Zum Inhalt springen
Performance Workspace
Predicition
Live data
Prediction comparison

35-39 Female AG

14.07.2026 Banyoles ESP
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Cross Triathlon Championships Banyoles

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 14.07.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 37/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 23 früheren Rennen und 166 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 42.8 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 14.07.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 6 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 18 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 0.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 0.0 % · 23 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error1.0
Mean swim error60.0 s
Mean bike-speed error20.55 km/h
Correct bike groups3/3
No history1
Within the 80% range50.0 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 3 Roksana Orzyszek
POL
+444 s
+310 s
G3 / G3
correct 		33:47
37:43
 1:14:15
Show details
Prediction details: Roksana Orzyszek

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 2–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +444 s
Time: 30:19
Pace: 3:02 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +310 s
Fehler: 134.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 136.0 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 16.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 17.42 km/h

Running and total

Run: 33:47 (5:07 / km)
Historical basis: 5:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 37:43 (5:43 / km)
Error: −3:56 / −0:36 / km
Overall prediction: 1:14:15
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 30:19 (3:02 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:04 (34.1 km/h)
Run: 33:47 (5:07 / km)
Total: 1:14:15
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 23:01
Pace: 2:18 / 100 m
About 438.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +5.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
2 / 2 Maje Sánchez García
ESP
+308 s
+262 s
G2 / G2
correct 		55:02
32:24
 1:27:57
Show details
Prediction details: Maje Sánchez García

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 3–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +308 s
Time: 28:03
Pace: 2:48 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +262 s
Fehler: 46.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 308.0 s
Gap behind: 136.0 s
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 18.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 21.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: 55:02 (8:20 / km)
Historical basis: 8:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 8:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 32:24 (4:55 / km)
Error: +22:38 / +3:26 / km
Overall prediction: 1:27:57
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 28:03 (2:48 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:47 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 55:02 (8:20 / km)
Total: 1:27:57
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 23:01
Pace: 2:18 / 100 m
About 302.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +5.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 1 Emilie Attanasio
FRA
+0 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct
31:33
Show details
Prediction details: Emilie Attanasio

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 22:55
Pace: 2:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 308.0 s
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 18.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 22.28 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 31:33 (4:47 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 22:55 (2:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:47 (40.6 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 4 Natàlia Gómez Valero
ESP
+0 s
+263 s
G0 / G4
40:07
Show details
Prediction details: Natàlia Gómez Valero

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 4–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 4
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 22:55
Pace: 2:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +263 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 13.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 40:07 (6:05 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 22:55 (2:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.