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Prediction comparison

60-64 Open AG

16.07.2026 ESP
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Cross Duathlon Championships Banyoles

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 16.07.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 34/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 14 früheren Rennen und 113 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 7.1 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 16.07.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 3 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 10 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 1.6 km/h

Datenabdeckung 46.2 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 69.2 % · 14 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error6.9
Mean bike-speed error17.45 km/h
Correct bike groups0/0
No history4
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
0 / 1 Stephen Moors
GBR
+0 s
G0 / G1
28:20
Show details
Prediction details: Stephen Moors

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 20.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 28:20 (8:51 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 2 Didier Vandenbosch
BEL
+366 s
G0 / G2
 28:34
27:25
Show details
Prediction details: Didier Vandenbosch

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +366 s
Time:
Pace: 2:16 / 100 m
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 12 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 19.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -19.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 28:34 (4:20 / km)
Historical basis: 4:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 1.91 %, Sicherheit 32 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 27:25 (8:34 / km)
Error: +1:09 / −4:14 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 28:34 (4:20 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 3 Luis Miguel Sanchez Garcia
ESP
+0 s
G0 / G3
 55:38
28:59
Show details
Prediction details: Luis Miguel Sanchez Garcia

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 19.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -19.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: 55:38 (8:26 / km)
Historical basis: 8:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 8:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 14 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 28:59 (9:03 / km)
Error: +26:39 / −0:38 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 55:38 (8:26 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 4 Alberto Soto Ugalde
ESP
+285 s
G0 / G4
 30:30
27:59
Show details
Prediction details: Alberto Soto Ugalde

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +285 s
Time:
Pace: 2:08 / 100 m
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 12 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 18.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -18.24 km/h

Running and total

Run: 30:30 (4:37 / km)
Historical basis: 4:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:35 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.71 %, Sicherheit 22 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 27:59 (8:45 / km)
Error: +2:31 / −4:07 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 30:30 (4:37 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 5 Richard Ballantine
GBR
+0 s
G0 / G5
30:12
Show details
Prediction details: Richard Ballantine

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 18.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 30:12 (9:26 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 6 Urban Scheld
GER
+152 s
G0 / G6
 34:48
32:00
Show details
Prediction details: Urban Scheld

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +152 s
Time:
Pace: 1:55 / 100 m
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 12 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (2 people)
Speed: 18.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -18.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: 34:48 (5:16 / km)
Historical basis: 5:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 21 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 32:00 (10:00 / km)
Error: +2:48 / −4:44 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 34:48 (5:16 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 7 Andrew Burston
GBR
+0 s
G0 / G6
 28:09
28:19
Show details
Prediction details: Andrew Burston

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (2 people)
Speed: 17.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -17.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: 28:09 (4:16 / km)
Historical basis: 4:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.67 %, Sicherheit 2 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 28:19 (8:51 / km)
Error: −0:10 / −4:35 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 28:09 (4:16 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 8 Christian Ulf-Hansen
GBR
+464 s
G0 / G7
 32:12
31:15
Show details
Prediction details: Christian Ulf-Hansen

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +464 s
Time:
Pace: 2:26 / 100 m
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 12 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 17.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -17.32 km/h

Running and total

Run: 32:12 (4:53 / km)
Historical basis: 4:55 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:55 / km
Trend: −0:06 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 1.34 %, Sicherheit 22 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 31:15 (9:46 / km)
Error: +0:57 / −4:53 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 32:12 (4:53 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 9 Owen Barron
IRL
+744 s
G0 / G8
 29:26
30:03
Show details
Prediction details: Owen Barron

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +744 s
Time:
Pace: 2:15 / 100 m
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -1.07 %, Sicherheit 0 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 8 (2 people)
Speed: 16.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -16.04 km/h

Running and total

Run: 29:26 (4:28 / km)
Historical basis: 4:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 13 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 30:03 (9:23 / km)
Error: −0:37 / −4:56 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 29:26 (4:28 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 10 Christophe Loiseau
FRA
+0 s
G0 / G8
 59:14
30:40
Show details
Prediction details: Christophe Loiseau

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 8 (2 people)
Speed: 16.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -16.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: 59:14 (8:58 / km)
Historical basis: 9:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 9:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 3 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 30:40 (9:35 / km)
Error: +28:34 / −0:37 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 59:14 (8:58 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 11 Dave Payling
GBR
+0 s
G0 / G9
32:59
Show details
Prediction details: Dave Payling

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 9 (1 people)
Speed: 14.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 32:59 (10:18 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 12 Andy Bullimore
GBR
+0 s
G0 / G10
37:54
Show details
Prediction details: Andy Bullimore

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 10 (2 people)
Speed: 15.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 37:54 (11:51 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 13 Christopher Calvert
GBR
+368 s
G0 / G10
 1:06:30
35:53
Show details
Prediction details: Christopher Calvert

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +368 s
Time:
Pace: 2:18 / 100 m
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 1.08 %, Sicherheit 0 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 10 (2 people)
Speed: 15.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -15.09 km/h

Running and total

Run: 1:06:30 (10:05 / km)
Historical basis: 10:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:51 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 35:53 (11:13 / km)
Error: +30:37 / −1:08 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 1:06:30 (10:05 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.