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65-69 Female AG

14.07.2026 Banyoles ESP
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Cross Triathlon Championships Banyoles

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 14.07.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 62/100 mittel
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 23 früheren Rennen und 166 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 42.8 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 14.07.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 6 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 18 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 50.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 100.0 % · 23 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error0.0
Mean swim error218.0 s
Mean bike-speed error22.08 km/h
Correct bike groups0/2
No history0
Within the 80% range100.0 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 1 Angela Boczek
GER
+381 s
+0 s
G2 / G1
 40:13
39:03
 1:21:22
Show details
Prediction details: Angela Boczek

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +381 s
Time: 26:23
Pace: 2:38 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 381.0 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -2.21 %, Sicherheit 1 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 322.0 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 16.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 16.38 km/h

Running and total

Run: 40:13 (6:06 / km)
Historical basis: 5:59 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 1.89 %, Sicherheit 1 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 39:03 (5:55 / km)
Error: +1:10 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 1:21:22
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 26:23 (2:38 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:48 (32.4 km/h)
Run: 40:13 (6:06 / km)
Total: 1:21:22
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 21:07
Pace: 2:07 / 100 m
About 316.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +64.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
2 / 2 Mireille Martin
FRA
+59 s
+114 s
G1 / G2
 54:13
42:19
 1:22:59
Show details
Prediction details: Mireille Martin

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 2–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +59 s
Time: 21:01
Pace: 2:06 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +114 s
Fehler: -55.0 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 2.26 %, Sicherheit 1 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 322.0 s
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 12.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 27.77 km/h

Running and total

Run: 54:13 (8:13 / km)
Historical basis: 8:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 8:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -1.86 %, Sicherheit 1 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 42:19 (6:25 / km)
Error: +11:54 / +1:48 / km
Overall prediction: 1:22:59
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 21:01 (2:06 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:47 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 54:13 (8:13 / km)
Total: 1:22:59