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Elite Women

11.04.2026 POR
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Cup Monte Gordo

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 11.04.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 98/100 hoch
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 69 früheren Rennen und 564 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 31.6 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 14.03.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 6 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 18 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 96.6 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 98.3 % · 69 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error12.9
Mean swim error10.2 s
Mean bike-speed error0.95 km/h
Correct bike groups24/59
No history0
Within the 80% range57.6 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 12 Libby Coleman
GBR
+30 s
+32 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:10
17:22
 45:59
Show details
Prediction details: Libby Coleman

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 9:55
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: -2.2 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (34 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (39 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.71 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:10 (3:02 / km)
Historical basis: 3:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Error: −2:12 / −0:26 / km
Overall prediction: 45:59
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:55 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:09 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 15:10 (3:02 / km)
Total: 45:59
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 7.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
2 / 4 Bethany Cook
GBR
+12 s
+22 s
G1 / G2
 16:47
16:41
 47:12
Show details
Prediction details: Bethany Cook

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 2–15
Top-10 probability: 88 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: -10.1 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 64 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 81 %
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (39 people)
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:47 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:56 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur 0.54 %, Sicherheit 57 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:41 (3:20 / km)
Error: +0:06 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 47:12
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:37 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:04 (39.9 km/h)
Run: 16:47 (3:21 / km)
Total: 47:12
3 / 23 Manon Laporte
FRA
+5 s
+6 s
G1 / G2
 16:55
17:49
 47:20
Show details
Prediction details: Manon Laporte

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 2–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -20

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +5 s
Time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: -1.1 s
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 97 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 3.3 s
Result: Group 2 (39 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.26 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 68 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:49 (3:34 / km)
Error: −0:54 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 47:20
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:30 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:04 (39.9 km/h)
Run: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Total: 47:20
4 / 6 María Teresa Jiménez-Orta Guerrero
ESP
+22 s
+5 s
G1 / G2
 17:01
16:53
 47:26
Show details
Prediction details: María Teresa Jiménez-Orta Guerrero

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 2–12
Top-10 probability: 86 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 16.6 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 141 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 34 %
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 2 (39 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.04 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:01 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 113 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:53 (3:23 / km)
Error: +0:08 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 47:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:47 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:04 (39.9 km/h)
Run: 17:01 (3:24 / km)
Total: 47:26
5 / 1 Fanni Szalai
HUN
+28 s
+0 s
G2 / G1
 16:58
16:46
 47:47
Show details
Prediction details: Fanni Szalai

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 4–8
Top-10 probability: 96 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 9:53
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 28.0 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 107 Duelle, Korrektur -0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (34 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 1 (4 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.89 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:58 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:46 (3:21 / km)
Error: +0:12 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 47:47
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:53 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:09 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 16:58 (3:24 / km)
Total: 47:47
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 5.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 15 Liis Kapten
EST
+21 s
+18 s
G1 / G2
 17:36
17:29
 48:01
Show details
Prediction details: Liis Kapten

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 7–22
Top-10 probability: 39 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 9:46
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 3.1 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 120 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 50 %
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 2 (39 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.30 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:36 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:29 (3:30 / km)
Error: +0:07 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 48:01
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:46 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:04 (39.9 km/h)
Run: 17:36 (3:31 / km)
Total: 48:01
7 / 28 Ana Carballo Gómez
ESP
+25 s
+14 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:24
18:10
 48:13
Show details
Prediction details: Ana Carballo Gómez

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 4–26
Top-10 probability: 60 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 9:50
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 11.2 s
H2H: 46 Gegner:innen, 139 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (34 people)
Gruppe 1: 20 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 2 (39 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.19 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:24 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 46 Gegner:innen, 139 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:10 (3:38 / km)
Error: −0:46 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 48:13
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:50 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:09 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 17:24 (3:29 / km)
Total: 48:13
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 13 Natalia Castro Santos
ESP
+25 s
+15 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:25
17:12
 48:14
Show details
Prediction details: Natalia Castro Santos

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 6–23
Top-10 probability: 40 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 9:50
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: 9.9 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 114 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (34 people)
Gruppe 1: 35 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 2 (39 people)
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:25 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 114 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:12 (3:26 / km)
Error: +0:13 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 48:14
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:50 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:09 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 17:25 (3:29 / km)
Total: 48:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 2.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 51 Marina Muñoz Hernando
ESP
+39 s
+48 s
G2 / G5
 17:25
18:46
 48:14
Show details
Prediction details: Marina Muñoz Hernando

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 7–31
Top-10 probability: 35 %
Result: 51
Deviation: -42

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 10:04
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +48 s
Fehler: -8.9 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 89 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (34 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:25 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 89 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:46 (3:45 / km)
Error: −1:21 / −0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 48:14
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:04 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:09 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 17:25 (3:29 / km)
Total: 48:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 16.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 8 Appoline Foltz
FRA
+24 s
+18 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:26
17:09
 48:15
Show details
Prediction details: Appoline Foltz

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 6–18
Top-10 probability: 60 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 6.0 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 121 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (34 people)
Gruppe 1: 20 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 2 (39 people)
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.50 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:26 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 110 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:09 (3:26 / km)
Error: +0:17 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 48:15
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:49 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:09 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 17:26 (3:29 / km)
Total: 48:15
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 1.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 21 Anabel Knoll
GER
+22 s
+12 s
G1 / G2
 17:50
17:37
 48:15
Show details
Prediction details: Anabel Knoll

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 10–26
Top-10 probability: 11 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 9.5 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 97 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 33 %
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 2 (39 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.24 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:50 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 94 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:37 (3:31 / km)
Error: +0:13 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 48:15
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:47 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:04 (39.9 km/h)
Run: 17:50 (3:34 / km)
Total: 48:15
12 / 2 Carlotta Missaglia
ITA
+28 s
+10 s
G2 / G1
 17:30
17:11
 48:19
Show details
Prediction details: Carlotta Missaglia

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 7–20
Top-10 probability: 34 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 9:53
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: 17.8 s
H2H: 44 Gegner:innen, 154 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (34 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 1 (4 people)
Speed: 40.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:30 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 44 Gegner:innen, 140 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:11 (3:26 / km)
Error: +0:19 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 48:19
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:53 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:09 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 17:30 (3:30 / km)
Total: 48:19
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 5.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 5 Noelia Juan
ESP
+37 s
+38 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:30
16:41
 48:19
Show details
Prediction details: Noelia Juan

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 8–30
Top-10 probability: 25 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 10:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: -0.9 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 85 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (34 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 2 (39 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.84 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:30 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 85 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:41 (3:20 / km)
Error: +0:49 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 48:19
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:02 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:09 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 17:30 (3:30 / km)
Total: 48:19
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 14.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 34 Elena Polaert
FRA
+39 s
+42 s
G2 / G4
 17:33
17:28
 48:22
Show details
Prediction details: Elena Polaert

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 10–27
Top-10 probability: 13 %
Result: 34
Deviation: -20

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 10:04
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: -3.0 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -0.27 %, Sicherheit 71 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (34 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 4 (9 people)
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:33 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 71 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:28 (3:30 / km)
Error: +0:05 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 48:22
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:04 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:09 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 17:33 (3:31 / km)
Total: 48:22
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 16.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 10 Asia Mercatelli
ITA
+24 s
+14 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:35
17:03
 48:24
Show details
Prediction details: Asia Mercatelli

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 3–45
Top-10 probability: 40 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 9.7 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 88 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (34 people)
Gruppe 1: 39 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 2 (39 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.39 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:35 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:03 (3:25 / km)
Error: +0:32 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 48:24
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:49 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:09 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 17:35 (3:31 / km)
Total: 48:24
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 1.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 18 Karolina Helga Horváth
HUN
+28 s
+7 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:35
17:40
 48:24
Show details
Prediction details: Karolina Helga Horváth

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 10–21
Top-10 probability: 21 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 9:53
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +7 s
Fehler: 21.0 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -0.47 %, Sicherheit 91 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (34 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 2 (39 people)
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.50 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:35 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 86 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:40 (3:32 / km)
Error: −0:05 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 48:24
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:53 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:09 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 17:35 (3:31 / km)
Total: 48:24
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 5.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 16 Celia Merle
FRA
+8 s
+16 s
G1 / G2
 18:01
17:41
 48:26
Show details
Prediction details: Celia Merle

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 12–22
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 16
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +8 s
Time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: -7.8 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 115 Duelle, Korrektur 0.55 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 3.3 s
Gap behind: 2.8 s
Result: Group 2 (39 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.55 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:01 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 114 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:41 (3:32 / km)
Error: +0:20 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 48:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:33 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:04 (39.9 km/h)
Run: 18:01 (3:36 / km)
Total: 48:26
18 / 35 Léonie Douche
FRA
+28 s
+38 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:40
18:38
 48:29
Show details
Prediction details: Léonie Douche

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 8–31
Top-10 probability: 20 %
Result: 35
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 9:53
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: -10.0 s
H2H: 48 Gegner:innen, 125 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (34 people)
Gruppe 1: 19 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 2 (39 people)
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:40 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 98 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:38 (3:44 / km)
Error: −0:58 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 48:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:53 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:09 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 17:40 (3:32 / km)
Total: 48:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 5.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 43 Costanza Arpinelli
ITA
+40 s
+42 s
G2 / G4
 17:40
18:05
 48:29
Show details
Prediction details: Costanza Arpinelli

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 12–37
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 43
Deviation: -24

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: -1.8 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 100 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (34 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 4 (9 people)
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:40 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 89 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:05 (3:37 / km)
Error: −0:25 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 48:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:05 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:09 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 17:40 (3:32 / km)
Total: 48:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 18 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 47 Daryna Moskalenko
UKR
+37 s
+35 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:41
19:06
 48:30
Show details
Prediction details: Daryna Moskalenko

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 13–34
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 47
Deviation: -27

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 10:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: 1.5 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (34 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 2 (39 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:41 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 96 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:06 (3:49 / km)
Error: −1:25 / −0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 48:30
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:02 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:09 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 17:41 (3:32 / km)
Total: 48:30
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 14.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 17 Alejandra Seguí Soria
ESP
+33 s
+18 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:48
17:33
 48:37
Show details
Prediction details: Alejandra Seguí Soria

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 10–33
Top-10 probability: 11 %
Result: 17
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 14.6 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 135 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (34 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 2 (39 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.39 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:48 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 99 Duelle, Korrektur -0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:33 (3:31 / km)
Error: +0:15 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 48:37
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:58 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:09 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 17:48 (3:34 / km)
Total: 48:37
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 10.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 54 Lara Atkinson
GBR
+23 s
+34 s
G2 / G6
 17:49
18:07
 48:38
Show details
Prediction details: Lara Atkinson

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 9–51
Top-10 probability: 19 %
Result: 54
Deviation: -32

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: -11.0 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur 0.49 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (34 people)
Gruppe 1: 44 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 6 (3 people)
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.81 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:49 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:45 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:07 (3:37 / km)
Error: −0:18 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 48:38
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:48 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:09 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 17:49 (3:34 / km)
Total: 48:38
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 0.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 44 Korinna Katona
HUN
+29 s
+33 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:53
19:00
 48:42
Show details
Prediction details: Korinna Katona

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 17–30
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 44
Deviation: -21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: -3.9 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 42 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (34 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 2 (39 people)
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.80 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:53 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.76 %, Sicherheit 43 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:00 (3:48 / km)
Error: −1:07 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 48:42
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:09 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 17:53 (3:35 / km)
Total: 48:42
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 6.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 50 Lisa Lecompte
FRA
+12 s
+20 s
G1 / G2
 18:20
19:59
 48:45
Show details
Prediction details: Lisa Lecompte

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 16–29
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 50
Deviation: -26

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: -7.9 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 68 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 2 (39 people)
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.53 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:20 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur -0.45 %, Sicherheit 60 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:59 (4:00 / km)
Error: −1:39 / −0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 48:45
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:37 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:04 (39.9 km/h)
Run: 18:20 (3:40 / km)
Total: 48:45
25 / 14 Helena Knaapi
FIN
+35 s
+32 s
G2 / G3
 17:58
17:09
 48:47
Show details
Prediction details: Helena Knaapi

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 7–51
Top-10 probability: 15 %
Result: 14
Deviation: 11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 10:00
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: 3.1 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 56 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (34 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.57 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:58 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 56 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:09 (3:26 / km)
Error: +0:49 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 48:47
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:00 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:09 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 17:58 (3:36 / km)
Total: 48:47
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 12.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 33 Mit Wittemans
BEL
+17 s
+9 s
G1 / G2
 18:25
18:22
 48:50
Show details
Prediction details: Mit Wittemans

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 10–36
Top-10 probability: 11 %
Result: 33
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +17 s
Time: 9:42
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +9 s
Fehler: 8.4 s
H2H: 47 Gegner:innen, 128 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 70 %
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.1 s
Gap behind: 2.7 s
Result: Group 2 (39 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.26 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:25 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 47 Gegner:innen, 121 Duelle, Korrektur 0.49 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:22 (3:40 / km)
Error: +0:03 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 48:50
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:42 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:04 (39.9 km/h)
Run: 18:25 (3:41 / km)
Total: 48:50
27 / 32 Luca Vanderbruggen
BEL
+31 s
+32 s
G2 / G2
correct 		18:07
18:17
 48:56
Show details
Prediction details: Luca Vanderbruggen

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 6–47
Top-10 probability: 19 %
Result: 32
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 9:56
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: -0.7 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 72 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (34 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 2 (39 people)
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:07 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur 0.70 %, Sicherheit 64 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:17 (3:39 / km)
Error: −0:10 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 48:56
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:56 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:09 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 18:07 (3:37 / km)
Total: 48:56
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 9.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 29 Vanessa Possberg
SUI
+12 s
+31 s
G1 / G2
 18:32
18:03
 48:57
Show details
Prediction details: Vanessa Possberg

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 21–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: -18.9 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 110 Duelle, Korrektur 0.35 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 81 %
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 2 (39 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.60 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:32 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:28 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 81 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:03 (3:37 / km)
Error: +0:29 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 48:57
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:37 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:04 (39.9 km/h)
Run: 18:32 (3:42 / km)
Total: 48:57
29 / 20 Magdalena Sudak
POL
+15 s
+19 s
G1 / G2
 18:36
17:42
 49:01
Show details
Prediction details: Magdalena Sudak

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 23–39
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +15 s
Time: 9:40
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: -3.7 s
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 73 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 64 %
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.9 s
Gap behind: 2.1 s
Result: Group 2 (39 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.30 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:36 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur -0.47 %, Sicherheit 93 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:42 (3:32 / km)
Error: +0:54 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 49:01
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:40 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:04 (39.9 km/h)
Run: 18:36 (3:43 / km)
Total: 49:01
30 / 22 Lara Thekla Ungewickell
GER
+38 s
+42 s
G2 / G2
correct 		18:17
17:39
 49:06
Show details
Prediction details: Lara Thekla Ungewickell

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 19–49
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 22
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 10:03
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: -3.9 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 109 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (34 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 2 (39 people)
Speed: 40.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:17 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 97 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:39 (3:32 / km)
Error: +0:38 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 49:06
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:03 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:09 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 18:17 (3:39 / km)
Total: 49:06
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 15.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
31 / 55 Chiara Lobba
ITA
+40 s
+55 s
G2 / G7
 18:17
17:56
 49:06
Show details
Prediction details: Chiara Lobba

Placement

Prediction: 31
80% range: 23–49
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 55
Deviation: -24

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +55 s
Fehler: -15.4 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 91 Duelle, Korrektur -0.52 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (34 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 7 (3 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.96 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:17 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 80 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:56 (3:35 / km)
Error: +0:21 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 49:06
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:05 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:09 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 18:17 (3:39 / km)
Total: 49:06
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 17.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
32 / 48 Inês Rico
POR
+23 s
+30 s
G2 / G2
correct 		18:21
19:25
 49:10
Show details
Prediction details: Inês Rico

Placement

Prediction: 32
80% range: 21–36
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 48
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: -7.1 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 69 Duelle, Korrektur 0.66 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (34 people)
Gruppe 1: 36 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 2 (39 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.68 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:21 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 69 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:25 (3:53 / km)
Error: −1:04 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 49:10
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:48 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:09 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 18:21 (3:40 / km)
Total: 49:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 0.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
33 / 58 Linda Hehenwarter
AUT
+28 s
+48 s
G2 / G7
 18:21
20:42
 49:10
Show details
Prediction details: Linda Hehenwarter

Placement

Prediction: 33
80% range: 20–40
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 58
Deviation: -25

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 9:53
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +48 s
Fehler: -20.4 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 62 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (34 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 7 (3 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:21 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:42 (4:08 / km)
Error: −2:21 / −0:28 / km
Overall prediction: 49:10
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:53 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:09 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 18:21 (3:40 / km)
Total: 49:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 5.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
34 / 24 Dóra Pusztai
HUN
+26 s
+20 s
G2 / G2
correct 		18:30
17:45
 49:19
Show details
Prediction details: Dóra Pusztai

Placement

Prediction: 34
80% range: 16–49
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 24
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 9:51
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 6.3 s
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 129 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (34 people)
Gruppe 1: 23 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 2 (39 people)
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.59 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:30 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:46 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 71 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:45 (3:33 / km)
Error: +0:45 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 49:19
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:51 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:09 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 18:30 (3:42 / km)
Total: 49:19
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 4.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
35 / 31 Isabella Hayes
GBR
+11 s
+32 s
G1 / G2
 18:54
18:12
 49:19
Show details
Prediction details: Isabella Hayes

Placement

Prediction: 35
80% range: 29–40
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 31
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +11 s
Time: 9:36
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: -21.0 s
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur 0.94 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.8 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 2 (39 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.74 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:54 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:12 (3:38 / km)
Error: +0:42 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 49:19
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:36 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:04 (39.9 km/h)
Run: 18:54 (3:47 / km)
Total: 49:19
36 / 19 Clara Carlquist
DEN
+30 s
+25 s
G2 / G2
correct 		18:31
17:28
 49:20
Show details
Prediction details: Clara Carlquist

Placement

Prediction: 36
80% range: 15–50
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 19
Deviation: 17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 9:55
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: 4.7 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 111 Duelle, Korrektur -0.46 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (34 people)
Gruppe 1: 25 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 2 (39 people)
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.50 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:31 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:46 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:33 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 99 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:28 (3:30 / km)
Error: +1:03 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 49:20
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:55 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:09 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 18:31 (3:42 / km)
Total: 49:20
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 7.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
37 / 36 Cassilda Carvalho
POR
+20 s
+20 s
G1 / G2
 18:58
18:33
 49:23
Show details
Prediction details: Cassilda Carvalho

Placement

Prediction: 37
80% range: 19–51
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 36
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 9:45
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 0.1 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 98 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 60 %
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.7 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 2 (39 people)
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.39 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:58 (3:48 / km)
Historical basis: 3:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 64 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 90 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:33 (3:43 / km)
Error: +0:25 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 49:23
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:45 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:04 (39.9 km/h)
Run: 18:58 (3:48 / km)
Total: 49:23
38 / 9 Lilly-Marie Overberg
GER
+48 s
+37 s
G3 / G2
 17:38
17:04
 49:28
Show details
Prediction details: Lilly-Marie Overberg

Placement

Prediction: 38
80% range: 11–48
Top-10 probability: 10 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 29

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 10:13
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: 11.2 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur -0.92 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 2 (39 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:38 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:04 (3:25 / km)
Error: +0:34 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 49:28
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:13 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:59 (38.7 km/h)
Run: 17:38 (3:32 / km)
Total: 49:28
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 26 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
39 / 25 Hannelore Willen
BEL
+30 s
+21 s
G2 / G2
correct 		18:40
18:01
 49:29
Show details
Prediction details: Hannelore Willen

Placement

Prediction: 39
80% range: 28–50
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 25
Deviation: 14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 9:55
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 9.0 s
H2H: 47 Gegner:innen, 108 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (34 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 2 (39 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.66 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:40 (3:44 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 47 Gegner:innen, 108 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:01 (3:36 / km)
Error: +0:39 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 49:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:55 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:09 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 18:40 (3:44 / km)
Total: 49:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 7.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
40 / 3 Eve Whitaker
GBR
+40 s
+6 s
G2 / G1
 18:43
17:14
 49:32
Show details
Prediction details: Eve Whitaker

Placement

Prediction: 40
80% range: 37–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 37

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 33.7 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -2.03 %, Sicherheit 26 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (34 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 1 (4 people)
Speed: 40.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.96 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:43 (3:45 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:45 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 26 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:14 (3:27 / km)
Error: +1:29 / +0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 49:32
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:05 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:09 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 18:43 (3:45 / km)
Total: 49:32
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 17.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
41 / 7 Millie Breese
GBR
+12 s
+9 s
G1 / G2
 19:08
17:02
 49:33
Show details
Prediction details: Millie Breese

Placement

Prediction: 41
80% range: 34–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 34

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +9 s
Fehler: 3.4 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 85 Duelle, Korrektur 0.62 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 98 %
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 2.9 s
Result: Group 2 (39 people)
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.19 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:08 (3:50 / km)
Historical basis: 3:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur -0.59 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:02 (3:24 / km)
Error: +2:06 / +0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 49:33
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:37 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:04 (39.9 km/h)
Run: 19:08 (3:50 / km)
Total: 49:33
42 / 40 Sara Crociani
ITA
+12 s
+13 s
G1 / G2
 19:15
18:38
 49:40
Show details
Prediction details: Sara Crociani

Placement

Prediction: 42
80% range: 30–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 40
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: -0.9 s
H2H: 44 Gegner:innen, 123 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 94 %
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 2 (39 people)
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.49 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:15 (3:51 / km)
Historical basis: 3:55 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 78 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:38 (3:44 / km)
Error: +0:37 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 49:40
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:37 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:04 (39.9 km/h)
Run: 19:15 (3:51 / km)
Total: 49:40
43 / 38 Lotte Minnebo
BEL
+26 s
+32 s
G2 / G2
correct 		18:55
18:36
 49:44
Show details
Prediction details: Lotte Minnebo

Placement

Prediction: 43
80% range: 35–49
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 38
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 9:51
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: -5.9 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 111 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (34 people)
Gruppe 1: 23 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (39 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.89 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:55 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:42 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 64 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:36 (3:43 / km)
Error: +0:19 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 49:44
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:51 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:09 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 18:55 (3:47 / km)
Total: 49:44
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 3.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
44 / 49 Dana Soroka
UKR
+22 s
+27 s
G1 / G4
 19:19
18:49
 49:44
Show details
Prediction details: Dana Soroka

Placement

Prediction: 44
80% range: 38–51
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 49
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: -5.5 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 80 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 39 %
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 4 (9 people)
Speed: 39.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.45 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:19 (3:52 / km)
Historical basis: 3:56 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:49 (3:46 / km)
Error: +0:30 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 49:44
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:47 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:04 (39.9 km/h)
Run: 19:19 (3:52 / km)
Total: 49:44
45 / 39 Nora Romina Nádas
HUN
+33 s
+18 s
G2 / G2
correct 		18:58
18:34
 49:47
Show details
Prediction details: Nora Romina Nádas

Placement

Prediction: 45
80% range: 34–52
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 39
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 15.0 s
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 92 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (34 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 2 (39 people)
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.53 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:58 (3:48 / km)
Historical basis: 3:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 70 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:34 (3:43 / km)
Error: +0:24 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 49:47
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:58 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:09 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 18:58 (3:48 / km)
Total: 49:47
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 10.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
46 / 27 Nele Dequae
BEL
+35 s
+38 s
G2 / G2
correct 		19:04
18:11
 49:53
Show details
Prediction details: Nele Dequae

Placement

Prediction: 46
80% range: 39–52
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation: 19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 10:00
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: -3.0 s
H2H: 45 Gegner:innen, 164 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (34 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 2 (39 people)
Speed: 40.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:04 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 44 Gegner:innen, 141 Duelle, Korrektur -0.54 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:11 (3:38 / km)
Error: +0:53 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 49:53
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:00 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:09 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 19:04 (3:49 / km)
Total: 49:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 12.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
47 / 30 Laura Moreau
FRA
+28 s
+27 s
G2 / G2
correct 		19:06
18:12
 49:55
Show details
Prediction details: Laura Moreau

Placement

Prediction: 47
80% range: 21–57
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 30
Deviation: 17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 9:53
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: 0.6 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 72 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (34 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 2 (39 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:06 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -0.61 %, Sicherheit 70 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:12 (3:38 / km)
Error: +0:54 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 49:55
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:53 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:09 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 19:06 (3:49 / km)
Total: 49:55
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 5.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
48 / 11 Claudia Carmela Paladini
ITA
+48 s
+10 s
G3 / G2
 18:11
17:18
 50:01
Show details
Prediction details: Claudia Carmela Paladini

Placement

Prediction: 48
80% range: 27–52
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 37

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 10:13
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: 37.5 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur -1.40 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 2 (39 people)
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.39 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:11 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Error: +0:53 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 50:01
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:13 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:59 (38.7 km/h)
Run: 18:11 (3:38 / km)
Total: 50:01
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 25.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
49 / 26 Matilde Silva Santos
POR
+32 s
+17 s
G2 / G2
correct 		19:14
18:02
 50:03
Show details
Prediction details: Matilde Silva Santos

Placement

Prediction: 49
80% range: 40–53
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: 23

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 9:57
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 14.8 s
H2H: 44 Gegner:innen, 114 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (34 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 2 (39 people)
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:14 (3:51 / km)
Historical basis: 3:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:49 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 94 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:02 (3:36 / km)
Error: +1:12 / +0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 50:03
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:57 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:09 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 19:14 (3:51 / km)
Total: 50:03
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 9.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
50 / 37 Iratxe Arenal Arribas
ESP
+30 s
+40 s
G2 / G2
correct 		19:21
18:28
 50:10
Show details
Prediction details: Iratxe Arenal Arribas

Placement

Prediction: 50
80% range: 30–56
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 37
Deviation: 13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 9:55
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: -9.7 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 99 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (34 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 2 (39 people)
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:21 (3:52 / km)
Historical basis: 3:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 88 Duelle, Korrektur -0.47 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:28 (3:42 / km)
Error: +0:53 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 50:10
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:55 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:09 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 19:21 (3:52 / km)
Total: 50:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 8.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
51 / 45 Sophie Gießmann
GER
+51 s
+36 s
G3 / G4
 18:23
18:15
 50:13
Show details
Prediction details: Sophie Gießmann

Placement

Prediction: 51
80% range: 29–56
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 45
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 10:16
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: 15.2 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 4 (9 people)
Speed: 39.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.78 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:23 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:15 (3:39 / km)
Error: +0:08 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 50:13
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:16 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:59 (38.7 km/h)
Run: 18:23 (3:41 / km)
Total: 50:13
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 29 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
52 / 46 Chiara Göttler
GER
+50 s
+40 s
G3 / G4
 18:25
18:15
 50:15
Show details
Prediction details: Chiara Göttler

Placement

Prediction: 52
80% range: 33–57
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 46
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 10:15
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: 9.8 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.44 %, Sicherheit 29 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 4 (9 people)
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.84 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:25 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 31 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:15 (3:39 / km)
Error: +0:10 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 50:15
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:15 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:59 (38.7 km/h)
Run: 18:25 (3:41 / km)
Total: 50:15
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 27.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
53 / 59 Katarzyna Dębska
POL
+51 s
+64 s
G3 / G8
 18:29
18:37
 50:19
Show details
Prediction details: Katarzyna Dębska

Placement

Prediction: 53
80% range: 28–59
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 59
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 10:16
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +64 s
Fehler: -12.6 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 25 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 29.3 s
Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.62 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:29 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 31 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:37 (3:43 / km)
Error: −0:08 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 50:19
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:16 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:59 (38.7 km/h)
Run: 18:29 (3:42 / km)
Total: 50:19
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 29.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
54 / 52 Rhune Vansteenkiste
BEL
+33 s
+30 s
G2 / G4
 19:36
19:31
 50:25
Show details
Prediction details: Rhune Vansteenkiste

Placement

Prediction: 54
80% range: 26–59
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 52
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: 2.6 s
H2H: 45 Gegner:innen, 114 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (34 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 4 (9 people)
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:36 (3:55 / km)
Historical basis: 3:56 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:31 (3:54 / km)
Error: +0:05 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 50:25
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:58 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:09 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 19:36 (3:55 / km)
Total: 50:25
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 10.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
55 / 42 Silke De Wolde
NED
+46 s
+38 s
G3 / G4
 19:02
18:00
 50:52
Show details
Prediction details: Silke De Wolde

Placement

Prediction: 55
80% range: 38–58
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 42
Deviation: 13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 10:11
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: 8.3 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 53 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 5.3 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 4 (9 people)
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.86 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:02 (3:48 / km)
Historical basis: 3:46 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:41 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur 1.05 %, Sicherheit 39 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:00 (3:36 / km)
Error: +1:02 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 50:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:11 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:59 (38.7 km/h)
Run: 19:02 (3:48 / km)
Total: 50:52
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 24.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
56 / 56 Gianella Debra Coaguila Pita
PER
+4 s
+17 s
G1 / G6
 20:59
19:41
 51:24
Show details
Prediction details: Gianella Debra Coaguila Pita

Placement

Prediction: 56
80% range: 53–58
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 56
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +4 s
Time: 9:29
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: -12.7 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.86 %, Sicherheit 52 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 6 (3 people)
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.24 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:59 (4:12 / km)
Historical basis: 4:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:50 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -0.84 %, Sicherheit 52 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:41 (3:56 / km)
Error: +1:18 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 51:24
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:29 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:04 (39.9 km/h)
Run: 20:59 (4:12 / km)
Total: 51:24
57 / 57 Zsófia Baier
HUN
+41 s
+43 s
G3 / G7
 20:05
19:56
 51:55
Show details
Prediction details: Zsófia Baier

Placement

Prediction: 57
80% range: 52–58
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 57
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 10:06
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: -2.0 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 100 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 98 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 5.3 s
Result: Group 7 (3 people)
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:05 (4:01 / km)
Historical basis: 4:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur -0.64 %, Sicherheit 74 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:56 (3:59 / km)
Error: +0:09 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 51:55
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:06 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:59 (38.7 km/h)
Run: 20:05 (4:01 / km)
Total: 51:55
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 18.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
58 / 41 Anna Zehnder
SUI
+81 s
+51 s
G4 / G4
correct 		17:27
17:52
 52:25
Show details
Prediction details: Anna Zehnder

Placement

Prediction: 58
80% range: 41–58
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 41
Deviation: 17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +81 s
Time: 10:46
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +51 s
Fehler: 29.7 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 77 Duelle, Korrektur -0.55 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 29.3 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 4 (9 people)
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:27 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 71 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:52 (3:34 / km)
Error: −0:25 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 52:25
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:46 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:37 (35.7 km/h)
Run: 17:27 (3:29 / km)
Total: 52:25
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 58.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
59 / 53 Yeva Soroka
UKR
+81 s
+52 s
G4 / G6
 17:47
17:46
 52:45
Show details
Prediction details: Yeva Soroka

Placement

Prediction: 59
80% range: 48–59
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 53
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +81 s
Time: 10:46
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +52 s
Fehler: 29.2 s
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 103 Duelle, Korrektur -0.56 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (3 people)
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.66 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:47 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:46 (3:33 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 52:45
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:46 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:37 (35.7 km/h)
Run: 17:47 (3:33 / km)
Total: 52:45
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 59 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.