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Predicition
Prediction comparison

45-49 Female AG

12.07.2026 ESP
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Duathlon Championships Banyoles

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 12.07.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 16/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 13 früheren Rennen und 165 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 48.5 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 04.07.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 6 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 18 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 12.5 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 25.0 % · 13 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error4.0
Mean bike-speed error32.92 km/h
Correct bike groups0/0
No history2
Place
Prediction / result
Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result
Bike group
Prediction / result
Run
Prediction / result
Overall prediction Details
0 / 1 Veronica Green-Jones
GBR
+45 s
G0 / G1
38:55
40:33
Show details
Prediction details: Veronica Green-Jones

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time:
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -36.51 km/h

Running and total

Run: 38:55 (3:54 / km)
Historical basis: 3:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1

Ergebnis Lauf: 40:33 (8:07 / km)
Error: −1:38 / −4:13 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 38:55 (3:54 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 2 Tamina Kate Oliver
GBR
+0 s
G0 / G2
40:33
Show details
Prediction details: Tamina Kate Oliver

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 35.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -35.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 40:33 (8:07 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 3 Tracey Donovan
GBR
+665 s
G0 / G3
45:26
45:04
Show details
Prediction details: Tracey Donovan

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +665 s
Time:
Pace: 2:19 / 100 m

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 32.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -32.75 km/h

Running and total

Run: 45:26 (4:33 / km)
Historical basis: 4:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 45:04 (9:01 / km)
Error: +0:22 / −4:28 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 45:26 (4:33 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 4 Sandra Reid
GBR
+0 s
G0 / G5
45:07
Show details
Prediction details: Sandra Reid

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 30.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 45:07 (9:01 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 5 Ali Vaz
GBR
+991 s
G0 / G6
1:24:02
44:05
Show details
Prediction details: Ali Vaz

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +991 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 29.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -29.39 km/h

Running and total

Run: 1:24:02 (8:24 / km)
Historical basis: 8:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 8:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -1.02 %, Sicherheit 1 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 44:05 (8:49 / km)
Error: +39:57 / −0:25 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 1:24:02 (8:24 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 6 Petra Hren
AUT
+329 s
G0 / G4
53:06
50:44
Show details
Prediction details: Petra Hren

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +329 s
Time:
Pace: 2:06 / 100 m

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 33.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -33.30 km/h

Running and total

Run: 53:06 (5:19 / km)
Historical basis: 5:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:59 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2

Ergebnis Lauf: 50:44 (10:09 / km)
Error: +2:22 / −4:50 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 53:06 (5:19 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 7 Jennifer Tomblin
GBR
+1,156 s
G0 / G7
1:35:46
48:47
Show details
Prediction details: Jennifer Tomblin

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +1,156 s
Time:
Pace: 2:29 / 100 m

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 30.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -30.54 km/h

Running and total

Run: 1:35:46 (9:35 / km)
Historical basis: 9:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 9:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 1.03 %, Sicherheit 1 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 48:47 (9:45 / km)
Error: +46:59 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 1:35:46 (9:35 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 8 Angela Collins
IRL
+0 s
G0 / G8
54:53
Show details
Prediction details: Angela Collins

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 28.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 54:53 (10:59 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.