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Semifinal 2 Elite Women

19.06.2026 Schwarzsee Kitzbühel AUT
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Cup Kitzbühel

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 19.06.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 76/100 mittel
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 16 früheren Rennen und 316 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 28.1 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 13.06.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 6 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 88.2 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 94.1 % · 16 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error2.5
Mean swim error16.0 s
Mean bike-speed error3.36 km/h
Correct bike groups12/16
No history0
Within the 80% range64.7 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 2 Beatrice Mallozzi
ITA
+24 s
+8 s
G1 / G1
correct 		10:01
10:47
 27:26
Show details
Prediction details: Beatrice Mallozzi

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–6
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 6:50
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +8 s
Fehler: 15.5 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 24 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 55 %
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 3.2 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:01 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 11
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 11 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:47 (3:36 / km)
Error: −0:46 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 27:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:50 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:55 (39.7 km/h)
Run: 10:01 (3:20 / km)
Total: 27:26
2 / 4 Zuzanna Sudak
POL
+25 s
+9 s
G1 / G1
correct 		10:02
11:01
 27:27
Show details
Prediction details: Zuzanna Sudak

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 1–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 6:51
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +9 s
Fehler: 15.9 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 48 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 46 %
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 4.4 s
Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:02 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur 0.52 %, Sicherheit 19 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:01 (3:40 / km)
Error: −0:59 / −0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 27:27
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:51 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:55 (39.7 km/h)
Run: 10:02 (3:21 / km)
Total: 27:27
3 / 3 Anabel Knoll
GER
+11 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		10:11
10:53
 27:36
Show details
Prediction details: Anabel Knoll

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 1–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +11 s
Time: 6:37
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 11.1 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 39 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 88 %
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 1.9 s
Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:11 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 20 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:53 (3:38 / km)
Error: −0:42 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 27:36
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:37 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:55 (39.7 km/h)
Run: 10:11 (3:24 / km)
Total: 27:36
4 / 6 Magdalena Sudak
POL
+16 s
+6 s
G1 / G1
correct 		10:30
11:05
 27:55
Show details
Prediction details: Magdalena Sudak

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 3–8
Top-10 probability: 95 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 6:42
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 10.0 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 58 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 68 %
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 2.6 s
Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.11 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:30 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 27 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:05 (3:42 / km)
Error: −0:35 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 27:55
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:42 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:55 (39.7 km/h)
Run: 10:30 (3:30 / km)
Total: 27:55
5 / 7 Nele Dequae
BEL
+29 s
+10 s
G1 / G1
correct 		10:41
11:10
 28:06
Show details
Prediction details: Nele Dequae

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 2–13
Top-10 probability: 70 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 6:55
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: 19.3 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 25 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 40 %
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 4.4 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.88 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:41 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 9
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 13 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:10 (3:43 / km)
Error: −0:29 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 28:06
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:55 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:55 (39.7 km/h)
Run: 10:41 (3:34 / km)
Total: 28:06
6 / 10 Hasse Fleerackers
BEL
+13 s
+7 s
G1 / G1
correct 		10:46
11:34
 28:11
Show details
Prediction details: Hasse Fleerackers

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 5–11
Top-10 probability: 85 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +13 s
Time: 6:39
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +7 s
Fehler: 6.0 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 0.76 %, Sicherheit 22 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 59 %
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 2.5 s
Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.98 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:46 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 13 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:34 (3:51 / km)
Error: −0:48 / −0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 28:11
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:39 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:55 (39.7 km/h)
Run: 10:46 (3:35 / km)
Total: 28:11
7 / 12 Matilda Offord
AUS
+30 s
+16 s
G1 / G2
 10:49
10:44
 28:14
Show details
Prediction details: Matilda Offord

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 3–13
Top-10 probability: 65 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 6:56
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: 14.4 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 33 %
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 4.8 s
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 34.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.88 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:49 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:44 (3:35 / km)
Error: +0:05 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 28:14
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:56 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:55 (39.7 km/h)
Run: 10:49 (3:36 / km)
Total: 28:14
8 / 11 Hanna Röser
AUT
+24 s
+3 s
G1 / G1
correct 		10:58
11:44
 28:23
Show details
Prediction details: Hanna Röser

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 6–11
Top-10 probability: 83 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 6:50
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 21.0 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 53 %
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:58 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 3 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:44 (3:55 / km)
Error: −0:46 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 28:23
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 6:50 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:55 (39.7 km/h)
Run: 10:58 (3:39 / km)
Total: 28:23
9 / 9 Sarah Walter
GER
+20 s
+8 s
G1 / G1
correct 		11:01
11:29
 28:26
Show details
Prediction details: Sarah Walter

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 2–15
Top-10 probability: 51 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 6:46
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +8 s
Fehler: 12.3 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 30 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 53 %
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 3.2 s
Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:01 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 14 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:29 (3:50 / km)
Error: −0:28 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 28:26
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:46 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:55 (39.7 km/h)
Run: 11:01 (3:40 / km)
Total: 28:26
10 / 14 Alice Alessandri
ITA
+24 s
+20 s
G1 / G2
 11:01
11:33
 28:26
Show details
Prediction details: Alice Alessandri

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 7–11
Top-10 probability: 84 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 6:50
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 4.2 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.82 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 49 %
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 35.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.70 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:01 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: −0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 4 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:33 (3:51 / km)
Error: −0:32 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 28:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:50 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:55 (39.7 km/h)
Run: 11:01 (3:40 / km)
Total: 28:26
11 / 13 Kathrin Ritter
AUT
+19 s
+3 s
G1 / G1
correct 		11:06
12:17
 28:31
Show details
Prediction details: Kathrin Ritter

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 7–12
Top-10 probability: 73 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 6:45
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 15.6 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -0.38 %, Sicherheit 24 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 58 %
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.6 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:06 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:41 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.58 %, Sicherheit 10 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:17 (4:06 / km)
Error: −1:11 / −0:24 / km
Overall prediction: 28:31
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:45 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:55 (39.7 km/h)
Run: 11:06 (3:42 / km)
Total: 28:31
12 / 5 Alzbeta Hruskova
CZE
+37 s
+9 s
G2 / G1
 10:44
11:00
 28:52
Show details
Prediction details: Alzbeta Hruskova

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 5–15
Top-10 probability: 45 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 7:03
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +9 s
Fehler: 27.5 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur -0.53 %, Sicherheit 22 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 25 %
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 4.2 s
Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.76 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:44 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 10 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:00 (3:40 / km)
Error: −0:16 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 28:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:03 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:28 (38.5 km/h)
Run: 10:44 (3:35 / km)
Total: 28:52
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 7:00
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 3.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 15 Amélie Gorka
SUI
+19 s
+7 s
G1 / G2
 11:32
12:07
 28:57
Show details
Prediction details: Amélie Gorka

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 9–15
Top-10 probability: 21 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 6:45
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +7 s
Fehler: 11.9 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 61 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 55 %
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 34.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.06 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:32 (3:51 / km)
Historical basis: 3:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 12
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur 0.37 %, Sicherheit 28 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:07 (4:02 / km)
Error: −0:35 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 28:57
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:45 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:55 (39.7 km/h)
Run: 11:32 (3:51 / km)
Total: 28:57
14 / 8 Kjara Reckmann
GER
+16 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		11:47
11:27
 29:12
Show details
Prediction details: Kjara Reckmann

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 12–15
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 6:42
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 15.5 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 26 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 71 %
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.5 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 1 (11 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.18 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:47 (3:56 / km)
Historical basis: 3:59 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:59 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -1.30 %, Sicherheit 13 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:27 (3:49 / km)
Error: +0:20 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 29:12
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:42 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:55 (39.7 km/h)
Run: 11:47 (3:56 / km)
Total: 29:12
15 / 16 Mirjam Huber
GER
+35 s
+7 s
G2 / G2
correct 		11:15
12:35
 29:23
Show details
Prediction details: Mirjam Huber

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 3–15
Top-10 probability: 26 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 7:01
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +7 s
Fehler: 28.2 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.32 %, Sicherheit 36 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Gap ahead: 4.8 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 35.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.51 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:15 (3:45 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 18 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:35 (4:12 / km)
Error: −1:20 / −0:27 / km
Overall prediction: 29:23
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:01 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:28 (38.5 km/h)
Run: 11:15 (3:45 / km)
Total: 29:23
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:59
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 2.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 17 Francesca Zenklusen
SUI
+41 s
+13 s
G2 / G2
correct 		13:34
12:45
 31:42
Show details
Prediction details: Francesca Zenklusen

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 16–16
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 7:07
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: 27.7 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -0.61 %, Sicherheit 6 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 20 %
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Gap ahead: 4.2 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 35.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 13:34 (4:31 / km)
Historical basis: 4:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:36 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -1.87 %, Sicherheit 4 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:45 (4:15 / km)
Error: +0:49 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 31:42
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:07 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:28 (38.5 km/h)
Run: 13:34 (4:31 / km)
Total: 31:42
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:59
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 7.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 1 Jule Behrens
GER
+28 s
 Bike DNF 10:16
Show details
Prediction details: Jule Behrens

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 17–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 6:54
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 44 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 10:16 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur -0.58 %, Sicherheit 20 %
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:54 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 10:16 (3:25 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.