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Prediction comparison

55-59 Open AG

16.07.2026 ESP
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Cross Duathlon Championships Banyoles

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 16.07.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 25/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 14 früheren Rennen und 113 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 7.1 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 16.07.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 3 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 10 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 1.6 km/h

Datenabdeckung 28.6 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 71.4 % · 14 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error7.5
Mean bike-speed error18.10 km/h
Correct bike groups0/0
No history0
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
0 / 1 David Serra Termens
ESP
+0 s
G0 / G1
 48:24
24:04
Show details
Prediction details: David Serra Termens

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 20.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -20.86 km/h

Running and total

Run: 48:24 (7:20 / km)
Historical basis: 7:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 7:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:04 (7:31 / km)
Error: +24:20 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 48:24 (7:20 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 2 Greg Simcock
GBR
+0 s
G0 / G2
 49:32
26:12
Show details
Prediction details: Greg Simcock

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 21.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -21.71 km/h

Running and total

Run: 49:32 (7:30 / km)
Historical basis: 7:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 7:42 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 2 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:12 (8:11 / km)
Error: +23:20 / −0:41 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 49:32 (7:30 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 3 Alfonso Lahuerta Izquierdo
ESP
+0 s
G0 / G3
 52:24
26:39
Show details
Prediction details: Alfonso Lahuerta Izquierdo

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 20.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -20.71 km/h

Running and total

Run: 52:24 (7:56 / km)
Historical basis: 8:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 8:08 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 5 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:39 (8:20 / km)
Error: +25:45 / −0:23 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 52:24 (7:56 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 4 Pedro Oliveros Oliveros
ESP
+0 s
G0 / G4
 51:39
26:51
Show details
Prediction details: Pedro Oliveros Oliveros

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (2 people)
Speed: 20.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -20.27 km/h

Running and total

Run: 51:39 (7:50 / km)
Historical basis: 7:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 7:52 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.60 %, Sicherheit 2 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:51 (8:23 / km)
Error: +24:48 / −0:34 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 51:39 (7:50 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 5 Guillermo Collado Perez
ESP
+0 s
G0 / G4
 52:47
26:00
Show details
Prediction details: Guillermo Collado Perez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (2 people)
Speed: 20.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -20.02 km/h

Running and total

Run: 52:47 (8:00 / km)
Historical basis: 7:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 7:51 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 1.98 %, Sicherheit 1 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:00 (8:08 / km)
Error: +26:47 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 52:47 (8:00 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 6 Rafael Cabañeros Robles
ESP
+385 s
G0 / G5
 28:24
25:59
Show details
Prediction details: Rafael Cabañeros Robles

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +385 s
Time:
Pace: 2:13 / 100 m
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 18 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 18.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -18.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: 28:24 (4:18 / km)
Historical basis: 4:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.48 %, Sicherheit 30 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 25:59 (8:07 / km)
Error: +2:25 / −3:49 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 28:24 (4:18 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 7 Brendan Anglim
GBR
+418 s
G0 / G6
 32:49
28:39
Show details
Prediction details: Brendan Anglim

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +418 s
Time:
Pace: 2:15 / 100 m
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 18 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 18.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -18.39 km/h

Running and total

Run: 32:49 (4:58 / km)
Historical basis: 4:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:52 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 2.12 %, Sicherheit 34 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 28:39 (8:57 / km)
Error: +4:10 / −3:59 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 32:49 (4:58 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 8 Julian Lopez Gastón
ESP
+347 s
G0 / G7
 33:31
30:03
Show details
Prediction details: Julian Lopez Gastón

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +347 s
Time:
Pace: 2:08 / 100 m
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 18 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 17.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -17.56 km/h

Running and total

Run: 33:31 (5:05 / km)
Historical basis: 5:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 28 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 30:03 (9:23 / km)
Error: +3:28 / −4:19 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 33:31 (5:05 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 9 Michael Waring
GBR
+0 s
G0 / G8
 52:59
28:49
Show details
Prediction details: Michael Waring

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 8 (2 people)
Speed: 16.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -16.89 km/h

Running and total

Run: 52:59 (8:02 / km)
Historical basis: 8:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 8:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -1.95 %, Sicherheit 1 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 28:49 (9:00 / km)
Error: +24:10 / −0:59 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 52:59 (8:02 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 10 Russell Turner
GBR
+369 s
G0 / G8
 35:05
31:30
Show details
Prediction details: Russell Turner

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +369 s
Time:
Pace: 2:12 / 100 m
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 16 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 8 (2 people)
Speed: 17.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -17.71 km/h

Running and total

Run: 35:05 (5:19 / km)
Historical basis: 5:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:19 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 30 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 31:30 (9:51 / km)
Error: +3:35 / −4:32 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 35:05 (5:19 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 11 Ian Mitchell
GBR
+0 s
G0 / G9
31:11
Show details
Prediction details: Ian Mitchell

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 9 (1 people)
Speed: 16.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -16.69 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 31:11 (9:45 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 12 David Shields
GBR
+368 s
G0 / G10
 57:03
29:14
Show details
Prediction details: David Shields

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +368 s
Time:
Pace: 2:11 / 100 m

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 10 (1 people)
Speed: 15.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -15.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: 57:03 (8:39 / km)
Historical basis: 8:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 29:14 (9:08 / km)
Error: +27:49 / −0:30 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 57:03 (8:39 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 13 Steven Covey
GBR
+492 s
G0 / G11
 36:36
34:45
Show details
Prediction details: Steven Covey

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +492 s
Time:
Pace: 2:21 / 100 m
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 18 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 11 (1 people)
Speed: 15.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -15.83 km/h

Running and total

Run: 36:36 (5:33 / km)
Historical basis: 5:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:47 / km
Trend: −0:06 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 28 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 34:45 (10:52 / km)
Error: +1:51 / −5:19 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 36:36 (5:33 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 14 Damon Parker
GBR
+0 s
G0 / G12
 58:31
36:35
Show details
Prediction details: Damon Parker

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 12 (1 people)
Speed: 12.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -12.76 km/h

Running and total

Run: 58:31 (8:52 / km)
Historical basis: 8:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 8:52 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 36:35 (11:26 / km)
Error: +21:56 / −2:34 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 58:31 (8:52 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.