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Final Junior Women

09.05.2026 Porto Santa Margherita ITA
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Junior Cup Caorle

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 09.05.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 83/100 hoch
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 17 früheren Rennen und 310 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 20.3 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 09.05.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 5 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 10 s Gruppeneffekt 0.45 Max. Vorteil 1.6 km/h

Datenabdeckung 100.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 100.0 % · 17 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error7.7
Mean swim error4.5 s
Mean bike-speed error0.98 km/h
Correct bike groups11/30
No history0
Within the 80% range66.7 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 6 Aimie Decrausaz
SUI
+27 s
+27 s
G3 / G3
correct 		5:49
5:48
 21:47
Show details
Prediction details: Aimie Decrausaz

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–11
Top-10 probability: 88 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 4:25
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 8.7 s
Result: Group 3 (4 people)
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.04 km/h

Running and total

Run: 5:49 (3:04 / km)
Historical basis: 3:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur 0.40 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 5:48 (3:03 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 21:47
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 4:25 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:31 (37.5 km/h)
Run: 5:49 (3:04 / km)
Total: 21:47
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:11
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 14.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
2 / 19 Neta Amir
ISR
+13 s
+28 s
G1 / G4
 6:20
6:19
 21:56
Show details
Prediction details: Neta Amir

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 1–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +13 s
Time: 4:11
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: -15.4 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur 0.92 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 4 (11 people)
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: 6:20 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:19 (3:19 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 21:56
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 4:11 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:23 (37.8 km/h)
Run: 6:20 (3:20 / km)
Total: 21:56
3 / 23 Ava Guedeu-Lefeuvre
FRA
+7 s
+22 s
G1 / G4
 6:41
6:41
 22:17
Show details
Prediction details: Ava Guedeu-Lefeuvre

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 3–10
Top-10 probability: 93 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -20

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +7 s
Time: 4:05
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: -14.7 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur 0.88 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 84 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 4 (11 people)
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.30 km/h

Running and total

Run: 6:41 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:41 (3:31 / km)
Error: +0:00 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 22:17
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 4:05 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:23 (37.8 km/h)
Run: 6:41 (3:31 / km)
Total: 22:17
4 / 7 Csenge Orsolya Szász
HUN
+16 s
+14 s
G2 / G2
correct 		6:32
6:32
 22:22
Show details
Prediction details: Csenge Orsolya Szász

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 4–11
Top-10 probability: 88 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 4:14
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 2.4 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur -0.38 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 2 (10 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 6:32 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:32 (3:26 / km)
Error: +0:00 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 22:22
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:14 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:29 (37.6 km/h)
Run: 6:32 (3:26 / km)
Total: 22:22
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:11
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 3.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 1 Anouk Rigaud
FRA
+8 s
+14 s
G1 / G1
correct 		6:48
6:22
 22:24
Show details
Prediction details: Anouk Rigaud

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 1–22
Top-10 probability: 59 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +8 s
Time: 4:06
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: -6.1 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 93 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 70 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 1 (4 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.13 km/h

Running and total

Run: 6:48 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 85 Duelle, Korrektur -0.90 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:22 (3:21 / km)
Error: +0:26 / +0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 22:24
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:06 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:23 (37.8 km/h)
Run: 6:48 (3:35 / km)
Total: 22:24
6 / 4 Jázmin Kropkó
HUN
+5 s
+5 s
G1 / G1
correct 		6:49
6:49
 22:25
Show details
Prediction details: Jázmin Kropkó

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 3–16
Top-10 probability: 71 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +5 s
Time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 0.2 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 93 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 1 (4 people)
Speed: 39.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.68 km/h

Running and total

Run: 6:49 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 67 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:49 (3:35 / km)
Error: +0:00 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 22:25
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:03 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:23 (37.8 km/h)
Run: 6:49 (3:35 / km)
Total: 22:25
7 / 3 Amit Ben Adiva
ISR
+10 s
+5 s
G1 / G2
 6:52
6:31
 22:28
Show details
Prediction details: Amit Ben Adiva

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 1–26
Top-10 probability: 48 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +10 s
Time: 4:08
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 4.7 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur -0.53 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 56 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 2 (10 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.89 km/h

Running and total

Run: 6:52 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur -0.65 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:31 (3:26 / km)
Error: +0:21 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 22:28
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:08 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:23 (37.8 km/h)
Run: 6:52 (3:37 / km)
Total: 22:28
8 / 15 Kimey Casanova
SUI
+16 s
+15 s
G2 / G3
 6:39
6:37
 22:29
Show details
Prediction details: Kimey Casanova

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 5–14
Top-10 probability: 61 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 4:14
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: 0.6 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 3 (4 people)
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.16 km/h

Running and total

Run: 6:39 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:37 (3:29 / km)
Error: +0:02 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 22:29
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:14 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:29 (37.6 km/h)
Run: 6:39 (3:30 / km)
Total: 22:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:11
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 2.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 26 Petra Bán
HUN
+4 s
+20 s
G1 / G4
 6:54
7:01
 22:30
Show details
Prediction details: Petra Bán

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 5–13
Top-10 probability: 71 %
Result: 26
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +4 s
Time: 4:02
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: -15.8 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 92 Duelle, Korrektur 0.61 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 96 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 4 (11 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.18 km/h

Running and total

Run: 6:54 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 82 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:01 (3:42 / km)
Error: −0:07 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 22:30
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:02 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:23 (37.8 km/h)
Run: 6:54 (3:38 / km)
Total: 22:30
10 / 21 Giulia Bergamin
ITA
+24 s
+24 s
G3 / G4
 6:35
6:37
 22:33
Show details
Prediction details: Giulia Bergamin

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 7–25
Top-10 probability: 24 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 4:22
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: -0.4 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 75 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.1 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 4 (11 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.68 km/h

Running and total

Run: 6:35 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 67 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:37 (3:29 / km)
Error: −0:02 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 22:33
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:22 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:31 (37.5 km/h)
Run: 6:35 (3:28 / km)
Total: 22:33
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:11
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 10.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 11 Maelis Rolin
FRA
+11 s
+12 s
G1 / G2
 6:57
6:57
 22:33
Show details
Prediction details: Maelis Rolin

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 7–21
Top-10 probability: 26 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +11 s
Time: 4:09
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: -0.6 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 51 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 2 (10 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.89 km/h

Running and total

Run: 6:57 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:57 (3:39 / km)
Error: +0:00 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 22:33
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 4:09 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:23 (37.8 km/h)
Run: 6:57 (3:40 / km)
Total: 22:33
12 / 13 Chiara Guarisco
ITA
+5 s
+5 s
G1 / G2
 7:00
7:07
 22:36
Show details
Prediction details: Chiara Guarisco

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 7–18
Top-10 probability: 43 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +5 s
Time: 4:03
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: -0.3 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 98 Duelle, Korrektur -0.39 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 91 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 2 (10 people)
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.42 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:00 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:42 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 98 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:07 (3:45 / km)
Error: −0:07 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 22:36
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:03 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:23 (37.8 km/h)
Run: 7:00 (3:41 / km)
Total: 22:36
13 / 5 Carlotta Verde
ITA
+7 s
+6 s
G1 / G1
correct 		7:01
6:55
 22:37
Show details
Prediction details: Carlotta Verde

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 6–23
Top-10 probability: 26 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +7 s
Time: 4:05
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 0.6 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 88 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 86 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 1 (4 people)
Speed: 39.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.68 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:01 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:46 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 84 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:55 (3:38 / km)
Error: +0:06 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 22:37
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:05 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:23 (37.8 km/h)
Run: 7:01 (3:42 / km)
Total: 22:37
14 / 10 Vanessa Del Carlo
ITA
+12 s
+3 s
G1 / G2
 7:01
6:49
 22:37
Show details
Prediction details: Vanessa Del Carlo

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 6–25
Top-10 probability: 28 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 4:10
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 9.4 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 94 Duelle, Korrektur -0.72 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 43 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (10 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.18 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:01 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:46 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 90 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:49 (3:35 / km)
Error: +0:12 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 22:37
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:10 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:23 (37.8 km/h)
Run: 7:01 (3:41 / km)
Total: 22:37
15 / 24 Vittoria Facco
ITA
+13 s
+19 s
G1 / G4
 7:01
7:02
 22:37
Show details
Prediction details: Vittoria Facco

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 5–28
Top-10 probability: 31 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +13 s
Time: 4:11
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: -6.2 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 107 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 40 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 4 (11 people)
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:01 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 94 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:02 (3:42 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 22:37
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:11 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:23 (37.8 km/h)
Run: 7:01 (3:41 / km)
Total: 22:37
16 / 29 Giorgia Abbatantuono
ITA
+10 s
+10 s
G1 / G5
 7:02
7:02
 22:38
Show details
Prediction details: Giorgia Abbatantuono

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 12–22
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +10 s
Time: 4:08
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 73 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 49 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:02 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:41 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 68 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:02 (3:42 / km)
Error: +0:00 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 22:38
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:08 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:23 (37.8 km/h)
Run: 7:02 (3:42 / km)
Total: 22:38
17 / 18 Shai Meital
ISR
+24 s
+25 s
G3 / G3
correct 		6:42
6:48
 22:40
Show details
Prediction details: Shai Meital

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 6–27
Top-10 probability: 26 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 4:22
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: -0.9 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 77 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 3 (4 people)
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.04 km/h

Running and total

Run: 6:42 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 68 Duelle, Korrektur 0.49 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:48 (3:35 / km)
Error: −0:06 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 22:40
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:22 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:31 (37.5 km/h)
Run: 6:42 (3:32 / km)
Total: 22:40
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:11
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 11.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 20 Evamaria Albert
EST
+20 s
+17 s
G2 / G3
 6:50
6:50
 22:40
Show details
Prediction details: Evamaria Albert

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 11–24
Top-10 probability: 10 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 4:18
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 3.0 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 81 Duelle, Korrektur -0.59 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.3 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 3 (4 people)
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.28 km/h

Running and total

Run: 6:50 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 81 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:50 (3:36 / km)
Error: +0:00 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 22:40
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:18 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:29 (37.6 km/h)
Run: 6:50 (3:36 / km)
Total: 22:40
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:11
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 7.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 25 Elisa Bonora
ITA
+21 s
+21 s
G2 / G4
 6:51
6:50
 22:41
Show details
Prediction details: Elisa Bonora

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 9–29
Top-10 probability: 18 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 4:19
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: -0.3 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 4 (11 people)
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.06 km/h

Running and total

Run: 6:51 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:50 (3:36 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 22:41
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:19 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:29 (37.6 km/h)
Run: 6:51 (3:36 / km)
Total: 22:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:11
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 7.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 16 Rosalie Gallant
FRA
+3 s
+0 s
G1 / G2
 7:07
7:14
 22:43
Show details
Prediction details: Rosalie Gallant

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 12–20
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 16
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +3 s
Time: 4:01
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 3.0 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 99 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 2 (10 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.18 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:07 (3:45 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:14 (3:48 / km)
Error: −0:07 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 22:43
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 4:01 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:23 (37.8 km/h)
Run: 7:07 (3:45 / km)
Total: 22:43
21 / 8 Korinna Katona
HUN
+13 s
+16 s
G2 / G2
correct 		6:56
6:37
 22:46
Show details
Prediction details: Korinna Katona

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 4–27
Top-10 probability: 28 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +13 s
Time: 4:11
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: -2.7 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 87 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 2 (10 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.25 km/h

Running and total

Run: 6:56 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 77 Duelle, Korrektur -0.64 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:37 (3:29 / km)
Error: +0:19 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 22:46
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:11 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:29 (37.6 km/h)
Run: 6:56 (3:39 / km)
Total: 22:46
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:11
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 0.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 14 Mia Ressencourt
FRA
+3 s
+14 s
G1 / G2
 7:12
7:09
 22:48
Show details
Prediction details: Mia Ressencourt

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 13–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +3 s
Time: 4:01
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: -11.0 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur 0.56 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 95 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 2 (10 people)
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.81 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:12 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:46 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:09 (3:46 / km)
Error: +0:03 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 22:48
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:01 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:23 (37.8 km/h)
Run: 7:12 (3:47 / km)
Total: 22:48
23 / 9 Noemi Badrutt
SUI
+14 s
+13 s
G2 / G2
correct 		7:00
6:44
 22:50
Show details
Prediction details: Noemi Badrutt

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 5–26
Top-10 probability: 23 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +14 s
Time: 4:12
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: 0.6 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 19 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 2 (10 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:00 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 53 Duelle, Korrektur -0.37 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:44 (3:33 / km)
Error: +0:16 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 22:50
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:12 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:29 (37.6 km/h)
Run: 7:00 (3:41 / km)
Total: 22:50
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:11
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 0.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 27 Martina Buri
SUI
+22 s
+28 s
G2 / G4
 7:00
7:07
 22:50
Show details
Prediction details: Martina Buri

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 16–26
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 4:20
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: -6.5 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 83 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 2.1 s
Result: Group 4 (11 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.79 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:00 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 73 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:07 (3:45 / km)
Error: −0:07 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 22:50
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:20 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:29 (37.6 km/h)
Run: 7:00 (3:41 / km)
Total: 22:50
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:11
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 8.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 12 Beate Jansone
LAT
+14 s
+14 s
G2 / G2
correct 		7:03
7:03
 22:53
Show details
Prediction details: Beate Jansone

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 15–24
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 12
Deviation: 13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +14 s
Time: 4:12
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: -0.1 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 144 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 2 (10 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:03 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 128 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:03 (3:43 / km)
Error: +0:00 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 22:53
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:12 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:29 (37.6 km/h)
Run: 7:03 (3:43 / km)
Total: 22:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:11
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 2 Léa Reviglio
FRA
+24 s
+16 s
G3 / G1
 7:01
6:44
 22:59
Show details
Prediction details: Léa Reviglio

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 10–29
Top-10 probability: 13 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 24

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 4:22
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: 8.4 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur -0.64 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 1 (4 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.72 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:01 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur -0.58 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:44 (3:33 / km)
Error: +0:17 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 22:59
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:22 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:31 (37.5 km/h)
Run: 7:01 (3:41 / km)
Total: 22:59
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:11
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 11.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 17 Viola Paoletti
ITA
+37 s
+33 s
G4 / G4
correct 		6:10
6:16
 23:06
Show details
Prediction details: Viola Paoletti

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 8–27
Top-10 probability: 14 %
Result: 17
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 4:35
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: 4.3 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 86 Duelle, Korrektur -0.65 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (11 people)
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.74 km/h

Running and total

Run: 6:10 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 78 Duelle, Korrektur 0.49 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:16 (3:18 / km)
Error: −0:06 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 23:06
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:35 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:19 (35.7 km/h)
Run: 6:10 (3:15 / km)
Total: 23:06
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:11
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 24.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 28 Iris Acri
ITA
+25 s
+25 s
G3 / G4
 7:18
7:18
 23:16
Show details
Prediction details: Iris Acri

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 25–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 4:23
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: 0.3 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 4 (11 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.71 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:18 (3:51 / km)
Historical basis: 3:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:18 (3:51 / km)
Error: +0:00 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 23:16
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:23 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:31 (37.5 km/h)
Run: 7:18 (3:51 / km)
Total: 23:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:11
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 12.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 / 30 Etriin Etverk
EST
+18 s
+27 s
G2 / G4
 7:33
7:48
 23:23
Show details
Prediction details: Etriin Etverk

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 24–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 30
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +18 s
Time: 4:16
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: -9.3 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 104 Duelle, Korrektur 0.49 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 23 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 2.3 s
Result: Group 4 (11 people)
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.22 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:33 (3:58 / km)
Historical basis: 3:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 93 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:48 (4:06 / km)
Error: −0:15 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 23:23
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:16 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 15:29 (37.6 km/h)
Run: 7:33 (3:58 / km)
Total: 23:23
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:11
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 4.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
30 / 22 Gaia Silvestri
ITA
+36 s
+30 s
G4 / G4
correct 		6:45
6:43
 23:41
Show details
Prediction details: Gaia Silvestri

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 24–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 4:34
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: 5.7 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur -0.41 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 8.7 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 4 (11 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.13 km/h

Running and total

Run: 6:45 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:43 (3:32 / km)
Error: +0:02 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 23:41
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:34 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:19 (35.7 km/h)
Run: 6:45 (3:33 / km)
Total: 23:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:11
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 22.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.