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Prediction comparison

50-54 Female AG

16.07.2026 ESP
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Cross Duathlon Championships Banyoles

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 16.07.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 28/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 11 früheren Rennen und 66 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 0.0 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 16.07.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 3 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 10 s Gruppeneffekt 0.45 Max. Vorteil 1.6 km/h

Datenabdeckung 40.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 60.0 % · 11 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error3.0
Mean bike-speed error17.00 km/h
Correct bike groups0/0
No history0
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
0 / 1 Severine Guerif
FRA
+945 s
G0 / G1
 51:47
26:51
Show details
Prediction details: Severine Guerif

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +945 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 19.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -18.97 km/h

Running and total

Run: 51:47 (7:51 / km)
Historical basis: 7:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 7:51 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:51 (8:23 / km)
Error: +24:56 / −0:33 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 51:47 (7:51 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 2 Hannah Quay
GBR
+21 s
G0 / G2
 37:16
30:42
Show details
Prediction details: Hannah Quay

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time:
Pace: 1:50 / 100 m
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (2 people)
Speed: 17.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -17.09 km/h

Running and total

Run: 37:16 (5:39 / km)
Historical basis: 5:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 15 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 30:42 (9:36 / km)
Error: +6:34 / −3:57 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 37:16 (5:39 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 3 Joanne Wilson
GBR
+11 s
G0 / G2
 32:49
31:29
Show details
Prediction details: Joanne Wilson

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +11 s
Time:
Pace: 1:49 / 100 m
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (2 people)
Speed: 17.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -17.36 km/h

Running and total

Run: 32:49 (4:58 / km)
Historical basis: 5:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:17 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 17 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 31:29 (9:50 / km)
Error: +1:20 / −4:52 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 32:49 (4:58 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 4 Sarah Bennetts
GBR
+176 s
G0 / G3
 35:27
33:27
Show details
Prediction details: Sarah Bennetts

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +176 s
Time:
Pace: 2:05 / 100 m
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 15.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -15.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 35:27 (5:22 / km)
Historical basis: 5:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 17 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 33:27 (10:27 / km)
Error: +2:00 / −5:05 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 35:27 (5:22 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 5 Rachel Scott
GBR
+0 s
G0 / G4
36:15
Show details
Prediction details: Rachel Scott

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 16.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -16.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 36:15 (11:20 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.