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Race prediction

Junior Men

22.08.2026 LTU
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Junior Cup Moletai

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 22.08.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 65/100 mittel
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 23 früheren Rennen und 656 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 48.8 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 14.07.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 3 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 55.3 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 83.0 % · 23 Kalibrierungsrennen

Rank Athlete Swimming Bike group Run Total Details
1 Jan Chmielewski
POL
 +18 s Gruppe 1
14 Personen
 5:46
3:02 / km
 16:50
Show details
Prediction details: Jan Chmielewski

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 6–17
Top-10 probability: 74 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +18 s
Time: 4:01
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 55 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 43 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s

Running and total

Run: 5:46 (3:02 / km)
Historical basis: 2:59 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 2.11 %, Sicherheit 31 %
Overall prediction: 16:50
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:01 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 10:40 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 5:46 (3:02 / km)
Total: 16:50
2 Nik Vučko
SLO
 +13 s Gruppe 1
14 Personen
 5:48
3:03 / km
 16:52
Show details
Prediction details: Nik Vučko

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 6–9
Top-10 probability: 98 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +13 s
Time: 3:56
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 69 Duelle, Korrektur 0.52 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 60 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 0.5 s

Running and total

Run: 5:48 (3:03 / km)
Historical basis: 3:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur 1.10 %, Sicherheit 93 %
Overall prediction: 16:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 3:56 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 10:40 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 5:48 (3:03 / km)
Total: 16:52
3 Gustav Karl Metspalu
EST
 +28 s Gruppe 2
10 Personen
 5:51
3:05 / km
 17:05
Show details
Prediction details: Gustav Karl Metspalu

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 7–14
Top-10 probability: 71 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 4:11
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.74 %, Sicherheit 28 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 3.5 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s

Running and total

Run: 5:51 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction: 17:05
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 4:11 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 10:39 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 5:51 (3:05 / km)
Total: 17:05
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:10
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 0.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +27.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 Žiga Korošec
SLO
 +16 s Gruppe 1
14 Personen
 6:08
3:13 / km
 17:12
Show details
Prediction details: Žiga Korošec

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 7–11
Top-10 probability: 86 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 3:59
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur 0.80 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 49 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.5 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s

Running and total

Run: 6:08 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur 0.69 %, Sicherheit 79 %
Overall prediction: 17:12
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 3:59 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 10:40 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 6:08 (3:13 / km)
Total: 17:12
5 Alexander Urschitz
AUT
 +22 s Gruppe 1
14 Personen
 6:16
3:18 / km
 17:20
Show details
Prediction details: Alexander Urschitz

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 9–16
Top-10 probability: 33 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 4:05
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur -0.60 %, Sicherheit 46 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 39 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 3.0 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s

Running and total

Run: 6:16 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur 1.24 %, Sicherheit 28 %
Overall prediction: 17:20
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:05 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 10:40 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 6:16 (3:18 / km)
Total: 17:20
6 Jan Štefanac
CRO
 +32 s Gruppe 2
10 Personen
 6:08
3:14 / km
 17:22
Show details
Prediction details: Jan Štefanac

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 8–20
Top-10 probability: 31 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 4:15
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 62 Duelle, Korrektur -0.74 %, Sicherheit 82 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 2.5 s

Running and total

Run: 6:08 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 0.78 %, Sicherheit 47 %
Overall prediction: 17:22
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:15 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 10:39 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 6:08 (3:14 / km)
Total: 17:22
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:11
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 4.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +27.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 Nathan Max Centlivres Chase
NAM
 +25 s Gruppe 1
14 Personen
 6:21
3:21 / km
 17:25
Show details
Prediction details: Nathan Max Centlivres Chase

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 9–19
Top-10 probability: 14 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 4:08
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 1.22 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 29 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s

Running and total

Run: 6:21 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction: 17:25
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:08 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 10:40 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 6:21 (3:21 / km)
Total: 17:25
8 Igor Wereszczyński
POL
 +17 s Gruppe 1
14 Personen
 6:24
3:22 / km
 17:28
Show details
Prediction details: Igor Wereszczyński

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 10–15
Top-10 probability: 18 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +17 s
Time: 4:00
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 41 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 49 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s

Running and total

Run: 6:24 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 41 %
Overall prediction: 17:28
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 4:00 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 10:40 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 6:24 (3:22 / km)
Total: 17:28
9 Michał Paliński
POL
 +34 s Gruppe 2
10 Personen
 6:17
3:19 / km
 17:31
Show details
Prediction details: Michał Paliński

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 11–30
Top-10 probability: 10 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 4:17
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 37 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.5 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s

Running and total

Run: 6:17 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 1.13 %, Sicherheit 9 %
Overall prediction: 17:31
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:17 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 10:39 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 6:17 (3:19 / km)
Total: 17:31
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:10
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 6.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +27.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 Ronan Salmu
EST
 +35 s Gruppe 2
10 Personen
 6:23
3:21 / km
 17:37
Show details
Prediction details: Ronan Salmu

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 13–22
Top-10 probability: 4 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 4:18
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 90 Duelle, Korrektur -1.43 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s

Running and total

Run: 6:23 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 62 Duelle, Korrektur 0.71 %, Sicherheit 68 %
Overall prediction: 17:37
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:18 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 10:39 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 6:23 (3:21 / km)
Total: 17:37
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:11
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 7.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +27.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 Erik Hudovornik
SLO
 +14 s Gruppe 1
14 Personen
 6:34
3:27 / km
 17:38
Show details
Prediction details: Erik Hudovornik

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 12–19
Top-10 probability: 1 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +14 s
Time: 3:57
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 88 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 39 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 2.5 s

Running and total

Run: 6:34 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.91 %, Sicherheit 66 %
Overall prediction: 17:38
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 3:57 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 10:40 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 6:34 (3:27 / km)
Total: 17:38
12 Fedir Bezlepkin
UKR
 +23 s Gruppe 1
14 Personen
 6:39
3:30 / km
 17:43
Show details
Prediction details: Fedir Bezlepkin

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 14–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 4:06
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur 0.56 %, Sicherheit 55 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 29 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s

Running and total

Run: 6:39 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 33 %
Overall prediction: 17:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:06 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 10:40 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 6:39 (3:30 / km)
Total: 17:43
13 Kristupas Jančius
LTU
 +22 s Gruppe 1
14 Personen
 6:42
3:32 / km
 17:46
Show details
Prediction details: Kristupas Jančius

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 15–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 4:05
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur 1.26 %, Sicherheit 90 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 29 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s

Running and total

Run: 6:42 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur 0.76 %, Sicherheit 75 %
Overall prediction: 17:46
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:05 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 10:40 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 6:42 (3:32 / km)
Total: 17:46
14 Vito Linarić
CRO
 +39 s Gruppe 3
5 Personen
 6:02
3:11 / km
 17:52
Show details
Prediction details: Vito Linarić

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 8–24
Top-10 probability: 20 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 4:22
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 20 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 3.3 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s

Running and total

Run: 6:02 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 20 %
Overall prediction: 17:52
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:22 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 11:06 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 6:02 (3:11 / km)
Total: 17:52
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:10
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 11.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +27.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 Zaкhar Tsivkovskyi
UKR
 +31 s Gruppe 2
10 Personen
 6:44
3:32 / km
 17:58
Show details
Prediction details: Zaкhar Tsivkovskyi

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 10–32
Top-10 probability: 11 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 4:14
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 62 Duelle, Korrektur -0.76 %, Sicherheit 75 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.6 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s

Running and total

Run: 6:44 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur 0.66 %, Sicherheit 39 %
Overall prediction: 17:58
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:14 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 10:39 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 6:44 (3:32 / km)
Total: 17:58
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:10
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 3.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +27.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 Adam Dąbrowski
POL
 +18 s Gruppe 1
14 Personen
 7:07
3:45 / km
 18:11
Show details
Prediction details: Adam Dąbrowski

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 16–25
Top-10 probability: 1 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +18 s
Time: 4:01
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 53 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 59 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 46 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s

Running and total

Run: 7:07 (3:45 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur -1.63 %, Sicherheit 30 %
Overall prediction: 18:11
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:01 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 10:40 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 7:07 (3:45 / km)
Total: 18:11
17 Kalmer Kiiver
EST
 +25 s Gruppe 1
14 Personen
 7:07
3:45 / km
 18:11
Show details
Prediction details: Kalmer Kiiver

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 18–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 4:08
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur -0.64 %, Sicherheit 62 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 29 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 3.5 s

Running and total

Run: 7:07 (3:45 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:49 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur -1.64 %, Sicherheit 56 %
Overall prediction: 18:11
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:08 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 10:40 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 7:07 (3:45 / km)
Total: 18:11
18 Łukasz Waniewski
POL
 +36 s Gruppe 2
10 Personen
 7:02
3:42 / km
 18:16
Show details
Prediction details: Łukasz Waniewski

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 19–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 4:19
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur 0.47 %, Sicherheit 38 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 3.3 s

Running and total

Run: 7:02 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.95 %, Sicherheit 8 %
Overall prediction: 18:16
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:19 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 10:39 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 7:02 (3:42 / km)
Total: 18:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:11
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 8.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +27.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 Wiktor Korol
POL
 +40 s Gruppe 3
5 Personen
 6:30
3:25 / km
 18:20
Show details
Prediction details: Wiktor Korol

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 17–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 4:23
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.56 %, Sicherheit 16 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s

Running and total

Run: 6:30 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 1.97 %, Sicherheit 9 %
Overall prediction: 18:20
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:23 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 11:06 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 6:30 (3:25 / km)
Total: 18:20
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:11
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 12.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +27.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 Konrad Kralj
CRO
 +19 s Gruppe 1
14 Personen
 7:18
3:51 / km
 18:22
Show details
Prediction details: Konrad Kralj

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 18–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 4:02
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 56 Duelle, Korrektur -0.37 %, Sicherheit 80 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 53 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 3.0 s

Running and total

Run: 7:18 (3:51 / km)
Historical basis: 3:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur -1.43 %, Sicherheit 59 %
Overall prediction: 18:22
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:02 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 10:40 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 7:18 (3:51 / km)
Total: 18:22
21 Jonas Saulius Jonaitis
LTU
 +23 s Gruppe 1
14 Personen
 7:26
3:55 / km
 18:30
Show details
Prediction details: Jonas Saulius Jonaitis

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 22–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 4:06
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur 0.69 %, Sicherheit 91 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 23 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s

Running and total

Run: 7:26 (3:55 / km)
Historical basis: 3:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 54 %
Overall prediction: 18:30
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:06 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 10:40 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 7:26 (3:55 / km)
Total: 18:30
22 Isaak Etxezarreta Arrizabalaga
LTU
 +48 s Gruppe 4
2 Personen
 5:24
2:51 / km
 18:33
Show details
Prediction details: Isaak Etxezarreta Arrizabalaga

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 7–31
Top-10 probability: 29 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 4:31
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -0.84 %, Sicherheit 23 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 36.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 3.3 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s

Running and total

Run: 5:24 (2:51 / km)
Historical basis: 2:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:50 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 5
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 23 %
Overall prediction: 18:33
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:31 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 12:20 (36.0 km/h)
Run: 5:24 (2:51 / km)
Total: 18:33
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:11
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 20.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +27.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 Artur Abras
EST
 +29 s Gruppe 2
10 Personen
 7:37
4:01 / km
 18:51
Show details
Prediction details: Artur Abras

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 23–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 4:12
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 62 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 75 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 25 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 2.6 s

Running and total

Run: 7:37 (4:01 / km)
Historical basis: 4:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur -1.62 %, Sicherheit 41 %
Overall prediction: 18:51
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:12 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 10:39 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 7:37 (4:01 / km)
Total: 18:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:11
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 1.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +27.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 Leo Kervinen
FIN
 +32 s Gruppe 2
10 Personen
 7:43
4:03 / km
 18:57
Show details
Prediction details: Leo Kervinen

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 25–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 4:15
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -0.38 %, Sicherheit 64 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s

Running and total

Run: 7:43 (4:03 / km)
Historical basis: 4:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -2.36 %, Sicherheit 37 %
Overall prediction: 18:57
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:15 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 10:39 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 7:43 (4:03 / km)
Total: 18:57
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:11
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 4.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +27.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 Algimantas Smolskas
LTU
 +13 s Gruppe 1
14 Personen
 7:56
4:11 / km
 19:00
Show details
Prediction details: Algimantas Smolskas

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 24–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +13 s
Time: 3:56
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 93 Duelle, Korrektur 1.10 %, Sicherheit 99 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 45 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s

Running and total

Run: 7:56 (4:11 / km)
Historical basis: 4:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 65 %
Overall prediction: 19:00
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 3:56 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 10:40 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 7:56 (4:11 / km)
Total: 19:00
26 Khalid Jassim Al-Kaabi
QAT
 +42 s Gruppe 3
5 Personen
 7:17
3:50 / km
 19:07
Show details
Prediction details: Khalid Jassim Al-Kaabi

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 26–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 4:25
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 1.72 %, Sicherheit 6 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 2.6 s

Running and total

Run: 7:17 (3:50 / km)
Historical basis: 3:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:50 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 5 %
Overall prediction: 19:07
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 4:25 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 11:06 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 7:17 (3:50 / km)
Total: 19:07
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:11
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 14.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +27.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 Sebastians Žigarkovs
LAT
 +28 s Gruppe 2
10 Personen
 8:39
4:33 / km
 19:53
Show details
Prediction details: Sebastians Žigarkovs

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 31–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 4:11
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur -1.12 %, Sicherheit 48 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 23 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s

Running and total

Run: 8:39 (4:33 / km)
Historical basis: 4:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur -2.03 %, Sicherheit 31 %
Overall prediction: 19:53
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:11 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 10:39 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 8:39 (4:33 / km)
Total: 19:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:10
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 0.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +27.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 Maru Mäesepp
EST
 +50 s Gruppe 4
2 Personen
 6:54
3:38 / km
 20:03
Show details
Prediction details: Maru Mäesepp

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 26–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 4:33
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 15 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 5.3 s

Running and total

Run: 6:54 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.52 %, Sicherheit 15 %
Overall prediction: 20:03
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 4:33 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 12:20 (36.0 km/h)
Run: 6:54 (3:38 / km)
Total: 20:03
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:11
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 22.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +27.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 Henri Källström
FIN
 +42 s Gruppe 3
5 Personen
 8:15
4:21 / km
 20:05
Show details
Prediction details: Henri Källström

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 31–36
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 4:25
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur -1.09 %, Sicherheit 43 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s

Running and total

Run: 8:15 (4:21 / km)
Historical basis: 4:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur -2.12 %, Sicherheit 36 %
Overall prediction: 20:05
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:25 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 11:06 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 8:15 (4:21 / km)
Total: 20:05
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:11
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 14.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +27.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
30 Gustavs Vīksne
LAT
 +35 s Gruppe 2
10 Personen
 8:53
4:40 / km
 20:07
Show details
Prediction details: Gustavs Vīksne

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 33–40
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 4:18
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 46 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s

Running and total

Run: 8:53 (4:40 / km)
Historical basis: 4:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 25 %
Overall prediction: 20:07
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:18 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 10:39 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 8:53 (4:40 / km)
Total: 20:07
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:11
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 7.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +27.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
31 Arimantas Sakalas
LTU
 +85 s Gruppe 6
7 Personen
 6:31
3:26 / km
 21:03
Show details
Prediction details: Arimantas Sakalas

Placement

Prediction: 31
80% range: 34–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +85 s
Time: 5:08
Pace: 1:43 / 100 m
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -0.90 %, Sicherheit 30 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 15.7 s
Gap behind: 2.1 s

Running and total

Run: 6:31 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 1.35 %, Sicherheit 23 %
Overall prediction: 21:03
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 5:08 (1:43 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 11:21 (34.1 km/h)
Run: 6:31 (3:26 / km)
Total: 21:03
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:11
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 57.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +27.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
32 Shaheen Abdulla Al-Kaabi
QAT
 +55 s Gruppe 5
2 Personen
 7:17
3:50 / km
 21:16
Show details
Prediction details: Shaheen Abdulla Al-Kaabi

Placement

Prediction: 32
80% range: 30–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +55 s
Time: 4:38
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.42 %, Sicherheit 21 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 5.3 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s

Running and total

Run: 7:17 (3:50 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:49 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.66 %, Sicherheit 10 %
Overall prediction: 21:16
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:38 (1:33 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 13:04 (34.0 km/h)
Run: 7:17 (3:50 / km)
Total: 21:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:11
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 27.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +27.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
33 Mansour Alqashouti
QAT
 +64 s Gruppe 6
7 Personen
 7:39
4:02 / km
 22:11
Show details
Prediction details: Mansour Alqashouti

Placement

Prediction: 33
80% range: 35–39
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +64 s
Time: 4:47
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 33 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 9.1 s
Gap behind: 2.7 s

Running and total

Run: 7:39 (4:02 / km)
Historical basis: 4:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:03 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 5
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 25 %
Overall prediction: 22:11
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:47 (1:36 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 11:21 (34.1 km/h)
Run: 7:39 (4:02 / km)
Total: 22:11
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:10
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 36.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +27.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
34 Jassim Malalla Al-Jaber
QAT
 +89 s Gruppe 6
7 Personen
 7:48
4:06 / km
 22:20
Show details
Prediction details: Jassim Malalla Al-Jaber

Placement

Prediction: 34
80% range: 38–40
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +89 s
Time: 5:12
Pace: 1:44 / 100 m
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.7 s
Gap behind: 102.0 s

Running and total

Run: 7:48 (4:06 / km)
Historical basis: 4:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -1.41 %, Sicherheit 2 %
Overall prediction: 22:20
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 5:12 (1:44 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 11:21 (34.1 km/h)
Run: 7:48 (4:06 / km)
Total: 22:20
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:10
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 62 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +27.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
35 Georgios Christodoulou
CYP
 +55 s Gruppe 5
2 Personen
 8:34
4:30 / km
 22:33
Show details
Prediction details: Georgios Christodoulou

Placement

Prediction: 35
80% range: 33–40
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +55 s
Time: 4:38
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 22 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 34.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 9.1 s

Running and total

Run: 8:34 (4:30 / km)
Historical basis: 4:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:36 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -2.11 %, Sicherheit 15 %
Overall prediction: 22:33
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 4:38 (1:33 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 13:04 (34.0 km/h)
Run: 8:34 (4:30 / km)
Total: 22:33
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:10
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 27.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +27.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 Eduards Breikšs
LAT
 +87 s Gruppe 6
7 Personen
Show details
Prediction details: Eduards Breikšs

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +87 s
Time: 5:10
Pace: 1:43 / 100 m
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 1.91 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.1 s
Gap behind: 2.7 s

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 5:10 (1:43 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 11:21 (34.1 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:11
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 59.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +27.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 Gustavs Inkins
LAT
 +69 s Gruppe 6
7 Personen
Show details
Prediction details: Gustavs Inkins

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +69 s
Time: 4:52
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 1.91 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 15.7 s

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 4:52 (1:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 11:21 (34.1 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:11
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 41.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +27.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 Eriks Retenais
LAT
 – –
Show details
Prediction details: Eriks Retenais

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 41–41
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:43
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 3:43 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 Trävis Kuuse
EST
 – –
Show details
Prediction details: Trävis Kuuse

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 42–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:43
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 3:43 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 Tauras Naujokas
LTU
 – –
Show details
Prediction details: Tauras Naujokas

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 43–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:43
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 3:43 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 Matas Jonikaitis
LTU
 +44 s Gruppe 3
5 Personen
Show details
Prediction details: Matas Jonikaitis

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 4:27
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.93 %, Sicherheit 25 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.6 s
Gap behind: 3.3 s

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 4:27 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 11:06 (40.0 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:10
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 16.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +27.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 Engel Mikk-Mihkel
EST
 – –
Show details
Prediction details: Engel Mikk-Mihkel

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 44–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:43
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 3:43 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 Emīls Stalažs
LAT
 +67 s Gruppe 6
7 Personen
Show details
Prediction details: Emīls Stalažs

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +67 s
Time: 4:50
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 1.91 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.7 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 4:50 (1:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 11:21 (34.1 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:11
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 39.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +27.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 Adrians Lihoveckis
LAT
 – –
Show details
Prediction details: Adrians Lihoveckis

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 45–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:43
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 3:43 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 Rostyslav Syheiev
UKR
 – –
Show details
Prediction details: Rostyslav Syheiev

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 46–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:43
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 3:43 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 Gytis Alminas
LTU
 – –
Show details
Prediction details: Gytis Alminas

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 47–47
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:43
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 3:43 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 Kristupas Tamutis
LTU
 +191 s Gruppe 6
7 Personen
Show details
Prediction details: Kristupas Tamutis

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +191 s
Time: 6:54
Pace: 2:18 / 100 m

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 102.0 s
Gap behind: –

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 6:54 (2:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 11:21 (34.1 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 4:10
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 164 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +27.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.