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Prediction comparison

Final Women

20.06.2026 Schwarzsee Kitzbühel AUT
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Cup Kitzbühel

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 20.06.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 91/100 hoch
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 74 früheren Rennen und 1246 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 45.4 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 20.06.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 82.8 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 100.0 % · 74 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error3.5
Mean swim error8.9 s
Mean bike-speed error2.48 km/h
Correct bike groups17/27
No history0
Within the 80% range69.0 %
Place
Prediction / result
Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result
Bike group
Prediction / result
Run
Prediction / result
Overall prediction Details
1 / 1 Julia Bröcker
GER
+27 s
+1 s
G2 / G1
10:09
10:08
27:40
Show details
Prediction details: Julia Bröcker

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–11
Top-10 probability: 84 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 7:11
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 25.6 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 147 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 29 %
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s

Result: Group 1 (4 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.99 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:09 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 135 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 10:08 (3:23 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 27:40
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:11 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:55 (39.7 km/h)
Run: 10:09 (3:23 / km)
Total: 27:40
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:58
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 13.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +13.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
2 / 6 Alzbeta Hruskova
CZE
+16 s
+14 s
G2 / G2
correct
10:28
10:27
27:59
Show details
Prediction details: Alzbeta Hruskova

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 2–6
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 7:00
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 1.7 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 90 Duelle, Korrektur 0.50 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 38 %
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s

Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.31 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:28 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 84 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 10:27 (3:29 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 27:59
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:00 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:55 (39.7 km/h)
Run: 10:28 (3:29 / km)
Total: 27:59
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:58
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 2.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +13.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 5 Nele Dequae
BEL
+25 s
+20 s
G2 / G2
correct
10:28
10:26
27:59
Show details
Prediction details: Nele Dequae

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 2–12
Top-10 probability: 85 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 7:09
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 4.9 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 113 Duelle, Korrektur 0.44 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 26 %
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s

Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.17 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:28 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 105 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 10:26 (3:29 / km)
Error: +0:02 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 27:59
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:09 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:55 (39.7 km/h)
Run: 10:28 (3:29 / km)
Total: 27:59
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:57
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 11.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +13.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 7 Chiara Göttler
GER
+34 s
+17 s
G2 / G2
correct
10:28
10:26
27:59
Show details
Prediction details: Chiara Göttler

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 4–17
Top-10 probability: 61 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 7:18
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 16.6 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur -0.64 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s

Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.27 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:28 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 73 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 10:26 (3:29 / km)
Error: +0:02 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 27:59
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:18 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:55 (39.7 km/h)
Run: 10:28 (3:29 / km)
Total: 27:59
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:58
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 20.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +13.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 2 Matylda Wojakiewicz
POL
+18 s
+2 s
G2 / G1
10:29
10:27
28:00
Show details
Prediction details: Matylda Wojakiewicz

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 2–10
Top-10 probability: 90 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +18 s
Time: 7:02
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 16.1 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 110 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 39 %
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 2.1 s

Result: Group 1 (4 people)
Speed: 37.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.88 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:29 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 110 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 10:27 (3:29 / km)
Error: +0:02 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 28:00
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:02 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:55 (39.7 km/h)
Run: 10:29 (3:30 / km)
Total: 28:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:57
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 4.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +13.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 3 Anabel Knoll
GER
+8 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct
10:34
10:34
28:02
Show details
Prediction details: Anabel Knoll

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 1–6
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +8 s
Time: 6:52
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 8.1 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 101 Duelle, Korrektur 0.44 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 79 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 3.6 s
Gap behind: 7.5 s

Result: Group 1 (4 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.96 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:34 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 100 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 10:34 (3:31 / km)
Error: +0:00 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 28:02
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:52 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:20 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 10:34 (3:31 / km)
Total: 28:02
7 / 17 Matilda Offord
AUS
+33 s
+22 s
G2 / G3
10:34
10:34
28:05
Show details
Prediction details: Matilda Offord

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 5–15
Top-10 probability: 58 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 7:17
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 10.5 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur -0.91 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s

Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 35.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:34 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 10:34 (3:31 / km)
Error: +0:00 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 28:05
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:17 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:55 (39.7 km/h)
Run: 10:34 (3:31 / km)
Total: 28:05
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:58
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 19.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +13.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 8 Zuzanna Sudak
POL
+20 s
+19 s
G2 / G2
correct
10:36
10:35
28:07
Show details
Prediction details: Zuzanna Sudak

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 2–10
Top-10 probability: 93 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 7:04
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 1.2 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 88 Duelle, Korrektur 1.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.1 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s

Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.13 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:36 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 83 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 10:35 (3:32 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 28:07
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:04 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:55 (39.7 km/h)
Run: 10:36 (3:32 / km)
Total: 28:07
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:57
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +13.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 12 Jule Behrens
GER
+29 s
+19 s
G2 / G2
correct
10:43
10:43
28:14
Show details
Prediction details: Jule Behrens

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 4–19
Top-10 probability: 56 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 7:13
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 9.6 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 93 Duelle, Korrektur 0.51 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 33 %
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 3.4 s

Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.13 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:43 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 86 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 10:43 (3:34 / km)
Error: +0:00 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 28:14
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:13 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:55 (39.7 km/h)
Run: 10:43 (3:34 / km)
Total: 28:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
10 / 11 Celia Merle
FRA
+16 s
+22 s
G2 / G2
correct
10:51
10:51
28:22
Show details
Prediction details: Celia Merle

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 4–12
Top-10 probability: 83 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 7:00
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: -6.0 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 112 Duelle, Korrektur 1.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 44 %
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s

Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.92 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:51 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 93 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 10:51 (3:37 / km)
Error: +0:00 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 28:22
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:00 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:55 (39.7 km/h)
Run: 10:51 (3:37 / km)
Total: 28:22
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:57
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 2.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +13.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 20 Sam McInnes
GBR
+36 s
+31 s
G2 / G3
11:00
10:59
28:31
Show details
Prediction details: Sam McInnes

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 10–21
Top-10 probability: 14 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 7:20
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 4.5 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s

Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.06 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:00 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 10:59 (3:40 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 28:31
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:20 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:55 (39.7 km/h)
Run: 11:00 (3:40 / km)
Total: 28:31
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:58
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 22.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +13.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 14 Magdalena Sudak
POL
+5 s
+4 s
G1 / G1
correct
11:07
11:38
28:35
Show details
Prediction details: Magdalena Sudak

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 6–11
Top-10 probability: 79 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +5 s
Time: 6:49
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +4 s
Fehler: 0.5 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 117 Duelle, Korrektur 0.81 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 76 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 3.6 s

Result: Group 1 (4 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.81 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:07 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:42 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 108 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 11:38 (3:53 / km)
Error: −0:31 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 28:35
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:49 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:20 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 11:07 (3:42 / km)
Total: 28:35
13 / 13 Hanna Röser
AUT
+16 s
+18 s
G2 / G2
correct
11:09
11:08
28:40
Show details
Prediction details: Hanna Röser

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 8–14
Top-10 probability: 43 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 7:00
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: -2.4 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -0.68 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 7.5 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s

Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.06 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:09 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 11:08 (3:43 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 28:40
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:00 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:55 (39.7 km/h)
Run: 11:09 (3:43 / km)
Total: 28:40
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:58
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 2.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +13.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 22 Alice Alessandri
ITA
+32 s
+27 s
G2 / G3
11:12
11:12
28:43
Show details
Prediction details: Alice Alessandri

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 12–21
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 7:16
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: 5.3 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur -0.92 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s

Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.28 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:12 (3:44 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 71 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 11:12 (3:44 / km)
Error: +0:00 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 28:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:16 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:55 (39.7 km/h)
Run: 11:12 (3:44 / km)
Total: 28:43
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:57
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 19.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +13.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 15 Leann Dietzel
GER
+37 s
+24 s
G2 / G2
correct
11:15
11:15
28:46
Show details
Prediction details: Leann Dietzel

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 14–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 7:21
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: 12.7 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 104 Duelle, Korrektur -0.73 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 2.7 s

Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.13 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:15 (3:45 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:45 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 101 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 11:15 (3:45 / km)
Error: +0:00 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 28:46
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:21 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:55 (39.7 km/h)
Run: 11:15 (3:45 / km)
Total: 28:46
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:58
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 23.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +13.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 16 Isabel Sterr
GER
+20 s
+7 s
G2 / G2
correct
11:22
11:23
28:53
Show details
Prediction details: Isabel Sterr

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 9–20
Top-10 probability: 18 %
Result: 16
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 7:04
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +7 s
Fehler: 13.4 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 100 Duelle, Korrektur 0.42 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 35 %
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s

Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.41 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:22 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 99 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 11:23 (3:48 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 28:53
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:04 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:55 (39.7 km/h)
Run: 11:22 (3:47 / km)
Total: 28:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:57
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 7.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +13.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 10 Sophie Gießmann
GER
+32 s
+12 s
G2 / G2
correct
11:23
10:42
28:54
Show details
Prediction details: Sophie Gießmann

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 3–24
Top-10 probability: 21 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 7:16
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 20.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 81 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 23 %
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 3.4 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s

Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.41 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:23 (3:48 / km)
Historical basis: 3:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 80 Duelle, Korrektur -0.89 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 10:42 (3:34 / km)
Error: +0:41 / +0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 28:54
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:16 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:55 (39.7 km/h)
Run: 11:23 (3:48 / km)
Total: 28:54
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:57
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 18.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +13.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 24 Hasse Fleerackers
BEL
+18 s
+23 s
G2 / G3
11:27
11:28
28:58
Show details
Prediction details: Hasse Fleerackers

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 11–20
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +18 s
Time: 7:02
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: -5.5 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 104 Duelle, Korrektur 0.42 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s

Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.22 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:27 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:49 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 101 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 11:28 (3:49 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 28:58
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:02 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:55 (39.7 km/h)
Run: 11:27 (3:49 / km)
Total: 28:58
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:58
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 4.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +13.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 23 Arianna Chiorboli
ITA
+35 s
+22 s
G2 / G3
11:28
11:19
28:59
Show details
Prediction details: Arianna Chiorboli

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 13–24
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 7:19
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 13.3 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur -0.76 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s

Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 35.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:28 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 56 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 11:19 (3:46 / km)
Error: +0:09 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 28:59
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:19 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:55 (39.7 km/h)
Run: 11:28 (3:49 / km)
Total: 28:59
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:57
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 21.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +13.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 18 Kathrin Ritter
AUT
+21 s
+12 s
G2 / G2
correct
11:49
11:49
29:20
Show details
Prediction details: Kathrin Ritter

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 13–23
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 18
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 7:05
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 9.4 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 70 Duelle, Korrektur -0.63 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 25 %
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 2.6 s

Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:49 (3:56 / km)
Historical basis: 3:56 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:41 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 70 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 11:49 (3:56 / km)
Error: +0:00 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 29:20
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:05 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:55 (39.7 km/h)
Run: 11:49 (3:56 / km)
Total: 29:20
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:57
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 8.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +13.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 27 Mirjam Huber
GER
+26 s
+17 s
G2 / G3
11:52
11:51
29:23
Show details
Prediction details: Mirjam Huber

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 16–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 7:10
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 9.3 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur -0.90 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s

Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.50 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:52 (3:57 / km)
Historical basis: 3:57 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:57 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 11:51 (3:57 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 29:23
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:10 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:55 (39.7 km/h)
Run: 11:52 (3:57 / km)
Total: 29:23
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:57
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 13.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +13.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 19 Noémi Van der Kaaij
SUI
+24 s
+22 s
G2 / G2
correct
11:54
11:55
29:25
Show details
Prediction details: Noémi Van der Kaaij

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 15–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 7:08
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 2.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 113 Duelle, Korrektur 0.59 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.6 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s

Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.96 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:54 (3:58 / km)
Historical basis: 3:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 112 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 11:55 (3:58 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 29:25
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:08 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:55 (39.7 km/h)
Run: 11:54 (3:58 / km)
Total: 29:25
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:57
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 10.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +13.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 28 Amélie Gorka
SUI
+25 s
+20 s
G2 / G3
12:07
12:18
29:38
Show details
Prediction details: Amélie Gorka

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 18–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 7:09
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 5.4 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 95 Duelle, Korrektur -0.42 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s

Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 35.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: 12:07 (4:02 / km)
Historical basis: 4:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 95 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 12:18 (4:06 / km)
Error: −0:11 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 29:38
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:09 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:55 (39.7 km/h)
Run: 12:07 (4:02 / km)
Total: 29:38
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:57
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 12.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +13.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 21 Anna Zehnder
SUI
+64 s
+58 s
G3 / G3
correct
10:49
10:56
29:49
Show details
Prediction details: Anna Zehnder

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 16–25
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 21
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +64 s
Time: 7:48
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +58 s
Fehler: 5.9 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 105 Duelle, Korrektur 0.71 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 11.8 s
Gap behind: 6.5 s

Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 36.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.23 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:49 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 10:56 (3:39 / km)
Error: −0:07 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 29:49
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:48 (1:34 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:56 (37.4 km/h)
Run: 10:49 (3:36 / km)
Total: 29:49
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:57
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 50.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +13.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 25 Leonie Hauser
AUT
+52 s
+57 s
G3 / G3
correct
11:40
11:30
30:40
Show details
Prediction details: Leonie Hauser

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 20–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 7:36
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +57 s
Fehler: -4.9 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 96 Duelle, Korrektur -0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 12.7 s
Gap behind: 11.8 s

Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 36.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.23 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:40 (3:53 / km)
Historical basis: 3:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:50 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 95 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 11:30 (3:50 / km)
Error: +0:10 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 30:40
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:36 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:56 (37.4 km/h)
Run: 11:40 (3:53 / km)
Total: 30:40
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:57
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 38.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +13.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 29 Rachele Laschi
ITA
+39 s
+31 s
G3 / G3
correct
12:27
12:29
31:27
Show details
Prediction details: Rachele Laschi

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 24–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 7:23
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 8.4 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 67 Duelle, Korrektur -0.60 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.7 s
Gap behind: 12.7 s

Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.83 km/h

Running and total

Run: 12:27 (4:09 / km)
Historical basis: 4:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 66 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 12:29 (4:10 / km)
Error: −0:02 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 31:27
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:23 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:56 (37.4 km/h)
Run: 12:27 (4:09 / km)
Total: 31:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:57
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 26.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +13.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 26 Sara Balletta
ITA
+70 s
+54 s
G4 / G3
11:27
11:27
31:35
Show details
Prediction details: Sara Balletta

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 25–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +70 s
Time: 7:54
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +54 s
Fehler: 16.4 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur -0.80 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.5 s
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 3 (11 people)
Speed: 36.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.78 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:27 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:49 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 11:27 (3:49 / km)
Error: +0:00 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 31:35
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:54 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:58 (35.4 km/h)
Run: 11:27 (3:49 / km)
Total: 31:35
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:57
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 57.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +13.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 4 Beatrice Mallozzi
ITA
+18 s
Bike DNF 10:44
Show details
Prediction details: Beatrice Mallozzi

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 28–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +18 s
Time: 7:02
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur 1.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 10:44 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur -0.50 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:02 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 10:44 (3:35 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 9 Kjara Reckmann
GER
+9 s
Bike DNF 11:24
Show details
Prediction details: Kjara Reckmann

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 29–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +9 s
Time: 6:53
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur 0.62 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 11:24 (3:48 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:49 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur -0.39 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:53 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 11:24 (3:48 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.