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Elite Men

23.05.2026 Kapitańska POL
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Cup Olsztyn

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 23.05.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 100/100 hoch
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 77 früheren Rennen und 1935 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 46.4 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 16.05.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 3 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 100.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 100.0 % · 77 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error11.9
Mean swim error17.7 s
Mean bike-speed error1.68 km/h
Correct bike groups39/65
No history0
Within the 80% range61.5 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 4 Nathan Lessmann
FRA
+17 s
+3 s
G1 / G1
correct 		14:49
14:36
 42:47
Show details
Prediction details: Nathan Lessmann

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–14
Top-10 probability: 84 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +17 s
Time: 8:37
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 14.0 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 48 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 75 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.5 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 1 (41 people)
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.63 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:49 (2:58 / km)
Historical basis: 2:56 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:52 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur 0.76 %, Sicherheit 40 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:36 (2:55 / km)
Error: +0:13 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 42:47
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:37 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 14:49 (2:58 / km)
Total: 42:47
2 / 1 Jaspar Ortfeld
GER
+44 s
+22 s
G1 / G1
correct 		14:50
14:26
 42:48
Show details
Prediction details: Jaspar Ortfeld

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 2–28
Top-10 probability: 56 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 9:04
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 21.6 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 85 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s
Result: Group 1 (41 people)
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:50 (2:58 / km)
Historical basis: 3:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:55 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 87 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:26 (2:53 / km)
Error: +0:24 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 42:48
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:04 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 14:50 (2:58 / km)
Total: 42:48
3 / 10 Antoine Duval
FRA
+3 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		14:54
14:54
 42:52
Show details
Prediction details: Antoine Duval

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 2–9
Top-10 probability: 96 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +3 s
Time: 8:23
Pace: 1:07 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 3.0 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur 1.09 %, Sicherheit 71 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 90 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 9.2 s
Result: Group 1 (41 people)
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.83 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:54 (2:59 / km)
Historical basis: 2:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur 0.60 %, Sicherheit 66 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:54 (2:59 / km)
Error: +0:00 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 42:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:23 (1:07 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 14:54 (2:59 / km)
Total: 42:52
4 / 2 Solomon Okrafo-Smart
GBR
+30 s
+6 s
G1 / G1
correct 		14:58
14:27
 42:56
Show details
Prediction details: Solomon Okrafo-Smart

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 3–10
Top-10 probability: 90 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 23.6 s
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 105 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 55 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 1 (41 people)
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.53 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:58 (3:00 / km)
Historical basis: 3:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 86 Duelle, Korrektur 0.37 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:27 (2:53 / km)
Error: +0:31 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 42:56
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:50 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 14:58 (3:00 / km)
Total: 42:56
5 / 20 Samuele Angelini
ITA
+31 s
+19 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:00
15:21
 42:58
Show details
Prediction details: Samuele Angelini

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 2–15
Top-10 probability: 75 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 12.2 s
H2H: 47 Gegner:innen, 136 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 53 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 1 (41 people)
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.28 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:00 (3:00 / km)
Historical basis: 2:59 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:55 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 45 Gegner:innen, 128 Duelle, Korrektur 0.41 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:21 (3:04 / km)
Error: −0:21 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 42:58
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:51 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 15:00 (3:00 / km)
Total: 42:58
6 / 12 Alex Robin
GBR
+13 s
+4 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:01
15:01
 42:59
Show details
Prediction details: Alex Robin

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 2–11
Top-10 probability: 88 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +13 s
Time: 8:33
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +4 s
Fehler: 9.3 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.43 %, Sicherheit 59 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 86 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 1 (41 people)
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.66 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:01 (3:00 / km)
Historical basis: 2:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 1.01 %, Sicherheit 47 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:01 (3:00 / km)
Error: +0:00 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 42:59
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:33 (1:08 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 15:01 (3:00 / km)
Total: 42:59
7 / 8 Justus Töpper
GER
+33 s
+10 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:02
14:54
 43:00
Show details
Prediction details: Justus Töpper

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 1–24
Top-10 probability: 54 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 8:53
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: 22.6 s
H2H: 51 Gegner:innen, 129 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 45 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 1 (41 people)
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.43 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:02 (3:00 / km)
Historical basis: 3:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:55 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 50 Gegner:innen, 121 Duelle, Korrektur 0.59 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:54 (2:59 / km)
Error: +0:08 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 43:00
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:53 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 15:02 (3:00 / km)
Total: 43:00
8 / 36 Shachar Agur
ISR
+34 s
+18 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:06
16:13
 43:04
Show details
Prediction details: Shachar Agur

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 3–26
Top-10 probability: 44 %
Result: 36
Deviation: -28

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 8:54
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 15.7 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 104 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 44 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 1 (41 people)
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.30 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:06 (3:01 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 91 Duelle, Korrektur 0.44 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:13 (3:15 / km)
Error: −1:07 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 43:04
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:54 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 15:06 (3:01 / km)
Total: 43:04
9 / 3 Ben Dijkstra
TRI
+26 s
+3 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:09
14:32
 43:07
Show details
Prediction details: Ben Dijkstra

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 2–15
Top-10 probability: 64 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 22.8 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 61 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 1 (41 people)
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.63 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:09 (3:02 / km)
Historical basis: 3:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:32 (2:54 / km)
Error: +0:37 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 43:07
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:46 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 15:09 (3:02 / km)
Total: 43:07
10 / 5 Till Kramp
GER
+28 s
+10 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:14
14:41
 43:12
Show details
Prediction details: Till Kramp

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 4–17
Top-10 probability: 63 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: 18.3 s
H2H: 44 Gegner:innen, 143 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 58 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 1 (41 people)
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.56 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:14 (3:03 / km)
Historical basis: 3:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 43 Gegner:innen, 136 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:41 (2:56 / km)
Error: +0:33 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 43:12
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:48 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 15:14 (3:03 / km)
Total: 43:12
11 / 55 Kiril Polikarpenko
ITA
+35 s
+41 s
G1 / G4
 15:14
16:25
 43:12
Show details
Prediction details: Kiril Polikarpenko

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 7–19
Top-10 probability: 40 %
Result: 55
Deviation: -44

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 8:55
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: -6.5 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 41 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 4 (6 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.77 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:14 (3:03 / km)
Historical basis: 3:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:25 (3:17 / km)
Error: −1:11 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 43:12
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:55 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 15:14 (3:03 / km)
Total: 43:12
12 / 24 Matthew Wright
BAR
+38 s
+14 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:22
15:42
 43:20
Show details
Prediction details: Matthew Wright

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 3–47
Top-10 probability: 33 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 8:58
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 24.0 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur -0.62 %, Sicherheit 52 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 45 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 1 (41 people)
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.36 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:22 (3:04 / km)
Historical basis: 3:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 41 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:42 (3:08 / km)
Error: −0:20 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 43:20
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:58 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 15:22 (3:04 / km)
Total: 43:20
13 / 39 Adrien Gouilloud
FRA
+32 s
+45 s
G1 / G3
 15:24
15:43
 43:22
Show details
Prediction details: Adrien Gouilloud

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 9–35
Top-10 probability: 19 %
Result: 39
Deviation: -26

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 8:52
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: -12.9 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.37 %, Sicherheit 30 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 40 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 3 (13 people)
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.78 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:24 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.59 %, Sicherheit 32 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:43 (3:09 / km)
Error: −0:19 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 43:22
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:52 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 15:24 (3:05 / km)
Total: 43:22
14 / 14 Kamil Kulik
POL
+43 s
+21 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:24
15:02
 43:22
Show details
Prediction details: Kamil Kulik

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 8–35
Top-10 probability: 18 %
Result: 14
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 9:03
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 21.9 s
H2H: 47 Gegner:innen, 175 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 23 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 1 (41 people)
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.36 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:24 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 48 Gegner:innen, 167 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:02 (3:00 / km)
Error: +0:22 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 43:22
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:03 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 15:24 (3:05 / km)
Total: 43:22
15 / 26 Albert García Serra
ESP
+38 s
+8 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:26
15:40
 43:24
Show details
Prediction details: Albert García Serra

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 4–31
Top-10 probability: 31 %
Result: 26
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 8:58
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +8 s
Fehler: 29.9 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur -0.29 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 36 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 1 (41 people)
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.58 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:26 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur 0.80 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:40 (3:08 / km)
Error: −0:14 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 43:24
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:58 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 15:26 (3:05 / km)
Total: 43:24
16 / 11 Joris Basslé
BEL
+25 s
+6 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:31
15:01
 43:29
Show details
Prediction details: Joris Basslé

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 8–22
Top-10 probability: 21 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 8:45
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 19.2 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 75 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 61 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 1 (41 people)
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:31 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:01 (3:00 / km)
Error: +0:30 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 43:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:45 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 15:31 (3:06 / km)
Total: 43:29
17 / 7 Quentin Criado
FRA
+39 s
+27 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:34
14:41
 43:32
Show details
Prediction details: Quentin Criado

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 5–33
Top-10 probability: 21 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 8:59
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: 11.9 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 26 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 1 (41 people)
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:34 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:41 (2:56 / km)
Error: +0:53 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 43:32
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 8:59 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 15:34 (3:07 / km)
Total: 43:32
18 / 22 Simeone Romano
ITA
+32 s
+27 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:39
15:29
 43:37
Show details
Prediction details: Simeone Romano

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 11–29
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 8:52
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: 4.9 s
H2H: 50 Gegner:innen, 136 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 43 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 1 (41 people)
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.07 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:39 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 49 Gegner:innen, 115 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:29 (3:06 / km)
Error: +0:10 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 43:37
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:52 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 15:39 (3:08 / km)
Total: 43:37
19 / 19 Fabian Schönke
GER
+33 s
+31 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:39
15:21
 43:37
Show details
Prediction details: Fabian Schönke

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 12–25
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 19
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 8:53
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 2.1 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 123 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 54 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 1 (41 people)
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.02 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:39 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 120 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:21 (3:04 / km)
Error: +0:18 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 43:37
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:53 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 15:39 (3:08 / km)
Total: 43:37
20 / 13 Jan Scheffold
GER
+40 s
+8 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:41
15:11
 43:39
Show details
Prediction details: Jan Scheffold

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 12–37
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 9:00
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +8 s
Fehler: 32.1 s
H2H: 45 Gegner:innen, 91 Duelle, Korrektur -0.62 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s
Result: Group 1 (41 people)
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.38 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:41 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 78 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:11 (3:02 / km)
Error: +0:30 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 43:39
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:00 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 15:41 (3:08 / km)
Total: 43:39
21 / 57 Theo Marti
LUX
+29 s
+44 s
G1 / G5
 15:54
16:12
 43:52
Show details
Prediction details: Theo Marti

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 13–31
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 57
Deviation: -36

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 8:49
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: -14.7 s
H2H: 45 Gegner:innen, 77 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 55 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:54 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 45 Gegner:innen, 77 Duelle, Korrektur 0.79 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:12 (3:14 / km)
Error: −0:18 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 43:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:49 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 15:54 (3:11 / km)
Total: 43:52
22 / 52 Tomas Zikmund
CZE
+39 s
+22 s
G1 / G3
 16:00
16:42
 43:58
Show details
Prediction details: Tomas Zikmund

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 15–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 52
Deviation: -30

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 8:59
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 16.7 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 93 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 33 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 3 (13 people)
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:00 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 90 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:42 (3:20 / km)
Error: −0:42 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 43:58
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:59 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 16:00 (3:12 / km)
Total: 43:58
23 / 15 Pao Millo
FRA
+12 s
+1 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:04
15:10
 44:02
Show details
Prediction details: Pao Millo

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 17–28
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 15
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 8:32
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 11.2 s
H2H: 48 Gegner:innen, 82 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 91 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 9.2 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 1 (41 people)
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.58 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:04 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:53 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 48 Gegner:innen, 82 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:10 (3:02 / km)
Error: +0:54 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 44:02
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:32 (1:08 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 16:04 (3:13 / km)
Total: 44:02
24 / 48 Lukas Meckel
GER
+35 s
+25 s
G1 / G3
 16:04
16:32
 44:02
Show details
Prediction details: Lukas Meckel

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 10–43
Top-10 probability: 11 %
Result: 48
Deviation: -24

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 8:55
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: 10.1 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 39 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 3 (13 people)
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:04 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:32 (3:18 / km)
Error: −0:28 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 44:02
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:55 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 16:04 (3:13 / km)
Total: 44:02
25 / 21 Jan Semmler
GER
+32 s
+6 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:11
15:32
 44:09
Show details
Prediction details: Jan Semmler

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 15–41
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 21
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 8:52
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 26.4 s
H2H: 51 Gegner:innen, 122 Duelle, Korrektur -0.37 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 51 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 1 (41 people)
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:11 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 50 Gegner:innen, 113 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:32 (3:06 / km)
Error: +0:39 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 44:09
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:52 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 16:11 (3:14 / km)
Total: 44:09
26 / 29 Niels Van Lanen
NED
+46 s
+26 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:11
15:56
 44:09
Show details
Prediction details: Niels Van Lanen

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 18–46
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: 19.9 s
H2H: 51 Gegner:innen, 158 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 1 (41 people)
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.13 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:11 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 50 Gegner:innen, 152 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:56 (3:11 / km)
Error: +0:15 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 44:09
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:06 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 16:11 (3:14 / km)
Total: 44:09
27 / 28 Jan Gaberc
AUT
+28 s
+7 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:14
15:53
 44:12
Show details
Prediction details: Jan Gaberc

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 21–34
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +7 s
Fehler: 21.1 s
H2H: 50 Gegner:innen, 93 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 61 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 1 (41 people)
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.53 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:14 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 49 Gegner:innen, 80 Duelle, Korrektur 0.60 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:53 (3:11 / km)
Error: +0:21 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 44:12
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:48 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 16:14 (3:15 / km)
Total: 44:12
28 / 53 Taha Eren Coşgun
TUR
+26 s
+21 s
G1 / G3
 16:20
16:53
 44:18
Show details
Prediction details: Taha Eren Coşgun

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 19–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 53
Deviation: -25

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 5.2 s
H2H: 43 Gegner:innen, 62 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 59 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s
Result: Group 3 (13 people)
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.37 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:20 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 62 Duelle, Korrektur 0.66 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:53 (3:23 / km)
Error: −0:33 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 44:18
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:46 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 16:20 (3:16 / km)
Total: 44:18
29 / 43 Jakub Suchan
POL
+42 s
+25 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:20
16:40
 44:18
Show details
Prediction details: Jakub Suchan

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 26–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 43
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: 17.0 s
H2H: 45 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur -0.76 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 29 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 1 (41 people)
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:20 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 43 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:40 (3:20 / km)
Error: −0:20 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 44:18
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:02 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 16:20 (3:16 / km)
Total: 44:18
30 / 40 Leandre Binette
CAN
+46 s
+18 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:22
16:37
 44:20
Show details
Prediction details: Leandre Binette

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 5–58
Top-10 probability: 14 %
Result: 40
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 27.5 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 43 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 1 (41 people)
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.28 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 40 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:37 (3:19 / km)
Error: −0:15 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 44:20
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:06 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Total: 44:20
31 / 50 Tim Thevenard
FRA
+30 s
+11 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:23
17:37
 44:21
Show details
Prediction details: Tim Thevenard

Placement

Prediction: 31
80% range: 25–40
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 50
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 19.1 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 20 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 50 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 1 (41 people)
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.28 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:23 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 18 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:37 (3:31 / km)
Error: −1:14 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 44:21
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:50 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 16:23 (3:17 / km)
Total: 44:21
32 / 30 Fiorenzo Angelini
ITA
+34 s
+9 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:25
16:01
 44:23
Show details
Prediction details: Fiorenzo Angelini

Placement

Prediction: 32
80% range: 17–49
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 30
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 8:54
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +9 s
Fehler: 25.3 s
H2H: 45 Gegner:innen, 113 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 43 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 1 (41 people)
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.58 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:25 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 44 Gegner:innen, 92 Duelle, Korrektur -0.29 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:01 (3:12 / km)
Error: +0:24 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 44:23
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:54 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 16:25 (3:17 / km)
Total: 44:23
33 / 34 Tomer Shapira
ISR
+40 s
+11 s
G1 / G3
 16:29
15:22
 44:27
Show details
Prediction details: Tomer Shapira

Placement

Prediction: 33
80% range: 10–58
Top-10 probability: 11 %
Result: 34
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 9:00
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 28.8 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 96 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 3 (13 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.66 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:29 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 83 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:22 (3:04 / km)
Error: +1:07 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 44:27
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:00 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 16:29 (3:18 / km)
Total: 44:27
34 / 35 Oscar Lilja
SWE
+38 s
+26 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:30
16:14
 44:28
Show details
Prediction details: Oscar Lilja

Placement

Prediction: 34
80% range: 28–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 35
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 8:58
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: 11.7 s
H2H: 43 Gegner:innen, 116 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 34 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 1 (41 people)
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.92 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:30 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 99 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:14 (3:15 / km)
Error: +0:16 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 44:28
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:58 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 16:30 (3:18 / km)
Total: 44:28
35 / 64 Burak Cağdaş
TUR
+36 s
+32 s
G1 / G6
 16:32
17:52
 44:30
Show details
Prediction details: Burak Cağdaş

Placement

Prediction: 35
80% range: 26–51
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 64
Deviation: -29

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: 3.8 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 34 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 6 (2 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 7.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:32 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:52 (3:34 / km)
Error: −1:20 / −0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 44:30
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:56 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 16:32 (3:18 / km)
Total: 44:30
36 / 6 Veikka Saren
FIN
+37 s
+17 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:32
14:46
 44:30
Show details
Prediction details: Veikka Saren

Placement

Prediction: 36
80% range: 30–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 30

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 8:57
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 19.5 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 98 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 41 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 1 (41 people)
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.23 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:32 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:56 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 98 Duelle, Korrektur -0.89 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:46 (2:57 / km)
Error: +1:46 / +0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 44:30
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:57 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 16:32 (3:18 / km)
Total: 44:30
37 / 17 Oliver Hostrup Sahlberg
DEN
+24 s
+6 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:35
15:10
 44:33
Show details
Prediction details: Oliver Hostrup Sahlberg

Placement

Prediction: 37
80% range: 16–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: 20

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 8:44
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 18.3 s
H2H: 46 Gegner:innen, 107 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 74 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.9 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 1 (41 people)
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.53 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 45 Gegner:innen, 107 Duelle, Korrektur -0.45 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:10 (3:02 / km)
Error: +1:25 / +0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 44:33
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:44 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Total: 44:33
38 / 23 Luis Rühl
GER
+37 s
+16 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:35
15:32
 44:33
Show details
Prediction details: Luis Rühl

Placement

Prediction: 38
80% range: 19–55
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 23
Deviation: 15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 8:57
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: 21.0 s
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 1 (41 people)
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur -0.63 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:32 (3:06 / km)
Error: +1:03 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 44:33
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:57 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Total: 44:33
39 / 31 Julian Piller
AUT
+26 s
+24 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:38
15:58
 44:36
Show details
Prediction details: Julian Piller

Placement

Prediction: 39
80% range: 29–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 31
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: 1.6 s
H2H: 45 Gegner:innen, 96 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 64 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 1 (41 people)
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.15 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:38 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 10
H2H: 45 Gegner:innen, 96 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:58 (3:12 / km)
Error: +0:40 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 44:36
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:46 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 16:38 (3:20 / km)
Total: 44:36
40 / 27 Samuel Künz
AUT
+31 s
+10 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:40
15:43
 44:38
Show details
Prediction details: Samuel Künz

Placement

Prediction: 40
80% range: 24–50
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 27
Deviation: 13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: 20.5 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -0.37 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 51 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 1 (41 people)
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.51 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:40 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:43 (3:09 / km)
Error: +0:57 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 44:38
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:51 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 16:40 (3:20 / km)
Total: 44:38
41 / 44 Roye Kohn
ISR
+38 s
+22 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:40
16:59
 44:38
Show details
Prediction details: Roye Kohn

Placement

Prediction: 41
80% range: 18–56
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 44
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 8:58
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 16.1 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 66 Duelle, Korrektur 0.49 %, Sicherheit 96 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 23 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 1 (41 people)
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.38 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:40 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur 0.64 %, Sicherheit 78 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:59 (3:24 / km)
Error: −0:19 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 44:38
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:58 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 16:40 (3:20 / km)
Total: 44:38
42 / 32 Hector Tolsa Garcia
ESP
+47 s
+37 s
G2 / G1
 15:29
16:14
 44:48
Show details
Prediction details: Hector Tolsa Garcia

Placement

Prediction: 42
80% range: 10–51
Top-10 probability: 13 %
Result: 32
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 9:07
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: 10.1 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 93 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 1 (41 people)
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.99 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:29 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 64 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:14 (3:15 / km)
Error: −0:45 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 44:48
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:07 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:20 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 15:29 (3:06 / km)
Total: 44:48
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 0.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
43 / 60 Oleksii Astafiev Kulish
UKR
+18 s
+28 s
G1 / G4
 17:03
17:11
 45:01
Show details
Prediction details: Oleksii Astafiev Kulish

Placement

Prediction: 43
80% range: 27–53
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 60
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +18 s
Time: 8:38
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: -9.6 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -0.35 %, Sicherheit 10 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 66 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 5.9 s
Result: Group 4 (6 people)
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.98 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:03 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 9 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:11 (3:26 / km)
Error: −0:08 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 45:01
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:38 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 17:03 (3:25 / km)
Total: 45:01
44 / 45 Isaac Lamprecht
USA
+48 s
+41 s
G2 / G3
 15:46
16:15
 45:05
Show details
Prediction details: Isaac Lamprecht

Placement

Prediction: 44
80% range: 14–50
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 45
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: 7.3 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 3 (13 people)
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.23 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:46 (3:09 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:54 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:15 (3:15 / km)
Error: −0:29 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 45:05
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:08 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:20 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 15:46 (3:09 / km)
Total: 45:05
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 2.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
45 / 9 Kjell Arved Brandt
GER
+49 s
+12 s
G2 / G1
 15:49
14:50
 45:08
Show details
Prediction details: Kjell Arved Brandt

Placement

Prediction: 45
80% range: 25–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 36

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 36.8 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur -1.81 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 1 (41 people)
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.39 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:49 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur -0.51 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:50 (2:58 / km)
Error: +0:59 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 45:08
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:09 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:20 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 15:49 (3:10 / km)
Total: 45:08
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 2.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
46 / 37 Hugo Borel
FRA
+54 s
+6 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:57
15:54
 45:16
Show details
Prediction details: Hugo Borel

Placement

Prediction: 46
80% range: 23–56
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 37
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +54 s
Time: 9:14
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 48.2 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur -0.72 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 2.4 s
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.72 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:57 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:59 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:54 (3:11 / km)
Error: +0:03 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 45:16
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:14 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:20 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 15:57 (3:11 / km)
Total: 45:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
47 / 54 Lukas Bentsen
DEN
+17 s
+22 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:28
18:22
 45:26
Show details
Prediction details: Lukas Bentsen

Placement

Prediction: 47
80% range: 43–52
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 54
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +17 s
Time: 8:37
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: -5.0 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 78 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 1 (41 people)
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:28 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:22 (3:40 / km)
Error: −0:54 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 45:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:37 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 17:28 (3:30 / km)
Total: 45:26
48 / 42 Mateusz Gluszkowski
POL
+15 s
+9 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:31
16:52
 45:29
Show details
Prediction details: Mateusz Gluszkowski

Placement

Prediction: 48
80% range: 44–51
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 42
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +15 s
Time: 8:35
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +9 s
Fehler: 5.5 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 77 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 88 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 2.5 s
Result: Group 1 (41 people)
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.46 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 76 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:52 (3:22 / km)
Error: +0:39 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 45:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:35 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Total: 45:29
49 / 33 Brody Kapeller
AUT
+53 s
+15 s
G2 / G1
 16:19
16:07
 45:38
Show details
Prediction details: Brody Kapeller

Placement

Prediction: 49
80% range: 32–57
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 33
Deviation: 16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: 37.5 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur -0.41 %, Sicherheit 60 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 1 (41 people)
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.27 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:19 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur 0.67 %, Sicherheit 51 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:07 (3:13 / km)
Error: +0:12 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 45:38
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:13 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:20 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 16:19 (3:16 / km)
Total: 45:38
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:07
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 6.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
50 / 25 Kuba Gajda
POL
+47 s
+42 s
G2 / G3
 16:22
14:46
 45:41
Show details
Prediction details: Kuba Gajda

Placement

Prediction: 50
80% range: 15–58
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 25
Deviation: 25

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 9:07
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: 5.1 s
H2H: 44 Gegner:innen, 103 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 3 (13 people)
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:56 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 95 Duelle, Korrektur -1.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:46 (2:57 / km)
Error: +1:36 / +0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 45:41
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:07 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:20 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Total: 45:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 0.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
51 / 16 Andrea Balestreri
ITA
+50 s
+14 s
G2 / G1
 16:30
15:11
 45:49
Show details
Prediction details: Andrea Balestreri

Placement

Prediction: 51
80% range: 33–54
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: 35

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 35.7 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur -0.49 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 1 (41 people)
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.55 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:30 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur -0.50 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:11 (3:02 / km)
Error: +1:19 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 45:49
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:10 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:20 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 16:30 (3:18 / km)
Total: 45:49
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:07
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 3.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
52 / 56 Emiliano Tassinari
ITA
+58 s
+43 s
G2 / G4
 16:37
16:33
 45:56
Show details
Prediction details: Emiliano Tassinari

Placement

Prediction: 52
80% range: 43–59
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 56
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +58 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: 14.6 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 60 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 2.2 s
Result: Group 4 (6 people)
Speed: 39.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.97 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:37 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur 1.00 %, Sicherheit 52 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:33 (3:19 / km)
Error: +0:04 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 45:56
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:20 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 16:37 (3:19 / km)
Total: 45:56
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:07
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 11.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
53 / 41 Dorian Horsten
NED
+50 s
+35 s
G2 / G3
 16:39
15:47
 45:58
Show details
Prediction details: Dorian Horsten

Placement

Prediction: 53
80% range: 38–55
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 41
Deviation: 12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: 15.0 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 93 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 3 (13 people)
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.33 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:39 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 92 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:47 (3:09 / km)
Error: +0:52 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 45:58
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:10 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:20 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 16:39 (3:20 / km)
Total: 45:58
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 3.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
54 / 18 Jayden Scott Koslick
GER
+34 s
+16 s
G1 / G1
correct 		18:00
15:22
 45:58
Show details
Prediction details: Jayden Scott Koslick

Placement

Prediction: 54
80% range: 51–58
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: 36

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 8:54
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: 17.5 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 0.63 %, Sicherheit 88 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (45 people)
Gruppe 1: 36 %
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 1 (41 people)
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:00 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur -1.80 %, Sicherheit 89 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:22 (3:04 / km)
Error: +2:38 / +0:32 / km
Overall prediction: 45:58
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:54 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:12 (44.1 km/h)
Run: 18:00 (3:36 / km)
Total: 45:58
55 / 58 Jan Chrzanowski
POL
+47 s
+33 s
G2 / G4
 16:50
16:44
 46:09
Show details
Prediction details: Jan Chrzanowski

Placement

Prediction: 55
80% range: 35–59
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 58
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 9:07
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: 14.2 s
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 19 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 4 (6 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:50 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:44 (3:21 / km)
Error: +0:06 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 46:09
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:07 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:20 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 16:50 (3:22 / km)
Total: 46:09
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
56 / 47 Mikita Katsianeu
BLR
+51 s
+20 s
G2 / G3
 16:56
16:23
 46:15
Show details
Prediction details: Mikita Katsianeu

Placement

Prediction: 56
80% range: 31–59
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 47
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 30.5 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 3 (13 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.82 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:56 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:23 (3:17 / km)
Error: +0:33 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 46:15
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:11 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:20 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 16:56 (3:23 / km)
Total: 46:15
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:07
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 4.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
57 / 38 Giovanni Pavanello
ITA
+47 s
+18 s
G2 / G1
 16:57
16:34
 46:16
Show details
Prediction details: Giovanni Pavanello

Placement

Prediction: 57
80% range: 33–58
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 38
Deviation: 19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 9:07
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 28.9 s
H2H: 44 Gegner:innen, 85 Duelle, Korrektur 0.51 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 1 (41 people)
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:57 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 43 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:34 (3:19 / km)
Error: +0:23 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 46:16
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:07 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:20 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 16:57 (3:23 / km)
Total: 46:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 0.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
58 / 49 Alejandro López García
ESP
+47 s
+10 s
G2 / G3
 17:06
16:41
 46:25
Show details
Prediction details: Alejandro López García

Placement

Prediction: 58
80% range: 43–57
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 49
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 9:07
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: 37.0 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 25 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 3 (13 people)
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:06 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -1.01 %, Sicherheit 25 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:41 (3:20 / km)
Error: +0:25 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 46:25
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:07 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:20 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 17:06 (3:25 / km)
Total: 46:25
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 0.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
59 / 46 Tymon Horsten
POL
+60 s
+44 s
G2 / G3
 17:41
16:20
 47:00
Show details
Prediction details: Tymon Horsten

Placement

Prediction: 59
80% range: 50–62
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 46
Deviation: 13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +60 s
Time: 9:20
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: 15.8 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.2 s
Gap behind: 8.9 s
Result: Group 3 (13 people)
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.16 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:41 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 43 Gegner:innen, 82 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:20 (3:16 / km)
Error: +1:21 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 47:00
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:20 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:20 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 17:41 (3:32 / km)
Total: 47:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 13.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
60 / 51 Matteo Radina
SUI
+69 s
+47 s
G3 / G3
correct 		18:05
16:43
 48:59
Show details
Prediction details: Matteo Radina

Placement

Prediction: 60
80% range: 57–62
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 51
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +69 s
Time: 9:29
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: 21.8 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 67 Duelle, Korrektur -0.37 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 3.4 s
Result: Group 3 (13 people)
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.93 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:05 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur -0.64 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:43 (3:21 / km)
Error: +1:22 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 48:59
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:29 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:46 (40.3 km/h)
Run: 18:05 (3:37 / km)
Total: 48:59
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 22.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
61 / 62 Niklas Ararz Villà Páramo
PAN
+69 s
+42 s
G3 / G4
 18:32
18:00
 49:26
Show details
Prediction details: Niklas Ararz Villà Páramo

Placement

Prediction: 61
80% range: 60–63
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 62
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +69 s
Time: 9:29
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: 26.7 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -0.77 %, Sicherheit 18 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.9 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 4 (6 people)
Speed: 39.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.96 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:32 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:41 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.50 %, Sicherheit 16 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:00 (3:36 / km)
Error: +0:32 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 49:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:29 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:46 (40.3 km/h)
Run: 18:32 (3:42 / km)
Total: 49:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:07
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 22.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
62 / 63 Wybe Vermeulen
NED
+73 s
+58 s
G4 / G6
 17:17
16:57
 49:37
Show details
Prediction details: Wybe Vermeulen

Placement

Prediction: 62
80% range: 57–63
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 63
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +73 s
Time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +58 s
Fehler: 14.9 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur 0.44 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (2 people)
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.23 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:17 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur -0.45 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:57 (3:23 / km)
Error: +0:20 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 49:37
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:33 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:07 (38.6 km/h)
Run: 17:17 (3:27 / km)
Total: 49:37
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 26.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
63 / 59 Leon Dahlin
SWE
+72 s
+58 s
G4 / G4
correct 		17:24
16:48
 49:44
Show details
Prediction details: Leon Dahlin

Placement

Prediction: 63
80% range: 56–63
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 59
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +72 s
Time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +58 s
Fehler: 14.2 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.4 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 4 (6 people)
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:24 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:48 (3:22 / km)
Error: +0:36 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 49:44
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:32 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:07 (38.6 km/h)
Run: 17:24 (3:29 / km)
Total: 49:44
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 26 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
64 / 65 Michał Pisanko
POL
+57 s
+60 s
G2 / G7
 31:50
18:44
 1:01:09
Show details
Prediction details: Michał Pisanko

Placement

Prediction: 64
80% range: 64–65
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 65
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +57 s
Time: 9:17
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +60 s
Fehler: -3.4 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 13 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.4 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 7 (2 people)
Speed: 36.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.16 km/h

Running and total

Run: 31:50 (6:22 / km)
Historical basis: 6:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 13 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:44 (3:45 / km)
Error: +13:06 / +2:37 / km
Overall prediction: 1:01:09
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:17 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:20 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 31:50 (6:22 / km)
Total: 1:01:09
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:07
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 10.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
65 / 61 Stanisław Ptaszyński
POL
+51 s
+43 s
G2 / G5
 31:52
17:06
 1:01:11
Show details
Prediction details: Stanisław Ptaszyński

Placement

Prediction: 65
80% range: 64–65
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 61
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: 8.3 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 70 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 23 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.23 km/h

Running and total

Run: 31:52 (6:22 / km)
Historical basis: 6:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 62 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:06 (3:25 / km)
Error: +14:46 / +2:57 / km
Overall prediction: 1:01:11
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:11 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:20 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 31:52 (6:22 / km)
Total: 1:01:11
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 5.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +46.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.