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Elite Women

19.06.2026 Schwarzsee Kitzbühel AUT
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Cup Kitzbühel

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 19.06.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 70/100 mittel
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 16 früheren Rennen und 316 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 28.1 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 13.06.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 6 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 75.8 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 97.0 % · 16 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error6.2
Mean swim error14.6 s
Mean bike-speed error2.70 km/h
Correct bike groups11/31
No history0
Within the 80% range48.5 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 1 Julia Bröcker
GER
+26 s
+1 s
G1 / G1
correct 		9:55
10:08
 27:09
Show details
Prediction details: Julia Bröcker

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–8
Top-10 probability: 93 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 6:52
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 25.0 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 110 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 45 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 1 (4 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: 9:55 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: −0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 99 Duelle, Korrektur 0.69 %, Sicherheit 47 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:08 (3:23 / km)
Error: −0:13 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 27:09
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:52 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 9:55 (3:18 / km)
Total: 27:09
2 / 8 Zuzanna Sudak
POL
+25 s
+19 s
G1 / G2
 10:01
10:35
 27:15
Show details
Prediction details: Zuzanna Sudak

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 1–5
Top-10 probability: 98 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 6:51
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 6.2 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 97 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 50 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.54 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:01 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.44 %, Sicherheit 42 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:35 (3:32 / km)
Error: −0:34 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 27:15
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:51 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 10:01 (3:20 / km)
Total: 27:15
3 / 2 Matylda Wojakiewicz
POL
+21 s
+2 s
G1 / G1
correct 		10:09
10:27
 27:23
Show details
Prediction details: Matylda Wojakiewicz

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 1–11
Top-10 probability: 88 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 6:47
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 18.6 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 55 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 3.4 s
Result: Group 1 (4 people)
Speed: 37.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.30 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:09 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 75 Duelle, Korrektur 1.48 %, Sicherheit 78 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:27 (3:29 / km)
Error: −0:18 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 27:23
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:47 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 10:09 (3:23 / km)
Total: 27:23
4 / 11 Celia Merle
FRA
+11 s
+22 s
G1 / G2
 10:15
10:51
 27:29
Show details
Prediction details: Celia Merle

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 1–9
Top-10 probability: 91 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +11 s
Time: 6:37
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: -11.4 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 75 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 79 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.33 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:15 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 68 Duelle, Korrektur 1.42 %, Sicherheit 69 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:51 (3:37 / km)
Error: −0:36 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 27:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:37 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 10:15 (3:25 / km)
Total: 27:29
5 / 3 Anabel Knoll
GER
+12 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		10:17
10:34
 27:31
Show details
Prediction details: Anabel Knoll

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 2–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 6:38
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 11.7 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 63 Duelle, Korrektur 0.44 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 79 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 1 (4 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.33 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:17 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 62 Duelle, Korrektur 0.88 %, Sicherheit 70 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:34 (3:31 / km)
Error: −0:17 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 27:31
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:38 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 10:17 (3:26 / km)
Total: 27:31
6 / 12 Jule Behrens
GER
+29 s
+19 s
G1 / G2
 10:17
10:43
 27:31
Show details
Prediction details: Jule Behrens

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 3–19
Top-10 probability: 71 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 6:55
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 9.6 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 67 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 94 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 44 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.54 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:17 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur -0.47 %, Sicherheit 44 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:43 (3:34 / km)
Error: −0:26 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 27:31
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:55 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 10:17 (3:26 / km)
Total: 27:31
7 / 14 Magdalena Sudak
POL
+16 s
+4 s
G1 / G1
correct 		10:32
11:38
 27:46
Show details
Prediction details: Magdalena Sudak

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 5–10
Top-10 probability: 93 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 6:42
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +4 s
Fehler: 12.0 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 79 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 75 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Gap ahead: 3.0 s
Gap behind: 3.2 s
Result: Group 1 (4 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.19 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:32 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 70 Duelle, Korrektur 0.49 %, Sicherheit 59 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:38 (3:53 / km)
Error: −1:06 / −0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 27:46
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:42 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 10:32 (3:31 / km)
Total: 27:46
8 / 24 Hasse Fleerackers
BEL
+13 s
+23 s
G1 / G3
 10:46
11:28
 28:00
Show details
Prediction details: Hasse Fleerackers

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 7–16
Top-10 probability: 58 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +13 s
Time: 6:39
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: -10.0 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 73 Duelle, Korrektur 0.86 %, Sicherheit 35 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 61 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 3.0 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.63 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:46 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 70 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 22 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:28 (3:49 / km)
Error: −0:42 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 28:00
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:39 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 10:46 (3:35 / km)
Total: 28:00
9 / 5 Nele Dequae
BEL
+29 s
+20 s
G1 / G2
 10:46
10:26
 28:00
Show details
Prediction details: Nele Dequae

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 6–18
Top-10 probability: 39 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 6:55
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 9.3 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 82 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 87 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 44 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.58 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:46 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur 0.42 %, Sicherheit 45 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:26 (3:29 / km)
Error: +0:20 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 28:00
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:55 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 10:46 (3:35 / km)
Total: 28:00
10 / 17 Matilda Offord
AUS
+30 s
+22 s
G1 / G3
 10:49
10:34
 28:03
Show details
Prediction details: Matilda Offord

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 5–21
Top-10 probability: 51 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 6:56
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 8.4 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 34 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 4.9 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 35.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.76 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:49 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:34 (3:31 / km)
Error: +0:15 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 28:03
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:56 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 10:49 (3:36 / km)
Total: 28:03
11 / 19 Noémi Van der Kaaij
SUI
+28 s
+22 s
G1 / G2
 10:54
11:55
 28:08
Show details
Prediction details: Noémi Van der Kaaij

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 8–19
Top-10 probability: 26 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 6:54
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 5.7 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 100 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 38 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.37 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:54 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 99 Duelle, Korrektur 0.65 %, Sicherheit 66 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:55 (3:58 / km)
Error: −1:01 / −0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 28:08
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:54 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 10:54 (3:38 / km)
Total: 28:08
12 / 13 Hanna Röser
AUT
+24 s
+18 s
G1 / G2
 11:02
11:08
 28:16
Show details
Prediction details: Hanna Röser

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 10–17
Top-10 probability: 13 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 6:50
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 6.0 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 10 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 49 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Gap ahead: 3.4 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.47 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:02 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.48 %, Sicherheit 5 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:08 (3:43 / km)
Error: −0:06 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 28:16
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 6:50 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 11:02 (3:41 / km)
Total: 28:16
13 / 22 Alice Alessandri
ITA
+25 s
+27 s
G1 / G3
 11:02
11:12
 28:16
Show details
Prediction details: Alice Alessandri

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 10–18
Top-10 probability: 14 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 6:51
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: -2.5 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur -0.44 %, Sicherheit 10 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 48 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.69 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:02 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: −0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 7 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:12 (3:44 / km)
Error: −0:10 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 28:16
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:51 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 11:02 (3:41 / km)
Total: 28:16
14 / 18 Kathrin Ritter
AUT
+19 s
+12 s
G1 / G2
 11:08
11:49
 28:22
Show details
Prediction details: Kathrin Ritter

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 11–18
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 6:45
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 7.2 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 42 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 60 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.51 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:08 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:41 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur 0.98 %, Sicherheit 21 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:49 (3:56 / km)
Error: −0:41 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 28:22
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:45 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 11:08 (3:43 / km)
Total: 28:22
15 / 7 Chiara Göttler
GER
+38 s
+17 s
G2 / G2
correct 		10:29
10:26
 28:31
Show details
Prediction details: Chiara Göttler

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 2–23
Top-10 probability: 55 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 7:04
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 20.6 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 30 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.47 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:29 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur 0.58 %, Sicherheit 57 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:26 (3:29 / km)
Error: +0:03 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 28:31
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:04 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:15 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 10:29 (3:30 / km)
Total: 28:31
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:59
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 5.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 23 Arianna Chiorboli
ITA
+28 s
+22 s
G1 / G3
 11:26
11:19
 28:40
Show details
Prediction details: Arianna Chiorboli

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 12–25
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 6:54
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 6.4 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 52 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 36 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 35.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.76 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:26 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -0.42 %, Sicherheit 32 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:19 (3:46 / km)
Error: +0:07 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 28:40
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:54 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 11:26 (3:49 / km)
Total: 28:40
17 / 28 Amélie Gorka
SUI
+19 s
+20 s
G1 / G3
 11:31
12:18
 28:45
Show details
Prediction details: Amélie Gorka

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 13–23
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 6:45
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: -0.8 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 66 Duelle, Korrektur 0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 56 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Gap ahead: 3.2 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 35.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.85 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:31 (3:50 / km)
Historical basis: 3:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 12
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 66 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 62 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:18 (4:06 / km)
Error: −0:47 / −0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 28:45
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:45 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 11:31 (3:50 / km)
Total: 28:45
18 / 33 Eline Debecker
BEL
+20 s
+22 s
G1 / G5
 11:40
12:43
 28:54
Show details
Prediction details: Eline Debecker

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 18–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 33
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 6:46
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: -2.0 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 56 Duelle, Korrektur -0.35 %, Sicherheit 20 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 50 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 5 (3 people)
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.75 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:40 (3:53 / km)
Historical basis: 3:55 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:55 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur -0.85 %, Sicherheit 16 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:43 (4:14 / km)
Error: −1:03 / −0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 28:54
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:46 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:44 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 11:40 (3:53 / km)
Total: 28:54
19 / 6 Alzbeta Hruskova
CZE
+37 s
+14 s
G2 / G2
correct 		10:53
10:27
 28:55
Show details
Prediction details: Alzbeta Hruskova

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 7–23
Top-10 probability: 28 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 7:03
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 22.8 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 51 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 30 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.50 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:53 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur 1.18 %, Sicherheit 26 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:27 (3:29 / km)
Error: +0:26 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 28:55
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:03 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:15 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 10:53 (3:38 / km)
Total: 28:55
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:59
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 4.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 20 Sam McInnes
GBR
+37 s
+31 s
G2 / G3
 10:57
10:59
 28:59
Show details
Prediction details: Sam McInnes

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 11–22
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 20
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 7:03
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 5.6 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 26 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.26 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:57 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 12 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:59 (3:40 / km)
Error: −0:02 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 28:59
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:03 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:15 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 10:57 (3:39 / km)
Total: 28:59
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:59
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 4.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 16 Isabel Sterr
GER
+39 s
+7 s
G2 / G2
correct 		11:01
11:23
 29:03
Show details
Prediction details: Isabel Sterr

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 5–25
Top-10 probability: 28 %
Result: 16
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 7:05
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +7 s
Fehler: 31.9 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 63 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 30 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:01 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 63 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 59 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:23 (3:48 / km)
Error: −0:22 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 29:03
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:05 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:15 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 11:01 (3:40 / km)
Total: 29:03
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:59
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 6.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 15 Leann Dietzel
GER
+40 s
+24 s
G2 / G2
correct 		11:06
11:15
 29:08
Show details
Prediction details: Leann Dietzel

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 8–25
Top-10 probability: 14 %
Result: 15
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 7:06
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: 15.6 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 68 Duelle, Korrektur -1.22 %, Sicherheit 85 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.33 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:06 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 66 Duelle, Korrektur 0.53 %, Sicherheit 40 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:15 (3:45 / km)
Error: −0:09 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 29:08
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:06 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:15 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 11:06 (3:42 / km)
Total: 29:08
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:59
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 7.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 34 Alma Bergqvist
SWE
+40 s
+41 s
G2 / G5
 11:10
13:46
 29:12
Show details
Prediction details: Alma Bergqvist

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 16–26
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 34
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 7:06
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: -0.7 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.98 %, Sicherheit 30 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 20 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 5 (3 people)
Speed: 35.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.97 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:10 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 15 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 13:46 (4:35 / km)
Error: −2:36 / −0:52 / km
Overall prediction: 29:12
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:06 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:15 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 11:10 (3:43 / km)
Total: 29:12
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:58
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 7.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 27 Mirjam Huber
GER
+36 s
+17 s
G2 / G3
 11:18
11:51
 29:20
Show details
Prediction details: Mirjam Huber

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 7–25
Top-10 probability: 16 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 7:02
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 18.5 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 0.51 %, Sicherheit 75 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.69 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:18 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 0.63 %, Sicherheit 44 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:51 (3:57 / km)
Error: −0:33 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 29:20
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:02 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:15 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 11:18 (3:46 / km)
Total: 29:20
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:59
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 25 Leonie Hauser
AUT
+46 s
+57 s
G2 / G3
 12:19
11:30
 30:21
Show details
Prediction details: Leonie Hauser

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 24–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 7:12
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +57 s
Fehler: -10.7 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 63 Duelle, Korrektur -0.42 %, Sicherheit 71 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 5.6 s
Gap behind: 10.5 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 36.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.78 km/h

Running and total

Run: 12:19 (4:06 / km)
Historical basis: 4:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 63 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 44 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:30 (3:50 / km)
Error: +0:49 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 30:21
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:12 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:15 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 12:19 (4:06 / km)
Total: 30:21
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:58
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 13.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 21 Anna Zehnder
SUI
+64 s
+58 s
G4 / G3
 10:27
10:56
 30:31
Show details
Prediction details: Anna Zehnder

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 12–25
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 21
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +64 s
Time: 7:30
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +58 s
Fehler: 5.6 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 71 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Gap ahead: 6.8 s
Gap behind: 4.6 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 36.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:27 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 11
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 69 Duelle, Korrektur 0.44 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:56 (3:39 / km)
Error: −0:29 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 30:31
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:30 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:55 (35.5 km/h)
Run: 10:27 (3:29 / km)
Total: 30:31
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:59
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 31.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 26 Sara Balletta
ITA
+68 s
+54 s
G4 / G3
 11:28
11:27
 31:32
Show details
Prediction details: Sara Balletta

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 23–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +68 s
Time: 7:34
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +54 s
Fehler: 14.2 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -1.39 %, Sicherheit 34 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Gap ahead: 4.6 s
Gap behind: 51.8 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 36.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.71 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:28 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:49 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 20 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:27 (3:49 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 31:32
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:34 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:55 (35.5 km/h)
Run: 11:28 (3:49 / km)
Total: 31:32
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:58
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 35.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 32 Francesca Zenklusen
SUI
+41 s
+18 s
G2 / G4
 13:35
12:45
 31:37
Show details
Prediction details: Francesca Zenklusen

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 27–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 32
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 7:07
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 22.7 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur -0.58 %, Sicherheit 10 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 5.6 s
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 35.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: 13:35 (4:32 / km)
Historical basis: 4:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:36 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -1.70 %, Sicherheit 8 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:45 (4:15 / km)
Error: +0:50 / +0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 31:37
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:07 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:15 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 13:35 (4:32 / km)
Total: 31:37
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:59
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 8.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 / 31 Tereza Mazlová
CZE
+120 s
+38 s
G5 / G5
correct 		11:24
12:32
 32:33
Show details
Prediction details: Tereza Mazlová

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 28–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 31
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +120 s
Time: 8:26
Pace: 1:41 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: 82.0 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -1.37 %, Sicherheit 18 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 51.8 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (3 people)
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.17 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:24 (3:48 / km)
Historical basis: 3:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 9 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:32 (4:11 / km)
Error: −1:08 / −0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 32:33
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:26 (1:41 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:09 (35.1 km/h)
Run: 11:24 (3:48 / km)
Total: 32:33
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:59
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 87.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
30 / 29 Rachele Laschi
ITA
+57 s
+31 s
G3 / G3
correct 		14:44
12:29
 34:05
Show details
Prediction details: Rachele Laschi

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 30–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +57 s
Time: 7:23
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 25.8 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 11 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Gap ahead: 10.5 s
Gap behind: 6.8 s
Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.95 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:44 (4:55 / km)
Historical basis: 5:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 11 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:29 (4:10 / km)
Error: +2:15 / +0:45 / km
Overall prediction: 34:05
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:23 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:24 (36.5 km/h)
Run: 14:44 (4:55 / km)
Total: 34:05
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:59
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 24.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
31 / 10 Sophie Gießmann
GER
+35 s
+12 s
G2 / G2
correct 		20:23
10:42
 38:25
Show details
Prediction details: Sophie Gießmann

Placement

Prediction: 31
80% range: 31–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 7:01
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 23.3 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur -0.29 %, Sicherheit 77 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 4.9 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:23 (6:48 / km)
Historical basis: 6:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 6:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 45 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:42 (3:34 / km)
Error: +9:41 / +3:14 / km
Overall prediction: 38:25
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:01 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:15 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 20:23 (6:48 / km)
Total: 38:25
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:58
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 2.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 4 Beatrice Mallozzi
ITA
+24 s
 Bike DNF 10:01
Show details
Prediction details: Beatrice Mallozzi

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 32–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 6:50
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 47 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 10:01 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 11
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 21 %
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:50 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 10:01 (3:20 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 9 Kjara Reckmann
GER
+16 s
 Bike DNF 11:49
Show details
Prediction details: Kjara Reckmann

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 33–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 6:42
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.39 %, Sicherheit 74 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 11:49 (3:56 / km)
Historical basis: 3:59 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:59 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur -0.98 %, Sicherheit 33 %
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:42 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 11:49 (3:56 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.