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Prediction comparison

30-34 Female AG

18.07.2026 Banyoles ESP
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Aquathlon Championships Banyoles

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 18.07.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 25/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 22 früheren Rennen und 122 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 5.9 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 18.07.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 3 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 10 s Gruppeneffekt 0.45 Max. Vorteil 1.6 km/h

Datenabdeckung 16.7 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 33.3 % · 22 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error6.8
Mean swim error115.5 s
Correct bike groups0/0
No history7
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
0 / 1 Niamh Murphy
IRL
+0 s
+0 s
 Bike DNF 20:16
18:14
Show details
Prediction details: Niamh Murphy

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 14:16
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 10 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 20:16 (4:03 / km)
Historical basis: 4:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 10 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:14 (3:39 / km)
Error: +2:02 / +0:24 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 14:16 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 20:16 (4:03 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 2 Gemma Miller
GBR
+0 s
+147 s
 Bike DNF
19:37
Show details
Prediction details: Gemma Miller

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 14:16
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +147 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:37 (3:55 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 14:16 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 3 Alexandria Scott
GBR
+0 s
+113 s
 Bike DNF
21:21
Show details
Prediction details: Alexandria Scott

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 14:16
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +113 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:21 (4:16 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 14:16 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 4 Hayley Newman
GBR
+71 s
+108 s
 Bike DNF 20:19
21:27
Show details
Prediction details: Hayley Newman

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +71 s
Time: 15:27
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +108 s
Fehler: -37.1 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.25 %, Sicherheit 9 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 20:19 (4:04 / km)
Historical basis: 4:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 9 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:27 (4:17 / km)
Error: −1:08 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 15:27 (1:33 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 20:19 (4:04 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 5 Ella Wilson
GBR
+0 s
+123 s
 Bike DNF
21:17
Show details
Prediction details: Ella Wilson

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 14:16
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +123 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:17 (4:15 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 14:16 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 6 Helen Bird
GBR
+0 s
+178 s
 Bike DNF
21:37
Show details
Prediction details: Helen Bird

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 14:16
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +178 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:37 (4:19 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 14:16 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 7 Amy Constable
GBR
+0 s
+234 s
 Bike DNF
22:29
Show details
Prediction details: Amy Constable

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 14:16
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +234 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:29 (4:30 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 14:16 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 8 Amy Stenson
GBR
+371 s
+209 s
 Bike DNF 23:55
23:15
Show details
Prediction details: Amy Stenson

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +371 s
Time: 20:27
Pace: 2:03 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +209 s
Fehler: 161.7 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 10 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 23:55 (4:47 / km)
Historical basis: 4:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.20 %, Sicherheit 9 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:15 (4:39 / km)
Error: +0:40 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 20:27 (2:03 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 23:55 (4:47 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 9 Pamela Broniarek
POL
+111 s
+104 s
 Bike DNF 23:22
25:27
Show details
Prediction details: Pamela Broniarek

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +111 s
Time: 16:07
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +104 s
Fehler: 7.0 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 23:22 (4:40 / km)
Historical basis: 4:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:21 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 8 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 25:27 (5:05 / km)
Error: −2:05 / −0:25 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 16:07 (1:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 23:22 (4:40 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 10 Elinor Inns
GBR
+0 s
+117 s
 Bike DNF
25:04
Show details
Prediction details: Elinor Inns

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 14:16
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +117 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 25:04 (5:01 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 14:16 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 11 Elisabet Gost Fuster
ESP
+0 s
+378 s
 Bike DNF
25:12
Show details
Prediction details: Elisabet Gost Fuster

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 14:16
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +378 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 25:12 (5:02 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 14:16 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 12 Alba Nevado Comerón
ESP
+909 s
+537 s
 Bike DNF 25:18
24:27
Show details
Prediction details: Alba Nevado Comerón

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +909 s
Time: 29:25
Pace: 2:57 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +537 s
Fehler: 371.6 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 25:18 (5:04 / km)
Historical basis: 5:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:27 (4:53 / km)
Error: +0:51 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 29:25 (2:57 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 25:18 (5:04 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.