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60-64 Female AG

14.07.2026 Banyoles ESP
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Cross Triathlon Championships Banyoles

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 14.07.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 46/100 niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 23 früheren Rennen und 166 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 42.8 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 14.07.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 6 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 18 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 16.7 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 100.0 % · 23 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error1.0
Mean swim error16.2 s
Mean bike-speed error13.57 km/h
Correct bike groups1/6
No history0
Within the 80% range0.0 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 2 Veronique Bourdelles
FRA
+65 s
+86 s
G1 / G2
 37:02
36:58
 1:15:26
Show details
Prediction details: Veronique Bourdelles

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +65 s
Time: 18:26
Pace: 1:51 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +86 s
Fehler: -21.1 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 15 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 29.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 46.9 s
Gap behind: 131.1 s
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 15.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 14.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: 37:02 (5:37 / km)
Historical basis: 5:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:36 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.32 %, Sicherheit 14 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 36:58 (5:36 / km)
Error: +0:04 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 1:15:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:26 (1:51 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 37:19 (29.7 km/h)
Run: 37:02 (5:37 / km)
Total: 1:15:26
2 / 1 Sabine Greipel
AUT
+18 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		39:01
39:26
 1:17:25
Show details
Prediction details: Sabine Greipel

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 2–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +18 s
Time: 17:39
Pace: 1:46 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 18.0 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.57 %, Sicherheit 12 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 94 %
Speed: 29.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 46.9 s
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 15.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 14.11 km/h

Running and total

Run: 39:01 (5:55 / km)
Historical basis: 5:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 11 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 39:26 (5:58 / km)
Error: −0:25 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 1:17:25
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 17:39 (1:46 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 37:19 (29.7 km/h)
Run: 39:01 (5:55 / km)
Total: 1:17:25
3 / 4 Kath Finn
GBR
+196 s
+166 s
G2 / G3
 43:16
37:43
 1:24:13
Show details
Prediction details: Kath Finn

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 3–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +196 s
Time: 20:37
Pace: 2:04 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +166 s
Fehler: 30.0 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 16 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 131.1 s
Gap behind: 104.6 s
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 15.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 14.99 km/h

Running and total

Run: 43:16 (6:33 / km)
Historical basis: 6:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 13 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 37:43 (5:43 / km)
Error: +5:33 / +0:51 / km
Overall prediction: 1:24:13
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 20:37 (2:04 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:56 (30.1 km/h)
Run: 43:16 (6:33 / km)
Total: 1:24:13
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 18:35
Pace: 1:52 / 100 m
About 122.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +73.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 3 Sarah Myford
GBR
+301 s
+291 s
G2 / G4
 44:07
36:15
 1:25:04
Show details
Prediction details: Sarah Myford

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 4–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +301 s
Time: 22:22
Pace: 2:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +291 s
Fehler: 9.6 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.88 %, Sicherheit 9 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 104.6 s
Gap behind: 171.5 s
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 15.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 14.69 km/h

Running and total

Run: 44:07 (6:41 / km)
Historical basis: 6:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 6:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.63 %, Sicherheit 8 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 36:15 (5:30 / km)
Error: +7:52 / +1:11 / km
Overall prediction: 1:25:04
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 22:22 (2:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:56 (30.1 km/h)
Run: 44:07 (6:41 / km)
Total: 1:25:04
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 20:31
Pace: 2:03 / 100 m
About 110.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +189.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 6 Heike Frahnert
GER
+617 s
+600 s
G3 / G5
 43:40
42:08
 1:35:03
Show details
Prediction details: Heike Frahnert

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 5–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +617 s
Time: 27:38
Pace: 2:46 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +600 s
Fehler: 16.5 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -1.36 %, Sicherheit 12 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 26.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 144.4 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 14.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 11.15 km/h

Running and total

Run: 43:40 (6:37 / km)
Historical basis: 6:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 6:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 9 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 42:08 (6:23 / km)
Error: +1:32 / +0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 1:35:03
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 27:38 (2:46 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 41:06 (26.0 km/h)
Run: 43:40 (6:37 / km)
Total: 1:35:03
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 20:31
Pace: 2:03 / 100 m
About 426.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +189.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 5 Samantha Cain
GBR
+472 s
+470 s
G3 / G6
 44:24
39:33
 1:35:47
Show details
Prediction details: Samantha Cain

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 6–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +472 s
Time: 25:13
Pace: 2:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +470 s
Fehler: 2.1 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 0 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 26.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 171.5 s
Gap behind: 144.4 s
Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 14.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 12.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 44:24 (6:44 / km)
Historical basis: 6:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 6:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 39:33 (6:00 / km)
Error: +4:51 / +0:44 / km
Overall prediction: 1:35:47
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 25:13 (2:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 41:06 (26.0 km/h)
Run: 44:24 (6:44 / km)
Total: 1:35:47
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 17:45
Pace: 1:47 / 100 m
About 448.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.