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Elite Women

14.07.2026 Banyoles ESP
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Cross Triathlon Championships Banyoles

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 14.07.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 74/100 mittel
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 29 früheren Rennen und 374 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 47.2 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 14.07.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 3 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 64.7 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 64.7 % · 29 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error5.3
Mean swim error42.1 s
Mean bike-speed error15.99 km/h
Correct bike groups1/16
No history1
Within the 80% range5.9 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 12 Dieske Kruisselbrink
NED
+0 s
+165 s
G1 / G10
 25:12
26:31
 52:54
Show details
Prediction details: Dieske Kruisselbrink

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 3–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 13:47
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +165 s
Fehler: -165.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 16.2 s
Result: Group 10 (1 people)
Speed: 20.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 20.50 km/h

Running and total

Run: 25:12 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:49 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:31 (4:01 / km)
Error: −1:19 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 52:54
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 13:47 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:42 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 25:12 (3:49 / km)
Total: 52:54
2 / 1 Marina Muñoz Hernando
ESP
+34 s
+0 s
G3 / G1
 24:37
25:27
 54:02
Show details
Prediction details: Marina Muñoz Hernando

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 3–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 14:21
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 34.0 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur 0.40 %, Sicherheit 38 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.9 s
Gap behind: 14.9 s
Result: Group 1 (2 people)
Speed: 22.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 16.22 km/h

Running and total

Run: 24:37 (3:44 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 10
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 2.27 %, Sicherheit 24 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 25:27 (3:51 / km)
Error: −0:50 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 54:02
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 14:21 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:51 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 24:37 (3:44 / km)
Total: 54:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 13:50
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 31.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 10 Pauline Landron
FRA
+22 s
+27 s
G3 / G8
 24:46
27:43
 54:11
Show details
Prediction details: Pauline Landron

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 3–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 14:09
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: -4.9 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 7.0 s
Result: Group 8 (2 people)
Speed: 19.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 19.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: 24:46 (3:45 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 5
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 27:43 (4:12 / km)
Error: −2:57 / −0:27 / km
Overall prediction: 54:11
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 14:09 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:51 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 24:46 (3:45 / km)
Total: 54:11
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 13:50
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 19.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 11 Lucía Piñón Pereira
ESP
+29 s
+27 s
G3 / G7
 28:19
29:00
 57:44
Show details
Prediction details: Lucía Piñón Pereira

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 5–10
Top-10 probability: 93 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 14:16
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: 2.1 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.0 s
Gap behind: 4.9 s
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 20.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 18.74 km/h

Running and total

Run: 28:19 (4:17 / km)
Historical basis: 4:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -1.08 %, Sicherheit 3 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 29:00 (4:24 / km)
Error: −0:41 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 57:44
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 14:16 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:51 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 28:19 (4:17 / km)
Total: 57:44
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 13:50
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 26.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 3 Emma Ducreux
FRA
+49 s
+5 s
G4 / G2
 28:04
27:59
 58:31
Show details
Prediction details: Emma Ducreux

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 6–10
Top-10 probability: 91 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 14:36
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 44.1 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 26 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 22.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 16.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 28:04 (4:15 / km)
Historical basis: 4:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 1.56 %, Sicherheit 15 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 27:59 (4:14 / km)
Error: +0:05 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 58:31
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 14:36 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:32 (38.1 km/h)
Run: 28:04 (4:15 / km)
Total: 58:31
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 13:50
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 46.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 6 Beatriz Ferreira
POR
+21 s
+155 s
G3 / G6
 30:35
26:51
 1:00:00
Show details
Prediction details: Beatriz Ferreira

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 7–10
Top-10 probability: 90 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 14:08
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +155 s
Fehler: -134.3 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.47 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.5 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 6 (3 people)
Speed: 21.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 17.58 km/h

Running and total

Run: 30:35 (4:38 / km)
Historical basis: 4:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:06 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.85 %, Sicherheit 3 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:51 (4:04 / km)
Error: +3:44 / +0:34 / km
Overall prediction: 1:00:00
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 14:08 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:51 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 30:35 (4:38 / km)
Total: 1:00:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 13:50
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 17.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 5 Sofiya Pryyma
UKR
+49 s
+21 s
G4 / G3
 30:15
27:13
 1:00:42
Show details
Prediction details: Sofiya Pryyma

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 8–13
Top-10 probability: 64 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 14:36
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 27.9 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 24 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 14.9 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 21.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 16.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: 30:15 (4:35 / km)
Historical basis: 4:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.75 %, Sicherheit 15 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 27:13 (4:07 / km)
Error: +3:02 / +0:28 / km
Overall prediction: 1:00:42
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 14:36 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:32 (38.1 km/h)
Run: 30:15 (4:35 / km)
Total: 1:00:42
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 13:50
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 46 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 9 Romy Spoelder
NED
+50 s
+26 s
G4 / G6
 30:29
28:35
 1:00:56
Show details
Prediction details: Romy Spoelder

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 8–14
Top-10 probability: 39 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 14:37
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: 24.1 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 10 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 4.9 s
Result: Group 6 (3 people)
Speed: 20.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 17.55 km/h

Running and total

Run: 30:29 (4:37 / km)
Historical basis: 4:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:36 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.77 %, Sicherheit 9 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 28:35 (4:20 / km)
Error: +1:54 / +0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 1:00:56
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 14:37 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:32 (38.1 km/h)
Run: 30:29 (4:37 / km)
Total: 1:00:56
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 13:50
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 47.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 7 Elsa Pena Vicente
ESP
+16 s
+20 s
G2 / G5
 33:56
27:51
 1:02:53
Show details
Prediction details: Elsa Pena Vicente

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 10–14
Top-10 probability: 14 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 14:03
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: -3.8 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 39 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 16.2 s
Gap behind: 4.5 s
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 20.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 18.57 km/h

Running and total

Run: 33:56 (5:09 / km)
Historical basis: 5:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -1.10 %, Sicherheit 20 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 27:51 (4:13 / km)
Error: +6:05 / +0:55 / km
Overall prediction: 1:02:53
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 14:03 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:41 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 33:56 (5:09 / km)
Total: 1:02:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 13:50
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 13.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 2 Alizee Paties
FRA
+66 s
+24 s
G5 / G1
 27:04
26:37
 1:03:25
Show details
Prediction details: Alizee Paties

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 7–12
Top-10 probability: 63 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +66 s
Time: 14:53
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: 41.5 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.27 %, Sicherheit 20 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 10.5 s
Gap behind: 4.0 s
Result: Group 1 (2 people)
Speed: 23.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 9.71 km/h

Running and total

Run: 27:04 (4:06 / km)
Historical basis: 4:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.55 %, Sicherheit 14 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:37 (4:02 / km)
Error: +0:27 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 1:03:25
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 14:53 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:20 (32.7 km/h)
Run: 27:04 (4:06 / km)
Total: 1:03:25
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 13:50
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 62.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 4 Mia Padmanabhan
GBR
+70 s
+31 s
G5 / G6
 28:28
25:10
 1:04:49
Show details
Prediction details: Mia Padmanabhan

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 9–13
Top-10 probability: 39 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +70 s
Time: 14:57
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 38.5 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 25 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.0 s
Gap behind: 15.0 s
Result: Group 6 (3 people)
Speed: 20.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 12.07 km/h

Running and total

Run: 28:28 (4:19 / km)
Historical basis: 4:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:49 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.47 %, Sicherheit 18 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 25:10 (3:49 / km)
Error: +3:18 / +0:30 / km
Overall prediction: 1:04:49
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 14:57 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:20 (32.7 km/h)
Run: 28:28 (4:19 / km)
Total: 1:04:49
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 13:50
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 66.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 15 Celia Calderón Santamaría
ESP
+85 s
+54 s
G5 / G11
 29:03
27:53
 1:05:24
Show details
Prediction details: Celia Calderón Santamaría

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 11–14
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +85 s
Time: 15:12
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +54 s
Fehler: 30.5 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 25 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 15.0 s
Gap behind: 23.7 s
Result: Group 11 (1 people)
Speed: 19.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 13.63 km/h

Running and total

Run: 29:03 (4:24 / km)
Historical basis: 4:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.47 %, Sicherheit 18 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 27:53 (4:13 / km)
Error: +1:10 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 1:05:24
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 15:12 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:20 (32.7 km/h)
Run: 29:03 (4:24 / km)
Total: 1:05:24
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 13:50
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 81.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 14 Katja Krenn
AUT
+108 s
+66 s
G5 / G9
 34:39
29:16
 1:11:00
Show details
Prediction details: Katja Krenn

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 15–15
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +108 s
Time: 15:35
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +66 s
Fehler: 42.2 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 7 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 23.7 s
Gap behind: 72.8 s
Result: Group 9 (2 people)
Speed: 19.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 12.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: 34:39 (5:15 / km)
Historical basis: 5:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:57 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.61 %, Sicherheit 7 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 29:16 (4:26 / km)
Error: +5:23 / +0:49 / km
Overall prediction: 1:11:00
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 15:35 (1:34 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:20 (32.7 km/h)
Run: 34:39 (5:15 / km)
Total: 1:11:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 13:50
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 105.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 17 Harriet Haywood
GBR
+220 s
+231 s
G6 / G13
 36:10
35:53
 1:14:06
Show details
Prediction details: Harriet Haywood

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 16–16
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +220 s
Time: 17:27
Pace: 1:45 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +231 s
Fehler: -11.3 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 13, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 38.7 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 13 (1 people)
Speed: 17.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 14.96 km/h

Running and total

Run: 36:10 (5:29 / km)
Historical basis: 5:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 35:53 (5:26 / km)
Error: +0:17 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 1:14:06
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 17:27 (1:45 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:17 (32.9 km/h)
Run: 36:10 (5:29 / km)
Total: 1:14:06
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 13:50
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 216.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 8 Paula Leupold
GER
+0 s
+163 s
G0 / G4
28:32
Show details
Prediction details: Paula Leupold

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 17–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 13:47
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +163 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (2 people)
Speed: 21.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 28:32 (4:19 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 13:47 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 13 Giulia Saiu
ITA
+55 s
+26 s
G4 / G4
correct
32:20
Show details
Prediction details: Giulia Saiu

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +55 s
Time: 14:42
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: 29.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.9 s
Gap behind: 10.5 s
Result: Group 4 (2 people)
Speed: 20.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 17.17 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 32:20 (4:54 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 14:42 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:32 (38.1 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 13:50
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 52.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 16 Ladina Scherzinger
SUI
+181 s
+221 s
G5 / G12
30:31
Show details
Prediction details: Ladina Scherzinger

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +181 s
Time: 16:48
Pace: 1:41 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +221 s
Fehler: -40.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 72.8 s
Gap behind: 38.7 s
Result: Group 12 (1 people)
Speed: 18.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 14.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 30:31 (4:37 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 16:48 (1:41 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:20 (32.7 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 13:50
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 178.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.