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Elite Women

23.05.2026 Kapitańska POL
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Cup Olsztyn

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 23.05.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 99/100 hoch
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 72 früheren Rennen und 1324 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 39.8 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 16.05.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 5 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 97.8 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 100.0 % · 72 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error8.9
Mean swim error14.5 s
Mean bike-speed error2.83 km/h
Correct bike groups23/45
No history0
Within the 80% range48.9 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 16 María Teresa Jiménez-Orta Guerrero
ESP
+18 s
+9 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:00
17:49
 46:46
Show details
Prediction details: María Teresa Jiménez-Orta Guerrero

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–8
Top-10 probability: 96 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +18 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +9 s
Fehler: 8.7 s
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 109 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 79 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:00 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 81 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:49 (3:34 / km)
Error: −0:49 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 46:46
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 17:00 (3:24 / km)
Total: 46:46
2 / 3 Ana Carballo Gómez
ESP
+18 s
+5 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:17
16:36
 47:03
Show details
Prediction details: Ana Carballo Gómez

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 2–8
Top-10 probability: 98 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +18 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 13.0 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 80 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 73 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.63 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:17 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 80 Duelle, Korrektur 0.42 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:36 (3:19 / km)
Error: +0:41 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 47:03
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 17:17 (3:27 / km)
Total: 47:03
3 / 2 María Casals Mojica
ESP
+27 s
+9 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:20
16:40
 47:06
Show details
Prediction details: María Casals Mojica

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 2–19
Top-10 probability: 59 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 10:03
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +9 s
Fehler: 17.5 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 94 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 38 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.28 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:20 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 84 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 89 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:40 (3:20 / km)
Error: +0:40 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 47:06
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:03 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 17:20 (3:28 / km)
Total: 47:06
4 / 15 Liis Kapten
EST
+18 s
+10 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:27
17:44
 47:13
Show details
Prediction details: Liis Kapten

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 3–14
Top-10 probability: 74 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +18 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: 7.7 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 110 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 54 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.30 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:27 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 70 Duelle, Korrektur 0.44 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:44 (3:33 / km)
Error: −0:17 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 47:13
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 17:27 (3:29 / km)
Total: 47:13
5 / 5 Zuzanna Sudak
POL
+28 s
+8 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:29
17:01
 47:15
Show details
Prediction details: Zuzanna Sudak

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 2–16
Top-10 probability: 71 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 10:04
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +8 s
Fehler: 19.9 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 63 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 39 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:29 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur 0.64 %, Sicherheit 57 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:01 (3:24 / km)
Error: +0:28 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 47:15
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:04 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 17:29 (3:30 / km)
Total: 47:15
6 / 6 Rachel Werking
USA
+16 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:31
17:02
 47:17
Show details
Prediction details: Rachel Werking

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 1–19
Top-10 probability: 76 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 15.9 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 38 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 80 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.56 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 46 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:02 (3:24 / km)
Error: +0:29 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 47:17
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:52 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Total: 47:17
7 / 12 Margareta Vrablova
SVK
+14 s
+5 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:33
17:18
 47:19
Show details
Prediction details: Margareta Vrablova

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 2–12
Top-10 probability: 88 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +14 s
Time: 9:50
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 9.0 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 45 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 76 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:33 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 46 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Error: +0:15 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 47:19
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:50 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 17:33 (3:31 / km)
Total: 47:19
8 / 4 Alejandra Seguí Soria
ESP
+25 s
+19 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:46
16:54
 47:32
Show details
Prediction details: Alejandra Seguí Soria

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 6–17
Top-10 probability: 63 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 10:01
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 5.7 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 90 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 51 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 4.0 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.26 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:46 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: −0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:54 (3:23 / km)
Error: +0:52 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 47:32
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:01 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 17:46 (3:33 / km)
Total: 47:32
9 / 31 Josephine Seerig
GER
+14 s
+20 s
G1 / G2
 17:59
18:27
 47:45
Show details
Prediction details: Josephine Seerig

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 1–26
Top-10 probability: 46 %
Result: 31
Deviation: -22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +14 s
Time: 9:50
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: -6.2 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 96 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 98 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.4 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (20 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:59 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur 0.55 %, Sicherheit 82 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:27 (3:41 / km)
Error: −0:28 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 47:45
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:50 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 17:59 (3:36 / km)
Total: 47:45
10 / 17 Magdalena Sudak
POL
+18 s
+7 s
G1 / G1
correct 		18:04
18:03
 47:50
Show details
Prediction details: Magdalena Sudak

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 7–19
Top-10 probability: 40 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +18 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +7 s
Fehler: 11.4 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 95 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 69 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:04 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 79 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:03 (3:37 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 47:50
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 18:04 (3:37 / km)
Total: 47:50
11 / 29 Giorgia Messori
ITA
+9 s
+3 s
G1 / G2
 18:05
18:12
 47:51
Show details
Prediction details: Giorgia Messori

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 6–15
Top-10 probability: 58 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +9 s
Time: 9:45
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 5.9 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.69 %, Sicherheit 26 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 98 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 2 (20 people)
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.58 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:05 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 22 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:12 (3:38 / km)
Error: −0:07 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 47:51
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:45 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 18:05 (3:37 / km)
Total: 47:51
12 / 21 Vanessa Possberg
SUI
+11 s
+13 s
G1 / G1
correct 		18:06
19:03
 47:52
Show details
Prediction details: Vanessa Possberg

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 3–22
Top-10 probability: 44 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +11 s
Time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: -1.6 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 99 Duelle, Korrektur 0.42 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 88 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 2.4 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.19 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:06 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 68 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:03 (3:49 / km)
Error: −0:57 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 47:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:47 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 18:06 (3:37 / km)
Total: 47:52
13 / 1 Nora Gmür
SUI
+10 s
+21 s
G1 / G1
correct 		18:18
16:38
 48:04
Show details
Prediction details: Nora Gmür

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 10–19
Top-10 probability: 13 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +10 s
Time: 9:46
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: -11.2 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 82 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 88 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.11 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:18 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur -0.52 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:38 (3:20 / km)
Error: +1:40 / +0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 48:04
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:46 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 18:18 (3:40 / km)
Total: 48:04
14 / 22 Yeva Soroka
UKR
+51 s
+49 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:42
17:23
 48:17
Show details
Prediction details: Yeva Soroka

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 11–35
Top-10 probability: 10 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +49 s
Fehler: 1.5 s
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 77 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 2 (20 people)
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:42 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:23 (3:29 / km)
Error: +0:19 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 48:17
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:27 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 17:42 (3:32 / km)
Total: 48:17
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 21.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 43 Chiara Lobba
ITA
+34 s
+25 s
G2 / G4
 17:46
18:33
 48:21
Show details
Prediction details: Chiara Lobba

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 6–21
Top-10 probability: 35 %
Result: 43
Deviation: -28

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 10:10
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: 9.2 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 81 Duelle, Korrektur -0.36 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 30 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 3.4 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.23 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:46 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 71 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:33 (3:43 / km)
Error: −0:47 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 48:21
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:10 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 17:46 (3:33 / km)
Total: 48:21
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 5.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 9 Isabella Hayes
GBR
+15 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		18:41
17:15
 48:27
Show details
Prediction details: Isabella Hayes

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 13–22
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +15 s
Time: 9:51
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 15.0 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 96 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.56 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:41 (3:44 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:15 (3:27 / km)
Error: +1:26 / +0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 48:27
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:51 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 18:41 (3:44 / km)
Total: 48:27
17 / 10 Lærke Ruby
DEN
+7 s
+5 s
G1 / G1
correct 		18:42
17:15
 48:28
Show details
Prediction details: Lærke Ruby

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 14–22
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +7 s
Time: 9:43
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 2.0 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.74 %, Sicherheit 4 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 98 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.38 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:42 (3:44 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.39 %, Sicherheit 4 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:15 (3:27 / km)
Error: +1:27 / +0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 48:28
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:43 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 18:42 (3:44 / km)
Total: 48:28
18 / 13 Helena Knaapi
FIN
+31 s
+19 s
G2 / G1
 17:55
17:15
 48:30
Show details
Prediction details: Helena Knaapi

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 2–22
Top-10 probability: 39 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 11.8 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 40 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 3.4 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.54 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:55 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur -0.40 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:15 (3:27 / km)
Error: +0:40 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 48:30
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:07 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 17:55 (3:35 / km)
Total: 48:30
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 1.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 25 Johanna Uherek
GER
+39 s
+20 s
G2 / G2
correct 		18:00
17:41
 48:35
Show details
Prediction details: Johanna Uherek

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 7–27
Top-10 probability: 18 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 10:15
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 19.0 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 4.3 s
Result: Group 2 (20 people)
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:00 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 53 Duelle, Korrektur 0.48 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:41 (3:32 / km)
Error: +0:19 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 48:35
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:15 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 18:00 (3:36 / km)
Total: 48:35
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 10.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 8 Madalena Amaral Almeida
POR
+48 s
+23 s
G2 / G1
 18:06
17:12
 48:41
Show details
Prediction details: Madalena Amaral Almeida

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 8–33
Top-10 probability: 16 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 10:24
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: 25.3 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.7 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.43 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:06 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:12 (3:26 / km)
Error: +0:54 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 48:41
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:24 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 18:06 (3:37 / km)
Total: 48:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 19.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 19 Lara Thekla Ungewickell
GER
+46 s
+22 s
G2 / G1
 18:26
18:13
 49:01
Show details
Prediction details: Lara Thekla Ungewickell

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 14–32
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 19
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 10:22
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 23.6 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 120 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.3 s
Gap behind: 2.7 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:26 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 109 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:13 (3:39 / km)
Error: +0:13 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 49:01
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:22 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 18:26 (3:41 / km)
Total: 49:01
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 16.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 36 Lauren Mitchell
GBR
+15 s
+17 s
G1 / G2
 19:20
19:02
 49:06
Show details
Prediction details: Lauren Mitchell

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 21–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 36
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +15 s
Time: 9:51
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: -1.6 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 90 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 2 (20 people)
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.27 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:20 (3:52 / km)
Historical basis: 3:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:52 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 7 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:02 (3:48 / km)
Error: +0:18 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 49:06
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:51 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 19:20 (3:52 / km)
Total: 49:06
23 / 42 Katarzyna Dębska
POL
+49 s
+20 s
G2 / G5
 18:32
17:28
 49:07
Show details
Prediction details: Katarzyna Dębska

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 18–36
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 42
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 10:25
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 29.2 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.91 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:32 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:28 (3:30 / km)
Error: +1:04 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 49:07
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:25 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 18:32 (3:42 / km)
Total: 49:07
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 20.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 14 Matylda Wojakiewicz
POL
+29 s
+19 s
G1 / G1
correct 		19:21
17:31
 49:07
Show details
Prediction details: Matylda Wojakiewicz

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 15–35
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 14
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 9.7 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 40 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.17 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:21 (3:52 / km)
Historical basis: 3:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 79 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Error: +1:50 / +0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 49:07
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:05 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 19:21 (3:52 / km)
Total: 49:07
25 / 11 Chiara Göttler
GER
+43 s
+15 s
G2 / G1
 18:33
17:15
 49:08
Show details
Prediction details: Chiara Göttler

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 17–33
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 10:19
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: 28.3 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 4.3 s
Gap behind: 2.3 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.75 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:33 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:15 (3:27 / km)
Error: +1:18 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 49:08
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:19 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 18:33 (3:43 / km)
Total: 49:08
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 14.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 20 Noémi Van der Kaaij
SUI
+37 s
+19 s
G2 / G1
 18:37
18:36
 49:12
Show details
Prediction details: Noémi Van der Kaaij

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 3–35
Top-10 probability: 23 %
Result: 20
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 10:13
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 18.4 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 97 Duelle, Korrektur -0.44 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.49 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:37 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:46 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 68 Duelle, Korrektur 0.66 %, Sicherheit 94 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:36 (3:43 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 49:12
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:13 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 18:37 (3:43 / km)
Total: 49:12
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
27 / 37 Sara Crociani
ITA
+8 s
+11 s
G1 / G2
 19:35
19:18
 49:21
Show details
Prediction details: Sara Crociani

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 11–34
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 37
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +8 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: -2.6 s
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 105 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 99 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 2 (20 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.19 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:35 (3:55 / km)
Historical basis: 3:55 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:18 (3:52 / km)
Error: +0:17 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 49:21
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:44 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 19:35 (3:55 / km)
Total: 49:21
28 / 24 Juliette Jannedothee
BEL
+52 s
+47 s
G2 / G2
correct 		18:53
17:41
 49:28
Show details
Prediction details: Juliette Jannedothee

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 16–40
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 24
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 10:28
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: 4.9 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur -0.40 %, Sicherheit 22 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 2 (20 people)
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.97 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:53 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:44 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.37 %, Sicherheit 22 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:41 (3:32 / km)
Error: +1:12 / +0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 49:28
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:28 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 18:53 (3:47 / km)
Total: 49:28
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 23 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 / 44 Weronika Ptaszyńska
POL
+38 s
+61 s
G2 / G3
 19:02
19:42
 49:37
Show details
Prediction details: Weronika Ptaszyńska

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 22–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 44
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 10:14
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +61 s
Fehler: -23.1 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 79 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 48 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 35.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.32 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:02 (3:48 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 53 Duelle, Korrektur 0.65 %, Sicherheit 38 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:42 (3:56 / km)
Error: −0:40 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 49:37
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:14 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 19:02 (3:48 / km)
Total: 49:37
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
30 / 28 Letizia Martinelli
SUI
+50 s
+44 s
G2 / G2
correct 		19:03
18:12
 49:38
Show details
Prediction details: Letizia Martinelli

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 22–36
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 10:26
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: 6.1 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 82 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 2 (20 people)
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.07 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:03 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:12 (3:38 / km)
Error: +0:51 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 49:38
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:26 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 19:03 (3:49 / km)
Total: 49:38
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 21.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
31 / 26 Alina Sinevich
BLR
+38 s
+22 s
G2 / G2
correct 		19:17
17:46
 49:52
Show details
Prediction details: Alina Sinevich

Placement

Prediction: 31
80% range: 23–34
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 10:14
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 15.9 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 2 (20 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.56 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:17 (3:51 / km)
Historical basis: 3:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur -0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:46 (3:33 / km)
Error: +1:31 / +0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 49:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:14 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 19:17 (3:51 / km)
Total: 49:52
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
32 / 33 Ann Grossenbacher
SUI
+36 s
+12 s
G2 / G2
correct 		19:25
18:40
 50:00
Show details
Prediction details: Ann Grossenbacher

Placement

Prediction: 32
80% range: 25–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 33
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 10:12
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 24.3 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 79 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 2 (20 people)
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.71 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:25 (3:53 / km)
Historical basis: 3:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:52 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 76 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:40 (3:44 / km)
Error: +0:45 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 50:00
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:12 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 19:25 (3:53 / km)
Total: 50:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 7.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
33 / 18 Józefina Młynarska
POL
+39 s
+21 s
G2 / G1
 19:38
18:02
 50:13
Show details
Prediction details: Józefina Młynarska

Placement

Prediction: 33
80% range: 25–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: 15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 10:15
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 17.8 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 113 Duelle, Korrektur 0.76 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 26 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:38 (3:56 / km)
Historical basis: 4:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur -0.51 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:02 (3:36 / km)
Error: +1:36 / +0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 50:13
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:15 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 19:38 (3:56 / km)
Total: 50:13
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 9.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
34 / 23 Anna Zehnder
SUI
+69 s
+52 s
G3 / G2
 17:53
17:43
 50:18
Show details
Prediction details: Anna Zehnder

Placement

Prediction: 34
80% range: 15–37
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 23
Deviation: 11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +69 s
Time: 10:45
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +52 s
Fehler: 17.3 s
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 81 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.0 s
Gap behind: 9.8 s
Result: Group 2 (20 people)
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.07 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:53 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:43 (3:33 / km)
Error: +0:10 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 50:18
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:45 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:16 (38.5 km/h)
Run: 17:53 (3:35 / km)
Total: 50:18
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 40.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
35 / 39 Amélie Gorka
SUI
+30 s
+11 s
G2 / G2
correct 		20:06
19:38
 50:41
Show details
Prediction details: Amélie Gorka

Placement

Prediction: 35
80% range: 25–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 39
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 10:06
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 19.4 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur -0.36 %, Sicherheit 94 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 40 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 2 (20 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.56 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:06 (4:01 / km)
Historical basis: 4:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:46 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 84 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:38 (3:56 / km)
Error: +0:28 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 50:41
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:06 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 20:06 (4:01 / km)
Total: 50:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 1.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
36 / 27 Hanna Foltyniewicz
POL
+63 s
+45 s
G3 / G2
 18:26
18:00
 50:51
Show details
Prediction details: Hanna Foltyniewicz

Placement

Prediction: 36
80% range: 21–41
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 27
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +63 s
Time: 10:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: 18.3 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.9 s
Gap behind: 6.0 s
Result: Group 2 (20 people)
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.27 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:26 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur 0.43 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:00 (3:36 / km)
Error: +0:26 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 50:51
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:39 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:16 (38.5 km/h)
Run: 18:26 (3:41 / km)
Total: 50:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 34.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
37 / 7 Jule Behrens
GER
+54 s
+31 s
G3 / G1
 18:40
17:04
 51:05
Show details
Prediction details: Jule Behrens

Placement

Prediction: 37
80% range: 22–39
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 30

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +54 s
Time: 10:30
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 22.7 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 83 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.49 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:40 (3:44 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur -0.51 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:04 (3:25 / km)
Error: +1:36 / +0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 51:05
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:30 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:16 (38.5 km/h)
Run: 18:40 (3:44 / km)
Total: 51:05
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 24.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
38 / 41 Zuzanna Madej
POL
+20 s
+14 s
G1 / G2
 21:23
20:13
 51:09
Show details
Prediction details: Zuzanna Madej

Placement

Prediction: 38
80% range: 34–40
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 41
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 9:56
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 6.3 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 14 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 73 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 2 (20 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:23 (4:17 / km)
Historical basis: 4:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 1.15 %, Sicherheit 11 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:13 (4:03 / km)
Error: +1:10 / +0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 51:09
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:56 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 21:23 (4:17 / km)
Total: 51:09
39 / 34 Marley Andelman
USA
+52 s
+29 s
G2 / G2
correct 		20:59
18:55
 51:34
Show details
Prediction details: Marley Andelman

Placement

Prediction: 39
80% range: 34–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 34
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 10:28
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: 22.5 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 34 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 2 (20 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.43 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:59 (4:12 / km)
Historical basis: 4:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:46 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -1.41 %, Sicherheit 31 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:55 (3:47 / km)
Error: +2:04 / +0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 51:34
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:28 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 20:59 (4:12 / km)
Total: 51:34
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 22.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
40 / 40 Costanza Antoniotti
ITA
+21 s
+3 s
G1 / G2
 22:41
19:37
 52:27
Show details
Prediction details: Costanza Antoniotti

Placement

Prediction: 40
80% range: 39–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 40
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 9:57
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 17.7 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur -0.29 %, Sicherheit 98 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 59 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 4.0 s
Result: Group 2 (20 people)
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.42 km/h

Running and total

Run: 22:41 (4:32 / km)
Historical basis: 4:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -0.43 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:37 (3:55 / km)
Error: +3:04 / +0:37 / km
Overall prediction: 52:27
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:57 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 22:41 (4:32 / km)
Total: 52:27
41 / 45 Stefania Salazar
TRI
+59 s
+58 s
G3 / G6
 20:28
20:02
 52:53
Show details
Prediction details: Stefania Salazar

Placement

Prediction: 41
80% range: 29–44
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 45
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +59 s
Time: 10:35
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +58 s
Fehler: 1.4 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 37 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.6 s
Gap behind: 3.9 s
Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 33.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.92 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:28 (4:06 / km)
Historical basis: 4:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 36 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:02 (4:00 / km)
Error: +0:26 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 52:53
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:35 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:16 (38.5 km/h)
Run: 20:28 (4:06 / km)
Total: 52:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 30.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
42 / 30 Sofya Kryvetskaya
BLR
+79 s
+59 s
G4 / G2
 19:35
18:25
 53:05
Show details
Prediction details: Sofya Kryvetskaya

Placement

Prediction: 42
80% range: 38–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 30
Deviation: 12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +79 s
Time: 10:55
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +59 s
Fehler: 20.1 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 9.8 s
Gap behind: 13.7 s
Result: Group 2 (20 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.27 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:35 (3:55 / km)
Historical basis: 3:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:46 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:25 (3:41 / km)
Error: +1:10 / +0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 53:05
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:55 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:11 (37.3 km/h)
Run: 19:35 (3:55 / km)
Total: 53:05
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 50.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
43 / 32 Pauline De Groof
BEL
+93 s
+61 s
G5 / G2
 19:04
18:27
 53:10
Show details
Prediction details: Pauline De Groof

Placement

Prediction: 43
80% range: 38–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 32
Deviation: 11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +93 s
Time: 11:09
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +61 s
Fehler: 31.8 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.35 %, Sicherheit 26 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 13.7 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (20 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.72 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:04 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 25 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:27 (3:41 / km)
Error: +0:37 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 53:10
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:09 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:34 (36.9 km/h)
Run: 19:04 (3:49 / km)
Total: 53:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 63.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
44 / 38 Mirjam Huber
GER
+54 s
+4 s
G3 / G2
 20:53
19:21
 53:18
Show details
Prediction details: Mirjam Huber

Placement

Prediction: 44
80% range: 37–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 38
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +54 s
Time: 10:30
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +4 s
Fehler: 49.8 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 5.6 s
Result: Group 2 (20 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.93 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:53 (4:11 / km)
Historical basis: 4:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -0.47 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:21 (3:52 / km)
Error: +1:32 / +0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 53:18
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:30 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:16 (38.5 km/h)
Run: 20:53 (4:11 / km)
Total: 53:18
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 24.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
45 / 35 Aleksandra Ferchmin
POL
+36 s
+34 s
G2 / G2
correct 		33:10
19:03
 1:03:45
Show details
Prediction details: Aleksandra Ferchmin

Placement

Prediction: 45
80% range: 45–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 35
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 10:12
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: 1.7 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 34 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 36 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 2 (20 people)
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.33 km/h

Running and total

Run: 33:10 (6:38 / km)
Historical basis: 6:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 29 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:03 (3:49 / km)
Error: +14:07 / +2:49 / km
Overall prediction: 1:03:45
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:12 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 33:10 (6:38 / km)
Total: 1:03:45
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 6.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.