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40-44 Female AG

14.07.2026 Banyoles ESP
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Cross Triathlon Championships Banyoles

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 14.07.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 37/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 23 früheren Rennen und 166 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 42.8 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 14.07.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 6 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 18 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 0.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 0.0 % · 23 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error1.7
Mean swim error118.0 s
Mean bike-speed error11.14 km/h
Correct bike groups0/3
No history2
Within the 80% range60.0 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 4 Katie Wright
GBR
+115 s
+10 s
G1 / G4
 29:19
31:10
 1:10:36
Show details
Prediction details: Katie Wright

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 2–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +115 s
Time: 19:55
Pace: 2:00 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: 105.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 28.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 115.0 s
Gap behind: 67.0 s
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 14.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 14.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: 29:19 (4:27 / km)
Historical basis: 4:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:11 / km
Trend: −0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 31:10 (4:43 / km)
Error: −1:51 / −0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 1:10:36
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:55 (2:00 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 38:15 (28.7 km/h)
Run: 29:19 (4:27 / km)
Total: 1:10:36
2 / 3 Ruth Trevallion
GBR
+182 s
+93 s
G1 / G3
 40:18
33:30
 1:21:35
Show details
Prediction details: Ruth Trevallion

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 3–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +182 s
Time: 21:02
Pace: 2:06 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +93 s
Fehler: 89.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 28.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 67.0 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 18.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 10.25 km/h

Running and total

Run: 40:18 (6:06 / km)
Historical basis: 6:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 6:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 33:30 (5:05 / km)
Error: +6:48 / +1:02 / km
Overall prediction: 1:21:35
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 21:02 (2:06 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 38:15 (28.7 km/h)
Run: 40:18 (6:06 / km)
Total: 1:21:35
0 / 1 Marlène Pays
FRA
+0 s
+160 s
G1 / G2
30:33
Show details
Prediction details: Marlène Pays

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 18:00
Pace: 1:48 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +160 s
Fehler: -160.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 28.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 115.0 s
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 19.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 9.11 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 30:33 (4:38 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 18:00 (1:48 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 38:15 (28.7 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 2 Wenda Zuiddam
NED
+0 s
+0 s
G0 / G1
33:55
Show details
Prediction details: Wenda Zuiddam

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 4–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 18:00
Pace: 1:48 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 19.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 33:55 (5:08 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 18:00 (1:48 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 5 Natalia Soria López
ESP
+0 s
+212 s
G0 / G5
37:48
Show details
Prediction details: Natalia Soria López

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 5–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 5
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 18:00
Pace: 1:48 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +212 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 13.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 37:48 (5:44 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 18:00 (1:48 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.