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Elite Men

18.07.2026 HUN
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Cup Tata

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 18.07.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 81/100 hoch
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 19 früheren Rennen und 511 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 49.5 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 14.07.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 93.1 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 100.0 % · 19 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error10.4
Mean swim error12.9 s
Mean bike-speed error1.21 km/h
Correct bike groups11/58
No history0
Within the 80% range55.2 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 11 Thomas Rivet
FRA
+51 s
+23 s
G2 / G2
correct 		14:27
15:48
 43:38
Show details
Prediction details: Thomas Rivet

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 2–9
Top-10 probability: 95 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: 27.9 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur -1.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 44.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:27 (2:53 / km)
Historical basis: 2:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:50 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur 1.90 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:48 (3:10 / km)
Error: −1:21 / −0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 43:38
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:31 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:18 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 14:27 (2:53 / km)
Total: 43:38
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 15.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
2 / 40 Fynn Batkin
GBR
+27 s
+13 s
G1 / G6
 15:17
15:44
 43:41
Show details
Prediction details: Fynn Batkin

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 2–12
Top-10 probability: 85 %
Result: 40
Deviation: -38

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 9:07
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: 14.3 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 56 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 74 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 6 (6 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.95 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:17 (3:03 / km)
Historical basis: 3:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:50 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 56 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:44 (3:09 / km)
Error: −0:27 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 43:41
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:07 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:49 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 15:17 (3:03 / km)
Total: 43:41
3 / 9 Robbie White
NZL
+22 s
+13 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:20
16:28
 43:44
Show details
Prediction details: Robbie White

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 3–9
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: 8.5 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 91 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 1 (9 people)
Speed: 45.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.33 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:20 (3:04 / km)
Historical basis: 3:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 0.62 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:28 (3:18 / km)
Error: −1:08 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 43:44
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:02 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:49 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 15:20 (3:04 / km)
Total: 43:44
4 / 7 Jan Scheffold
GER
+32 s
+15 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:24
16:15
 43:48
Show details
Prediction details: Jan Scheffold

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 3–20
Top-10 probability: 51 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: 16.6 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 78 Duelle, Korrektur -0.49 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 56 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 1 (9 people)
Speed: 45.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.35 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:24 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 64 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:15 (3:15 / km)
Error: −0:51 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 43:48
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:12 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:49 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 15:24 (3:05 / km)
Total: 43:48
5 / 4 Basile Fouchard
FRA
+16 s
+10 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:25
15:29
 43:49
Show details
Prediction details: Basile Fouchard

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 3–15
Top-10 probability: 71 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: 6.0 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.89 %, Sicherheit 37 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 93 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 1 (9 people)
Speed: 45.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.18 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:25 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:47 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 36 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:29 (3:06 / km)
Error: −0:04 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 43:49
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:56 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:49 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 15:25 (3:05 / km)
Total: 43:49
6 / 2 Benedikt Bettin
GER
+29 s
+13 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:29
15:18
 43:53
Show details
Prediction details: Benedikt Bettin

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 3–29
Top-10 probability: 55 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: 16.0 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 93 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 55 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 1 (9 people)
Speed: 45.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.30 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:29 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:55 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 10
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 92 Duelle, Korrektur 0.69 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:18 (3:04 / km)
Error: +0:11 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 43:53
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:09 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:49 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 15:29 (3:06 / km)
Total: 43:53
7 / 3 Gergő Dobi
HUN
+20 s
+11 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:34
15:20
 43:58
Show details
Prediction details: Gergő Dobi

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 2–22
Top-10 probability: 54 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 9:00
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 9.4 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 88 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 91 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 1 (9 people)
Speed: 45.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.15 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:34 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 88 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 91 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:20 (3:04 / km)
Error: +0:14 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 43:58
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:00 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:49 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 15:34 (3:07 / km)
Total: 43:58
8 / 6 Jan Diener
GER
+17 s
+10 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:43
16:01
 44:07
Show details
Prediction details: Jan Diener

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 7–15
Top-10 probability: 51 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +17 s
Time: 8:57
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: 7.1 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 68 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 93 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 1 (9 people)
Speed: 45.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.27 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:43 (3:09 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 67 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:01 (3:12 / km)
Error: −0:18 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 44:07
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:57 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:49 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 15:43 (3:09 / km)
Total: 44:07
9 / 5 Achille Besson
FRA
+31 s
+14 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:45
15:53
 44:09
Show details
Prediction details: Achille Besson

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 3–33
Top-10 probability: 36 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 17.1 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 66 Duelle, Korrektur -0.80 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 63 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 1 (9 people)
Speed: 45.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.24 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:45 (3:09 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:57 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur -0.72 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:53 (3:11 / km)
Error: −0:08 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 44:09
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:11 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:49 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 15:45 (3:09 / km)
Total: 44:09
10 / 12 Nicolo' Astori
ITA
+32 s
+35 s
G1 / G3
 15:47
15:30
 44:11
Show details
Prediction details: Nicolo' Astori

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 4–31
Top-10 probability: 30 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: -2.8 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 56 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 45 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 3 (17 people)
Speed: 44.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.91 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:47 (3:09 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:30 (3:06 / km)
Error: +0:17 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 44:11
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:12 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:49 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 15:47 (3:09 / km)
Total: 44:11
11 / 16 Tim Semmler
GER
+30 s
+21 s
G1 / G2
 15:50
16:19
 44:14
Show details
Prediction details: Tim Semmler

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 4–30
Top-10 probability: 40 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 8.6 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur -0.66 %, Sicherheit 99 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 61 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 44.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:50 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur 0.57 %, Sicherheit 95 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:19 (3:16 / km)
Error: −0:29 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 44:14
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:10 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:49 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 15:50 (3:10 / km)
Total: 44:14
12 / 38 James Edgar
IRL
+26 s
+20 s
G1 / G4
 15:52
16:54
 44:16
Show details
Prediction details: James Edgar

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 9–18
Top-10 probability: 28 %
Result: 38
Deviation: -26

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 6.0 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur 0.39 %, Sicherheit 71 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 88 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 4 (20 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.73 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:52 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:57 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur 0.41 %, Sicherheit 61 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:54 (3:23 / km)
Error: −1:02 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 44:16
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:06 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:49 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 15:52 (3:10 / km)
Total: 44:16
13 / 10 Julian Piller
AUT
+24 s
+12 s
G1 / G2
 15:55
15:48
 44:19
Show details
Prediction details: Julian Piller

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 5–29
Top-10 probability: 31 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 9:04
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 12.4 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 97 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 74 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 44.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:55 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 97 Duelle, Korrektur 0.40 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:48 (3:10 / km)
Error: +0:07 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 44:19
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:04 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:49 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 15:55 (3:11 / km)
Total: 44:19
14 / 1 Lasse Lührs
GER
+19 s
+12 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:59
15:06
 44:23
Show details
Prediction details: Lasse Lührs

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 9–22
Top-10 probability: 19 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 8:59
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 6.6 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.35 %, Sicherheit 37 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 89 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 1 (9 people)
Speed: 45.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.35 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:59 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.56 %, Sicherheit 32 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:06 (3:01 / km)
Error: +0:53 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 44:23
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:59 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:49 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 15:59 (3:12 / km)
Total: 44:23
15 / 33 Péter Daróczi
HUN
+31 s
+25 s
G1 / G3
 16:04
17:26
 44:28
Show details
Prediction details: Péter Daróczi

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 11–28
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 33
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: 5.6 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.55 %, Sicherheit 25 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 54 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 3 (17 people)
Speed: 43.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.59 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:04 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 1.13 %, Sicherheit 24 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:26 (3:29 / km)
Error: −1:22 / −0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 44:28
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:11 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:49 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 16:04 (3:13 / km)
Total: 44:28
16 / 23 Hugo Philippe
BEL
+54 s
+37 s
G2 / G4
 15:28
15:40
 44:39
Show details
Prediction details: Hugo Philippe

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 10–30
Top-10 probability: 13 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +54 s
Time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: 16.7 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 4 (20 people)
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:28 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur 0.35 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:40 (3:08 / km)
Error: −0:12 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 44:39
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:34 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:18 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 15:28 (3:06 / km)
Total: 44:39
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:16
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 18.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 27 Ul Denša
SLO
+28 s
+18 s
G1 / G3
 16:16
16:50
 44:40
Show details
Prediction details: Ul Denša

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 15–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 10.1 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 113 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 64 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 3 (17 people)
Speed: 43.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:16 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 92 Duelle, Korrektur 0.55 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:50 (3:22 / km)
Error: −0:34 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 44:40
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:08 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:49 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 16:16 (3:15 / km)
Total: 44:40
18 / 28 Bruno Krumbeck
GER
+33 s
+15 s
G1 / G3
 16:17
16:52
 44:41
Show details
Prediction details: Bruno Krumbeck

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 14–36
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: 18.1 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 38 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 3 (17 people)
Speed: 43.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:17 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:56 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:52 (3:22 / km)
Error: −0:35 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 44:41
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:13 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:49 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 16:17 (3:15 / km)
Total: 44:41
19 / 26 Reece Harris
AUS
+42 s
+27 s
G2 / G3
 15:36
16:27
 44:47
Show details
Prediction details: Reece Harris

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 8–27
Top-10 probability: 18 %
Result: 26
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 9:22
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: 14.7 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 3.4 s
Result: Group 3 (17 people)
Speed: 43.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.49 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:36 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur 0.65 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:27 (3:17 / km)
Error: −0:51 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 44:47
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:22 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:18 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 15:36 (3:07 / km)
Total: 44:47
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:16
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 6.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 24 Christopher Deegan
AUS
+15 s
+0 s
G1 / G4
 16:26
15:44
 44:50
Show details
Prediction details: Christopher Deegan

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 18–31
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +15 s
Time: 8:55
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 15.3 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 81 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 4 (20 people)
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:26 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:56 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:44 (3:09 / km)
Error: +0:42 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 44:50
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:55 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:49 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 16:26 (3:17 / km)
Total: 44:50
21 / 58 Roy Baron
ISR
+25 s
+11 s
G1 / G3
 16:26
27:00
 44:50
Show details
Prediction details: Roy Baron

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 13–32
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 58
Deviation: -37

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 13.8 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 108 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 88 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 3 (17 people)
Speed: 43.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.38 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:26 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 93 Duelle, Korrektur 0.52 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 27:00 (5:24 / km)
Error: −10:34 / −2:07 / km
Overall prediction: 44:50
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:05 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:49 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 16:26 (3:17 / km)
Total: 44:50
22 / 22 Konrád Székely
HUN
+33 s
+22 s
G1 / G3
 16:28
16:22
 44:52
Show details
Prediction details: Konrád Székely

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 13–37
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 22
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 11.2 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 90 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 45 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 3 (17 people)
Speed: 43.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:28 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: −0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Error: +0:06 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 44:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:13 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:49 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 16:28 (3:18 / km)
Total: 44:52
23 / 25 Etienne Le Roux
FRA
+37 s
+26 s
G2 / G4
 15:42
15:42
 44:53
Show details
Prediction details: Etienne Le Roux

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 9–27
Top-10 probability: 15 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 9:17
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: 10.6 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.40 %, Sicherheit 30 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 4 (20 people)
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.04 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:42 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -1.00 %, Sicherheit 26 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:42 (3:08 / km)
Error: +0:00 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 44:53
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:17 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:18 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 15:42 (3:08 / km)
Total: 44:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:16
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 1.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 14 András Szűcs
HUN
+23 s
+19 s
G1 / G3
 16:29
15:51
 44:53
Show details
Prediction details: András Szűcs

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 7–42
Top-10 probability: 19 %
Result: 14
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:03
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 4.2 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 78 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 80 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 3 (17 people)
Speed: 43.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:29 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 67 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 74 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:51 (3:10 / km)
Error: +0:38 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 44:53
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:03 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:49 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 16:29 (3:18 / km)
Total: 44:53
25 / 46 Alexander Bozhilov
BUL
+19 s
+8 s
G1 / G5
 16:37
17:22
 45:01
Show details
Prediction details: Alexander Bozhilov

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 13–40
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 46
Deviation: -21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 8:59
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +8 s
Fehler: 10.6 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 114 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 75 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.92 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:37 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 91 Duelle, Korrektur -0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Error: −0:45 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 45:01
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:59 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:49 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 16:37 (3:19 / km)
Total: 45:01
26 / 49 Lorenzo Bazzana
SUI
+36 s
+28 s
G2 / G4
 15:51
18:18
 45:02
Show details
Prediction details: Lorenzo Bazzana

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 11–25
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 49
Deviation: -23

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 9:16
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: 8.1 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 98 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 35 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 4 (20 people)
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.17 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:51 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur 0.62 %, Sicherheit 80 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:18 (3:40 / km)
Error: −2:27 / −0:29 / km
Overall prediction: 45:02
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:16 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:18 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 15:51 (3:10 / km)
Total: 45:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 0.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 30 Tomas Zikmund
CZE
+34 s
+16 s
G1 / G3
 16:41
16:57
 45:05
Show details
Prediction details: Tomas Zikmund

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 13–46
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 30
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 9:14
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: 18.4 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 67 Duelle, Korrektur 0.67 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 50 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 3 (17 people)
Speed: 43.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.45 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:41 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 67 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:57 (3:23 / km)
Error: −0:16 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 45:05
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:14 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:49 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 16:41 (3:20 / km)
Total: 45:05
28 / 29 Rick Van der Knaap
NED
+54 s
+42 s
G2 / G4
 16:03
16:13
 45:14
Show details
Prediction details: Rick Van der Knaap

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 20–45
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +54 s
Time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: 11.7 s
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 75 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 4.6 s
Result: Group 4 (20 people)
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:03 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 63 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:13 (3:15 / km)
Error: −0:10 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 45:14
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:34 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:18 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 16:03 (3:13 / km)
Total: 45:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:16
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 18.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 / 17 Brody Kapeller
AUT
+48 s
+22 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:08
16:20
 45:19
Show details
Prediction details: Brody Kapeller

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 19–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: 12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 9:28
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 26.4 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 70 Duelle, Korrektur -0.51 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:08 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 67 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:20 (3:16 / km)
Error: −0:12 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 45:19
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:28 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:18 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 16:08 (3:14 / km)
Total: 45:19
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 13.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
30 / 57 Raul Petre
ROU
+21 s
+17 s
G1 / G6
 17:01
18:52
 45:25
Show details
Prediction details: Raul Petre

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 22–43
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 57
Deviation: -27

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 9:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 3.6 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 103 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 88 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 6 (6 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.93 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:01 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 71 Duelle, Korrektur 0.66 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:52 (3:46 / km)
Error: −1:51 / −0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 45:25
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:01 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:49 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 17:01 (3:24 / km)
Total: 45:25
31 / 21 Isaac Lamprecht
USA
+48 s
+29 s
G2 / G3
 16:15
16:11
 45:26
Show details
Prediction details: Isaac Lamprecht

Placement

Prediction: 31
80% range: 23–40
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 9:28
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: 18.6 s
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 3 (17 people)
Speed: 43.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.41 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:15 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:11 (3:14 / km)
Error: +0:04 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 45:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:28 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:18 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 16:15 (3:15 / km)
Total: 45:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:16
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 12.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
32 / 41 Maro Schober
AUT
+17 s
+44 s
G1 / G4
 17:08
17:28
 45:32
Show details
Prediction details: Maro Schober

Placement

Prediction: 32
80% range: 5–50
Top-10 probability: 19 %
Result: 41
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +17 s
Time: 8:57
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: -27.2 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 99 Duelle, Korrektur 0.60 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 91 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 4 (20 people)
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:08 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 70 Duelle, Korrektur 0.48 %, Sicherheit 81 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:28 (3:30 / km)
Error: −0:20 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 45:32
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:57 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:49 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 17:08 (3:26 / km)
Total: 45:32
33 / 42 András Medvegy
HUN
+45 s
+41 s
G2 / G4
 16:30
17:46
 45:41
Show details
Prediction details: András Medvegy

Placement

Prediction: 33
80% range: 25–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 42
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: 4.2 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 75 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 4 (20 people)
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.57 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:30 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 67 Duelle, Korrektur -0.37 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:46 (3:33 / km)
Error: −1:16 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 45:41
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:25 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:18 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 16:30 (3:18 / km)
Total: 45:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 10 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
34 / 15 David Korous
CZE
+53 s
+34 s
G2 / G3
 16:36
15:53
 45:47
Show details
Prediction details: David Korous

Placement

Prediction: 34
80% range: 18–47
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 15
Deviation: 19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: 18.6 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur 0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 3 (17 people)
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:36 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 56 Duelle, Korrektur -0.43 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:53 (3:11 / km)
Error: +0:43 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 45:47
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:33 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:18 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 16:36 (3:19 / km)
Total: 45:47
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:16
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 17.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
35 / 44 Bruno Haman
CZE
+25 s
+31 s
G1 / G4
 17:24
17:44
 45:48
Show details
Prediction details: Bruno Haman

Placement

Prediction: 35
80% range: 28–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 44
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: -5.6 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur 0.64 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 80 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 4 (20 people)
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:24 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:44 (3:33 / km)
Error: −0:20 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 45:48
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:05 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:49 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 17:24 (3:29 / km)
Total: 45:48
36 / 37 Filip Tlamka
CZE
+45 s
+36 s
G2 / G4
 16:44
16:55
 45:55
Show details
Prediction details: Filip Tlamka

Placement

Prediction: 36
80% range: 31–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 37
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: 9.1 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 3.4 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 4 (20 people)
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:44 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 71 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Error: −0:11 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 45:55
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:25 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:18 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 16:44 (3:21 / km)
Total: 45:55
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 9.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
37 / 34 Lukas Plic
CZE
+37 s
+31 s
G2 / G4
 16:46
16:49
 45:57
Show details
Prediction details: Lukas Plic

Placement

Prediction: 37
80% range: 10–47
Top-10 probability: 11 %
Result: 34
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 9:17
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 6.3 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 97 Duelle, Korrektur 0.56 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 4 (20 people)
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:46 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 78 Duelle, Korrektur 0.43 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:49 (3:22 / km)
Error: −0:03 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 45:57
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:17 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:18 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 16:46 (3:21 / km)
Total: 45:57
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 2.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
38 / 32 Ákos Kárpáti
HUN
+47 s
+43 s
G2 / G4
 16:46
16:33
 45:57
Show details
Prediction details: Ákos Kárpáti

Placement

Prediction: 38
80% range: 27–47
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 32
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: 3.6 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 26 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 4 (20 people)
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.39 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:46 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:33 (3:19 / km)
Error: +0:13 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 45:57
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:27 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:18 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 16:46 (3:21 / km)
Total: 45:57
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:16
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 11.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
39 / 39 Márton Soma Kovács
HUN
+38 s
+40 s
G2 / G4
 16:56
17:03
 46:07
Show details
Prediction details: Márton Soma Kovács

Placement

Prediction: 39
80% range: 31–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 39
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: -1.9 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 4 (20 people)
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.50 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:56 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:03 (3:25 / km)
Error: −0:07 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 46:07
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:18 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 16:56 (3:23 / km)
Total: 46:07
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 2.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
40 / 47 Türker Kemal Kiyak
TUR
+27 s
+18 s
G1 / G3
 17:43
18:51
 46:07
Show details
Prediction details: Türker Kemal Kiyak

Placement

Prediction: 40
80% range: 34–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 47
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 9:07
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 9.2 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 62 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 84 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 75 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 3 (17 people)
Speed: 43.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.45 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:43 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 78 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:51 (3:46 / km)
Error: −1:08 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 46:07
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:07 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:49 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 17:43 (3:33 / km)
Total: 46:07
41 / 31 Marin Stipčević
CRO
+41 s
+25 s
G2 / G3
 17:07
17:14
 46:18
Show details
Prediction details: Marin Stipčević

Placement

Prediction: 41
80% range: 31–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 31
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: 15.7 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 71 Duelle, Korrektur -0.20 %, Sicherheit 85 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.2 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 3 (17 people)
Speed: 43.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.28 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:07 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur 0.40 %, Sicherheit 79 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:14 (3:27 / km)
Error: −0:07 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 46:18
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:21 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:18 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 17:07 (3:25 / km)
Total: 46:18
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:16
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 5.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
42 / 19 Radim Grebík
CZE
+39 s
+18 s
G2 / G1
 17:15
17:15
 46:26
Show details
Prediction details: Radim Grebík

Placement

Prediction: 42
80% range: 29–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation: 23

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 20.5 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 29 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 2.2 s
Result: Group 1 (9 people)
Speed: 45.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.04 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:15 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur -0.58 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:15 (3:27 / km)
Error: +0:00 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 46:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:19 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:18 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 17:15 (3:27 / km)
Total: 46:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:16
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 3.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
43 / 36 Francesco Interlandi
ITA
+41 s
+34 s
G2 / G4
 17:18
16:55
 46:29
Show details
Prediction details: Francesco Interlandi

Placement

Prediction: 43
80% range: 38–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 36
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: 7.1 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur 0.67 %, Sicherheit 98 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 4 (20 people)
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.42 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.49 %, Sicherheit 80 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Error: +0:23 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 46:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:21 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:18 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Total: 46:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 5.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
44 / 43 Petar Bozhilov
BUL
+13 s
+15 s
G1 / G4
 18:20
17:35
 46:44
Show details
Prediction details: Petar Bozhilov

Placement

Prediction: 44
80% range: 26–55
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 43
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +13 s
Time: 8:53
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: -1.7 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.69 %, Sicherheit 52 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 91 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 4 (20 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.75 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:20 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.53 %, Sicherheit 41 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:35 (3:31 / km)
Error: +0:45 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 46:44
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:53 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:49 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 18:20 (3:40 / km)
Total: 46:44
45 / 13 Zsombor Holba
HUN
+36 s
+29 s
G2 / G3
 17:37
15:43
 46:48
Show details
Prediction details: Zsombor Holba

Placement

Prediction: 45
80% range: 38–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 32

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 9:16
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: 7.0 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 44 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 3 (17 people)
Speed: 43.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.38 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:37 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 66 Duelle, Korrektur -1.12 %, Sicherheit 95 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:43 (3:09 / km)
Error: +1:54 / +0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 46:48
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:16 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:18 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 17:37 (3:31 / km)
Total: 46:48
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 0.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
46 / 51 Boris Andreev
BUL
+32 s
+20 s
G1 / G4
 18:28
19:13
 46:52
Show details
Prediction details: Boris Andreev

Placement

Prediction: 46
80% range: 43–53
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 51
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 11.9 s
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 71 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 61 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 4 (20 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.73 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:28 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 71 Duelle, Korrektur -0.57 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:13 (3:51 / km)
Error: −0:45 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 46:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:12 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:49 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 18:28 (3:42 / km)
Total: 46:52
47 / 56 Jakub Marek
CZE
+59 s
+56 s
G3 / G6
 16:26
18:48
 46:55
Show details
Prediction details: Jakub Marek

Placement

Prediction: 47
80% range: 25–51
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 56
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +59 s
Time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +56 s
Fehler: 3.1 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 55 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 6 (6 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:26 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 53 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:48 (3:46 / km)
Error: −2:22 / −0:28 / km
Overall prediction: 46:55
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:39 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:21 (40.9 km/h)
Run: 16:26 (3:17 / km)
Total: 46:55
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 23.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
48 / 50 Matteo Radina
SUI
+62 s
+82 s
G3 / G6
 16:29
17:09
 46:58
Show details
Prediction details: Matteo Radina

Placement

Prediction: 48
80% range: 26–52
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 50
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +62 s
Time: 9:42
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +82 s
Fehler: -20.1 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 96 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 3.4 s
Result: Group 6 (6 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.89 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:29 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 71 Duelle, Korrektur 0.62 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:09 (3:26 / km)
Error: −0:40 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 46:58
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:42 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:21 (40.9 km/h)
Run: 16:29 (3:18 / km)
Total: 46:58
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 26.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
49 / 20 Michael Ziegler
SUI
+49 s
+20 s
G2 / G3
 18:10
16:06
 47:21
Show details
Prediction details: Michael Ziegler

Placement

Prediction: 49
80% range: 45–55
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation: 29

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 9:29
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 29.3 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur -0.74 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 3 (17 people)
Speed: 43.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.22 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:10 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur -1.02 %, Sicherheit 57 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:06 (3:13 / km)
Error: +2:04 / +0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 47:21
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:29 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:18 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 18:10 (3:38 / km)
Total: 47:21
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 14.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
50 / 45 Tamás Daróczi
HUN
+25 s
+24 s
G1 / G4
 18:58
17:57
 47:22
Show details
Prediction details: Tamás Daróczi

Placement

Prediction: 50
80% range: 49–53
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 45
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: 1.1 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.75 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (29 people)
Gruppe 1: 83 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 4 (20 people)
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.37 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:58 (3:48 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:45 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 1.18 %, Sicherheit 2 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:57 (3:35 / km)
Error: +1:01 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 47:22
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:05 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:49 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 18:58 (3:48 / km)
Total: 47:22
51 / 48 Gert Martin Savitsch
EST
+41 s
+30 s
G2 / G4
 18:26
18:06
 47:37
Show details
Prediction details: Gert Martin Savitsch

Placement

Prediction: 51
80% range: 45–56
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 48
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: 11.2 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 110 Duelle, Korrektur -0.39 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (20 people)
Gruppe 1: 30 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 4 (20 people)
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.24 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:26 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 70 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:06 (3:37 / km)
Error: +0:20 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 47:37
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:21 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:18 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 18:26 (3:41 / km)
Total: 47:37
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
52 / 35 Angus Argent-Smith
AUS
+68 s
+48 s
G3 / G4
 17:10
16:54
 47:39
Show details
Prediction details: Angus Argent-Smith

Placement

Prediction: 52
80% range: 39–55
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 35
Deviation: 17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +68 s
Time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +48 s
Fehler: 19.8 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.37 %, Sicherheit 38 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.5 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (20 people)
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.32 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:10 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 1.51 %, Sicherheit 38 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:54 (3:23 / km)
Error: +0:16 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 47:39
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:48 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:21 (40.9 km/h)
Run: 17:10 (3:26 / km)
Total: 47:39
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 32.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
53 / 55 Joran Stobbe
NED
+61 s
+83 s
G3 / G7
 17:31
17:18
 48:00
Show details
Prediction details: Joran Stobbe

Placement

Prediction: 53
80% range: 40–54
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 55
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +61 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +83 s
Fehler: -22.1 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 78 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.27 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:56 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 64 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Error: +0:13 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 48:00
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:21 (40.9 km/h)
Run: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Total: 48:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 25.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
54 / 52 Niklas Ararz Villà Páramo
PAN
+61 s
+45 s
G3 / G6
 17:36
17:53
 48:05
Show details
Prediction details: Niklas Ararz Villà Páramo

Placement

Prediction: 54
80% range: 37–55
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 52
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +61 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: 16.2 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur -0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 6 (6 people)
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:36 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -0.35 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:53 (3:35 / km)
Error: −0:17 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 48:05
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:21 (40.9 km/h)
Run: 17:36 (3:31 / km)
Total: 48:05
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 26 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
55 / 54 Francis Daniels Veģeris
LAT
+61 s
+59 s
G3 / G6
 19:41
18:34
 50:10
Show details
Prediction details: Francis Daniels Veģeris

Placement

Prediction: 55
80% range: 55–57
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 54
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +61 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +59 s
Fehler: 1.9 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur -0.38 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 6 (6 people)
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:41 (3:56 / km)
Historical basis: 4:00 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur -1.44 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:34 (3:43 / km)
Error: +1:07 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 50:10
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:21 (40.9 km/h)
Run: 19:41 (3:56 / km)
Total: 50:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 25.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
56 / 53 Fabio Sattler
AUT
+65 s
+39 s
G3 / G4
 21:57
19:46
 52:26
Show details
Prediction details: Fabio Sattler

Placement

Prediction: 56
80% range: 56–57
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 53
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +65 s
Time: 9:45
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +39 s
Fehler: 26.3 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur -0.38 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 3.4 s
Gap behind: 2.5 s
Result: Group 4 (20 people)
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.98 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:57 (4:23 / km)
Historical basis: 4:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:46 (3:57 / km)
Error: +2:11 / +0:26 / km
Overall prediction: 52:26
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:45 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:21 (40.9 km/h)
Run: 21:57 (4:23 / km)
Total: 52:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 30.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
57 / 8 Davide Menichelli
ITA
+58 s
+30 s
G3 / G2
 28:46
15:40
 59:15
Show details
Prediction details: Davide Menichelli

Placement

Prediction: 57
80% range: 58–58
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 49

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +58 s
Time: 9:38
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: 28.3 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 4.6 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 44.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.73 km/h

Running and total

Run: 28:46 (5:45 / km)
Historical basis: 5:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 90 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:40 (3:08 / km)
Error: +13:06 / +2:37 / km
Overall prediction: 59:15
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:38 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:21 (40.9 km/h)
Run: 28:46 (5:45 / km)
Total: 59:15
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 23.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 18 Jan Odehnal
CZE
+59 s
+16 s
G3 / G3
correct
15:54
Show details
Prediction details: Jan Odehnal

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +59 s
Time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: 43.3 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -1.37 %, Sicherheit 18 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 3 (17 people)
Speed: 43.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.60 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:54 (3:11 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 9:39 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:21 (40.9 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 24.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.