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Elite Women

30.05.2026 POL
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Cup Rzeszów

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 30.05.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 100/100 hoch
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 72 früheren Rennen und 1324 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 39.8 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 16.05.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 5 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 100.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 97.7 % · 72 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error6.7
Mean swim error12.5 s
Mean bike-speed error1.82 km/h
Correct bike groups10/43
No history0
Within the 80% range79.1 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 2 Alissa Konig
SUI
+28 s
+31 s
G1 / G2
 16:11
17:01
 46:17
Show details
Prediction details: Alissa Konig

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–17
Top-10 probability: 80 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: -3.3 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur -0.41 %, Sicherheit 27 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 35 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:11 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 26 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:01 (3:24 / km)
Error: −0:50 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 46:17
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:05 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:36 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 16:11 (3:14 / km)
Total: 46:17
2 / 1 Fanni Szalai
HUN
+1 s
+5 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:43
16:37
 46:49
Show details
Prediction details: Fanni Szalai

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 1–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +1 s
Time: 9:38
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: -4.0 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 92 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 99 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 7.3 s
Result: Group 1 (5 people)
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.50 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:43 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:37 (3:19 / km)
Error: +0:06 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 46:49
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:38 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:36 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 16:43 (3:21 / km)
Total: 46:49
3 / 20 María Casals Mojica
ESP
+25 s
+43 s
G1 / G3
 16:48
17:12
 46:54
Show details
Prediction details: María Casals Mojica

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 1–14
Top-10 probability: 80 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 10:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: -17.8 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 88 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 56 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.99 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:48 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 81 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:12 (3:26 / km)
Error: −0:24 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 46:54
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:02 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:36 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 16:48 (3:22 / km)
Total: 46:54
4 / 5 Rachel Werking
USA
+9 s
+24 s
G1 / G2
 17:19
17:08
 47:25
Show details
Prediction details: Rachel Werking

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 3–9
Top-10 probability: 91 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +9 s
Time: 9:46
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: -15.4 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 90 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.46 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:19 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:08 (3:26 / km)
Error: +0:11 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 47:25
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:46 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:36 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 17:19 (3:28 / km)
Total: 47:25
5 / 7 Zuzanna Sudak
POL
+30 s
+28 s
G1 / G2
 17:22
17:24
 47:28
Show details
Prediction details: Zuzanna Sudak

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 4–19
Top-10 probability: 50 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: 2.0 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 78 Duelle, Korrektur 0.42 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 75 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:24 (3:29 / km)
Error: −0:02 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 47:28
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:07 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:36 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Total: 47:28
6 / 3 Alejandra Seguí Soria
ESP
+18 s
+32 s
G1 / G2
 17:29
17:08
 47:35
Show details
Prediction details: Alejandra Seguí Soria

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 5–14
Top-10 probability: 74 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +18 s
Time: 9:55
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: -14.1 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 113 Duelle, Korrektur 0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 66 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.35 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:29 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 80 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:08 (3:26 / km)
Error: +0:21 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 47:35
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:55 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:36 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 17:29 (3:30 / km)
Total: 47:35
7 / 9 Margareta Vrablova
SVK
+14 s
+26 s
G1 / G2
 17:30
17:33
 47:36
Show details
Prediction details: Margareta Vrablova

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 3–12
Top-10 probability: 80 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +14 s
Time: 9:51
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: -12.0 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 99 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 75 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s
Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:30 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: −0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:33 (3:31 / km)
Error: −0:03 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 47:36
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:51 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:36 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 17:30 (3:30 / km)
Total: 47:36
8 / 16 Joanna Woźniak
POL
+27 s
+62 s
G1 / G3
 17:36
16:50
 47:42
Show details
Prediction details: Joanna Woźniak

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 4–19
Top-10 probability: 44 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 10:04
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +62 s
Fehler: -35.4 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 79 Duelle, Korrektur 0.73 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 41 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.77 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:36 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 73 Duelle, Korrektur -0.44 %, Sicherheit 93 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:50 (3:22 / km)
Error: +0:46 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 47:42
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:04 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:36 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 17:36 (3:31 / km)
Total: 47:42
9 / 6 Tjasa Vrtacic
SLO
+28 s
+26 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:36
17:30
 47:42
Show details
Prediction details: Tjasa Vrtacic

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 5–23
Top-10 probability: 45 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: 2.3 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 84 Duelle, Korrektur -0.50 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 38 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 1 (5 people)
Speed: 39.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:36 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 76 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 83 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:30 (3:30 / km)
Error: +0:06 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 47:42
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:05 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:36 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 17:36 (3:31 / km)
Total: 47:42
10 / 12 Magdalena Sudak
POL
+10 s
+21 s
G1 / G2
 17:46
17:55
 47:52
Show details
Prediction details: Magdalena Sudak

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 5–13
Top-10 probability: 69 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +10 s
Time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: -11.1 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 116 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 84 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.26 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:46 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 103 Duelle, Korrektur 0.39 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:55 (3:35 / km)
Error: −0:09 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 47:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:47 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:36 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 17:46 (3:33 / km)
Total: 47:52
11 / 10 Dóra Pusztai
HUN
+19 s
+24 s
G1 / G2
 18:02
17:38
 48:08
Show details
Prediction details: Dóra Pusztai

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 5–22
Top-10 probability: 38 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 9:56
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: -4.9 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 111 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 68 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:02 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 70 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:38 (3:32 / km)
Error: +0:24 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 48:08
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:56 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:36 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 18:02 (3:36 / km)
Total: 48:08
12 / 14 Nora Romina Nádas
HUN
+19 s
+23 s
G1 / G1
correct 		18:14
18:23
 48:20
Show details
Prediction details: Nora Romina Nádas

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 8–21
Top-10 probability: 26 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 9:56
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: -4.0 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 81 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 74 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 1 (5 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.26 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:14 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:23 (3:41 / km)
Error: −0:09 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 48:20
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:56 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:36 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 18:14 (3:39 / km)
Total: 48:20
13 / 37 Martina McDowell
ITA
+16 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		18:16
21:43
 48:22
Show details
Prediction details: Martina McDowell

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 6–28
Top-10 probability: 33 %
Result: 37
Deviation: -24

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 9:53
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 15.9 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 71 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 69 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 1 (5 people)
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.56 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:16 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 66 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:43 (4:21 / km)
Error: −3:27 / −0:41 / km
Overall prediction: 48:22
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:53 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:36 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 18:16 (3:39 / km)
Total: 48:22
14 / 8 Matylda Wojakiewicz
POL
+22 s
+29 s
G1 / G2
 18:26
17:25
 48:32
Show details
Prediction details: Matylda Wojakiewicz

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 4–29
Top-10 probability: 34 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 9:59
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: -6.9 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 99 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 58 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.2 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.39 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:26 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 105 Duelle, Korrektur -0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:25 (3:29 / km)
Error: +1:01 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 48:32
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:59 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:36 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 18:26 (3:41 / km)
Total: 48:32
15 / 15 Josephine Seerig
GER
+14 s
+29 s
G1 / G2
 18:29
18:18
 48:35
Show details
Prediction details: Josephine Seerig

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 6–22
Top-10 probability: 38 %
Result: 15
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +14 s
Time: 9:51
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: -15.2 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 69 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 89 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.1 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.26 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:29 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:18 (3:40 / km)
Error: +0:11 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 48:35
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:51 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:36 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 18:29 (3:42 / km)
Total: 48:35
16 / 11 Dominika Peszleg
HUN
+38 s
+28 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:34
17:50
 48:51
Show details
Prediction details: Dominika Peszleg

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 7–28
Top-10 probability: 26 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 10:15
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: 10.4 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.04 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:34 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 10
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 64 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:50 (3:34 / km)
Error: −0:16 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 48:51
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:15 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:35 (39.2 km/h)
Run: 17:34 (3:31 / km)
Total: 48:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 8.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +30.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 31 Dana Soroka
UKR
+20 s
+40 s
G1 / G3
 19:00
18:57
 49:06
Show details
Prediction details: Dana Soroka

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 16–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 31
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 9:57
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: -20.1 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 71 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 44 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 2.2 s
Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.85 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:00 (3:48 / km)
Historical basis: 3:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:57 (3:47 / km)
Error: +0:03 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 49:06
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:57 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:36 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 19:00 (3:48 / km)
Total: 49:06
18 / 32 Ann Grossenbacher
SUI
+24 s
+30 s
G1 / G3
 19:04
18:59
 49:10
Show details
Prediction details: Ann Grossenbacher

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 18–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 32
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 10:01
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: -5.9 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 46 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:04 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:44 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:59 (3:48 / km)
Error: +0:05 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 49:10
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:01 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:36 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 19:04 (3:49 / km)
Total: 49:10
19 / 19 Sara Crociani
ITA
+8 s
+3 s
G1 / G1
correct 		19:05
18:51
 49:11
Show details
Prediction details: Sara Crociani

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 14–29
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 19
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +8 s
Time: 9:45
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 5.3 s
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 126 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 98 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.3 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 1 (5 people)
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.56 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:05 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:44 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 91 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:51 (3:46 / km)
Error: +0:14 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 49:11
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:45 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:36 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 19:05 (3:49 / km)
Total: 49:11
20 / 23 Katarzyna Dębska
POL
+37 s
+42 s
G2 / G3
 17:57
17:23
 49:14
Show details
Prediction details: Katarzyna Dębska

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 9–31
Top-10 probability: 16 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 10:14
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: -5.5 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur -0.50 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.56 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:57 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:23 (3:29 / km)
Error: +0:34 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 49:14
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:14 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:35 (39.2 km/h)
Run: 17:57 (3:35 / km)
Total: 49:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 6.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +30.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 25 Lara Thekla Ungewickell
GER
+31 s
+44 s
G2 / G3
 18:14
17:55
 49:31
Show details
Prediction details: Lara Thekla Ungewickell

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 11–28
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: -13.3 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 129 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 33 %
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.70 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:14 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: −0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 121 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:55 (3:35 / km)
Error: +0:19 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 49:31
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:08 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:35 (39.2 km/h)
Run: 18:14 (3:39 / km)
Total: 49:31
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 0.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +30.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 43 Aleksandra Duban
POL
+39 s
+70 s
G2 / G8
 18:14
19:20
 49:31
Show details
Prediction details: Aleksandra Duban

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 14–38
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 43
Deviation: -21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 10:16
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +70 s
Fehler: -30.7 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur -0.40 %, Sicherheit 15 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 19 %
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 32.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.62 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:14 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur -0.20 %, Sicherheit 14 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:20 (3:52 / km)
Error: −1:06 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 49:31
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:16 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:35 (39.2 km/h)
Run: 18:14 (3:39 / km)
Total: 49:31
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 9.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +30.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 21 Chiara Lobba
ITA
+31 s
+55 s
G2 / G3
 18:22
17:16
 49:39
Show details
Prediction details: Chiara Lobba

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 13–29
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 21
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +55 s
Fehler: -23.7 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 98 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 29 %
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 37.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.38 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:22 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 91 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:16 (3:27 / km)
Error: +1:06 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 49:39
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:08 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:35 (39.2 km/h)
Run: 18:22 (3:40 / km)
Total: 49:39
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 1.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +30.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 18 Noémi Van der Kaaij
SUI
+36 s
+35 s
G2 / G2
correct 		18:26
18:37
 49:43
Show details
Prediction details: Noémi Van der Kaaij

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 8–40
Top-10 probability: 21 %
Result: 18
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 10:13
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: 0.8 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 125 Duelle, Korrektur -0.60 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.02 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:26 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 90 Duelle, Korrektur 0.50 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:37 (3:43 / km)
Error: −0:11 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 49:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:13 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:35 (39.2 km/h)
Run: 18:26 (3:41 / km)
Total: 49:43
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 5.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +30.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 4 Yeva Soroka
UKR
+48 s
+35 s
G3 / G2
 17:28
17:10
 49:45
Show details
Prediction details: Yeva Soroka

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 11–34
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 10:25
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: 12.8 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 104 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.2 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.82 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:28 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 83 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:10 (3:26 / km)
Error: +0:18 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 49:45
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:25 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:13 (38.3 km/h)
Run: 17:28 (3:30 / km)
Total: 49:45
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 17.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +30.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 17 Kjara Reckmann
GER
+12 s
+24 s
G1 / G2
 19:44
18:31
 49:50
Show details
Prediction details: Kjara Reckmann

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 10–40
Top-10 probability: 13 %
Result: 17
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: -12.3 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 73 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 88 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 2.1 s
Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.35 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:44 (3:57 / km)
Historical basis: 4:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur -1.17 %, Sicherheit 79 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:31 (3:42 / km)
Error: +1:13 / +0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 49:50
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:49 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:36 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 19:44 (3:57 / km)
Total: 49:50
27 / 35 Amélie Gorka
SUI
+26 s
+26 s
G1 / G3
 19:45
19:37
 49:51
Show details
Prediction details: Amélie Gorka

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 20–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 35
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 10:03
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: -0.2 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 101 Duelle, Korrektur -0.42 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 44 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:45 (3:57 / km)
Historical basis: 4:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:46 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 77 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:37 (3:55 / km)
Error: +0:08 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 49:51
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:03 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:36 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 19:45 (3:57 / km)
Total: 49:51
28 / 36 Míra Miszlai
HUN
+42 s
+71 s
G2 / G5
 18:40
18:16
 49:57
Show details
Prediction details: Míra Miszlai

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 19–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 36
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 10:19
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +71 s
Fehler: -29.4 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.70 %, Sicherheit 50 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 6.2 s
Result: Group 5 (4 people)
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.82 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:40 (3:44 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:41 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 48 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:16 (3:39 / km)
Error: +0:24 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 49:57
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:19 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:35 (39.2 km/h)
Run: 18:40 (3:44 / km)
Total: 49:57
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 11.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +30.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 / 34 Anna Zehnder
SUI
+62 s
+73 s
G3 / G5
 17:44
17:59
 50:01
Show details
Prediction details: Anna Zehnder

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 20–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 34
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +62 s
Time: 10:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +73 s
Fehler: -11.0 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 98 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.7 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 5 (4 people)
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.97 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:44 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 10
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 91 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:59 (3:36 / km)
Error: −0:15 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 50:01
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:39 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:13 (38.3 km/h)
Run: 17:44 (3:33 / km)
Total: 50:01
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 31.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +30.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
30 / 26 Isabel Sterr
GER
+33 s
+44 s
G2 / G3
 18:53
18:01
 50:10
Show details
Prediction details: Isabel Sterr

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 9–40
Top-10 probability: 13 %
Result: 26
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 10:10
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: -11.4 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 53 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 38 %
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.50 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:53 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 53 Duelle, Korrektur -0.37 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:01 (3:36 / km)
Error: +0:52 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 50:10
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:10 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:35 (39.2 km/h)
Run: 18:53 (3:47 / km)
Total: 50:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 2.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +30.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
31 / 28 Hanna Foltyniewicz
POL
+57 s
+45 s
G3 / G3
correct 		18:02
18:14
 50:19
Show details
Prediction details: Hanna Foltyniewicz

Placement

Prediction: 31
80% range: 21–39
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +57 s
Time: 10:34
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: 11.5 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 67 Duelle, Korrektur -0.41 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.0 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.67 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:02 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 63 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:14 (3:39 / km)
Error: −0:12 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 50:19
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:34 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:13 (38.3 km/h)
Run: 18:02 (3:36 / km)
Total: 50:19
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 26.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +30.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
32 / 22 Aleksandra Ferchmin
POL
+32 s
+52 s
G2 / G3
 19:03
17:11
 50:20
Show details
Prediction details: Aleksandra Ferchmin

Placement

Prediction: 32
80% range: 23–34
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 10:09
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +52 s
Fehler: -20.4 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 90 Duelle, Korrektur 0.53 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.55 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:03 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:49 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 93 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:11 (3:26 / km)
Error: +1:52 / +0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 50:20
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:09 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:35 (39.2 km/h)
Run: 19:03 (3:49 / km)
Total: 50:20
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 1.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +30.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
33 / 29 Józefina Młynarska
POL
+35 s
+53 s
G2 / G3
 19:06
18:23
 50:23
Show details
Prediction details: Józefina Młynarska

Placement

Prediction: 33
80% range: 19–40
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 10:12
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +53 s
Fehler: -17.6 s
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 117 Duelle, Korrektur 0.56 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.8 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 37.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:06 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:55 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 110 Duelle, Korrektur -0.72 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:23 (3:41 / km)
Error: +0:43 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 50:23
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:12 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:35 (39.2 km/h)
Run: 19:06 (3:49 / km)
Total: 50:23
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 5.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +30.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
34 / 13 Alina Sinevich
BLR
+33 s
+24 s
G2 / G2
correct 		19:17
17:54
 50:34
Show details
Prediction details: Alina Sinevich

Placement

Prediction: 34
80% range: 20–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 10:10
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: 8.6 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 2.8 s
Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.13 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:17 (3:51 / km)
Historical basis: 3:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur -0.96 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:54 (3:35 / km)
Error: +1:23 / +0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 50:34
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:10 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:35 (39.2 km/h)
Run: 19:17 (3:51 / km)
Total: 50:34
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 2.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +30.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
35 / 27 Letizia Martinelli
SUI
+49 s
+53 s
G3 / G3
correct 		18:23
18:10
 50:40
Show details
Prediction details: Letizia Martinelli

Placement

Prediction: 35
80% range: 20–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 10:26
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +53 s
Fehler: -4.2 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 82 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.32 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:23 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:10 (3:38 / km)
Error: +0:13 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 50:40
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:26 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:13 (38.3 km/h)
Run: 18:23 (3:41 / km)
Total: 50:40
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 18.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +30.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
36 / 40 Laura Inez Papp
HUN
+37 s
+71 s
G2 / G6
 19:23
19:14
 50:40
Show details
Prediction details: Laura Inez Papp

Placement

Prediction: 36
80% range: 26–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 40
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 10:14
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +71 s
Fehler: -34.2 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur -0.71 %, Sicherheit 50 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 6 (3 people)
Speed: 35.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.98 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:23 (3:53 / km)
Historical basis: 3:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:49 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 46 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:14 (3:51 / km)
Error: +0:09 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 50:40
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:14 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:35 (39.2 km/h)
Run: 19:23 (3:53 / km)
Total: 50:40
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 6.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +30.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
37 / 24 Julia Visgueiro
BRA
+51 s
+40 s
G3 / G4
 18:24
17:49
 50:41
Show details
Prediction details: Julia Visgueiro

Placement

Prediction: 37
80% range: 19–39
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 24
Deviation: 13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 10:28
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: 10.5 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur -0.92 %, Sicherheit 54 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 6.0 s
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.31 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:24 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 57 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:49 (3:34 / km)
Error: +0:35 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 50:41
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:28 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:13 (38.3 km/h)
Run: 18:24 (3:41 / km)
Total: 50:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 20.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +30.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
38 / 39 Enikő Hóbor
HUN
+37 s
+35 s
G2 / G6
 19:40
18:53
 50:57
Show details
Prediction details: Enikő Hóbor

Placement

Prediction: 38
80% range: 32–39
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 39
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 10:14
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: 2.4 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 6 (3 people)
Speed: 34.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.66 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:40 (3:56 / km)
Historical basis: 3:56 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:56 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:53 (3:47 / km)
Error: +0:47 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 50:57
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:14 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:35 (39.2 km/h)
Run: 19:40 (3:56 / km)
Total: 50:57
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 7.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +30.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
39 / 30 Marley Andelman
USA
+41 s
+33 s
G2 / G3
 19:56
18:28
 51:13
Show details
Prediction details: Marley Andelman

Placement

Prediction: 39
80% range: 23–42
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 30
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 10:18
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: 7.7 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 3 (15 people)
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.80 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:56 (3:59 / km)
Historical basis: 4:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:46 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur -0.62 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:28 (3:42 / km)
Error: +1:28 / +0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 51:13
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:18 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:35 (39.2 km/h)
Run: 19:56 (3:59 / km)
Total: 51:13
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 10.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +30.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
40 / 42 Maya Reilly
USA
+64 s
+73 s
G3 / G7
 19:18
20:32
 51:35
Show details
Prediction details: Maya Reilly

Placement

Prediction: 40
80% range: 33–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 42
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +64 s
Time: 10:41
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +73 s
Fehler: -9.0 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -1.41 %, Sicherheit 43 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 10.3 s
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 35.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.90 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:18 (3:52 / km)
Historical basis: 3:56 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 44 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:32 (4:06 / km)
Error: −1:14 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 51:35
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:41 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:13 (38.3 km/h)
Run: 19:18 (3:52 / km)
Total: 51:35
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 33.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +30.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
41 / 38 Weronika Ptaszyńska
POL
+58 s
+79 s
G3 / G5
 19:43
19:02
 52:00
Show details
Prediction details: Weronika Ptaszyńska

Placement

Prediction: 41
80% range: 34–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 38
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +58 s
Time: 10:35
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +79 s
Fehler: -20.7 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 100 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 3.7 s
Result: Group 5 (4 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.74 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:43 (3:57 / km)
Historical basis: 3:56 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 81 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:02 (3:48 / km)
Error: +0:41 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 52:00
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:35 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:13 (38.3 km/h)
Run: 19:43 (3:57 / km)
Total: 52:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 28.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +30.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
42 / 41 Stefania Salazar
TRI
+58 s
+80 s
G3 / G6
 20:04
20:25
 52:21
Show details
Prediction details: Stefania Salazar

Placement

Prediction: 42
80% range: 34–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 41
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +58 s
Time: 10:35
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +80 s
Fehler: -22.3 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 84 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 6 (3 people)
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.09 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:04 (4:01 / km)
Historical basis: 4:00 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:25 (4:05 / km)
Error: −0:21 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 52:21
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:35 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:13 (38.3 km/h)
Run: 20:04 (4:01 / km)
Total: 52:21
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 27.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +30.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
43 / 33 Amira Kulcsar
HUN
+74 s
+63 s
G4 / G5
 19:40
17:44
 55:19
Show details
Prediction details: Amira Kulcsar

Placement

Prediction: 43
80% range: 40–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 33
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +74 s
Time: 10:51
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +63 s
Fehler: 11.3 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 83 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 10.3 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (4 people)
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.47 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:40 (3:56 / km)
Historical basis: 3:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur -0.75 %, Sicherheit 67 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:44 (3:33 / km)
Error: +1:56 / +0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 55:19
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:51 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:25 (34.9 km/h)
Run: 19:40 (3:56 / km)
Total: 55:19
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 44.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +30.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.