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Junior Men

18.07.2026 Izvorani ROU
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Junior Cup Izvorani

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 18.07.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 62/100 mittel
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 23 früheren Rennen und 656 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 48.8 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 14.07.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 3 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 49.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 75.5 % · 23 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error17.1
Mean swim error26.9 s
Mean bike-speed error2.12 km/h
Correct bike groups15/38
No history11
Within the 80% range12.2 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 22 Vito Linarić
CRO
+40 s
+31 s
G1 / G4
 7:35
8:22
 24:46
Show details
Prediction details: Vito Linarić

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 9–12
Top-10 probability: 68 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 5:36
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 9.1 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 54 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 36 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 2.4 s
Result: Group 4 (13 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.57 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:35 (3:02 / km)
Historical basis: 3:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.74 %, Sicherheit 54 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:22 (3:21 / km)
Error: −0:47 / −0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 24:46
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 5:36 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:26 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 7:35 (3:02 / km)
Total: 24:46
2 / 18 David Pakšec
CRO
+38 s
+33 s
G1 / G1
correct 		7:50
8:48
 25:01
Show details
Prediction details: David Pakšec

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 9–26
Top-10 probability: 40 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 5:34
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: 5.0 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 56 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 50 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.16 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:50 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:55 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 53 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:48 (3:31 / km)
Error: −0:58 / −0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 25:01
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 5:34 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:26 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 7:50 (3:08 / km)
Total: 25:01
3 / 9 Benett Kovács
HUN
+34 s
+20 s
G1 / G1
correct 		7:52
8:13
 25:03
Show details
Prediction details: Benett Kovács

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 9–23
Top-10 probability: 44 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 5:30
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 13.8 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 41 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.35 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:52 (3:09 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:55 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur 0.78 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:13 (3:17 / km)
Error: −0:21 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 25:03
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 5:30 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:26 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 7:52 (3:09 / km)
Total: 25:03
4 / 45 Juraj Janković
CRO
+34 s
+32 s
G1 / G5
 8:01
10:33
 25:12
Show details
Prediction details: Juraj Janković

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 11–15
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 45
Deviation: -41

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 5:30
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: 1.8 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 46 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 51 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 3.3 s
Result: Group 5 (9 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.74 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:01 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.57 %, Sicherheit 52 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:33 (4:13 / km)
Error: −2:32 / −1:01 / km
Overall prediction: 25:12
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 5:30 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:26 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 8:01 (3:12 / km)
Total: 25:12
5 / 14 Dorukalp Azizoğlu
TUR
+31 s
+16 s
G1 / G1
correct 		8:02
8:36
 25:13
Show details
Prediction details: Dorukalp Azizoğlu

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 11–15
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 5:27
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: 14.8 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 17 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 51 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.1 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.22 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:02 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.52 %, Sicherheit 18 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:36 (3:26 / km)
Error: −0:34 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 25:13
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 5:27 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:26 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 8:02 (3:13 / km)
Total: 25:13
6 / 33 Daniel Potyagaylo
ISR
+44 s
+37 s
G1 / G4
 8:07
9:16
 25:18
Show details
Prediction details: Daniel Potyagaylo

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 12–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 33
Deviation: -27

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 5:40
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: 7.2 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 46 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 35 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 4 (13 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.53 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:07 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.57 %, Sicherheit 52 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:16 (3:42 / km)
Error: −1:09 / −0:28 / km
Overall prediction: 25:18
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 5:40 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:26 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 8:07 (3:15 / km)
Total: 25:18
7 / 3 William Pridden
GBR
+22 s
+14 s
G1 / G1
correct 		8:10
7:53
 25:21
Show details
Prediction details: William Pridden

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 13–19
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 5:18
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 7.5 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 1.46 %, Sicherheit 9 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 49 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.9 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:10 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 9 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:53 (3:09 / km)
Error: +0:17 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 25:21
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 5:18 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:26 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 8:10 (3:16 / km)
Total: 25:21
8 / 7 Alexandru-Rares Popa
ROU
+22 s
+12 s
G1 / G1
correct 		8:12
8:11
 25:23
Show details
Prediction details: Alexandru-Rares Popa

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 13–19
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 5:18
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 10.1 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 53 Duelle, Korrektur 0.32 %, Sicherheit 86 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 54 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 3.2 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.72 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:12 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 60 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:11 (3:16 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 25:23
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 5:18 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:26 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 8:12 (3:17 / km)
Total: 25:23
9 / 1 Raz Nevjelik
ISR
+50 s
+25 s
G2 / G1
 7:38
7:37
 25:37
Show details
Prediction details: Raz Nevjelik

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 10–28
Top-10 probability: 20 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 5:46
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: 24.6 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 50 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.70 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:38 (3:03 / km)
Historical basis: 3:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:49 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.68 %, Sicherheit 52 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:37 (3:03 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 25:37
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 5:46 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:04 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 7:38 (3:03 / km)
Total: 25:37
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 5:44
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 2.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +47.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 2 Davide Faldini
ITA
+32 s
+16 s
G1 / G1
correct 		8:35
7:49
 25:46
Show details
Prediction details: Davide Faldini

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 18–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 5:28
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: 16.0 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.32 %, Sicherheit 58 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 50 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.43 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:35 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -1.20 %, Sicherheit 60 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:49 (3:08 / km)
Error: +0:46 / +0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 25:46
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 5:28 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:26 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 8:35 (3:26 / km)
Total: 25:46
11 / 5 Seymur Anthony Caglayan
TUR
+48 s
+30 s
G2 / G1
 7:52
7:51
 25:51
Show details
Prediction details: Seymur Anthony Caglayan

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 11–35
Top-10 probability: 10 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 5:44
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: 18.1 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.6 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.53 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:52 (3:09 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:51 (3:08 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 25:51
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 5:44 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:04 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 7:52 (3:09 / km)
Total: 25:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 5:43
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 0.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +47.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 15 Filip Zatloukal
CZE
+26 s
+10 s
G1 / G1
correct 		8:40
8:33
 25:51
Show details
Prediction details: Filip Zatloukal

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 18–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 5:22
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: 15.7 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 36 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 51 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 5.1 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.93 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:40 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -0.39 %, Sicherheit 31 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:33 (3:25 / km)
Error: +0:07 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 25:51
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 5:22 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:26 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 8:40 (3:28 / km)
Total: 25:51
13 / 24 Yuval Parness
ISR
+40 s
+22 s
G1 / G1
correct 		8:40
9:20
 25:51
Show details
Prediction details: Yuval Parness

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 19–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 5:36
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 17.5 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 46 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 43 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.43 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:40 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.76 %, Sicherheit 44 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:20 (3:44 / km)
Error: −0:40 / −0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 25:51
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 5:36 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:26 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 8:40 (3:28 / km)
Total: 25:51
14 / 19 Simon Melichar
CZE
+25 s
+17 s
G1 / G2
 8:46
8:49
 25:57
Show details
Prediction details: Simon Melichar

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 20–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 5:21
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 8.3 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 10 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 50 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.2 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 2 (2 people)
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:46 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 10 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:49 (3:32 / km)
Error: −0:03 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 25:57
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 5:21 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:26 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 8:46 (3:31 / km)
Total: 25:57
15 / 35 Konrad Kralj
CRO
+26 s
+8 s
G1 / G2
 8:46
10:18
 25:57
Show details
Prediction details: Konrad Kralj

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 19–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 35
Deviation: -20

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 5:22
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +8 s
Fehler: 17.6 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur -0.29 %, Sicherheit 22 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 59 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 2 (2 people)
Speed: 40.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:46 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -0.40 %, Sicherheit 21 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:18 (4:07 / km)
Error: −1:32 / −0:37 / km
Overall prediction: 25:57
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 5:22 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:26 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 8:46 (3:30 / km)
Total: 25:57
16 / 12 Jan Štefanac
CRO
+37 s
+22 s
G1 / G1
correct 		8:50
8:24
 26:01
Show details
Prediction details: Jan Štefanac

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 21–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 5:33
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 15.1 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur -0.55 %, Sicherheit 46 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 44 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.3 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.35 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:50 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur -0.41 %, Sicherheit 36 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:24 (3:22 / km)
Error: +0:26 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 26:01
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 5:33 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:26 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 8:50 (3:32 / km)
Total: 26:01
17 / 39 Leone Aruffo
ITA
+9 s
+18 s
G1 / G5
 8:51
9:21
 26:02
Show details
Prediction details: Leone Aruffo

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 21–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 39
Deviation: -22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +9 s
Time: 5:05
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: -8.8 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.37 %, Sicherheit 23 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 59 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.2 s
Gap behind: 7.1 s
Result: Group 5 (9 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.27 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:51 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 23 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:21 (3:44 / km)
Error: −0:30 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 26:02
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 5:05 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:26 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 8:51 (3:32 / km)
Total: 26:02
18 / 6 Amit Levy
ISR
+49 s
+38 s
G2 / G1
 8:05
7:55
 26:04
Show details
Prediction details: Amit Levy

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 13–29
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 5:45
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: 10.5 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.88 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:05 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.82 %, Sicherheit 8 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:55 (3:10 / km)
Error: +0:10 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 26:04
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 5:45 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:04 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 8:05 (3:14 / km)
Total: 26:04
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 5:44
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 1.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +47.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 4 Antonin Michalek
CZE
+53 s
+23 s
G2 / G1
 8:08
7:51
 26:07
Show details
Prediction details: Antonin Michalek

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 14–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 5:49
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: 30.0 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.81 %, Sicherheit 10 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.8 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.49 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:08 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 10 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:51 (3:08 / km)
Error: +0:17 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 26:07
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 5:49 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:04 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 8:08 (3:15 / km)
Total: 26:07
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 5:43
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 5.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +47.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 46 Amit Shapira Bejerano
ISR
+43 s
+18 s
G1 / G5
 9:02
11:11
 26:13
Show details
Prediction details: Amit Shapira Bejerano

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 25–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 46
Deviation: -26

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 5:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 24.5 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -1.17 %, Sicherheit 10 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 34 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.4 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 5 (9 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.39 km/h

Running and total

Run: 9:02 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 1.76 %, Sicherheit 10 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:11 (4:28 / km)
Error: −2:09 / −0:52 / km
Overall prediction: 26:13
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 5:39 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:26 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 9:02 (3:37 / km)
Total: 26:13
21 / 31 Marko Reljić
SRB
+45 s
+37 s
G1 / G4
 9:15
9:17
 26:26
Show details
Prediction details: Marko Reljić

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 22–36
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 31
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 5:41
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: 7.5 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.44 %, Sicherheit 76 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 26 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 3.6 s
Result: Group 4 (13 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.49 km/h

Running and total

Run: 9:15 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 80 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:17 (3:43 / km)
Error: −0:02 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 26:26
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 5:41 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:26 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 9:15 (3:42 / km)
Total: 26:26
22 / 26 Arseniy Shevchenko
KAZ
+19 s
+25 s
G1 / G4
 9:20
8:49
 26:31
Show details
Prediction details: Arseniy Shevchenko

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 27–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 5:15
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: -6.4 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.84 %, Sicherheit 9 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 54 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.3 s
Gap behind: 2.9 s
Result: Group 4 (13 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.89 km/h

Running and total

Run: 9:20 (3:44 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 5 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:49 (3:32 / km)
Error: +0:31 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 26:31
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 5:15 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:26 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 9:20 (3:44 / km)
Total: 26:31
23 / 21 Omri Margalit
ISR
+7 s
+3 s
G1 / G1
correct 		9:21
9:15
 26:32
Show details
Prediction details: Omri Margalit

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 26–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +7 s
Time: 5:03
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 4.0 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 59 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 79 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 2.2 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.89 km/h

Running and total

Run: 9:21 (3:44 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 44 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:15 (3:42 / km)
Error: +0:06 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 26:32
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 5:03 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:26 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 9:21 (3:44 / km)
Total: 26:32
24 / 11 Preslav Kushev
BUL
+50 s
+19 s
G2 / G1
 8:34
8:22
 26:33
Show details
Prediction details: Preslav Kushev

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 18–36
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 5:46
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 31.2 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 64 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 23 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 2.8 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.96 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:34 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur -0.33 %, Sicherheit 62 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:22 (3:21 / km)
Error: +0:12 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 26:33
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 5:46 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:04 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 8:34 (3:26 / km)
Total: 26:33
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 5:43
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 2.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +47.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 40 Alham Murat
KAZ
+16 s
+44 s
G1 / G4
 9:26
10:22
 26:37
Show details
Prediction details: Alham Murat

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 28–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 40
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 5:12
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: -27.7 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.85 %, Sicherheit 9 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 45 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.1 s
Gap behind: 2.3 s
Result: Group 4 (13 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.33 km/h

Running and total

Run: 9:26 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 5 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:22 (4:09 / km)
Error: −0:56 / −0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 26:37
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 5:12 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:26 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 9:26 (3:46 / km)
Total: 26:37
26 / 17 Rares Andrei Laiu
ROU
+33 s
+11 s
G1 / G1
correct 		9:44
8:49
 26:55
Show details
Prediction details: Rares Andrei Laiu

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 31–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 5:29
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 22.2 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 57 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 41 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.89 km/h

Running and total

Run: 9:44 (3:54 / km)
Historical basis: 3:56 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:50 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -1.14 %, Sicherheit 33 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:49 (3:32 / km)
Error: +0:55 / +0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 26:55
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 5:29 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:26 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 9:44 (3:54 / km)
Total: 26:55
27 / 25 Iorgu Rizescu
ROU
+57 s
+28 s
G3 / G4
 9:10
8:39
 29:37
Show details
Prediction details: Iorgu Rizescu

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 30–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +57 s
Time: 5:53
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: 29.4 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 42 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.1 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 4 (13 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.55 km/h

Running and total

Run: 9:10 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 19 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:39 (3:28 / km)
Error: +0:31 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 29:37
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 5:53 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:28 (35.5 km/h)
Run: 9:10 (3:40 / km)
Total: 29:37
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 5:43
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 10 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +47.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 13 Valentin Iliev
BUL
+59 s
+38 s
G3 / G1
 9:10
8:34
 29:37
Show details
Prediction details: Valentin Iliev

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 32–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +59 s
Time: 5:55
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: 21.1 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 18 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 6.1 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -7.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: 9:10 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.55 %, Sicherheit 18 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:34 (3:26 / km)
Error: +0:36 / +0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 29:37
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 5:55 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:28 (35.5 km/h)
Run: 9:10 (3:40 / km)
Total: 29:37
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 5:43
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 11.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +47.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 / 28 Barbu Rizescu
ROU
+65 s
+26 s
G4 / G4
correct 		8:56
8:53
 29:39
Show details
Prediction details: Barbu Rizescu

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 26–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +65 s
Time: 6:01
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: 39.2 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur -0.56 %, Sicherheit 41 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 35.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.1 s
Gap behind: 5.6 s
Result: Group 4 (13 people)
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.56 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:56 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 21 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:53 (3:33 / km)
Error: +0:03 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 29:39
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:01 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:32 (35.3 km/h)
Run: 8:56 (3:35 / km)
Total: 29:39
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 5:43
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 17.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +47.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
30 / 29 Erel Levy
ISR
+78 s
+38 s
G5 / G4
 10:39
8:59
 31:38
Show details
Prediction details: Erel Levy

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 38–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +78 s
Time: 6:14
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: 39.7 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.9 s
Gap behind: 14.3 s
Result: Group 4 (13 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.06 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:39 (4:15 / km)
Historical basis: 4:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:21 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -2.24 %, Sicherheit 3 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:59 (3:36 / km)
Error: +1:40 / +0:40 / km
Overall prediction: 31:38
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 6:14 (1:34 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:22 (35.6 km/h)
Run: 10:39 (4:15 / km)
Total: 31:38
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 5:44
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 30.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +47.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 8 Oscar Newbery
GBR
+0 s
+33 s
G0 / G1
8:15
Show details
Prediction details: Oscar Newbery

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 39–39
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 4:56
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:15 (3:18 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 4:56 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 10 Nir Ben Asher
ISR
+0 s
+35 s
G0 / G1
8:17
Show details
Prediction details: Nir Ben Asher

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 40–40
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 4:56
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:17 (3:19 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 4:56 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 16 Alexander Rix
GBR
+0 s
+8 s
G0 / G1
8:43
Show details
Prediction details: Alexander Rix

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 41–41
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 4:56
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +8 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:43 (3:29 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 4:56 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 20 Yoav Yannay
ISR
+0 s
+43 s
G0 / G4
8:24
Show details
Prediction details: Yoav Yannay

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 42–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 4:56
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (13 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:24 (3:22 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 4:56 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 23 Marley Griffiths
GBR
+0 s
+38 s
G0 / G4
8:26
Show details
Prediction details: Marley Griffiths

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 43–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 4:56
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (13 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:26 (3:22 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 4:56 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 27 Patrik Dinjar
CRO
+54 s
+20 s
G2 / G4
8:48
Show details
Prediction details: Patrik Dinjar

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -27

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +54 s
Time: 5:50
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 34.3 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 1.10 %, Sicherheit 7 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 4 (13 people)
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.68 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:48 (3:31 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 5:50 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:04 (40.4 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 5:43
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 6.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +47.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 30 Slav Todorov
BUL
+71 s
+34 s
G4 / G4
correct
8:51
Show details
Prediction details: Slav Todorov

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 30
Deviation: -30

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +71 s
Time: 6:07
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: 36.8 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.86 %, Sicherheit 7 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.6 s
Gap behind: 6.9 s
Result: Group 4 (13 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:51 (3:32 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 6:07 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:32 (35.3 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 5:44
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 23.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +47.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 32 Jakub Herman
CZE
+0 s
+21 s
G0 / G3
9:39
Show details
Prediction details: Jakub Herman

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 44–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 32
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 4:56
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:39 (3:52 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 4:56 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 34 David Uja
MDA
+0 s
+42 s
G0 / G4
9:27
Show details
Prediction details: David Uja

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 45–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 34
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 4:56
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (13 people)
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:27 (3:47 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 4:56 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 36 Rares Mihai Dobre
ROU
+92 s
+43 s
G5 / G5
correct
9:11
Show details
Prediction details: Rares Mihai Dobre

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 4–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 36
Deviation: -36

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +92 s
Time: 6:28
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: 49.0 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 21 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 14.3 s
Gap behind: 5.1 s
Result: Group 5 (9 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.87 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:11 (3:40 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 6:28 (1:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:22 (35.6 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 5:43
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 44.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +47.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 37 Leon Hirsh gimpelson
ISR
+0 s
+46 s
G0 / G5
9:17
Show details
Prediction details: Leon Hirsh gimpelson

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 46–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 37
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 4:56
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (9 people)
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:17 (3:43 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 4:56 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 38 Tudor-Mihai Costea
ROU
+194 s
+55 s
G8 / G5
9:15
Show details
Prediction details: Tudor-Mihai Costea

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 8–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 38
Deviation: -38

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +194 s
Time: 8:10
Pace: 2:03 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +55 s
Fehler: 138.5 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 21 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 8 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 15, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 36.0 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (9 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:15 (3:42 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 8:10 (2:03 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:54 (34.7 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 5:44
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 146.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +47.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 41 Andrei-Victor Lupan
ROU
+101 s
+51 s
G6 / G5
9:38
Show details
Prediction details: Andrei-Victor Lupan

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 4–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 41
Deviation: -41

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +101 s
Time: 6:37
Pace: 1:39 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +51 s
Fehler: 49.9 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 28 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 13, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.8 s
Gap behind: 56.6 s
Result: Group 5 (9 people)
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:38 (3:51 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 6:37 (1:39 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 20:16 (34.1 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 5:44
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 53.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +47.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 42 Yehonatan Lerner
ISR
+0 s
+30 s
G0 / G5
9:50
Show details
Prediction details: Yehonatan Lerner

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 47–47
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 42
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 4:56
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (9 people)
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:50 (3:56 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 4:56 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 43 Edi Roiz
ITA
+0 s
+37 s
G0 / G5
10:17
Show details
Prediction details: Edi Roiz

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 48–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 43
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 4:56
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (9 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:17 (4:07 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 4:56 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 44 Fabian Stefan Paun
ROU
+97 s
+1 s
G5 / G6
9:59
Show details
Prediction details: Fabian Stefan Paun

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 4–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 44
Deviation: -44

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +97 s
Time: 6:33
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 96.1 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 21 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.1 s
Gap behind: 3.8 s
Result: Group 6 (2 people)
Speed: 36.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:59 (4:00 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 6:33 (1:38 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:22 (35.6 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 5:43
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 49.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +47.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 47 Maru Mäesepp
EST
+0 s
+49 s
G0 / G7
9:17
Show details
Prediction details: Maru Mäesepp

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 49–49
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 47
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 4:56
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +49 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 7 (2 people)
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:17 (3:43 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 4:56 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 48 Mihnea Daniel Giura
ROU
+54 s
+34 s
G2 / G6
11:28
Show details
Prediction details: Mihnea Daniel Giura

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 48
Deviation: -48

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +54 s
Time: 5:50
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: 20.3 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 28 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 3.1 s
Result: Group 6 (2 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.55 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:28 (4:35 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 5:50 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:04 (40.4 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 5:43
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 6.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +47.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 49 Rares Bobe
ROU
+158 s
+65 s
G7 / G7
correct
12:22
Show details
Prediction details: Rares Bobe

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 7–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 49
Deviation: -49

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +158 s
Time: 7:34
Pace: 1:54 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +65 s
Fehler: 92.5 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 21 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 14, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 56.6 s
Gap behind: 36.0 s
Result: Group 7 (2 people)
Speed: 35.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.02 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:22 (4:57 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 7:34 (1:54 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:52 (34.7 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 5:44
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 110.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +47.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.