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Elite Women

18.07.2026 HUN
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Cup Tata

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 18.07.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 87/100 hoch
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 29 früheren Rennen und 374 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 47.2 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 14.07.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 3 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 91.4 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 100.0 % · 29 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error5.4
Mean swim error25.0 s
Mean bike-speed error1.02 km/h
Correct bike groups9/35
No history0
Within the 80% range68.6 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 3 Selina Klamt
GER
+21 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:14
17:53
 47:30
Show details
Prediction details: Selina Klamt

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–4
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 9:00
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 20.5 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 96 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 12.5 s
Gap behind: 5.5 s
Result: Group 1 (9 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.28 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:14 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:53 (3:35 / km)
Error: −0:39 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 47:30
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:00 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:50 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 17:14 (3:27 / km)
Total: 47:30
2 / 5 Joanna Woźniak
POL
+54 s
+43 s
G3 / G2
 16:41
17:33
 47:34
Show details
Prediction details: Joanna Woźniak

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 1–12
Top-10 probability: 84 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +54 s
Time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: 11.2 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 62 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.7 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.67 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:41 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 52 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:33 (3:31 / km)
Error: −0:52 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 47:34
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:33 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:49 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 16:41 (3:20 / km)
Total: 47:34
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 25.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 1 Margareta Vrablova
SVK
+33 s
+3 s
G2 / G1
 17:12
17:12
 47:54
Show details
Prediction details: Margareta Vrablova

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 1–8
Top-10 probability: 98 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 30.0 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 51 %
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.0 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 1 (9 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.60 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:12 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:12 (3:26 / km)
Error: +0:00 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 47:54
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:12 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:03 (39.9 km/h)
Run: 17:12 (3:26 / km)
Total: 47:54
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 4.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 4 Anabel Knoll
GER
+35 s
+5 s
G2 / G1
 17:24
18:01
 48:06
Show details
Prediction details: Anabel Knoll

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 1–6
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 9:14
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 29.5 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 56 %
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 2.4 s
Result: Group 1 (9 people)
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.69 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:24 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 67 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:01 (3:36 / km)
Error: −0:37 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 48:06
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:14 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:03 (39.9 km/h)
Run: 17:24 (3:29 / km)
Total: 48:06
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 5.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 19 Felipa Herrmann
GER
+49 s
+13 s
G3 / G1
 17:40
20:09
 48:33
Show details
Prediction details: Felipa Herrmann

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 4–9
Top-10 probability: 95 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 9:28
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: 36.3 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur -0.47 %, Sicherheit 51 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 2.2 s
Result: Group 1 (9 people)
Speed: 40.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.57 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:40 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 48 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:09 (4:02 / km)
Error: −2:29 / −0:30 / km
Overall prediction: 48:33
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:28 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:49 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 17:40 (3:32 / km)
Total: 48:33
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 20.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 7 Costanza Arpinelli
ITA
+58 s
+34 s
G3 / G2
 17:46
18:07
 48:39
Show details
Prediction details: Costanza Arpinelli

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 5–16
Top-10 probability: 60 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +58 s
Time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: 23.6 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 60 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.67 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:46 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 51 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:07 (3:37 / km)
Error: −0:21 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 48:39
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:37 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:49 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 17:46 (3:33 / km)
Total: 48:39
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 28.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 2 Matilda Offord
AUS
+66 s
+30 s
G4 / G2
 16:37
17:25
 48:46
Show details
Prediction details: Matilda Offord

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 2–14
Top-10 probability: 80 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +66 s
Time: 9:45
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: 36.1 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -1.32 %, Sicherheit 73 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.98 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:37 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 56 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:25 (3:29 / km)
Error: −0:48 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 48:46
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:45 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:57 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 16:37 (3:19 / km)
Total: 48:46
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 37.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 11 Katrien Maes
BEL
+49 s
+26 s
G3 / G2
 18:01
18:35
 48:54
Show details
Prediction details: Katrien Maes

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 5–16
Top-10 probability: 63 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 9:28
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: 22.8 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.41 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:01 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 10
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:35 (3:43 / km)
Error: −0:34 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 48:54
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:28 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:49 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 18:01 (3:36 / km)
Total: 48:54
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 19.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 8 Nora Romina Nádas
HUN
+45 s
+30 s
G3 / G2
 18:04
18:09
 48:57
Show details
Prediction details: Nora Romina Nádas

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 6–11
Top-10 probability: 80 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: 14.8 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 67 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 26 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.3 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.41 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:04 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 53 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:09 (3:38 / km)
Error: −0:05 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 48:57
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:24 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:49 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 18:04 (3:37 / km)
Total: 48:57
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 15.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 15 Josephine Seerig
GER
+39 s
+23 s
G2 / G2
correct 		18:19
19:11
 49:01
Show details
Prediction details: Josephine Seerig

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 6–20
Top-10 probability: 40 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: 15.9 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 94 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 40 %
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.67 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:19 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 82 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:11 (3:50 / km)
Error: −0:52 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 49:01
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:03 (39.9 km/h)
Run: 18:19 (3:40 / km)
Total: 49:01
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 10 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 20 Sian Munks
AUS
+52 s
+19 s
G3 / G2
 18:13
19:46
 49:06
Show details
Prediction details: Sian Munks

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 7–18
Top-10 probability: 38 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 32.5 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 73 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.2 s
Gap behind: 2.7 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.32 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:13 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 66 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:46 (3:57 / km)
Error: −1:33 / −0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 49:06
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:31 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:49 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 18:13 (3:39 / km)
Total: 49:06
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 22.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 24 Míra András
HUN
+63 s
+24 s
G3 / G3
correct 		18:27
19:10
 49:20
Show details
Prediction details: Míra András

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 11–27
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +63 s
Time: 9:42
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: 39.1 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 94 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 3 (14 people)
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.88 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:27 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.63 %, Sicherheit 81 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:10 (3:50 / km)
Error: −0:43 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 49:20
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:42 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:49 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 18:27 (3:41 / km)
Total: 49:20
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 34.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 17 Jessica Turnbull
GBR
+57 s
+22 s
G3 / G2
 18:32
19:30
 49:25
Show details
Prediction details: Jessica Turnbull

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 8–25
Top-10 probability: 19 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +57 s
Time: 9:36
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 34.9 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 18 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.41 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:32 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.40 %, Sicherheit 18 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:30 (3:54 / km)
Error: −0:58 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 49:25
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:36 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:49 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 18:32 (3:42 / km)
Total: 49:25
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 28 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 16 Phoebe Carter
NZL
+45 s
+6 s
G3 / G1
 18:33
19:42
 49:26
Show details
Prediction details: Phoebe Carter

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 10–18
Top-10 probability: 19 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 38.8 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 60 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 19 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 2.1 s
Result: Group 1 (9 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.50 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:33 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:42 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 55 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:42 (3:56 / km)
Error: −1:09 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 49:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:24 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:49 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 18:33 (3:43 / km)
Total: 49:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 15.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 30 Vanda Krizkova
CZE
+61 s
+46 s
G3 / G3
correct 		18:42
20:18
 49:35
Show details
Prediction details: Vanda Krizkova

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 9–29
Top-10 probability: 19 %
Result: 30
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +61 s
Time: 9:40
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: 15.4 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 68 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.4 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 3 (14 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.49 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:42 (3:44 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 61 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:18 (4:04 / km)
Error: −1:36 / −0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 49:35
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:40 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:49 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 18:42 (3:44 / km)
Total: 49:35
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 32.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 6 Korinna Katona
HUN
+37 s
+29 s
G2 / G2
correct 		18:59
17:50
 49:41
Show details
Prediction details: Korinna Katona

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 12–20
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 9:16
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: 7.9 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 64 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 43 %
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.4 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.69 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:59 (3:48 / km)
Historical basis: 3:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 64 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:50 (3:34 / km)
Error: +1:09 / +0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 49:41
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:16 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:03 (39.9 km/h)
Run: 18:59 (3:48 / km)
Total: 49:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 27 Lottie James
GBR
+8 s
+28 s
G1 / G3
 19:27
19:52
 49:43
Show details
Prediction details: Lottie James

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 13–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +8 s
Time: 8:47
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: -20.0 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 96 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 12.5 s
Result: Group 3 (14 people)
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.88 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:27 (3:53 / km)
Historical basis: 3:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 2 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:52 (3:58 / km)
Error: −0:25 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 49:43
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 8:47 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:50 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 19:27 (3:53 / km)
Total: 49:43
18 / 21 Emma O'Brien
IRL
+67 s
+44 s
G4 / G3
 17:40
18:47
 49:49
Show details
Prediction details: Emma O'Brien

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 6–22
Top-10 probability: 43 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +67 s
Time: 9:46
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: 23.1 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -0.47 %, Sicherheit 97 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 3 (14 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.06 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:40 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.77 %, Sicherheit 87 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:47 (3:45 / km)
Error: −1:07 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 49:49
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:46 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:57 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 17:40 (3:32 / km)
Total: 49:49
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 38.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 12 Lili Dobi
HUN
+59 s
+9 s
G3 / G1
 18:56
18:59
 49:49
Show details
Prediction details: Lili Dobi

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 16–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +59 s
Time: 9:38
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +9 s
Fehler: 49.7 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 91 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 1 (9 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.43 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:56 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:46 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 74 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:59 (3:48 / km)
Error: −0:03 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 49:49
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:38 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:49 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 18:56 (3:47 / km)
Total: 49:49
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 29.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 10 Zsanett Kuttor-Bragmayer
HUN
+26 s
+1 s
G1 / G1
correct 		19:41
18:56
 49:57
Show details
Prediction details: Zsanett Kuttor-Bragmayer

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 17–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 25.0 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 55 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 88 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.5 s
Gap behind: 7.0 s
Result: Group 1 (9 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.28 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:41 (3:56 / km)
Historical basis: 4:00 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur -1.48 %, Sicherheit 49 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:56 (3:47 / km)
Error: +0:45 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 49:57
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:05 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:50 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 19:41 (3:56 / km)
Total: 49:57
21 / 18 Sarah Walter
GER
+49 s
+19 s
G3 / G2
 19:21
19:33
 50:14
Show details
Prediction details: Sarah Walter

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 7–30
Top-10 probability: 19 %
Result: 18
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 9:28
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 29.5 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.27 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:21 (3:52 / km)
Historical basis: 3:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:33 (3:55 / km)
Error: −0:12 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 50:14
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:28 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:49 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 19:21 (3:52 / km)
Total: 50:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 19.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 23 Anita Ghelardoni
ITA
+67 s
+40 s
G4 / G3
 18:18
19:06
 50:27
Show details
Prediction details: Anita Ghelardoni

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 11–27
Top-10 probability: 10 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +67 s
Time: 9:46
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: 27.3 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -1.36 %, Sicherheit 69 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 3 (14 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:18 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:42 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 56 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:06 (3:49 / km)
Error: −0:48 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 50:27
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:46 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:57 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 18:18 (3:40 / km)
Total: 50:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 38.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 25 Mia Foster
AUS
+72 s
+44 s
G4 / G3
 18:20
19:15
 50:29
Show details
Prediction details: Mia Foster

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 16–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +72 s
Time: 9:51
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: 27.6 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.54 %, Sicherheit 23 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 3.3 s
Result: Group 3 (14 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:20 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 24 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:15 (3:51 / km)
Error: −0:55 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 50:29
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:51 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:57 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 18:20 (3:40 / km)
Total: 50:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 42.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 14 Elena Bitzi
SUI
+64 s
+27 s
G3 / G2
 19:44
18:59
 50:37
Show details
Prediction details: Elena Bitzi

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 21–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +64 s
Time: 9:43
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: 37.3 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.41 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:44 (3:57 / km)
Historical basis: 3:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km
Trend: −0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:59 (3:48 / km)
Error: +0:45 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 50:37
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:43 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:49 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 19:44 (3:57 / km)
Total: 50:37
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 35.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 9 Ellie Hobbs
TRI
+70 s
+37 s
G4 / G2
 18:30
18:17
 50:39
Show details
Prediction details: Ellie Hobbs

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 10–29
Top-10 probability: 11 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +70 s
Time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: 33.1 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 96 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.33 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:30 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 90 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:17 (3:39 / km)
Error: +0:13 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 50:39
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:49 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:57 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 18:30 (3:42 / km)
Total: 50:39
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 40.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 26 Zóra Filep
HUN
+39 s
+20 s
G2 / G3
 20:08
19:20
 50:50
Show details
Prediction details: Zóra Filep

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 12–32
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 26
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 19.0 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 58 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 34 %
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 3.4 s
Result: Group 3 (14 people)
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.78 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:08 (4:02 / km)
Historical basis: 4:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 51 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:20 (3:52 / km)
Error: +0:48 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 50:50
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:03 (39.9 km/h)
Run: 20:08 (4:02 / km)
Total: 50:50
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 10.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 13 Laura Szobácsi
HUN
+47 s
+7 s
G3 / G1
 19:58
19:03
 50:51
Show details
Prediction details: Laura Szobácsi

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 22–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 9:26
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +7 s
Fehler: 39.9 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.1 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 1 (9 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.46 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:58 (4:00 / km)
Historical basis: 4:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur -0.64 %, Sicherheit 86 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:03 (3:49 / km)
Error: +0:55 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 50:51
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:26 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:49 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 19:58 (4:00 / km)
Total: 50:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 18 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 22 Briana Mow
AUS
+71 s
+46 s
G4 / G3
 18:46
18:53
 50:55
Show details
Prediction details: Briana Mow

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 12–33
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 22
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +71 s
Time: 9:50
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: 24.6 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 99 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 3 (14 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:46 (3:45 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 77 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:53 (3:47 / km)
Error: −0:07 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 50:55
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:50 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:57 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 18:46 (3:45 / km)
Total: 50:55
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 41.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 / 34 Mira Ivanova Georgieva
BUL
+56 s
+43 s
G3 / G5
 20:16
20:54
 51:09
Show details
Prediction details: Mira Ivanova Georgieva

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 25–34
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 34
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +56 s
Time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: 12.7 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 33 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 35.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.88 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:16 (4:03 / km)
Historical basis: 4:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 1.09 %, Sicherheit 27 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:54 (4:11 / km)
Error: −0:38 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 51:09
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:35 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:49 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 20:16 (4:03 / km)
Total: 51:09
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 26.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
30 / 28 Emma Ryšávková
CZE
+55 s
+40 s
G3 / G3
correct 		20:18
19:53
 51:11
Show details
Prediction details: Emma Ryšávková

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 16–34
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 28
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +55 s
Time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: 15.3 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur -0.39 %, Sicherheit 38 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 3 (14 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.53 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:18 (4:04 / km)
Historical basis: 4:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.51 %, Sicherheit 29 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:53 (3:59 / km)
Error: +0:25 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 51:11
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:34 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:49 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 20:18 (4:04 / km)
Total: 51:11
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 26.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
31 / 32 Grete Maria Savitsch
EST
+59 s
+37 s
G3 / G3
correct 		20:20
21:00
 51:13
Show details
Prediction details: Grete Maria Savitsch

Placement

Prediction: 31
80% range: 23–34
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 32
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +59 s
Time: 9:38
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: 22.0 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur -0.43 %, Sicherheit 64 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 2.4 s
Result: Group 3 (14 people)
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.68 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:20 (4:04 / km)
Historical basis: 4:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 51 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:00 (4:12 / km)
Error: −0:40 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 51:13
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:38 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:49 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 20:20 (4:04 / km)
Total: 51:13
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 30.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
32 / 35 Beāte Bula
LAT
+43 s
+48 s
G3 / G4
 21:25
22:24
 52:18
Show details
Prediction details: Beāte Bula

Placement

Prediction: 32
80% range: 29–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 35
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 9:22
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +48 s
Fehler: -5.5 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 26 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 29 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 2.3 s
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.49 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:25 (4:17 / km)
Historical basis: 4:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 20 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:24 (4:29 / km)
Error: −0:59 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 52:18
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:22 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:49 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 21:25 (4:17 / km)
Total: 52:18
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 13.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
33 / 31 Anna Maria Besenyei
ROU
+42 s
+45 s
G3 / G3
correct 		21:54
20:26
 52:47
Show details
Prediction details: Anna Maria Besenyei

Placement

Prediction: 33
80% range: 31–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 31
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: -2.6 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 38 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 40 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.4 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 3 (14 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.53 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:54 (4:23 / km)
Historical basis: 4:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:45 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.98 %, Sicherheit 30 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:26 (4:05 / km)
Error: +1:28 / +0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 52:47
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:21 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:49 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 21:54 (4:23 / km)
Total: 52:47
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 13.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
34 / 29 Leonie Hauser
AUT
+75 s
+47 s
G5 / G3
 19:48
20:17
 52:57
Show details
Prediction details: Leonie Hauser

Placement

Prediction: 34
80% range: 25–34
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +75 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: 27.9 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.3 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (14 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:48 (3:58 / km)
Historical basis: 3:59 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: −0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur -0.65 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:17 (4:03 / km)
Error: −0:29 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 52:57
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:54 (37.6 km/h)
Run: 19:48 (3:58 / km)
Total: 52:57
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 46 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
35 / 33 Luna Sraka
SLO
+68 s
+44 s
G4 / G3
 21:18
21:54
 53:27
Show details
Prediction details: Luna Sraka

Placement

Prediction: 35
80% range: 31–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 33
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +68 s
Time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: 24.2 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 39 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s
Result: Group 3 (14 people)
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.16 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:18 (4:16 / km)
Historical basis: 4:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:19 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -1.23 %, Sicherheit 35 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:54 (4:23 / km)
Error: −0:36 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 53:27
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:47 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:57 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 21:18 (4:16 / km)
Total: 53:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 39.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.