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45-49 Open AG

14.07.2026 Banyoles ESP
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Cross Triathlon Championships Banyoles

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 14.07.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 50/100 niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 27 früheren Rennen und 257 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 10.5 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 14.07.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 3 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 10 s Gruppeneffekt 0.45 Max. Vorteil 1.6 km/h

Datenabdeckung 20.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 40.0 % · 27 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error5.7
Mean swim error84.5 s
Mean bike-speed error14.99 km/h
Correct bike groups2/16
No history4
Within the 80% range15.0 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 2 Sergi Lasheras Rabionet
ESP
+2 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		24:39
24:26
 51:42
Show details
Prediction details: Sergi Lasheras Rabionet

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 4–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +2 s
Time: 13:58
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 2.0 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 15 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 65 %
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 118.9 s
Result: Group 1 (2 people)
Speed: 22.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 18.96 km/h

Running and total

Run: 24:39 (3:44 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 15 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:26 (3:42 / km)
Error: +0:13 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 51:42
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 13:58 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:01 (41.8 km/h)
Run: 24:39 (3:44 / km)
Total: 51:42
2 / 13 Luis Orbañanos Camprodon
ESP
+121 s
+207 s
G2 / G10
 26:42
32:17
 56:14
Show details
Prediction details: Luis Orbañanos Camprodon

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 5–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +121 s
Time: 15:57
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +207 s
Fehler: -86.1 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.66 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 118.9 s
Gap behind: 102.1 s
Result: Group 10 (1 people)
Speed: 19.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 21.60 km/h

Running and total

Run: 26:42 (4:03 / km)
Historical basis: 4:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 5 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 32:17 (4:53 / km)
Error: −5:35 / −0:51 / km
Overall prediction: 56:14
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 15:57 (1:36 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:31 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 26:42 (4:03 / km)
Total: 56:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 14:01
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 116 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 7 Pavel Castro Nieda
ESP
+0 s
+32 s
G1 / G5
 29:30
27:52
 56:33
Show details
Prediction details: Pavel Castro Nieda

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 5–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 13:56
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: -32.0 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 6 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 85 %
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 21.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 20.67 km/h

Running and total

Run: 29:30 (4:28 / km)
Historical basis: 4:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 4 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 27:52 (4:13 / km)
Error: +1:38 / +0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 56:33
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 13:56 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:01 (41.8 km/h)
Run: 29:30 (4:28 / km)
Total: 56:33
4 / 8 Salvador Gran Esteve
ESP
+243 s
+156 s
G4 / G4
correct 		25:12
28:20
 58:47
Show details
Prediction details: Salvador Gran Esteve

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 7–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +243 s
Time: 17:59
Pace: 1:48 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +156 s
Fehler: 87.2 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 10 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Gap ahead: 19.2 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 22.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 16.26 km/h

Running and total

Run: 25:12 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:49 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 10 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 28:20 (4:18 / km)
Error: −3:08 / −0:29 / km
Overall prediction: 58:47
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 17:59 (1:48 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:30 (38.2 km/h)
Run: 25:12 (3:49 / km)
Total: 58:47
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 14:01
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 238.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 4 Christophe Faloppa
FRA
+244 s
+209 s
G4 / G3
 28:54
27:15
 1:02:29
Show details
Prediction details: Christophe Faloppa

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 8–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +244 s
Time: 18:00
Pace: 1:48 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +209 s
Fehler: 35.2 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 19.8 s
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 22.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 15.53 km/h

Running and total

Run: 28:54 (4:23 / km)
Historical basis: 4:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 27:15 (4:08 / km)
Error: +1:39 / +0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 1:02:29
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 18:00 (1:48 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:30 (38.2 km/h)
Run: 28:54 (4:23 / km)
Total: 1:02:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 14:01
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 239.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 10 Martin Hren
AUT
+399 s
+320 s
G5 / G8
 24:34
26:33
 1:13:36
Show details
Prediction details: Martin Hren

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 9–10
Top-10 probability: 94 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +399 s
Time: 20:35
Pace: 2:04 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +320 s
Fehler: 79.1 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 10 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 19.3 s
Gap behind: 51.9 s
Result: Group 8 (2 people)
Speed: 21.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 8.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: 24:34 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 10 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:33 (4:01 / km)
Error: −1:59 / −0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 1:13:36
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 20:35 (2:04 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:50 (30.1 km/h)
Run: 24:34 (3:43 / km)
Total: 1:13:36
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 14:01
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 394.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 9 Raúl Ramírez Roldán
ESP
+0 s
+343 s
G1 / G8
 47:36
25:08
 1:14:39
Show details
Prediction details: Raúl Ramírez Roldán

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 9–10
Top-10 probability: 95 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 13:56
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +343 s
Fehler: -343.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 8 (2 people)
Speed: 21.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 20.36 km/h

Running and total

Run: 47:36 (7:13 / km)
Historical basis: 7:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 7:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 25:08 (3:48 / km)
Error: +22:28 / +3:24 / km
Overall prediction: 1:14:39
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 13:56 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:01 (41.8 km/h)
Run: 47:36 (7:13 / km)
Total: 1:14:39
8 / 3 Christophe Lenfant
FRA
+269 s
+281 s
G5 / G6
 26:54
23:40
 1:15:56
Show details
Prediction details: Christophe Lenfant

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 10–11
Top-10 probability: 11 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +269 s
Time: 18:25
Pace: 1:51 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +281 s
Fehler: -12.0 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 6 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.0 s
Gap behind: 110.8 s
Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 22.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 7.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 26:54 (4:05 / km)
Historical basis: 4:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 7 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:40 (3:35 / km)
Error: +3:14 / +0:29 / km
Overall prediction: 1:15:56
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:25 (1:51 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:50 (30.1 km/h)
Run: 26:54 (4:05 / km)
Total: 1:15:56
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 14:01
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 264.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 19 Cyrille Duchesne
FRA
+697 s
+619 s
G5 / G16
 29:24
37:09
 1:18:26
Show details
Prediction details: Cyrille Duchesne

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 12–13
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +697 s
Time: 25:33
Pace: 2:33 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +619 s
Fehler: 78.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 173.0 s
Gap behind: 35.8 s
Result: Group 16 (1 people)
Speed: 15.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 14.47 km/h

Running and total

Run: 29:24 (4:27 / km)
Historical basis: 4:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Ergebnis Lauf: 37:09 (5:38 / km)
Error: −7:45 / −1:10 / km
Overall prediction: 1:18:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 25:33 (2:33 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:50 (30.1 km/h)
Run: 29:24 (4:27 / km)
Total: 1:18:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 14:01
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 692.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 15 Luke Maxwell
GBR
+380 s
+404 s
G5 / G14
 29:51
26:56
 1:18:53
Show details
Prediction details: Luke Maxwell

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 12–14
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +380 s
Time: 20:16
Pace: 2:02 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +404 s
Fehler: -24.2 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 110.8 s
Gap behind: 19.3 s
Result: Group 14 (1 people)
Speed: 18.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 12.15 km/h

Running and total

Run: 29:51 (4:31 / km)
Historical basis: 4:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 2 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:56 (4:05 / km)
Error: +2:55 / +0:27 / km
Overall prediction: 1:18:53
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 20:16 (2:02 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:50 (30.1 km/h)
Run: 29:51 (4:31 / km)
Total: 1:18:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 14:01
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 374.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 6 Samuel Núñez Ramírez
ESP
+264 s
+273 s
G5 / G3
 30:19
27:56
 1:19:21
Show details
Prediction details: Samuel Núñez Ramírez

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 13–14
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +264 s
Time: 18:20
Pace: 1:50 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +273 s
Fehler: -9.0 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 6 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 19.8 s
Gap behind: 5.0 s
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 23.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: 30:19 (4:36 / km)
Historical basis: 4:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:36 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 7 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 27:56 (4:14 / km)
Error: +2:23 / +0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 1:19:21
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 18:20 (1:50 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:50 (30.1 km/h)
Run: 30:19 (4:36 / km)
Total: 1:19:21
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 14:01
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 259.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 17 Mike Park
GBR
+733 s
+582 s
G5 / G15
 31:50
29:35
 1:20:52
Show details
Prediction details: Mike Park

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 15–15
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +733 s
Time: 26:09
Pace: 2:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +582 s
Fehler: 150.8 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 35.8 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 15 (1 people)
Speed: 18.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 11.86 km/h

Running and total

Run: 31:50 (4:49 / km)
Historical basis: 4:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:49 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 29:35 (4:29 / km)
Error: +2:15 / +0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 1:20:52
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 26:09 (2:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:50 (30.1 km/h)
Run: 31:50 (4:49 / km)
Total: 1:20:52
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 14:01
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 727.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 20 Paul Flynn
IRL
+451 s
+377 s
G5 / G17
 1:06:05
37:38
 1:55:07
Show details
Prediction details: Paul Flynn

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 16–16
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +451 s
Time: 21:27
Pace: 2:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +377 s
Fehler: 74.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 51.9 s
Gap behind: 73.0 s
Result: Group 17 (1 people)
Speed: 13.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 16.98 km/h

Running and total

Run: 1:06:05 (10:01 / km)
Historical basis: 10:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 10:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 37:38 (5:42 / km)
Error: +28:27 / +4:19 / km
Overall prediction: 1:55:07
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 21:27 (2:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:50 (30.1 km/h)
Run: 1:06:05 (10:01 / km)
Total: 1:55:07
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 14:01
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 446.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 1 Manuel De La Torre Barquero
ESP
+224 s
+121 s
G3 / G1
24:11
Show details
Prediction details: Manuel De La Torre Barquero

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +224 s
Time: 17:40
Pace: 1:46 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +121 s
Fehler: 103.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 19.2 s
Result: Group 1 (2 people)
Speed: 23.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 16.69 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:11 (3:40 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 17:40 (1:46 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:51 (40.5 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 14:01
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 219.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 5 Olivier Pichou
FRA
+0 s
+194 s
G0 / G2
28:54
Show details
Prediction details: Olivier Pichou

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 17–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 13:56
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +194 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 23.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 28:54 (4:23 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 13:56 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 11 Abraham Sanchez Lafuente
ESP
+0 s
+147 s
G0 / G7
32:37
Show details
Prediction details: Abraham Sanchez Lafuente

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 18–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 13:56
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +147 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 20.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 32:37 (4:57 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 13:56 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 12 Miguel Angel Cantero García
ESP
+223 s
+282 s
G3 / G9
31:38
Show details
Prediction details: Miguel Angel Cantero García

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +223 s
Time: 17:39
Pace: 1:46 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +282 s
Fehler: -59.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Gap ahead: 102.1 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 9 (1 people)
Speed: 20.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 20.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 31:38 (4:48 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 17:39 (1:46 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:51 (40.5 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 14:01
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 218.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 14 Jose Lares-Franco Salom
ESP
+524 s
+347 s
G5 / G11
31:32
Show details
Prediction details: Jose Lares-Franco Salom

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +524 s
Time: 22:40
Pace: 2:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +347 s
Fehler: 177.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 73.0 s
Gap behind: 173.0 s
Result: Group 11 (1 people)
Speed: 19.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 10.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 31:32 (4:47 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 22:40 (2:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:50 (30.1 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 14:01
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 519.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 16 Miguel Isaac Martín Bermejo
ESP
+0 s
+338 s
G0 / G13
30:34
Show details
Prediction details: Miguel Isaac Martín Bermejo

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 19–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 13:56
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +338 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 13 (1 people)
Speed: 18.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 30:34 (4:38 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 13:56 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 18 Eloi Solà Lagares
ESP
+0 s
+317 s
G0 / G12
35:17
Show details
Prediction details: Eloi Solà Lagares

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 20–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 13:56
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +317 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 12 (1 people)
Speed: 18.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 35:17 (5:21 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 13:56 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.