Junior Men
Race information and calculation basis
Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 23.05.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.
Show model parameters and data quality
Kalibriert mit 77 früheren Rennen und 1935 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 46.4 %.
Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 16.05.2026.
Datenabdeckung 72.9 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 91.5 % · 77 Kalibrierungsrennen
Show methodology
Only after the historical calculation is the prediction compared with the actual result.
Prediction comparison
Summary of prediction errors
| Place Prediction / result |
Athlete | Swimming Prediction / result |
Bike group Prediction / result |
Run Prediction / result |
Overall prediction | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 / 16 |
AUT
|
+50 s
+44 s
|
G3 / G3
correct
|
13:24
16:55
|
43:54 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 1
80% range: 2–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -15
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: 6.4 s
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen,
55 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.19 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.4 s
Gap behind:
0.1 s
Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.99 km/h
Running and totalRun: 13:24 (2:41 / km)
Historical basis: 2:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen,
30 Duelle,
Korrektur 2.53 %,
Sicherheit 54 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Error: −3:31 / −0:42 / km
Overall prediction: 43:54
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:49
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
29:33
(40.6 km/h)
Run:
13:24
(2:41 / km)
Total:
43:54
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:42
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 6.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +43.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 2 / 1 |
SUI
|
+28 s
+17 s
|
G1 / G3
|
15:17
15:01
|
44:27 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 2
80% range: 3–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 1
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 10.6 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen,
86 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.06 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 40 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.6 s
Gap behind:
1.3 s
Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.08 km/h
Running and totalRun: 15:17 (3:03 / km)
Historical basis: 3:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
64 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.29 %,
Sicherheit 95 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:01 (3:00 / km)
Error: +0:16 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 44:27
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:27
(1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:28
(42.2 km/h)
Run:
15:17
(3:03 / km)
Total:
44:27
|
| 3 / 4 |
POL
|
+45 s
+19 s
|
G3 / G2
|
14:36
15:46
|
45:06 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 3
80% range: 2–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -1
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 25.7 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen,
25 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.54 %,
Sicherheit 74 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 20 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.5 s
Gap behind:
0.5 s
Result: Group 2 (4 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.89 km/h
Running and totalRun: 14:36 (2:55 / km)
Historical basis: 2:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen,
28 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.76 %,
Sicherheit 67 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:46 (3:09 / km)
Error: −1:10 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 45:06
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:44
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
29:33
(40.6 km/h)
Run:
14:36
(2:55 / km)
Total:
45:06
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:43
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 1.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +43.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 4 / 41 |
SUI
|
+37 s
+14 s
|
G1 / G3
|
16:27
19:17
|
45:37 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 4
80% range: 4–25
Top-10 probability: 66 %
Result: 41
Deviation: -37
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 9:36
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 22.5 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen,
39 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.53 %,
Sicherheit 90 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 19 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.8 s
Gap behind:
0.2 s
Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.03 km/h
Running and totalRun: 16:27 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen,
29 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.55 %,
Sicherheit 75 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:17 (3:51 / km)
Error: −2:50 / −0:34 / km
Overall prediction: 45:37
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:36
(1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:28
(42.2 km/h)
Run:
16:27
(3:17 / km)
Total:
45:37
|
| 5 / 13 |
SUI
|
+34 s
+18 s
|
G1 / G3
|
16:48
16:43
|
45:58 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 5
80% range: 5–25
Top-10 probability: 66 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -8
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 16.4 s
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen,
65 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.29 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.5 s
Gap behind:
0.3 s
Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.01 km/h
Running and totalRun: 16:48 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen,
65 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.67 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:43 (3:21 / km)
Error: +0:05 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 45:58
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:33
(1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:28
(42.2 km/h)
Run:
16:48
(3:22 / km)
Total:
45:58
|
| 6 / 2 |
POL
|
+47 s
+22 s
|
G3 / G2
|
15:33
15:17
|
46:03 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 6
80% range: 4–23
Top-10 probability: 74 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 4
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 9:46
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 25.1 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen,
83 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.06 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.1 s
Gap behind:
1.6 s
Result: Group 2 (4 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.85 km/h
Running and totalRun: 15:33 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:54 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen,
78 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.49 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:17 (3:03 / km)
Error: +0:16 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 46:03
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:46
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
29:33
(40.6 km/h)
Run:
15:33
(3:07 / km)
Total:
46:03
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:42
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 3.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +43.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 7 / 12 |
SUI
|
+31 s
+22 s
|
G1 / G3
|
16:57
16:37
|
46:07 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 7
80% range: 6–29
Top-10 probability: 58 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -5
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 9.1 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen,
70 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.01 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 30 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.6 s
Gap behind:
1.8 s
Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.84 km/h
Running and totalRun: 16:57 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen,
33 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.08 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:37 (3:19 / km)
Error: +0:20 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 46:07
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:30
(1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:28
(42.2 km/h)
Run:
16:57
(3:23 / km)
Total:
46:07
|
| 8 / 35 |
ISR
|
+38 s
+29 s
|
G1 / G6
|
17:10
16:23
|
46:20 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 8
80% range: 9–30
Top-10 probability: 23 %
Result: 35
Deviation: -27
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: 9.3 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen,
52 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.00 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 19 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.3 s
Gap behind:
1.2 s
Result: Group 6 (18 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.61 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:10 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen,
57 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.89 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:23 (3:17 / km)
Error: +0:47 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 46:20
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:37
(1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:28
(42.2 km/h)
Run:
17:10
(3:26 / km)
Total:
46:20
|
| 9 / 52 |
SLO
|
+33 s
+43 s
|
G1 / G6
|
17:18
18:48
|
46:28 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 9
80% range: 9–28
Top-10 probability: 16 %
Result: 52
Deviation: -43
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: -10.1 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen,
88 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.18 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.0 s
Gap behind:
0.0 s
Result: Group 6 (18 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.23 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen,
44 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.24 %,
Sicherheit 74 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:48 (3:46 / km)
Error: −1:30 / −0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 46:28
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:32
(1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:28
(42.2 km/h)
Run:
17:18
(3:28 / km)
Total:
46:28
|
| 10 / 8 |
SLO
|
+37 s
+15 s
|
G1 / G3
|
17:20
15:47
|
46:30 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 10
80% range: 7–38
Top-10 probability: 25 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 2
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 9:36
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: 21.7 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen,
66 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.44 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.2 s
Gap behind:
0.3 s
Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.06 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:20 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen,
36 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.01 %,
Sicherheit 61 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:47 (3:09 / km)
Error: +1:33 / +0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 46:30
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:36
(1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:28
(42.2 km/h)
Run:
17:20
(3:28 / km)
Total:
46:30
|
| 11 / 6 |
POL
|
+26 s
+15 s
|
G1 / G2
|
17:22
16:07
|
46:32 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 11
80% range: 9–20
Top-10 probability: 21 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 5
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: 11.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen,
53 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.22 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 33 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.0 s
Gap behind:
1.6 s
Result: Group 2 (4 people)
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.77 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen,
58 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.60 %,
Sicherheit 96 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:07 (3:13 / km)
Error: +1:15 / +0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 46:32
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:25
(1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:28
(42.2 km/h)
Run:
17:22
(3:28 / km)
Total:
46:32
|
| 12 / 31 |
EST
|
+57 s
+69 s
|
G3 / G5
|
16:03
16:26
|
46:33 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 12
80% range: 6–19
Top-10 probability: 56 %
Result: 31
Deviation: -19
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +57 s
Time: 9:56
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +69 s
Fehler: -12.0 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen,
55 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.33 %,
Sicherheit 99 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.4 s
Gap behind:
4.2 s
Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.63 km/h
Running and totalRun: 16:03 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen,
48 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.79 %,
Sicherheit 90 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:26 (3:17 / km)
Error: −0:23 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 46:33
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:56
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
29:33
(40.6 km/h)
Run:
16:03
(3:13 / km)
Total:
46:33
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:43
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 13.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +43.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 13 / 19 |
AUT
|
+22 s
+27 s
|
G1 / G3
|
17:26
17:08
|
46:36 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 13
80% range: 9–23
Top-10 probability: 20 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -6
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: -4.6 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen,
22 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.40 %,
Sicherheit 55 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 41 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.2 s
Gap behind:
0.8 s
Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.73 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:26 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen,
22 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.08 %,
Sicherheit 52 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:08 (3:26 / km)
Error: +0:18 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 46:36
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:21
(1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:28
(42.2 km/h)
Run:
17:26
(3:29 / km)
Total:
46:36
|
| 14 / 20 |
SUI
|
+29 s
+52 s
|
G1 / G2
|
17:29
17:21
|
46:39 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 14
80% range: 11–22
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -6
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 9:28
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +52 s
Fehler: -23.1 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen,
30 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.53 %,
Sicherheit 74 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.3 s
Gap behind:
0.1 s
Result: Group 2 (4 people)
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.02 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:29 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen,
9 Duelle,
Korrektur 1.00 %,
Sicherheit 12 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:21 (3:28 / km)
Error: +0:08 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 46:39
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:28
(1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:28
(42.2 km/h)
Run:
17:29
(3:30 / km)
Total:
46:39
|
| 15 / 18 |
ISR
|
+35 s
+35 s
|
G1 / G3
|
17:38
17:06
|
46:48 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 15
80% range: 7–37
Top-10 probability: 33 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -3
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: -0.3 s
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen,
57 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.10 %,
Sicherheit 96 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 25 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.3 s
Gap behind:
1.8 s
Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.49 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:38 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen,
57 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.42 %,
Sicherheit 69 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:06 (3:25 / km)
Error: +0:32 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 46:48
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:34
(1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:28
(42.2 km/h)
Run:
17:38
(3:32 / km)
Total:
46:48
|
| 16 / 40 |
ISR
|
+55 s
+46 s
|
G3 / G6
|
16:26
17:00
|
46:56 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 16
80% range: 10–26
Top-10 probability: 14 %
Result: 40
Deviation: -24
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +55 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: 9.2 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen,
15 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.23 %,
Sicherheit 29 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
2.5 s
Gap behind:
0.4 s
Result: Group 6 (18 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.67 km/h
Running and totalRun: 16:26 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen,
15 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.33 %,
Sicherheit 30 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:00 (3:24 / km)
Error: −0:34 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 46:56
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:54
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
29:33
(40.6 km/h)
Run:
16:26
(3:17 / km)
Total:
46:56
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 43.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 17 / 55 |
UKR
|
+22 s
+61 s
|
G1 / G7
|
17:47
17:49
|
46:57 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 17
80% range: 11–28
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 55
Deviation: -38
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +61 s
Fehler: -38.8 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen,
54 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.52 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 36 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.6 s
Gap behind:
0.2 s
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.49 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:47 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen,
50 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.65 %,
Sicherheit 98 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:49 (3:34 / km)
Error: −0:02 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 46:57
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:21
(1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:28
(42.2 km/h)
Run:
17:47
(3:33 / km)
Total:
46:57
|
| 18 / 3 |
SVK
|
+33 s
+19 s
|
G1 / G3
|
17:47
15:10
|
46:57 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 18
80% range: 16–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 15
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 13.9 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen,
61 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.23 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.8 s
Gap behind:
0.0 s
Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.06 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:47 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen,
66 Duelle,
Korrektur -1.60 %,
Sicherheit 90 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:10 (3:02 / km)
Error: +2:37 / +0:31 / km
Overall prediction: 46:57
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:32
(1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:28
(42.2 km/h)
Run:
17:47
(3:33 / km)
Total:
46:57
|
| 19 / 24 |
AUT
|
+29 s
+40 s
|
G1 / G3
|
17:54
17:25
|
47:04 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 19
80% range: 17–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -5
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 9:28
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: -11.0 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen,
54 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.41 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 33 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.1 s
Gap behind:
1.2 s
Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.34 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:54 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen,
29 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.06 %,
Sicherheit 76 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:25 (3:29 / km)
Error: +0:29 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 47:04
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:28
(1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:28
(42.2 km/h)
Run:
17:54
(3:35 / km)
Total:
47:04
|
| 20 / 21 |
ISR
|
+6 s
+18 s
|
G2 / G3
|
17:59
17:17
|
47:10 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 20
80% range: 16–27
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -1
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +6 s
Time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: -12.0 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen,
27 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.46 %,
Sicherheit 69 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 80 %
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.8 s
Gap behind:
1.4 s
Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.29 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:59 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:17 (3:27 / km)
Error: +0:42 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 47:10
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
9:05
(1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
29:02
(41.4 km/h)
Run:
17:59
(3:36 / km)
Total:
47:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
| 21 / 32 |
SLO
|
+44 s
+62 s
|
G3 / G6
|
16:42
16:07
|
47:12 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 21
80% range: 5–40
Top-10 probability: 40 %
Result: 32
Deviation: -11
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 9:43
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +62 s
Fehler: -17.8 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen,
62 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.01 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
2.0 s
Gap behind:
0.5 s
Result: Group 6 (18 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.28 km/h
Running and totalRun: 16:42 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen,
26 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.10 %,
Sicherheit 42 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:07 (3:13 / km)
Error: +0:35 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 47:12
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:43
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
29:33
(40.6 km/h)
Run:
16:42
(3:20 / km)
Total:
47:12
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 30.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +13.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 22 / 17 |
SUI
|
+9 s
+6 s
|
G2 / G3
|
18:04
17:04
|
47:15 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 22
80% range: 15–31
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 17
Deviation: 5
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +9 s
Time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 3.0 s
H2H: 44 Gegner:innen,
114 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.68 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 70 %
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.6 s
Gap behind:
12.6 s
Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.43 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:04 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen,
78 Duelle,
Korrektur -1.47 %,
Sicherheit 88 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:04 (3:25 / km)
Error: +1:00 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 47:15
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:08
(1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
29:02
(41.4 km/h)
Run:
18:04
(3:37 / km)
Total:
47:15
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:07
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 0.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +8.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 23 / 22 |
ISR
|
+65 s
+63 s
|
G5 / G6
|
16:22
15:14
|
47:22 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 23
80% range: 11–38
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 22
Deviation: 1
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +65 s
Time: 10:04
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +63 s
Fehler: 1.8 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen,
5 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.09 %,
Sicherheit 13 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 5 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
3.6 s
Gap behind:
1.2 s
Result: Group 6 (18 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.95 km/h
Running and totalRun: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen,
5 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.46 %,
Sicherheit 13 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:14 (3:03 / km)
Error: +1:08 / +0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 47:22
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
10:04
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
29:50
(40.2 km/h)
Run:
16:22
(3:16 / km)
Total:
47:22
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:43
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 21.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +43.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 24 / 5 |
SLO
|
+33 s
+45 s
|
G1 / G3
|
18:13
15:35
|
47:23 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 24
80% range: 21–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 19
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: -12.1 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen,
58 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.18 %,
Sicherheit 99 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.0 s
Gap behind:
1.5 s
Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.27 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:13 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen,
23 Duelle,
Korrektur -1.96 %,
Sicherheit 38 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:35 (3:07 / km)
Error: +2:38 / +0:32 / km
Overall prediction: 47:23
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:32
(1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:28
(42.2 km/h)
Run:
18:13
(3:39 / km)
Total:
47:23
|
| 25 / 50 |
SLO
|
+31 s
+20 s
|
G1 / G6
|
18:16
18:02
|
47:26 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 25
80% range: 9–46
Top-10 probability: 14 %
Result: 50
Deviation: -25
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 10.5 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen,
53 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.11 %,
Sicherheit 89 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 30 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.3 s
Gap behind:
0.6 s
Result: Group 6 (18 people)
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.59 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:16 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen,
18 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.65 %,
Sicherheit 34 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:02 (3:36 / km)
Error: +0:14 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 47:26
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:30
(1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:28
(42.2 km/h)
Run:
18:16
(3:39 / km)
Total:
47:26
|
| 26 / 38 |
TUR
|
+22 s
+17 s
|
G1 / G6
|
18:22
16:34
|
47:32 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 26
80% range: 10–46
Top-10 probability: 11 %
Result: 38
Deviation: -12
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 4.6 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen,
16 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.12 %,
Sicherheit 31 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
12.6 s
Gap behind:
0.6 s
Result: Group 6 (18 people)
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:22 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen,
20 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.83 %,
Sicherheit 26 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:34 (3:19 / km)
Error: +1:48 / +0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 47:32
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:21
(1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:28
(42.2 km/h)
Run:
18:22
(3:40 / km)
Total:
47:32
|
| 27 / 49 |
POL
|
+25 s
+37 s
|
G1 / G6
|
18:24
17:33
|
47:34 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 27
80% range: 24–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 49
Deviation: -22
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: -12.0 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen,
27 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.46 %,
Sicherheit 69 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 34 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.0 s
Gap behind:
1.0 s
Result: Group 6 (18 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.30 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:24 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:41 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:33 (3:31 / km)
Error: +0:51 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 47:34
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
9:24
(1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:28
(42.2 km/h)
Run:
18:24
(3:41 / km)
Total:
47:34
|
| 28 / 42 |
ISR
|
+23 s
+14 s
|
G1 / G5
|
18:26
17:43
|
47:36 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 28
80% range: 25–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 42
Deviation: -14
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:22
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 9.2 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen,
27 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.52 %,
Sicherheit 40 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 35 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.8 s
Gap behind:
0.1 s
Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.30 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:26 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:45 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen,
26 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.38 %,
Sicherheit 26 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:43 (3:33 / km)
Error: +0:43 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 47:36
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:22
(1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:28
(42.2 km/h)
Run:
18:26
(3:41 / km)
Total:
47:36
|
| 29 / 33 |
ISR
|
+7 s
+18 s
|
G2 / G1
|
18:28 | 47:39 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 29
80% range: 23–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 33
Deviation: -4
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +7 s
Time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: -10.6 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen,
51 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.01 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 79 %
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.4 s
Gap behind:
1.6 s
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:28 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen,
13 Duelle,
Korrektur -1.64 %,
Sicherheit 49 %
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction: 47:39
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:06
(1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
29:02
(41.4 km/h)
Run:
18:28
(3:42 / km)
Total:
47:39
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 4.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 30 / 7 |
ISR
|
+23 s
+17 s
|
G1 / G3
|
18:33
15:56
|
47:43 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 30
80% range: 18–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 23
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:22
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 6.3 s
H2H: 44 Gegner:innen,
72 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.01 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 36 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.1 s
Gap behind:
0.5 s
Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.94 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:33 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:46 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen,
48 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.19 %,
Sicherheit 71 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:56 (3:11 / km)
Error: +2:37 / +0:31 / km
Overall prediction: 47:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:22
(1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:28
(42.2 km/h)
Run:
18:33
(3:43 / km)
Total:
47:43
|
| 31 / 27 |
ISR
|
+46 s
+36 s
|
G3 / G3
correct
|
17:14
17:52
|
47:44 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 31
80% range: 10–38
Top-10 probability: 15 %
Result: 27
Deviation: 4
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 9:45
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: 10.0 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen,
64 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.60 %,
Sicherheit 95 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.8 s
Gap behind:
1.1 s
Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.97 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:14 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen,
40 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.23 %,
Sicherheit 33 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:52 (3:34 / km)
Error: −0:38 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 47:44
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:45
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
29:33
(40.6 km/h)
Run:
17:14
(3:27 / km)
Total:
47:44
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 25.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 32 / 10 |
ISR
|
+66 s
+27 s
|
G5 / G3
|
16:46
16:25
|
47:46 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 32
80% range: 19–48
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 22
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +66 s
Time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: 39.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen,
43 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.19 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 5 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.2 s
Gap behind:
3.7 s
Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.12 km/h
Running and totalRun: 16:46 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen,
43 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.02 %,
Sicherheit 91 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:25 (3:17 / km)
Error: +0:21 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 47:46
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:05
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
29:50
(40.2 km/h)
Run:
16:46
(3:21 / km)
Total:
47:46
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 52.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +13.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 33 / 25 |
SUI
|
+25 s
+40 s
|
G1 / G4
|
18:38
17:20
|
47:48 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 33
80% range: 28–41
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: 8
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: -15.0 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen,
27 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.46 %,
Sicherheit 69 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 36 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.2 s
Gap behind:
0.0 s
Result: Group 4 (3 people)
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.75 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:38 (3:44 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:20 (3:28 / km)
Error: +1:18 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 47:48
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
9:24
(1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:28
(42.2 km/h)
Run:
18:38
(3:44 / km)
Total:
47:48
|
| 34 / 54 |
HUN
|
+40 s
+67 s
|
G1 / G6
|
18:49
20:02
|
47:59 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 34
80% range: 34–47
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 54
Deviation: -20
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +67 s
Fehler: -27.5 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen,
27 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.46 %,
Sicherheit 69 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.2 s
Gap behind:
0.6 s
Result: Group 6 (18 people)
Speed: 39.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.74 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:49 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:46 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:46 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:02 (4:00 / km)
Error: −1:13 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 47:59
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
9:39
(1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:28
(42.2 km/h)
Run:
18:49
(3:46 / km)
Total:
47:59
|
| 35 / 28 |
DEN
|
+70 s
+24 s
|
G5 / G4
|
17:00
17:30
|
48:00 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 35
80% range: 18–49
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 28
Deviation: 7
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +70 s
Time: 10:09
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: 46.0 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen,
13 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.79 %,
Sicherheit 50 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 5 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.2 s
Gap behind:
3.3 s
Result: Group 4 (3 people)
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.96 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:00 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen,
13 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.64 %,
Sicherheit 53 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:30 (3:30 / km)
Error: −0:30 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 48:00
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:09
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
29:50
(40.2 km/h)
Run:
17:00
(3:24 / km)
Total:
48:00
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 49.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 36 / 30 |
SUI
|
+42 s
+46 s
|
G1 / G3
|
18:50
18:03
|
48:00 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 36
80% range: 19–50
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 30
Deviation: 6
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: -3.8 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen,
67 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.30 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
2.1 s
Gap behind:
2.0 s
Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.29 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:50 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen,
67 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.87 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:03 (3:37 / km)
Error: +0:47 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 48:00
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:41
(1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:28
(42.2 km/h)
Run:
18:50
(3:46 / km)
Total:
48:00
|
| 37 / 15 |
ISR
|
+5 s
+0 s
|
G2 / G3
|
18:50
16:52
|
48:01 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 37
80% range: 30–40
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation: 22
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +5 s
Time: 9:04
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 5.2 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen,
32 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.55 %,
Sicherheit 91 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 84 %
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
5.2 s
Gap behind:
0.8 s
Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.68 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:50 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:45 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen,
32 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.44 %,
Sicherheit 72 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:52 (3:22 / km)
Error: +1:58 / +0:24 / km
Overall prediction: 48:01
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:04
(1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
29:02
(41.4 km/h)
Run:
18:50
(3:46 / km)
Total:
48:01
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 2.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 38 / 34 |
DEN
|
+49 s
+34 s
|
G3 / G3
correct
|
17:33
18:21
|
48:03 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 38
80% range: 19–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 34
Deviation: 4
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: 14.7 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen,
30 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.27 %,
Sicherheit 66 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.6 s
Gap behind:
0.3 s
Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.94 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:33 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen,
30 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.90 %,
Sicherheit 59 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:21 (3:40 / km)
Error: −0:48 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 48:03
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:48
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
29:33
(40.6 km/h)
Run:
17:33
(3:31 / km)
Total:
48:03
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 28.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 39 / 9 |
SUI
|
+24 s
+18 s
|
G1 / G3
|
18:54
16:04
|
48:04 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 39
80% range: 33–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 30
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 9:23
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 5.8 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen,
40 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.41 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 35 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.5 s
Gap behind:
1.2 s
Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.10 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:54 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:51 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen,
15 Duelle,
Korrektur -1.73 %,
Sicherheit 38 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:04 (3:13 / km)
Error: +2:50 / +0:34 / km
Overall prediction: 48:04
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:23
(1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:28
(42.2 km/h)
Run:
18:54
(3:47 / km)
Total:
48:04
|
| 40 / 11 |
ISR
|
+45 s
+43 s
|
G3 / G3
correct
|
17:39
16:32
|
48:09 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 40
80% range: 17–41
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 29
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: 2.2 s
H2H: 43 Gegner:innen,
72 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.07 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.5 s
Gap behind:
0.8 s
Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.16 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:39 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen,
45 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.54 %,
Sicherheit 96 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:32 (3:18 / km)
Error: +1:07 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 48:09
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:44
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
29:33
(40.6 km/h)
Run:
17:39
(3:32 / km)
Total:
48:09
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 25.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 41 / 56 |
POL
|
+52 s
+43 s
|
G3 / G8
|
17:40
17:41
|
48:10 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 41
80% range: 18–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 56
Deviation: -15
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 9:51
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: 9.3 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
43 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.30 %,
Sicherheit 98 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.8 s
Gap behind:
0.4 s
Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 35.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.65 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:40 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
47 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.23 %,
Sicherheit 79 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:41 (3:32 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 48:10
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:51
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
29:33
(40.6 km/h)
Run:
17:40
(3:32 / km)
Total:
48:10
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 40.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 42 / 43 |
UKR
|
+70 s
+71 s
|
G5 / G6
|
17:13
17:15
|
48:13 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 42
80% range: 28–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 43
Deviation: -1
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +70 s
Time: 10:09
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +71 s
Fehler: -1.2 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen,
55 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.00 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 5 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.1 s
Gap behind:
0.2 s
Result: Group 6 (18 people)
Speed: 39.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.83 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:13 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen,
45 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.15 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:15 (3:27 / km)
Error: −0:02 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 48:13
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:09
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
29:50
(40.2 km/h)
Run:
17:13
(3:27 / km)
Total:
48:13
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 57.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 43 / 58 |
LTU
|
+56 s
+45 s
|
G3 / G9
|
17:44
17:47
|
48:14 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 43
80% range: 23–51
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 58
Deviation: -15
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +56 s
Time: 9:55
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: 10.6 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen,
50 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.08 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.0 s
Gap behind:
1.4 s
Result: Group 9 (2 people)
Speed: 34.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.56 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:44 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen,
23 Duelle,
Korrektur 1.34 %,
Sicherheit 78 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:47 (3:33 / km)
Error: −0:03 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 48:14
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:55
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
29:33
(40.6 km/h)
Run:
17:44
(3:33 / km)
Total:
48:14
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 43.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 44 / 53 |
LTU
|
+37 s
+31 s
|
G1 / G6
|
19:06
19:33
|
48:16 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 44
80% range: 23–52
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 53
Deviation: -9
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 9:36
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 6.0 s
H2H: 46 Gegner:innen,
95 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.91 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.3 s
Gap behind:
1.3 s
Result: Group 6 (18 people)
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.73 km/h
Running and totalRun: 19:06 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen,
52 Duelle,
Korrektur 1.11 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:33 (3:55 / km)
Error: −0:27 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 48:16
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:36
(1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:28
(42.2 km/h)
Run:
19:06
(3:49 / km)
Total:
48:16
|
| 45 / 36 |
FIN
|
+40 s
+44 s
|
G1 / G3
|
19:06
18:29
|
48:16 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 45
80% range: 41–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 36
Deviation: 9
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: -3.9 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen,
11 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.86 %,
Sicherheit 16 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.6 s
Gap behind:
2.1 s
Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.36 km/h
Running and totalRun: 19:06 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:51 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen,
11 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.97 %,
Sicherheit 16 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:29 (3:42 / km)
Error: +0:37 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 48:16
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:39
(1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:28
(42.2 km/h)
Run:
19:06
(3:49 / km)
Total:
48:16
|
| 46 / 23 |
EST
|
+61 s
+31 s
|
G4 / G3
|
17:52
17:21
|
48:27 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 46
80% range: 20–52
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 23
Deviation: 23
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +61 s
Time: 10:00
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 30.2 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen,
45 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.09 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
4.2 s
Gap behind:
3.6 s
Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.89 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:52 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen,
49 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.05 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:21 (3:28 / km)
Error: +0:31 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 48:27
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:00
(1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
29:34
(40.6 km/h)
Run:
17:52
(3:34 / km)
Total:
48:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
| 47 / 26 |
POL
|
+56 s
+46 s
|
G3 / G3
correct
|
17:58
17:37
|
48:28 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 47
80% range: 27–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: 21
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +56 s
Time: 9:55
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: 9.6 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen,
40 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.08 %,
Sicherheit 87 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.4 s
Gap behind:
0.0 s
Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.30 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:58 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen,
44 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.45 %,
Sicherheit 69 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:37 (3:31 / km)
Error: +0:21 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 48:28
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:55
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
29:33
(40.6 km/h)
Run:
17:58
(3:36 / km)
Total:
48:28
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:20
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 35.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 48 / 46 |
UKR
|
+49 s
+40 s
|
G3 / G6
|
18:16
17:31
|
48:46 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 48
80% range: 31–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 46
Deviation: 2
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: 9.0 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen,
45 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.09 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.3 s
Gap behind:
1.4 s
Result: Group 6 (18 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.90 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:16 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen,
44 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.57 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Error: +0:45 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 48:46
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:48
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
29:33
(40.6 km/h)
Run:
18:16
(3:39 / km)
Total:
48:46
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 37.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 49 / 45 |
AUT
|
+30 s
+36 s
|
G1 / G6
|
19:45
17:33
|
48:55 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 49
80% range: 44–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 45
Deviation: 4
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 9:29
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: -5.8 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen,
26 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.45 %,
Sicherheit 64 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.2 s
Gap behind:
0.3 s
Result: Group 6 (18 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.30 km/h
Running and totalRun: 19:45 (3:57 / km)
Historical basis: 3:57 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:57 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:33 (3:31 / km)
Error: +2:12 / +0:26 / km
Overall prediction: 48:55
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
9:29
(1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:28
(42.2 km/h)
Run:
19:45
(3:57 / km)
Total:
48:55
|
| 50 / 14 |
UKR
|
+70 s
+29 s
|
G5 / G3
|
18:29
16:52
|
49:29 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 50
80% range: 41–52
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation: 36
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +70 s
Time: 10:09
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: 40.7 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen,
60 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.31 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 5 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
3.7 s
Gap behind:
0.1 s
Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.29 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:29 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen,
59 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.30 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:52 (3:22 / km)
Error: +1:37 / +0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 49:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:09
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
29:50
(40.2 km/h)
Run:
18:29
(3:42 / km)
Total:
49:29
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 49.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 51 / 57 |
DEN
|
+51 s
+29 s
|
G3 / G6
|
21:12
21:07
|
51:42 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 51
80% range: 52–54
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 57
Deviation: -6
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 9:50
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: 21.5 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen,
43 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.30 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.1 s
Gap behind:
1.8 s
Result: Group 6 (18 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.08 km/h
Running and totalRun: 21:12 (4:14 / km)
Historical basis: 4:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen,
43 Duelle,
Korrektur -2.07 %,
Sicherheit 86 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:07 (4:13 / km)
Error: +0:05 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 51:42
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:50
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
29:33
(40.6 km/h)
Run:
21:12
(4:14 / km)
Total:
51:42
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 38.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 52 / 59 |
UKR
|
+73 s
+70 s
|
G6 / G9
|
18:14
19:45
|
52:00 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 52
80% range: 36–54
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 59
Deviation: -7
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +73 s
Time: 10:12
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +70 s
Fehler: 3.3 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen,
26 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.44 %,
Sicherheit 45 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 6 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
3.3 s
Gap behind:
29.8 s
Result: Group 9 (2 people)
Speed: 34.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.42 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:14 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen,
25 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.44 %,
Sicherheit 34 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:45 (3:57 / km)
Error: −1:31 / −0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 52:00
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:12
(1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
32:03
(36.9 km/h)
Run:
18:14
(3:39 / km)
Total:
52:00
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 61.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 53 / 47 |
SWE
|
+103 s
+62 s
|
G6 / G6
correct
|
18:26
17:39
|
52:12 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 53
80% range: 50–54
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 47
Deviation: 6
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +103 s
Time: 10:42
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +62 s
Fehler: 41.1 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen,
12 Duelle,
Korrektur -1.41 %,
Sicherheit 45 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 6 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
29.8 s
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 6 (18 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.42 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:26 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen,
12 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.60 %,
Sicherheit 42 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:39 (3:32 / km)
Error: +0:47 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 52:12
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:42
(1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
32:03
(36.9 km/h)
Run:
18:26
(3:41 / km)
Total:
52:12
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 83 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 54 / 29 |
POL
|
+53 s
+14 s
|
G3 / G3
correct
|
34:04
18:01
|
1:04:34 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 54
80% range: 55–55
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: 25
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 38.7 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen,
18 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.26 %,
Sicherheit 20 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.4 s
Gap behind:
2.5 s
Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.44 km/h
Running and totalRun: 34:04 (6:49 / km)
Historical basis: 6:59 / km
Best comparable pace: 6:59 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen,
22 Duelle,
Korrektur -2.47 %,
Sicherheit 11 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:01 (3:36 / km)
Error: +16:03 / +3:13 / km
Overall prediction: 1:04:34
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming:
9:52
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
29:33
(40.6 km/h)
Run:
34:04
(6:49 / km)
Total:
1:04:34
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 32.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 0 / 37 |
EST
|
+0 s
+28 s
|
G0 / G6
|
16:20
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 56–56
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 37
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:59
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 6 (18 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:20 (3:16 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
8:59
(1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 39 |
POL
|
+0 s
+37 s
|
G0 / G3
|
18:53
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 57–57
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 39
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:59
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:53 (3:47 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
8:59
(1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 44 |
ISR
|
+0 s
+22 s
|
G0 / G6
|
17:33
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 58–58
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 44
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:59
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 6 (18 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:33 (3:31 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
8:59
(1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 48 |
POL
|
+0 s
+28 s
|
G0 / G3
|
19:49
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 59–59
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 48
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:59
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:49 (3:58 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
8:59
(1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 51 |
POL
|
+0 s
+21 s
|
G2 / G4
|
20:28
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 51
Deviation: -51
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:59
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: -21.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 89 %
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
5.2 s
Result: Group 4 (3 people)
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.40 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:28 (4:06 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
8:59
(1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
29:02
(41.4 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
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