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Elite Men

27.06.2026 Wels AUT
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Cup Wels

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 27.06.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 85/100 hoch
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 21 früheren Rennen und 399 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 48.8 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 27.06.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 3 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 98.3 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 100.0 % · 21 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error12.8
Mean swim error10.6 s
Mean bike-speed error2.17 km/h
Correct bike groups30/59
No history0
Within the 80% range47.5 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 22 Nathan Lessmann
FRA
+5 s
+18 s
G1 / G1
correct 		14:25
15:11
 44:41
Show details
Prediction details: Nathan Lessmann

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +5 s
Time: 8:42
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: -13.2 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur 0.64 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 96 %
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.3 s
Gap behind: 3.7 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 46.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.59 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:25 (2:53 / km)
Historical basis: 2:55 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:45 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur 0.66 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:11 (3:02 / km)
Error: −0:46 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 44:41
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:42 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (44.4 km/h)
Run: 14:25 (2:53 / km)
Total: 44:41
2 / 12 Quentin Criado
FRA
+30 s
+26 s
G1 / G1
correct 		14:50
14:50
 45:06
Show details
Prediction details: Quentin Criado

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 1–12
Top-10 probability: 88 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 9:07
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: 3.7 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur 0.65 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 69 %
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 46.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:50 (2:58 / km)
Historical basis: 3:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:56 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:50 (2:58 / km)
Error: +0:00 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 45:06
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:07 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (44.4 km/h)
Run: 14:50 (2:58 / km)
Total: 45:06
3 / 18 Thibault Rivier
SUI
+26 s
+37 s
G1 / G1
correct 		14:53
15:02
 45:09
Show details
Prediction details: Thibault Rivier

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 2–10
Top-10 probability: 93 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 9:03
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: -11.3 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 101 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 78 %
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 46.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.19 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:53 (2:59 / km)
Historical basis: 3:00 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur 1.09 %, Sicherheit 94 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:02 (3:00 / km)
Error: −0:09 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 45:09
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:03 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (44.4 km/h)
Run: 14:53 (2:59 / km)
Total: 45:09
4 / 4 Toby Powers
AUS
+32 s
+21 s
G1 / G1
correct 		14:53
14:40
 45:09
Show details
Prediction details: Toby Powers

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 3–18
Top-10 probability: 74 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 11.1 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 81 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 55 %
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 46.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.80 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:53 (2:59 / km)
Historical basis: 3:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.44 %, Sicherheit 58 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:40 (2:56 / km)
Error: +0:13 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 45:09
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:09 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (44.4 km/h)
Run: 14:53 (2:59 / km)
Total: 45:09
5 / 23 Antoine Duval
FRA
+3 s
+10 s
G1 / G1
correct 		14:55
15:18
 45:11
Show details
Prediction details: Antoine Duval

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 2–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +3 s
Time: 8:40
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: -7.5 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur 0.66 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 98 %
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 2.3 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 46.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.56 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:55 (2:59 / km)
Historical basis: 2:59 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:18 (3:04 / km)
Error: −0:23 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 45:11
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:40 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (44.4 km/h)
Run: 14:55 (2:59 / km)
Total: 45:11
6 / 8 Adam Fouchal
FRA
+29 s
+34 s
G1 / G1
correct 		14:55
14:45
 45:11
Show details
Prediction details: Adam Fouchal

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 3–13
Top-10 probability: 80 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: -4.7 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 99 Duelle, Korrektur 0.35 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 69 %
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.8 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 46.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.02 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:55 (2:59 / km)
Historical basis: 3:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 77 Duelle, Korrektur 0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:45 (2:57 / km)
Error: +0:10 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 45:11
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:06 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (44.4 km/h)
Run: 14:55 (2:59 / km)
Total: 45:11
7 / 5 Raf De Dobbelaere
BEL
+27 s
+8 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:12
14:41
 45:28
Show details
Prediction details: Raf De Dobbelaere

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 5–15
Top-10 probability: 73 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 9:04
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +8 s
Fehler: 18.5 s
H2H: 44 Gegner:innen, 158 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 80 %
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 2.8 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 46.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.54 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:12 (3:02 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 44 Gegner:innen, 140 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:41 (2:56 / km)
Error: +0:31 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 45:28
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:04 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (44.4 km/h)
Run: 15:12 (3:02 / km)
Total: 45:28
8 / 19 Robbie White
NZL
+17 s
+11 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:17
15:14
 45:33
Show details
Prediction details: Robbie White

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 6–14
Top-10 probability: 61 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +17 s
Time: 8:54
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 6.3 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 19 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 94 %
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 46.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.70 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:17 (3:03 / km)
Historical basis: 3:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.85 %, Sicherheit 19 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:14 (3:03 / km)
Error: +0:03 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 45:33
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:54 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (44.4 km/h)
Run: 15:17 (3:03 / km)
Total: 45:33
9 / 11 Cis Huyghe
BEL
+33 s
+29 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:21
14:59
 45:37
Show details
Prediction details: Cis Huyghe

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 6–21
Top-10 probability: 34 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: 4.4 s
H2H: 43 Gegner:innen, 127 Duelle, Korrektur 0.35 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 61 %
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 46.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.32 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:21 (3:04 / km)
Historical basis: 3:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 91 Duelle, Korrektur 0.35 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:59 (3:00 / km)
Error: +0:22 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 45:37
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:10 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (44.4 km/h)
Run: 15:21 (3:04 / km)
Total: 45:37
10 / 17 Kamil Kulik
POL
+33 s
+38 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:23
15:04
 45:39
Show details
Prediction details: Kamil Kulik

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 8–26
Top-10 probability: 35 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: -4.8 s
H2H: 45 Gegner:innen, 177 Duelle, Korrektur 0.44 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 61 %
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 46.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.19 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:23 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 45 Gegner:innen, 159 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:04 (3:01 / km)
Error: +0:19 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 45:39
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:10 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (44.4 km/h)
Run: 15:23 (3:05 / km)
Total: 45:39
11 / 13 Fabian Schönke
GER
+30 s
+42 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:26
15:00
 45:42
Show details
Prediction details: Fabian Schönke

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 6–20
Top-10 probability: 29 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 9:07
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: -12.4 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 135 Duelle, Korrektur 0.76 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 69 %
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 46.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.49 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:26 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 130 Duelle, Korrektur 0.41 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:00 (3:00 / km)
Error: +0:26 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 45:42
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:07 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (44.4 km/h)
Run: 15:26 (3:05 / km)
Total: 45:42
12 / 6 Jan Scheffold
GER
+31 s
+16 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:26
14:49
 45:42
Show details
Prediction details: Jan Scheffold

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 3–29
Top-10 probability: 30 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: 15.1 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 96 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 64 %
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 46.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.80 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:26 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 86 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:49 (2:58 / km)
Error: +0:37 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 45:42
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:08 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (44.4 km/h)
Run: 15:26 (3:05 / km)
Total: 45:42
13 / 24 Jayden Scott Koslick
GER
+23 s
+25 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:28
15:24
 45:44
Show details
Prediction details: Jayden Scott Koslick

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 5–22
Top-10 probability: 35 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:00
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: -1.8 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur 0.35 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 84 %
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 46.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.02 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:28 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:24 (3:05 / km)
Error: +0:04 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 45:44
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:00 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (44.4 km/h)
Run: 15:28 (3:06 / km)
Total: 45:44
14 / 38 Jan Semmler
GER
+20 s
+7 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:30
16:22
 45:46
Show details
Prediction details: Jan Semmler

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 6–22
Top-10 probability: 28 %
Result: 38
Deviation: -24

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 8:57
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +7 s
Fehler: 12.9 s
H2H: 47 Gegner:innen, 123 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 95 %
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 46.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.62 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:30 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:56 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 11
H2H: 47 Gegner:innen, 113 Duelle, Korrektur 0.55 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Error: −0:52 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 45:46
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:57 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (44.4 km/h)
Run: 15:30 (3:06 / km)
Total: 45:46
15 / 14 Damian Suarez Couto
ESP
+9 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:41
15:01
 45:57
Show details
Prediction details: Damian Suarez Couto

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 8–27
Top-10 probability: 20 %
Result: 14
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +9 s
Time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 8.5 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 96 %
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.7 s
Gap behind: 3.5 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 45.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:41 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:01 (3:00 / km)
Error: +0:40 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 45:57
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:46 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (44.4 km/h)
Run: 15:41 (3:08 / km)
Total: 45:57
16 / 7 Andrés Prieto Villar
ESP
+21 s
+5 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:42
14:45
 45:58
Show details
Prediction details: Andrés Prieto Villar

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 8–20
Top-10 probability: 20 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 8:58
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 16.1 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 114 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 93 %
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 45.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:42 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:55 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 98 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:45 (2:57 / km)
Error: +0:57 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 45:58
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:58 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (44.4 km/h)
Run: 15:42 (3:08 / km)
Total: 45:58
17 / 27 Antoine L'hôte
SUI
+30 s
+36 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:42
15:29
 45:58
Show details
Prediction details: Antoine L'hôte

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 6–30
Top-10 probability: 29 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 9:07
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: -6.4 s
H2H: 46 Gegner:innen, 146 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 66 %
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 46.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.19 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:42 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 47 Gegner:innen, 115 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:29 (3:06 / km)
Error: +0:13 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 45:58
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:07 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (44.4 km/h)
Run: 15:42 (3:08 / km)
Total: 45:58
18 / 48 Philip Pertl
AUT
+30 s
+26 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:00
17:38
 46:16
Show details
Prediction details: Philip Pertl

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 11–36
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 48
Deviation: -30

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 9:07
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: 4.0 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 53 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 70 %
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 46.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:00 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 80 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:38 (3:32 / km)
Error: −1:38 / −0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 46:16
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:07 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (44.4 km/h)
Run: 16:00 (3:12 / km)
Total: 46:16
19 / 54 Matteo Carlo Perri
ITA
+31 s
+41 s
G1 / G5
 16:02
16:55
 46:18
Show details
Prediction details: Matteo Carlo Perri

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 12–38
Top-10 probability: 10 %
Result: 54
Deviation: -35

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: -9.7 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 77 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 64 %
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 5 (7 people)
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:02 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 77 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Error: −0:53 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 46:18
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:08 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (44.4 km/h)
Run: 16:02 (3:12 / km)
Total: 46:18
20 / 21 Finnley Oliver
NZL
+15 s
+13 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:04
15:05
 46:20
Show details
Prediction details: Finnley Oliver

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 15–26
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +15 s
Time: 8:52
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: 1.8 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur 0.94 %, Sicherheit 65 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 90 %
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 46.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.67 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:04 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur -0.63 %, Sicherheit 65 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:05 (3:01 / km)
Error: +0:59 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 46:20
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:52 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (44.4 km/h)
Run: 16:04 (3:13 / km)
Total: 46:20
21 / 16 Delian Stateff
ITA
+22 s
+36 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:04
15:07
 46:20
Show details
Prediction details: Delian Stateff

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 13–28
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 16
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 8:59
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: -14.2 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 94 Duelle, Korrektur -0.42 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 89 %
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 47.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.63 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:04 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 85 Duelle, Korrektur -0.37 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:07 (3:01 / km)
Error: +0:57 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 46:20
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:59 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (44.4 km/h)
Run: 16:04 (3:13 / km)
Total: 46:20
22 / 32 Julian Piller
AUT
+20 s
+14 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:10
15:43
 46:26
Show details
Prediction details: Julian Piller

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 15–30
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 32
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 8:57
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 6.3 s
H2H: 48 Gegner:innen, 165 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 93 %
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 46.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.70 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:10 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 48 Gegner:innen, 165 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:43 (3:09 / km)
Error: +0:27 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 46:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:57 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (44.4 km/h)
Run: 16:10 (3:14 / km)
Total: 46:26
23 / 52 Moritz Göttler
GER
+24 s
+42 s
G1 / G4
 16:24
17:31
 46:40
Show details
Prediction details: Moritz Göttler

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 14–39
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 52
Deviation: -29

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 9:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: -17.6 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur 1.14 %, Sicherheit 88 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 84 %
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 4 (3 people)
Speed: 44.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.09 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:24 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur 0.54 %, Sicherheit 70 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Error: −1:07 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 46:40
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:01 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (44.4 km/h)
Run: 16:24 (3:17 / km)
Total: 46:40
24 / 41 Jan Gaberc
AUT
+24 s
+14 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:27
16:28
 46:43
Show details
Prediction details: Jan Gaberc

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 22–34
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 41
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 9:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 9.6 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 120 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 83 %
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 46.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.62 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:27 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: −0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 87 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:28 (3:18 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 46:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:01 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (44.4 km/h)
Run: 16:27 (3:17 / km)
Total: 46:43
25 / 50 Konrád Székely
HUN
+30 s
+43 s
G1 / G5
 16:35
15:47
 46:51
Show details
Prediction details: Konrád Székely

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 19–41
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 50
Deviation: -25

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 9:07
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: -12.8 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 37 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 64 %
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 5 (7 people)
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 38 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:47 (3:09 / km)
Error: +0:48 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 46:51
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:07 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (44.4 km/h)
Run: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Total: 46:51
26 / 15 Thomas Windischbauer
AUT
+14 s
+2 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:36
15:01
 46:52
Show details
Prediction details: Thomas Windischbauer

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 12–40
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 15
Deviation: 11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +14 s
Time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 11.9 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 153 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 96 %
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 45.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.38 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:36 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: −0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 132 Duelle, Korrektur -0.43 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:01 (3:00 / km)
Error: +1:35 / +0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 46:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:51 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (44.4 km/h)
Run: 16:36 (3:19 / km)
Total: 46:52
27 / 39 Roy Baron
ISR
+19 s
+16 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:44
16:21
 47:00
Show details
Prediction details: Roy Baron

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 21–39
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 39
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: 2.8 s
H2H: 49 Gegner:innen, 133 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 94 %
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 46.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.89 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:44 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 49 Gegner:innen, 104 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:21 (3:16 / km)
Error: +0:23 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 47:00
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:56 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (44.4 km/h)
Run: 16:44 (3:21 / km)
Total: 47:00
28 / 2 Tristan Douche
FRA
+41 s
+32 s
G2 / G1
 16:02
14:29
 47:05
Show details
Prediction details: Tristan Douche

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 6–50
Top-10 probability: 19 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 26

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: 8.8 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 91 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 74 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 26 %
Speed: 43.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 46.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:02 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 49 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:29 (2:54 / km)
Error: +1:33 / +0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 47:05
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:22 (43.5 km/h)
Run: 16:02 (3:12 / km)
Total: 47:05
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 6.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 / 45 Xavi Cabanilles Añó
ESP
+24 s
+40 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:02
17:16
 47:18
Show details
Prediction details: Xavi Cabanilles Añó

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 29–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 45
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 9:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: -16.4 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.65 %, Sicherheit 40 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 80 %
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 46.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.27 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:02 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 30 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:16 (3:27 / km)
Error: −0:14 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 47:18
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:01 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (44.4 km/h)
Run: 17:02 (3:24 / km)
Total: 47:18
30 / 20 Lucas García Picón
ESP
+37 s
+42 s
G2 / G1
 16:17
15:10
 47:20
Show details
Prediction details: Lucas García Picón

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 23–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 9:14
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: -4.7 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur -0.44 %, Sicherheit 75 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 39 %
Speed: 43.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 46.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.37 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:17 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur -0.41 %, Sicherheit 67 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:10 (3:02 / km)
Error: +1:07 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 47:20
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:14 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:22 (43.5 km/h)
Run: 16:17 (3:15 / km)
Total: 47:20
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 3.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
31 / 42 Lucas Riola Delgado
ESP
+47 s
+47 s
G3 / G3
correct 		15:35
15:41
 47:21
Show details
Prediction details: Lucas Riola Delgado

Placement

Prediction: 31
80% range: 17–36
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 42
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: 0.2 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur 0.69 %, Sicherheit 68 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 45.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.35 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:35 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur 0.95 %, Sicherheit 55 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:41 (3:08 / km)
Error: −0:06 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 47:21
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:24 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:51 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 15:35 (3:07 / km)
Total: 47:21
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 13.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
32 / 1 Martin Hubner
FRA
+54 s
+43 s
G3 / G1
 15:39
14:24
 47:25
Show details
Prediction details: Martin Hubner

Placement

Prediction: 32
80% range: 19–45
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 31

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +54 s
Time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: 11.3 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur -0.73 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 46.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.88 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:39 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:52 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur -0.57 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:24 (2:53 / km)
Error: +1:15 / +0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 47:25
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:31 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:51 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 15:39 (3:08 / km)
Total: 47:25
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 20.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
33 / 30 Henning Scholl
GER
+31 s
+38 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:10
15:40
 47:26
Show details
Prediction details: Henning Scholl

Placement

Prediction: 33
80% range: 33–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 30
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: -7.0 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 54 %
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 46.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.24 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:10 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur -0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:40 (3:08 / km)
Error: +1:30 / +0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 47:26
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:08 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (44.4 km/h)
Run: 17:10 (3:26 / km)
Total: 47:26
34 / 53 Ákos Kárpáti
HUN
+37 s
+40 s
G2 / G5
 16:26
16:51
 47:29
Show details
Prediction details: Ákos Kárpáti

Placement

Prediction: 34
80% range: 24–39
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 53
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 9:14
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: -3.5 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 56 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 38 %
Speed: 43.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 5 (7 people)
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.30 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:26 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:51 (3:22 / km)
Error: −0:25 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 47:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:14 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:22 (43.5 km/h)
Run: 16:26 (3:17 / km)
Total: 47:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 2.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
35 / 35 Samuel Künz
AUT
+35 s
+12 s
G2 / G1
 16:30
15:56
 47:33
Show details
Prediction details: Samuel Künz

Placement

Prediction: 35
80% range: 16–44
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 35
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 23.3 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 117 Duelle, Korrektur -1.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 44 %
Speed: 43.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 46.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.88 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:30 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 117 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:56 (3:11 / km)
Error: +0:34 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 47:33
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:12 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:22 (43.5 km/h)
Run: 16:30 (3:18 / km)
Total: 47:33
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 1.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
36 / 49 Peter Rojtas
SVK
+39 s
+39 s
G2 / G4
 16:33
16:31
 47:36
Show details
Prediction details: Peter Rojtas

Placement

Prediction: 36
80% range: 21–51
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 49
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 9:16
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +39 s
Fehler: -0.4 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 63 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 38 %
Speed: 43.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 4 (3 people)
Speed: 44.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:33 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 63 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 98 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:31 (3:18 / km)
Error: +0:02 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 47:36
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:16 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:22 (43.5 km/h)
Run: 16:33 (3:19 / km)
Total: 47:36
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 4.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
37 / 31 Rick Van der Knaap
NED
+55 s
+47 s
G3 / G1
 15:51
15:44
 47:37
Show details
Prediction details: Rick Van der Knaap

Placement

Prediction: 37
80% range: 17–52
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 31
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +55 s
Time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: 7.6 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 47.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.18 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:51 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:44 (3:09 / km)
Error: +0:07 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 47:37
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:32 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:51 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 15:51 (3:10 / km)
Total: 47:37
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 20.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
38 / 10 Jan Bader
AUT
+41 s
+32 s
G2 / G1
 16:34
14:43
 47:37
Show details
Prediction details: Jan Bader

Placement

Prediction: 38
80% range: 25–53
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 28

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: 8.9 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 152 Duelle, Korrektur -0.63 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 41 %
Speed: 43.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 46.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.91 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:34 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:52 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 152 Duelle, Korrektur -0.58 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:43 (2:57 / km)
Error: +1:51 / +0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 47:37
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:22 (43.5 km/h)
Run: 16:34 (3:19 / km)
Total: 47:37
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
39 / 34 Brody Kapeller
AUT
+45 s
+31 s
G3 / G1
 15:54
15:49
 47:40
Show details
Prediction details: Brody Kapeller

Placement

Prediction: 39
80% range: 18–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 34
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 9:22
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 13.6 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 90 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 29 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.5 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 46.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.66 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:54 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 88 Duelle, Korrektur 0.65 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:49 (3:10 / km)
Error: +0:05 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 47:40
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:22 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:51 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 15:54 (3:11 / km)
Total: 47:40
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 10.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
40 / 46 Isaac Lamprecht
USA
+45 s
+46 s
G3 / G3
correct 		16:05
16:26
 47:51
Show details
Prediction details: Isaac Lamprecht

Placement

Prediction: 40
80% range: 23–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 46
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 9:22
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: -0.8 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 45.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.30 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:05 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:26 (3:17 / km)
Error: −0:21 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 47:51
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:22 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:51 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 16:05 (3:13 / km)
Total: 47:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 11.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
41 / 36 Matyas Daligaud
FRA
+17 s
+3 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:35
16:04
 47:51
Show details
Prediction details: Matyas Daligaud

Placement

Prediction: 41
80% range: 37–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 36
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +17 s
Time: 8:54
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 13.5 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 17 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 95 %
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 46.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.56 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:35 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -1.36 %, Sicherheit 17 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:04 (3:13 / km)
Error: +1:31 / +0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 47:51
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 8:54 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (44.4 km/h)
Run: 17:35 (3:31 / km)
Total: 47:51
42 / 33 Giovanni Aruffo
ITA
+12 s
+24 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:46
15:43
 48:02
Show details
Prediction details: Giovanni Aruffo

Placement

Prediction: 42
80% range: 40–49
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 33
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 8:49
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: -12.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur 1.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 95 %
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.5 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 46.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.97 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:46 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:56 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur -0.59 %, Sicherheit 92 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:43 (3:09 / km)
Error: +2:03 / +0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 48:02
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:49 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (44.4 km/h)
Run: 17:46 (3:33 / km)
Total: 48:02
43 / 40 Quentin Pennone
SUI
+39 s
+45 s
G2 / G1
 17:05
16:21
 48:08
Show details
Prediction details: Quentin Pennone

Placement

Prediction: 43
80% range: 34–52
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 40
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 9:16
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: -6.0 s
H2H: 44 Gegner:innen, 120 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 38 %
Speed: 43.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 46.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.43 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:05 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 43 Gegner:innen, 98 Duelle, Korrektur -0.41 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:21 (3:16 / km)
Error: +0:44 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 48:08
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:16 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:22 (43.5 km/h)
Run: 17:05 (3:25 / km)
Total: 48:08
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 5.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
44 / 9 Achille Besson
FRA
+55 s
+14 s
G3 / G1
 16:30
14:43
 48:16
Show details
Prediction details: Achille Besson

Placement

Prediction: 44
80% range: 35–52
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 35

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +55 s
Time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 41.3 s
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 85 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 6.6 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 45.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.79 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:30 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur -0.91 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:43 (2:57 / km)
Error: +1:47 / +0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 48:16
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:32 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:51 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 16:30 (3:18 / km)
Total: 48:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 21.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
45 / 56 Jan Peterka
SLO
+14 s
+6 s
G1 / G5
 18:01
17:13
 48:17
Show details
Prediction details: Jan Peterka

Placement

Prediction: 45
80% range: 35–55
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 56
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +14 s
Time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 7.9 s
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 119 Duelle, Korrektur 0.58 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 95 %
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 5 (7 people)
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.90 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:01 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 75 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:13 (3:27 / km)
Error: +0:48 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 48:17
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:51 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:43 (44.4 km/h)
Run: 18:01 (3:36 / km)
Total: 48:17
46 / 25 Niklas Keller
AUT
+41 s
+39 s
G2 / G1
 17:15
15:25
 48:18
Show details
Prediction details: Niklas Keller

Placement

Prediction: 46
80% range: 37–53
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: 21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +39 s
Fehler: 2.1 s
H2H: 43 Gegner:innen, 166 Duelle, Korrektur 0.37 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 43.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 3.5 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 46.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.24 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:15 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 43 Gegner:innen, 157 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:25 (3:05 / km)
Error: +1:50 / +0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 48:18
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:22 (43.5 km/h)
Run: 17:15 (3:27 / km)
Total: 48:18
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 7.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
47 / 26 Giovanni Lombardo
ITA
+36 s
+35 s
G2 / G1
 17:18
15:25
 48:21
Show details
Prediction details: Giovanni Lombardo

Placement

Prediction: 47
80% range: 33–55
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: 21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: 1.2 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 53 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 46 %
Speed: 43.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 46.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.13 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur -0.67 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:25 (3:05 / km)
Error: +1:53 / +0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 48:21
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:13 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:22 (43.5 km/h)
Run: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Total: 48:21
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 2.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
48 / 51 Valentin Van Wersch
NED
+63 s
+47 s
G4 / G5
 15:49
16:20
 48:25
Show details
Prediction details: Valentin Van Wersch

Placement

Prediction: 48
80% range: 29–53
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 51
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +63 s
Time: 9:40
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: 16.1 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur -1.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 3.1 s
Result: Group 5 (7 people)
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.58 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:49 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:20 (3:16 / km)
Error: −0:31 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 48:25
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:40 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:33 (41.8 km/h)
Run: 15:49 (3:10 / km)
Total: 48:25
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 29.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
49 / 28 Reece Harris
AUS
+50 s
+22 s
G3 / G1
 16:57
15:30
 48:43
Show details
Prediction details: Reece Harris

Placement

Prediction: 49
80% range: 35–56
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation: 21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 28.3 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur -0.95 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 46.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:57 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur -0.93 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:30 (3:06 / km)
Error: +1:27 / +0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 48:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:27 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:51 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 16:57 (3:23 / km)
Total: 48:43
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 16.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
50 / 55 Charlie Smoak
USA
+54 s
+46 s
G3 / G5
 16:58
17:05
 48:44
Show details
Prediction details: Charlie Smoak

Placement

Prediction: 50
80% range: 33–56
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 55
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +54 s
Time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: 8.2 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.51 %, Sicherheit 6 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 26 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.5 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 5 (7 people)
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.43 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:58 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 4 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:05 (3:25 / km)
Error: −0:07 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 48:44
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 9:31 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:51 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 16:58 (3:24 / km)
Total: 48:44
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 20.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
51 / 3 Maxime Fluri
SUI
+34 s
+16 s
G2 / G1
 17:47
14:34
 48:50
Show details
Prediction details: Maxime Fluri

Placement

Prediction: 51
80% range: 42–53
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 48

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: 18.2 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 76 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 48 %
Speed: 43.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 46.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:47 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:57 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 67 Duelle, Korrektur -1.68 %, Sicherheit 77 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:34 (2:55 / km)
Error: +3:13 / +0:39 / km
Overall prediction: 48:50
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:11 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:22 (43.5 km/h)
Run: 17:47 (3:33 / km)
Total: 48:50
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 0.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
52 / 43 Moritz Meier
AUT
+51 s
+48 s
G3 / G1
 17:08
16:42
 48:54
Show details
Prediction details: Moritz Meier

Placement

Prediction: 52
80% range: 42–54
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 43
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 9:28
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +48 s
Fehler: 2.7 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 111 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 3.5 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 46.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.96 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:08 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur 0.35 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:42 (3:20 / km)
Error: +0:26 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 48:54
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:28 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:51 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 17:08 (3:26 / km)
Total: 48:54
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 16.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
53 / 47 Jakob Meier
AUT
+47 s
+43 s
G3 / G1
 17:16
17:24
 49:02
Show details
Prediction details: Jakob Meier

Placement

Prediction: 53
80% range: 41–54
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 47
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: 4.1 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 95 Duelle, Korrektur 0.42 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 47.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:16 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 95 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:24 (3:29 / km)
Error: −0:08 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 49:02
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:24 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:51 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 17:16 (3:27 / km)
Total: 49:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 13.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
54 / 37 Noah Künz
AUT
+49 s
+18 s
G3 / G1
 17:16
16:22
 49:02
Show details
Prediction details: Noah Künz

Placement

Prediction: 54
80% range: 38–55
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 37
Deviation: 17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 9:26
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 30.6 s
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 148 Duelle, Korrektur -0.45 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 1 (45 people)
Speed: 46.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.36 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:16 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 139 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Error: +0:54 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 49:02
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:26 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:51 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 17:16 (3:27 / km)
Total: 49:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 14.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
55 / 44 Jonas Hauser
AUT
+50 s
+41 s
G3 / G4
 17:28
15:36
 49:14
Show details
Prediction details: Jonas Hauser

Placement

Prediction: 55
80% range: 40–56
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 44
Deviation: 11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: 8.6 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 97 Duelle, Korrektur -0.69 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 4 (3 people)
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.38 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:28 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 93 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:36 (3:07 / km)
Error: +1:52 / +0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 49:14
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:27 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:51 (43.0 km/h)
Run: 17:28 (3:30 / km)
Total: 49:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 15.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
56 / 57 Matteo Radina
SUI
+62 s
+73 s
G4 / G6
 16:56
16:37
 49:32
Show details
Prediction details: Matteo Radina

Placement

Prediction: 56
80% range: 41–57
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 57
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +62 s
Time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +73 s
Fehler: -10.8 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 95 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 6 (3 people)
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.24 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:56 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:37 (3:19 / km)
Error: +0:19 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 49:32
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:39 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:33 (41.8 km/h)
Run: 16:56 (3:23 / km)
Total: 49:32
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 28.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
57 / 29 Graham Hummel
USA
+62 s
+27 s
G4 / G2
 17:44
15:22
 50:20
Show details
Prediction details: Graham Hummel

Placement

Prediction: 57
80% range: 47–58
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: 28

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +62 s
Time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: 34.9 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur -1.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.6 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 46.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:44 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur -1.13 %, Sicherheit 65 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:22 (3:04 / km)
Error: +2:22 / +0:28 / km
Overall prediction: 50:20
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:39 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:33 (41.8 km/h)
Run: 17:44 (3:33 / km)
Total: 50:20
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 28 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
58 / 58 Fabio Bruschi
ITA
+40 s
+44 s
G2 / G5
 20:18
19:14
 51:21
Show details
Prediction details: Fabio Bruschi

Placement

Prediction: 58
80% range: 57–58
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 58
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 9:17
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: -4.5 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 43 %
Speed: 43.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 5 (7 people)
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.11 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:18 (4:04 / km)
Historical basis: 4:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur -1.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:14 (3:51 / km)
Error: +1:04 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 51:21
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:17 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:22 (43.5 km/h)
Run: 20:18 (4:04 / km)
Total: 51:21
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 5.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
59 / 59 Fabio Sattler
AUT
+66 s
+48 s
G5 / G6
 21:27
21:54
 57:06
Show details
Prediction details: Fabio Sattler

Placement

Prediction: 59
80% range: 59–59
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 59
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +66 s
Time: 9:43
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +48 s
Fehler: 18.2 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur -0.76 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.1 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (3 people)
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.81 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:27 (4:17 / km)
Historical basis: 4:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur -0.89 %, Sicherheit 87 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:54 (4:23 / km)
Error: −0:27 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 57:06
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:43 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:33 (38.2 km/h)
Run: 21:27 (4:17 / km)
Total: 57:06
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 32.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.