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25-29 Open AG

14.07.2026 Banyoles ESP
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Cross Triathlon Championships Banyoles

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 14.07.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 45/100 niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 27 früheren Rennen und 257 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 10.5 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 14.07.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 3 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 10 s Gruppeneffekt 0.45 Max. Vorteil 1.6 km/h

Datenabdeckung 10.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 30.0 % · 27 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error1.8
Mean swim error42.4 s
Mean bike-speed error10.52 km/h
Correct bike groups0/4
No history6
Within the 80% range40.0 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 4 Diego Lopez Paez
ESP
+70 s
+79 s
G1 / G6
 29:12
27:04
 1:03:32
Show details
Prediction details: Diego Lopez Paez

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +70 s
Time: 15:27
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +79 s
Fehler: -8.7 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 6 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 34.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 13.5 s
Gap behind: 283.8 s
Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 20.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 13.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 29:12 (4:25 / km)
Historical basis: 4:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 2 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 27:04 (4:06 / km)
Error: +2:08 / +0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 1:03:32
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 15:27 (1:33 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:10 (34.0 km/h)
Run: 29:12 (4:25 / km)
Total: 1:03:32
2 / 2 Enrique Terol Perez
ESP
+12 s
+10 s
G1 / G2
 32:35
30:19
 1:06:55
Show details
Prediction details: Enrique Terol Perez

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 2–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 14:29
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: 2.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 34.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 44.8 s
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 22.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 11.22 km/h

Running and total

Run: 32:35 (4:56 / km)
Historical basis: 4:56 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:56 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Ergebnis Lauf: 30:19 (4:36 / km)
Error: +2:16 / +0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 1:06:55
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 14:29 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:10 (34.0 km/h)
Run: 32:35 (4:56 / km)
Total: 1:06:55
3 / 3 Arnau Pla Alvarez
ESP
+354 s
+252 s
G2 / G3
 30:07
26:57
 1:21:08
Show details
Prediction details: Arnau Pla Alvarez

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 3–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +354 s
Time: 20:11
Pace: 2:01 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +252 s
Fehler: 102.1 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 25.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 283.8 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 22.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.66 km/h

Running and total

Run: 30:07 (4:34 / km)
Historical basis: 4:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 2 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:57 (4:05 / km)
Error: +3:10 / +0:29 / km
Overall prediction: 1:21:08
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 20:11 (2:01 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 45:07 (25.0 km/h)
Run: 30:07 (4:34 / km)
Total: 1:21:08
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 15:17
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
About 294.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +59.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 8 Alejandro Meneses Medero
ESP
+57 s
+0 s
G1 / G8
 1:00:15
30:43
 1:34:35
Show details
Prediction details: Alejandro Meneses Medero

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 4–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +57 s
Time: 15:14
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 56.8 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -0.36 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 34.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 44.8 s
Gap behind: 13.5 s
Result: Group 8 (2 people)
Speed: 19.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 14.53 km/h

Running and total

Run: 1:00:15 (9:08 / km)
Historical basis: 9:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 9:08 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 30:43 (4:39 / km)
Error: +29:32 / +4:29 / km
Overall prediction: 1:34:35
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 15:14 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:10 (34.0 km/h)
Run: 1:00:15 (9:08 / km)
Total: 1:34:35
0 / 1 Pierre Simeon
FRA
+0 s
+34 s
G0 / G1
22:45
Show details
Prediction details: Pierre Simeon

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 5–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 14:17
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 24.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:45 (3:27 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 14:17 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 5 Aymeric De Noble
BEL
+0 s
+250 s
G0 / G4
28:09
Show details
Prediction details: Aymeric De Noble

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 6–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 5
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 14:17
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +250 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 21.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 28:09 (4:16 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 14:17 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 6 Nil Torrentà Roura
ESP
+0 s
+84 s
G0 / G7
26:58
Show details
Prediction details: Nil Torrentà Roura

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 7–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 6
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 14:17
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +84 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 20.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:58 (4:05 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 14:17 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 7 Jorge Lopez Mañeru
ESP
+0 s
+144 s
G0 / G8
30:36
Show details
Prediction details: Jorge Lopez Mañeru

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 8–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 7
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 14:17
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +144 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 8 (2 people)
Speed: 20.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 30:36 (4:38 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 14:17 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 9 Hugo Lancelin
FRA
+0 s
+68 s
G0 / G5
33:10
Show details
Prediction details: Hugo Lancelin

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 9–9
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 9
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 14:17
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +68 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 20.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 33:10 (5:02 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 14:17 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 10 Isaias Valero Picó
ESP
+0 s
+161 s
G0 / G9
30:43
Show details
Prediction details: Isaias Valero Picó

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 10–10
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 10
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 14:17
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +161 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 9 (1 people)
Speed: 19.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 30:43 (4:39 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 14:17 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.