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Predicition
Prediction comparison

80-84 Open AG

18.07.2026 Banyoles ESP
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Aquathlon Championships Banyoles

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 18.07.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 44/100 niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 14 früheren Rennen und 113 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 7.1 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 16.07.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 3 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 10 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 1.6 km/h

Datenabdeckung 66.7 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 0.0 % · 14 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error2.0
Mean swim error133.2 s
Correct bike groups0/0
No history0
Place
Prediction / result
Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result
Bike group
Prediction / result
Run
Prediction / result
Overall prediction Details
0 / 1 Michael Smallwood
GBR
+0 s
+0 s
Bike DNF 28:45
28:49
Show details
Prediction details: Michael Smallwood

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 18:49
Pace: 1:53 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 28:45 (5:45 / km)
Historical basis: 5:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4

Ergebnis Lauf: 28:49 (5:46 / km)
Error: −0:04 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:49 (1:53 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 28:45 (5:45 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 2 Steffen-Luis Neuendorff
GER
+844 s
+706 s
Bike DNF 29:38
39:01
Show details
Prediction details: Steffen-Luis Neuendorff

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +844 s
Time: 32:53
Pace: 3:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +706 s
Fehler: 138.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 29:38 (5:56 / km)
Historical basis: 5:56 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:56 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2

Ergebnis Lauf: 39:01 (7:48 / km)
Error: −9:23 / −1:53 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 32:53 (3:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 29:38 (5:56 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 3 Miguel Vidal Galindo
ESP
+441 s
+702 s
Bike DNF 34:02
44:31
Show details
Prediction details: Miguel Vidal Galindo

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +441 s
Time: 26:10
Pace: 2:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +702 s
Fehler: -261.5 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 34:02 (6:48 / km)
Historical basis: 6:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 6:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4

Ergebnis Lauf: 44:31 (8:54 / km)
Error: −10:29 / −2:06 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 26:10 (2:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 34:02 (6:48 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.