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20-24 Open AG

14.06.2026 Tarragona ESP
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Age-Group Championships Tarragona

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 14.06.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 56/100 niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 65 früheren Rennen und 1015 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 10.5 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 12.04.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 5 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 18 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 1.6 km/h

Datenabdeckung 11.8 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 11.8 % · 65 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error5.3
Mean swim error130.5 s
Mean bike-speed error2.02 km/h
Correct bike groups0/7
No history10
Within the 80% range23.5 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 8 Joshua Schnell
IRL
+503 s
+332 s
G4 / G9
 34:30
38:27
 1:44:48
Show details
Prediction details: Joshua Schnell

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 2–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +503 s
Time: 29:41
Pace: 1:59 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +332 s
Fehler: 170.8 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 155.5 s
Gap behind: 93.1 s
Result: Group 9 (2 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.51 km/h

Running and total

Run: 34:30 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 4 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 38:27 (3:51 / km)
Error: −3:57 / −0:24 / km
Overall prediction: 1:44:48
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 29:41 (1:59 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:01:55 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 34:30 (3:27 / km)
Total: 1:44:48
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 27:25
Pace: 1:50 / 100 m
About 136 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +366.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
2 / 6 Jonathan Claridge
GBR
+347 s
+155 s
G2 / G5
 39:57
40:49
 1:48:04
Show details
Prediction details: Jonathan Claridge

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 3–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +347 s
Time: 27:05
Pace: 1:48 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +155 s
Fehler: 192.3 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 11.1 s
Gap behind: 155.5 s
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.69 km/h

Running and total

Run: 39:57 (4:00 / km)
Historical basis: 4:00 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 40:49 (4:05 / km)
Error: −0:52 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 1:48:04
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 27:05 (1:48 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:02:20 (38.4 km/h)
Run: 39:57 (4:00 / km)
Total: 1:48:04
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 26:49
Pace: 1:47 / 100 m
About 16.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +331.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 7 Harry Beaumont
GBR
+113 s
+57 s
G1 / G7
 42:07
40:57
 1:49:44
Show details
Prediction details: Harry Beaumont

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 4–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +113 s
Time: 23:11
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +57 s
Fehler: 56.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 7.3 s
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: 42:07 (4:13 / km)
Historical basis: 4:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 40:57 (4:06 / km)
Error: +1:10 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 1:49:44
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 23:11 (1:33 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:05:44 (36.5 km/h)
Run: 42:07 (4:13 / km)
Total: 1:49:44
4 / 12 Nathan Walker
GBR
+120 s
+51 s
G2 / G8
 41:59
45:42
 1:50:06
Show details
Prediction details: Nathan Walker

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 4–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +120 s
Time: 23:18
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +51 s
Fehler: 69.3 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 33 %
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.3 s
Gap behind: 54.0 s
Result: Group 8 (2 people)
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.95 km/h

Running and total

Run: 41:59 (4:12 / km)
Historical basis: 4:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 45:42 (4:34 / km)
Error: −3:43 / −0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 1:50:06
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 23:18 (1:33 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:02:20 (38.4 km/h)
Run: 41:59 (4:12 / km)
Total: 1:50:06
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 23:16
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
About 2.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +117.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 10 Jack Sutton
GBR
+596 s
+351 s
G3 / G8
 42:41
42:56
 1:52:55
Show details
Prediction details: Jack Sutton

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 6–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +596 s
Time: 31:14
Pace: 2:05 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +351 s
Fehler: 244.9 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 93.1 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 8 (2 people)
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 42:41 (4:16 / km)
Historical basis: 4:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 4 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 42:56 (4:18 / km)
Error: −0:15 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 1:52:55
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 31:14 (2:05 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:00:18 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 42:41 (4:16 / km)
Total: 1:52:55
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 28:23
Pace: 1:54 / 100 m
About 170.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +425.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 14 Joseph Ray
GBR
+336 s
+387 s
G2 / G12
 1:21:00
43:28
 2:29:07
Show details
Prediction details: Joseph Ray

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 7–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +336 s
Time: 26:54
Pace: 1:48 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +387 s
Fehler: -50.8 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 161.9 s
Gap behind: 11.1 s
Result: Group 12 (1 people)
Speed: 36.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.38 km/h

Running and total

Run: 1:21:00 (8:06 / km)
Historical basis: 8:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 43:28 (4:21 / km)
Error: +37:32 / +3:45 / km
Overall prediction: 2:29:07
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 26:54 (1:48 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:02:20 (38.4 km/h)
Run: 1:21:00 (8:06 / km)
Total: 2:29:07
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 26:00
Pace: 1:44 / 100 m
About 54.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +281.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 1 Elias Mauz
AUT
+174 s
+45 s
G2 / G1
35:11
Show details
Prediction details: Elias Mauz

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +174 s
Time: 24:12
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: 129.3 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 33 %
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 54.0 s
Gap behind: 161.9 s
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 44.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -6.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 35:11 (3:31 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 24:12 (1:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:02:20 (38.4 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 23:16
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
About 56.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +117.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 2 Niels Kyriakides
BEL
+0 s
+0 s
G0 / G2
37:27
Show details
Prediction details: Niels Kyriakides

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 8–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:18
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 37:27 (3:45 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 21:18 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 3 Neste Lerouge
BEL
+0 s
+96 s
G0 / G3
37:56
Show details
Prediction details: Neste Lerouge

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 9–9
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:18
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +96 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 37:56 (3:48 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 21:18 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 4 Roan Pellet
SUI
+0 s
+98 s
G0 / G4
35:59
Show details
Prediction details: Roan Pellet

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 10–10
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 4
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:18
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +98 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 35:59 (3:36 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 21:18 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 5 Michael Neuhold
AUT
+0 s
+281 s
G0 / G6
38:45
Show details
Prediction details: Michael Neuhold

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 11–11
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:18
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +281 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 38:45 (3:53 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 21:18 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 9 Joshua Moore
GBR
+0 s
+330 s
G0 / G10
38:08
Show details
Prediction details: Joshua Moore

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 12–12
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:18
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +330 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 10 (1 people)
Speed: 37.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 38:08 (3:49 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 21:18 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 11 Emile Gusbin
BEL
+0 s
+290 s
G0 / G9
42:09
Show details
Prediction details: Emile Gusbin

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 13–13
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:18
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +290 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 9 (2 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 42:09 (4:13 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 21:18 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 13 Jan Mailänder
AUT
+0 s
+746 s
G0 / G14
37:15
Show details
Prediction details: Jan Mailänder

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 14–14
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:18
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +746 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 14 (1 people)
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 37:15 (3:44 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 21:18 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 15 Jack Ainsworth
GBR
+0 s
+432 s
G0 / G13
44:57
Show details
Prediction details: Jack Ainsworth

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 15–15
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:18
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +432 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 13 (1 people)
Speed: 36.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 44:57 (4:30 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 21:18 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 16 William Poynton
GBR
+0 s
+320 s
G0 / G11
54:32
Show details
Prediction details: William Poynton

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 16–16
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:18
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +320 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 11 (1 people)
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 54:32 (5:27 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 21:18 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 17 Mikołaj Mus
POL
+0 s
+1143 s
G0 / G15
45:27
Show details
Prediction details: Mikołaj Mus

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 17–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 21:18
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1143 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 15 (1 people)
Speed: 32.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 45:27 (4:33 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 21:18 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.