Sicherheit 19 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 36:50 (3:41 / km)
Error: +0:44 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 1:46:13
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 23:45 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:02:57 (36.9 km/h)
Run: 37:34 (3:45 / km)
Total: 1:46:13
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 19:08
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 277 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +64.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 15 Roman Seigmann
AUT
+259 s
+239 s
G4 / G8
 37:50
38:41
 1:46:29
Show details
Prediction details: Roman Seigmann

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 13–14
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +259 s
Time: 22:22
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +239 s
Fehler: 20.2 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.38 %, Sicherheit 22 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 52.6 s
Gap behind: 41.8 s
Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.37 km/h

Running and total

Run: 37:50 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.27 %, Sicherheit 14 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 38:41 (3:52 / km)
Error: −0:51 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 1:46:29
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 22:22 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:02:57 (36.9 km/h)
Run: 37:50 (3:47 / km)
Total: 1:46:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 19:08
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 194.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +64.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 17 Eric Wolf
AUT
+207 s
+301 s
G4 / G12
 38:58
39:53
 1:47:37
Show details
Prediction details: Eric Wolf

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 15–15
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +207 s
Time: 21:30
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +301 s
Fehler: -94.4 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 11.8 s
Gap behind: 52.6 s
Result: Group 12 (1 people)
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.56 km/h

Running and total

Run: 38:58 (3:54 / km)
Historical basis: 3:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 39:53 (3:59 / km)
Error: −0:55 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 1:47:37
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 21:30 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:02:57 (36.9 km/h)
Run: 38:58 (3:54 / km)
Total: 1:47:37
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 19:08
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 141.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +64.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 21 Roman Parzer
AUT
+195 s
+377 s
G4 / G10
 41:49
41:42
 1:50:28
Show details
Prediction details: Roman Parzer

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 16–16
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +195 s
Time: 21:18
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +377 s
Fehler: -182.2 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.71 %, Sicherheit 4 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.3 s
Gap behind: 11.8 s
Result: Group 10 (1 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.84 km/h

Running and total

Run: 41:49 (4:11 / km)
Historical basis: 4:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 4 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 41:42 (4:10 / km)
Error: +0:07 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 1:50:28
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 21:18 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:02:57 (36.9 km/h)
Run: 41:49 (4:11 / km)
Total: 1:50:28
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 19:08
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 129.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +64.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 7 Stephan Benedikt
AUT
+301 s
+231 s
G4 / G5
37:27
Show details
Prediction details: Stephan Benedikt

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +301 s
Time: 23:04
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +231 s
Fehler: 70.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 41.8 s
Gap behind: 5.3 s
Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 37:27 (3:45 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 23:04 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:02:57 (36.9 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 19:08
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 236.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +64.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 8 Elias Mauz
AUT
+0 s
+231 s
G0 / G5
37:33
Show details
Prediction details: Elias Mauz

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 17–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 18:03
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +231 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 37:33 (3:45 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 18:03 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 9 Leopold Karl
AUT
+0 s
+345 s
G0 / G6
35:21
Show details
Prediction details: Leopold Karl

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 18–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 18:03
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +345 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (3 people)
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 35:21 (3:32 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 18:03 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 12 Andreas Waibel
AUT
+0 s
+402 s
G0 / G9
37:08
Show details
Prediction details: Andreas Waibel

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 19–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 18:03
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +402 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 9 (3 people)
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 37:08 (3:43 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 18:03 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 13 Dominik Schneidhofer
AUT
+306 s
+234 s
G4 / G6
39:44
Show details
Prediction details: Dominik Schneidhofer

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +306 s
Time: 23:09
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +234 s
Fehler: 72.3 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.57 %, Sicherheit 20 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.3 s
Gap behind: 35.6 s
Result: Group 6 (3 people)
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.74 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 39:44 (3:58 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 23:09 (1:33 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:02:57 (36.9 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 19:08
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 241.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +64.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 14 Niklas Farnleitner
AUT
+0 s
+279 s
G0 / G7
39:27
Show details
Prediction details: Niklas Farnleitner

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 20–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 18:03
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +279 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 39:27 (3:57 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 18:03 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 16 Alexander Scharkosi
AUT
+0 s
+381 s
G0 / G15
36:22
Show details
Prediction details: Alexander Scharkosi

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 21–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 18:03
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +381 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 15 (1 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 36:22 (3:38 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 18:03 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 18 Raphael Faul
AUT
+0 s
+460 s
G0 / G13
39:56
Show details
Prediction details: Raphael Faul

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 22–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 18:03
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +460 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 13 (3 people)
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 39:56 (4:00 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 18:03 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 19 Alexander Gräf
AUT
+133 s
+129 s
G3 / G9
41:59
Show details
Prediction details: Alexander Gräf

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +133 s
Time: 20:16
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +129 s
Fehler: 4.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 66.5 s
Gap behind: 2.4 s
Result: Group 9 (3 people)
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 41:59 (4:12 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 20:16 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 58:53 (38.7 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 19:08
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 68.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +64.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 20 Lukas List
AUT
+0 s
+299 s
G0 / G13
40:14
Show details
Prediction details: Lukas List

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 23–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 18:03
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +299 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 13 (3 people)
Speed: 37.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 40:14 (4:01 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 18:03 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 23 Norbert Körbler
AUT
+396 s
+303 s
G5 / G11
43:00
Show details
Prediction details: Norbert Körbler

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 4–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -23

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +396 s
Time: 24:39
Pace: 1:39 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +303 s
Fehler: 93.0 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.57 %, Sicherheit 20 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 13, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 54.1 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 11 (1 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 43:00 (4:18 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 24:39 (1:39 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:05:08 (35.5 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 19:08
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 331.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +64.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 24 Alexander Fussi
AUT
+0 s
+300 s
G0 / G14
41:03
Show details
Prediction details: Alexander Fussi

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 24–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 18:03
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +300 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 14 (1 people)
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 41:03 (4:06 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 18:03 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 25 Jakob Bancalari
AUT
+0 s
+519 s
G0 / G16
37:41
Show details
Prediction details: Jakob Bancalari

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 25–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 18:03
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +519 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 16 (1 people)
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 37:41 (3:46 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 18:03 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.