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Prediction comparison

70-74 Female AG

18.07.2026 Banyoles ESP
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Aquathlon Championships Banyoles

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 18.07.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 37/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 22 früheren Rennen und 122 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 5.9 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 18.07.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 3 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 10 s Gruppeneffekt 0.45 Max. Vorteil 1.6 km/h

Datenabdeckung 40.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 0.0 % · 22 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error2.5
Mean swim error148.0 s
Correct bike groups0/0
No history1
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
0 / 1 Muriel Chau Seng
FRA
+649 s
+558 s
 Bike DNF 33:44
29:38
Show details
Prediction details: Muriel Chau Seng

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +649 s
Time: 27:20
Pace: 2:44 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +558 s
Fehler: 91.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 33:44 (6:45 / km)
Historical basis: 6:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 6:45 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 29:38 (5:56 / km)
Error: +4:06 / +0:49 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 27:20 (2:44 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 33:44 (6:45 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 2 Angela Fisher
GBR
+276 s
+164 s
 Bike DNF 27:17
31:44
Show details
Prediction details: Angela Fisher

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +276 s
Time: 21:07
Pace: 2:07 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +164 s
Fehler: 112.3 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 27:17 (5:27 / km)
Historical basis: 5:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 31:44 (6:21 / km)
Error: −4:27 / −0:53 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 21:07 (2:07 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 27:17 (5:27 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 3 Joanna Lewis
GBR
+221 s
+610 s
 Bike DNF 29:46
29:35
Show details
Prediction details: Joanna Lewis

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +221 s
Time: 20:12
Pace: 2:01 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +610 s
Fehler: -388.7 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 29:46 (5:57 / km)
Historical basis: 5:57 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:57 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 29:35 (5:55 / km)
Error: +0:11 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 20:12 (2:01 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 29:46 (5:57 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 4 Linda Russell-Bond
GBR
+0 s
+0 s
 Bike DNF 24:11
23:55
Show details
Prediction details: Linda Russell-Bond

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 16:31
Pace: 1:39 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 24:11 (4:50 / km)
Historical basis: 4:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:55 (4:47 / km)
Error: +0:16 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 16:31 (1:39 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 24:11 (4:50 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 5 Rani Sinniah
GBR
+0 s
+864 s
 Bike DNF
30:38
Show details
Prediction details: Rani Sinniah

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 16:31
Pace: 1:39 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +864 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 30:38 (6:08 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 16:31 (1:39 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.