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30-34 Open AG

14.07.2026 Banyoles ESP
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Cross Triathlon Championships Banyoles

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 14.07.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 53/100 niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 27 früheren Rennen und 257 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 10.5 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 14.07.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 3 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 10 s Gruppeneffekt 0.45 Max. Vorteil 1.6 km/h

Datenabdeckung 25.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 50.0 % · 27 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error4.1
Mean swim error30.6 s
Mean bike-speed error10.76 km/h
Correct bike groups0/9
No history3
Within the 80% range8.3 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 3 Brian Tetard
FRA
+0 s
+0 s
G1 / G2
 28:00
26:13
 55:59
Show details
Prediction details: Brian Tetard

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 3–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 13:40
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 12 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 107.0 s
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 23.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 17.31 km/h

Running and total

Run: 28:00 (4:14 / km)
Historical basis: 4:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 9 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:13 (3:58 / km)
Error: +1:47 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 55:59
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 13:40 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:59 (40.3 km/h)
Run: 28:00 (4:14 / km)
Total: 55:59
2 / 6 Benjamin Doyen
BEL
+200 s
+301 s
G4 / G5
 25:28
26:08
 58:51
Show details
Prediction details: Benjamin Doyen

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 4–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +200 s
Time: 17:00
Pace: 1:42 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +301 s
Fehler: -100.8 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -0.38 %, Sicherheit 1 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 14.2 s
Gap behind: 40.8 s
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 22.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 14.49 km/h

Running and total

Run: 25:28 (3:52 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 2.04 %, Sicherheit 1 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:08 (3:58 / km)
Error: −0:40 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 58:51
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 17:00 (1:42 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:03 (37.3 km/h)
Run: 25:28 (3:52 / km)
Total: 58:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 13:43
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 197.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 8 Jakub Wilczek
POL
+169 s
+163 s
G3 / G7
 30:29
27:07
 1:01:17
Show details
Prediction details: Jakub Wilczek

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 5–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +169 s
Time: 16:29
Pace: 1:39 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +163 s
Fehler: 6.0 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 15 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 62.0 s
Gap behind: 17.0 s
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 21.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 18.67 km/h

Running and total

Run: 30:29 (4:37 / km)
Historical basis: 4:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 8 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 27:07 (4:07 / km)
Error: +3:22 / +0:31 / km
Overall prediction: 1:01:17
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 16:29 (1:39 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:59 (40.3 km/h)
Run: 30:29 (4:37 / km)
Total: 1:01:17
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 13:43
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 166.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 12 Benjamin Rushton
GBR
+186 s
+179 s
G4 / G11
 31:20
33:19
 1:04:43
Show details
Prediction details: Benjamin Rushton

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 6–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +186 s
Time: 16:46
Pace: 1:41 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +179 s
Fehler: 7.0 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 16 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 17.0 s
Gap behind: 14.2 s
Result: Group 11 (1 people)
Speed: 18.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 18.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: 31:20 (4:45 / km)
Historical basis: 4:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 9 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 33:19 (5:03 / km)
Error: −1:59 / −0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 1:04:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 16:46 (1:41 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:03 (37.3 km/h)
Run: 31:20 (4:45 / km)
Total: 1:04:43
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 13:43
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 183.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 4 Aleix Sellarés Gonzalez
ESP
+241 s
+265 s
G5 / G4
 26:28
24:20
 1:17:02
Show details
Prediction details: Aleix Sellarés Gonzalez

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 7–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +241 s
Time: 17:41
Pace: 1:46 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +265 s
Fehler: -24.0 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 12 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 25.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 40.8 s
Gap behind: 51.0 s
Result: Group 4 (2 people)
Speed: 23.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.56 km/h

Running and total

Run: 26:28 (4:01 / km)
Historical basis: 4:00 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 9 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:20 (3:41 / km)
Error: +2:08 / +0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 1:17:02
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 17:41 (1:46 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 45:00 (25.0 km/h)
Run: 26:28 (4:01 / km)
Total: 1:17:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 13:43
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 238.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 7 Bram Elevelt
NED
+327 s
+263 s
G5 / G8
 31:37
25:34
 1:22:11
Show details
Prediction details: Bram Elevelt

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 8–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +327 s
Time: 19:07
Pace: 1:55 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +263 s
Fehler: 63.6 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 25.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 34.6 s
Gap behind: 7.7 s
Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 22.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.95 km/h

Running and total

Run: 31:37 (4:47 / km)
Historical basis: 4:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:47 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 25:34 (3:52 / km)
Error: +6:03 / +0:55 / km
Overall prediction: 1:22:11
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 19:07 (1:55 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 45:00 (25.0 km/h)
Run: 31:37 (4:47 / km)
Total: 1:22:11
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 13:43
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 323.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 11 Arthur Henrique Reis
TRI
+334 s
+315 s
G5 / G10
 34:49
29:34
 1:25:23
Show details
Prediction details: Arthur Henrique Reis

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 9–9
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +334 s
Time: 19:14
Pace: 1:55 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +315 s
Fehler: 19.3 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 11 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 25.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.7 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 10 (1 people)
Speed: 21.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.70 km/h

Running and total

Run: 34:49 (5:17 / km)
Historical basis: 5:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 7 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 29:34 (4:29 / km)
Error: +5:15 / +0:48 / km
Overall prediction: 1:25:23
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:14 (1:55 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 45:00 (25.0 km/h)
Run: 34:49 (5:17 / km)
Total: 1:25:23
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 13:43
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 331.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 1 Tony Nivot
FRA
+0 s
+108 s
G0 / G1
25:10
Show details
Prediction details: Tony Nivot

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 10–10
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 13:40
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +108 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 25.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 25:10 (3:49 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 13:40 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 2 Jose Carlos Lopez Ruiz
ESP
+107 s
+133 s
G2 / G3
24:16
Show details
Prediction details: Jose Carlos Lopez Ruiz

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +107 s
Time: 15:27
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +133 s
Fehler: -26.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 107.0 s
Gap behind: 62.0 s
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 23.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 16.92 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:16 (3:41 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 15:27 (1:33 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:59 (40.3 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 13:43
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 104.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 5 Francisco Rios Gomez
ESP
+0 s
+117 s
G0 / G4
27:01
Show details
Prediction details: Francisco Rios Gomez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 11–11
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 13:40
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +117 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (2 people)
Speed: 22.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 27:01 (4:06 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 13:40 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 9 Rémy Simeon
FRA
+0 s
+184 s
G0 / G6
28:05
Show details
Prediction details: Rémy Simeon

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 12–12
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 13:40
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +184 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 21.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 28:05 (4:15 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 13:40 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 10 Niklas Scheld
GER
+292 s
+321 s
G5 / G9
29:47
Show details
Prediction details: Niklas Scheld

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +292 s
Time: 18:32
Pace: 1:51 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +321 s
Fehler: -29.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 25.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 51.0 s
Gap behind: 34.6 s
Result: Group 9 (1 people)
Speed: 22.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.77 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 29:47 (4:31 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 18:32 (1:51 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 45:00 (25.0 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 13:43
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 289.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.