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Predicition
Prediction comparison

U23 Women

18.07.2026 Banyoles ESP
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Aquathlon Championships Banyoles

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 18.07.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 48/100 niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 22 früheren Rennen und 122 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 5.9 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 18.07.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 3 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 10 s Gruppeneffekt 0.45 Max. Vorteil 1.6 km/h

Datenabdeckung 63.6 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 81.8 % · 22 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error5.8
Correct bike groups0/0
No history1
Place
Prediction / result
Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result
Bike group
Prediction / result
Run
Prediction / result
Overall prediction Details
0 / 1 Alina Sinevich
BLR
+28 s
Bike DNF 18:41
13:47
Show details
Prediction details: Alina Sinevich

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 13:47
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.67 %, Sicherheit 1 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 18:41 (3:44 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.81 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 13:47 (2:45 / km)
Error: +4:54 / +0:59 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 13:47 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 18:41 (3:44 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 2 Iva Pavlovic
SRB
+27 s
Bike DNF 21:03
13:56
Show details
Prediction details: Iva Pavlovic

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 13:46
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 49 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 21:03 (4:13 / km)
Historical basis: 4:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:09 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur -0.40 %, Sicherheit 41 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 13:56 (2:47 / km)
Error: +7:07 / +1:25 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 13:46 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 21:03 (4:13 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 3 Marta Novo Dios
ESP
+31 s
Bike DNF 18:54
14:18
Show details
Prediction details: Marta Novo Dios

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 13:50
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.47 %, Sicherheit 10 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 18:54 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:46 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:46 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 1.67 %, Sicherheit 4 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 14:18 (2:52 / km)
Error: +4:36 / +0:55 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 13:50 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 18:54 (3:47 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 4 Lana Gavrilović
SRB
+3 s
Bike DNF 19:49
14:19
Show details
Prediction details: Lana Gavrilović

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +3 s
Time: 13:22
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.36 %, Sicherheit 43 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 19:49 (3:58 / km)
Historical basis: 3:57 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:52 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 45 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 14:19 (2:52 / km)
Error: +5:30 / +1:06 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 13:22 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 19:49 (3:58 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 5 Christina Durbin
GBR
+36 s
Bike DNF 19:15
14:45
Show details
Prediction details: Christina Durbin

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 13:55
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.48 %, Sicherheit 15 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 19:15 (3:51 / km)
Historical basis: 3:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.84 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 14:45 (2:57 / km)
Error: +4:30 / +0:54 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 13:55 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 19:15 (3:51 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 6 Loriana Popovicova
SVK
+85 s
Bike DNF 20:35
15:17
Show details
Prediction details: Loriana Popovicova

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +85 s
Time: 14:44
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.48 %, Sicherheit 15 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 20:35 (4:07 / km)
Historical basis: 4:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.88 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 15:17 (3:03 / km)
Error: +5:18 / +1:04 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 14:44 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 20:35 (4:07 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 7 Natalija Seslija
SRB
+30 s
Bike DNF 22:27
14:49
Show details
Prediction details: Natalija Seslija

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 13:49
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 33 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 22:27 (4:29 / km)
Historical basis: 4:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.64 %, Sicherheit 32 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 14:49 (2:58 / km)
Error: +7:38 / +1:32 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 13:49 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 22:27 (4:29 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 8 Emmely Kaiser
GER
+0 s
Bike DNF
14:21
Show details
Prediction details: Emmely Kaiser

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 13:19
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 14:21 (2:52 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 13:19 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 9 Karmen Fabris
CRO
+34 s
Bike DNF 20:53
14:25
Show details
Prediction details: Karmen Fabris

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 13:53
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 33 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 20:53 (4:11 / km)
Historical basis: 4:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:08 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.86 %, Sicherheit 32 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 14:25 (2:53 / km)
Error: +6:28 / +1:18 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 13:53 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 20:53 (4:11 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 10 Leyla Abdulazizova
AZE
+416 s
Bike DNF 29:05
14:43
Show details
Prediction details: Leyla Abdulazizova

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +416 s
Time: 20:15
Pace: 2:02 / 100 m

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 29:05 (5:49 / km)
Historical basis: 5:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:49 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1

Ergebnis Lauf: 14:43 (2:57 / km)
Error: +14:22 / +2:52 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 20:15 (2:02 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 29:05 (5:49 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 11 Roza Sporcic
CRO
+72 s
Bike DNF 21:19
16:31
Show details
Prediction details: Roza Sporcic

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +72 s
Time: 14:31
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 27 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 21:19 (4:16 / km)
Historical basis: 4:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 36 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 16:31 (3:18 / km)
Error: +4:48 / +0:58 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 14:31 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 21:19 (4:16 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.