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Junior Men

23.05.2026 Kapitańska 23 POL
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Junior Cup Olsztyn

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 23.05.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 86/100 hoch
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 77 früheren Rennen und 1935 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 46.4 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 16.05.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 3 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 72.9 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 91.5 % · 77 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error14.2
Mean swim error14.6 s
Mean bike-speed error1.64 km/h
Correct bike groups7/55
No history4
Within the 80% range37.3 %
Place
Prediction / result
Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result
Bike group
Prediction / result
Run
Prediction / result
Overall prediction Details
1 / 16 Daniel Janitsch
AUT
+50 s
+44 s
G3 / G3
correct
13:24
16:55
43:54
Show details
Prediction details: Daniel Janitsch

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 2–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: 6.4 s
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s

Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.99 km/h

Running and total

Run: 13:24 (2:41 / km)
Historical basis: 2:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 54 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Error: −3:31 / −0:42 / km
Overall prediction: 43:54
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:49 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:33 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 13:24 (2:41 / km)
Total: 43:54
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:42
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 6.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +43.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
2 / 1 Thibault Rivier
SUI
+28 s
+17 s
G1 / G3
15:17
15:01
44:27
Show details
Prediction details: Thibault Rivier

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 3–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 10.6 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 86 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 40 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s

Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:17 (3:03 / km)
Historical basis: 3:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 64 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 95 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 15:01 (3:00 / km)
Error: +0:16 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 44:27
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:27 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:28 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 15:17 (3:03 / km)
Total: 44:27
3 / 4 Jan Chmielewski
POL
+45 s
+19 s
G3 / G2
14:36
15:46
45:06
Show details
Prediction details: Jan Chmielewski

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 2–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 25.7 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 0.54 %, Sicherheit 74 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 20 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s

Result: Group 2 (4 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.89 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:36 (2:55 / km)
Historical basis: 2:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur 0.76 %, Sicherheit 67 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 15:46 (3:09 / km)
Error: −1:10 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 45:06
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:44 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:33 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 14:36 (2:55 / km)
Total: 45:06
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:43
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 1.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +43.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 41 Andri Schwarz
SUI
+37 s
+14 s
G1 / G3
16:27
19:17
45:37
Show details
Prediction details: Andri Schwarz

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 4–25
Top-10 probability: 66 %
Result: 41
Deviation: -37

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 9:36
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 22.5 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur -0.53 %, Sicherheit 90 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 19 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s

Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:27 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.55 %, Sicherheit 75 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 19:17 (3:51 / km)
Error: −2:50 / −0:34 / km
Overall prediction: 45:37
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:36 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:28 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 16:27 (3:17 / km)
Total: 45:37
5 / 13 Sebastién Brunner
SUI
+34 s
+18 s
G1 / G3
16:48
16:43
45:58
Show details
Prediction details: Sebastién Brunner

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 5–25
Top-10 probability: 66 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 16.4 s
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s

Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:48 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur 0.67 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 16:43 (3:21 / km)
Error: +0:05 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 45:58
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:33 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:28 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 16:48 (3:22 / km)
Total: 45:58
6 / 2 Kacper Serwiński
POL
+47 s
+22 s
G3 / G2
15:33
15:17
46:03
Show details
Prediction details: Kacper Serwiński

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 4–23
Top-10 probability: 74 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 9:46
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 25.1 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 83 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s

Result: Group 2 (4 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.85 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:33 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:54 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 78 Duelle, Korrektur 0.49 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 15:17 (3:03 / km)
Error: +0:16 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 46:03
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:46 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:33 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 15:33 (3:07 / km)
Total: 46:03
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:42
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 3.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +43.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 12 Nico Kalberer
SUI
+31 s
+22 s
G1 / G3
16:57
16:37
46:07
Show details
Prediction details: Nico Kalberer

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 6–29
Top-10 probability: 58 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 9.1 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 70 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 30 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s

Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.84 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:57 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 16:37 (3:19 / km)
Error: +0:20 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 46:07
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:30 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:28 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 16:57 (3:23 / km)
Total: 46:07
8 / 35 Liran Pelzman
ISR
+38 s
+29 s
G1 / G6
17:10
16:23
46:20
Show details
Prediction details: Liran Pelzman

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 9–30
Top-10 probability: 23 %
Result: 35
Deviation: -27

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: 9.3 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 19 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s

Result: Group 6 (18 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:10 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur -0.89 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 16:23 (3:17 / km)
Error: +0:47 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 46:20
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:37 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:28 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 17:10 (3:26 / km)
Total: 46:20
9 / 52 Marcel Pavlin
SLO
+33 s
+43 s
G1 / G6
17:18
18:48
46:28
Show details
Prediction details: Marcel Pavlin

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 9–28
Top-10 probability: 16 %
Result: 52
Deviation: -43

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: -10.1 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 88 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s

Result: Group 6 (18 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.23 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 74 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 18:48 (3:46 / km)
Error: −1:30 / −0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 46:28
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:32 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:28 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Total: 46:28
10 / 8 Žiga Korošec
SLO
+37 s
+15 s
G1 / G3
17:20
15:47
46:30
Show details
Prediction details: Žiga Korošec

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 7–38
Top-10 probability: 25 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 9:36
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: 21.7 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 66 Duelle, Korrektur -0.44 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s

Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.06 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:20 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 61 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 15:47 (3:09 / km)
Error: +1:33 / +0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 46:30
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:36 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:28 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 17:20 (3:28 / km)
Total: 46:30
11 / 6 Adam Dąbrowski
POL
+26 s
+15 s
G1 / G2
17:22
16:07
46:32
Show details
Prediction details: Adam Dąbrowski

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 9–20
Top-10 probability: 21 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: 11.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 53 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 33 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s

Result: Group 2 (4 people)
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.77 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur -0.60 %, Sicherheit 96 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 16:07 (3:13 / km)
Error: +1:15 / +0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 46:32
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:25 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:28 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Total: 46:32
12 / 31 Ronan Salmu
EST
+57 s
+69 s
G3 / G5
16:03
16:26
46:33
Show details
Prediction details: Ronan Salmu

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 6–19
Top-10 probability: 56 %
Result: 31
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +57 s
Time: 9:56
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +69 s
Fehler: -12.0 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur -0.33 %, Sicherheit 99 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 4.2 s

Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.63 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:03 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur 0.79 %, Sicherheit 90 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 16:26 (3:17 / km)
Error: −0:23 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 46:33
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:56 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:33 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 16:03 (3:13 / km)
Total: 46:33
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:43
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 13.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +43.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 19 Tobias Leirer
AUT
+22 s
+27 s
G1 / G3
17:26
17:08
46:36
Show details
Prediction details: Tobias Leirer

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 9–23
Top-10 probability: 20 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: -4.6 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.40 %, Sicherheit 55 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 41 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s

Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.73 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:26 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 52 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:08 (3:26 / km)
Error: +0:18 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 46:36
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:21 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:28 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 17:26 (3:29 / km)
Total: 46:36
14 / 20 Bastien Lambercier
SUI
+29 s
+52 s
G1 / G2
17:29
17:21
46:39
Show details
Prediction details: Bastien Lambercier

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 11–22
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 9:28
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +52 s
Fehler: -23.1 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur 0.53 %, Sicherheit 74 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s

Result: Group 2 (4 people)
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.02 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:29 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 1.00 %, Sicherheit 12 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:21 (3:28 / km)
Error: +0:08 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 46:39
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:28 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:28 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 17:29 (3:30 / km)
Total: 46:39
15 / 18 Tomer Guy
ISR
+35 s
+35 s
G1 / G3
17:38
17:06
46:48
Show details
Prediction details: Tomer Guy

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 7–37
Top-10 probability: 33 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: -0.3 s
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 96 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 25 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s

Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.49 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:38 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur -0.42 %, Sicherheit 69 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:06 (3:25 / km)
Error: +0:32 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 46:48
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:34 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:28 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 17:38 (3:32 / km)
Total: 46:48
16 / 40 Ram Kaduri
ISR
+55 s
+46 s
G3 / G6
16:26
17:00
46:56
Show details
Prediction details: Ram Kaduri

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 10–26
Top-10 probability: 14 %
Result: 40
Deviation: -24

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +55 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: 9.2 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 29 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.5 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s

Result: Group 6 (18 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.67 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:26 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 30 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:00 (3:24 / km)
Error: −0:34 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 46:56
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:33 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 16:26 (3:17 / km)
Total: 46:56
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 43.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 55 Arsen Adamov
UKR
+22 s
+61 s
G1 / G7
17:47
17:49
46:57
Show details
Prediction details: Arsen Adamov

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 11–28
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 55
Deviation: -38

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +61 s
Fehler: -38.8 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur 0.52 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 36 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s

Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.49 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:47 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur 0.65 %, Sicherheit 98 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:49 (3:34 / km)
Error: −0:02 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 46:57
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:21 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:28 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 17:47 (3:33 / km)
Total: 46:57
18 / 3 Dominik Ivančík
SVK
+33 s
+19 s
G1 / G3
17:47
15:10
46:57
Show details
Prediction details: Dominik Ivančík

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 16–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 13.9 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s

Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.06 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:47 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 66 Duelle, Korrektur -1.60 %, Sicherheit 90 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 15:10 (3:02 / km)
Error: +2:37 / +0:31 / km
Overall prediction: 46:57
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:32 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:28 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 17:47 (3:33 / km)
Total: 46:57
19 / 24 Jakob Schwarhofer
AUT
+29 s
+40 s
G1 / G3
17:54
17:25
47:04
Show details
Prediction details: Jakob Schwarhofer

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 17–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 9:28
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: -11.0 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur 0.41 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 33 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s

Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:54 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 76 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:25 (3:29 / km)
Error: +0:29 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 47:04
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:28 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:28 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 17:54 (3:35 / km)
Total: 47:04
20 / 21 Amir Sarid
ISR
+6 s
+18 s
G2 / G3
17:59
17:17
47:10
Show details
Prediction details: Amir Sarid

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 16–27
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +6 s
Time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: -12.0 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 69 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 80 %
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s

Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:59 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:17 (3:27 / km)
Error: +0:42 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 47:10
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:05 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:02 (41.4 km/h)
Run: 17:59 (3:36 / km)
Total: 47:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
21 / 32 Maks Mori
SLO
+44 s
+62 s
G3 / G6
16:42
16:07
47:12
Show details
Prediction details: Maks Mori

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 5–40
Top-10 probability: 40 %
Result: 32
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 9:43
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +62 s
Fehler: -17.8 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 62 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s

Result: Group 6 (18 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.28 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:42 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 42 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 16:07 (3:13 / km)
Error: +0:35 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 47:12
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:43 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:33 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 16:42 (3:20 / km)
Total: 47:12
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 30.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +13.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 17 Naël Gumy
SUI
+9 s
+6 s
G2 / G3
18:04
17:04
47:15
Show details
Prediction details: Naël Gumy

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 15–31
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 17
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +9 s
Time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 3.0 s
H2H: 44 Gegner:innen, 114 Duelle, Korrektur 0.68 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 70 %
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 12.6 s

Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.43 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:04 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 78 Duelle, Korrektur -1.47 %, Sicherheit 88 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:04 (3:25 / km)
Error: +1:00 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 47:15
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:08 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:02 (41.4 km/h)
Run: 18:04 (3:37 / km)
Total: 47:15
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:07
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 0.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +8.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 22 Raz Nevjelik
ISR
+65 s
+63 s
G5 / G6
16:22
15:14
47:22
Show details
Prediction details: Raz Nevjelik

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 11–38
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 22
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +65 s
Time: 10:04
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +63 s
Fehler: 1.8 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 13 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.6 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s

Result: Group 6 (18 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.95 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 13 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 15:14 (3:03 / km)
Error: +1:08 / +0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 47:22
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:04 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:50 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Total: 47:22
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:43
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 21.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +43.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 5 Nik Vučko
SLO
+33 s
+45 s
G1 / G3
18:13
15:35
47:23
Show details
Prediction details: Nik Vučko

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 21–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: -12.1 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 99 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s

Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.27 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:13 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur -1.96 %, Sicherheit 38 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 15:35 (3:07 / km)
Error: +2:38 / +0:32 / km
Overall prediction: 47:23
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:32 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:28 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 18:13 (3:39 / km)
Total: 47:23
25 / 50 Erik Hudovornik
SLO
+31 s
+20 s
G1 / G6
18:16
18:02
47:26
Show details
Prediction details: Erik Hudovornik

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 9–46
Top-10 probability: 14 %
Result: 50
Deviation: -25

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 10.5 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 53 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 89 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 30 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s

Result: Group 6 (18 people)
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.59 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:16 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.65 %, Sicherheit 34 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 18:02 (3:36 / km)
Error: +0:14 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 47:26
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:30 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:28 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 18:16 (3:39 / km)
Total: 47:26
26 / 38 Yağız Sarıkaya
TUR
+22 s
+17 s
G1 / G6
18:22
16:34
47:32
Show details
Prediction details: Yağız Sarıkaya

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 10–46
Top-10 probability: 11 %
Result: 38
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 4.6 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 31 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 12.6 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s

Result: Group 6 (18 people)
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:22 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -0.83 %, Sicherheit 26 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 16:34 (3:19 / km)
Error: +1:48 / +0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 47:32
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:21 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:28 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 18:22 (3:40 / km)
Total: 47:32
27 / 49 Tymoteusz Dawiec
POL
+25 s
+37 s
G1 / G6
18:24
17:33
47:34
Show details
Prediction details: Tymoteusz Dawiec

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 24–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 49
Deviation: -22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: -12.0 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 69 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 34 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s

Result: Group 6 (18 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.30 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:24 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:41 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:33 (3:31 / km)
Error: +0:51 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 47:34
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:24 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:28 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 18:24 (3:41 / km)
Total: 47:34
28 / 42 Omri Margalit
ISR
+23 s
+14 s
G1 / G5
18:26
17:43
47:36
Show details
Prediction details: Omri Margalit

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 25–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 42
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:22
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 9.2 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur -0.52 %, Sicherheit 40 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 35 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s

Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.30 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:26 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:45 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 26 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:43 (3:33 / km)
Error: +0:43 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 47:36
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:22 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:28 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 18:26 (3:41 / km)
Total: 47:36
29 / 33 Michael Stiebel
ISR
+7 s
+18 s
G2 / G1
18:28 47:39
Show details
Prediction details: Michael Stiebel

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 23–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 33
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +7 s
Time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: -10.6 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 79 %
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s

Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:28 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -1.64 %, Sicherheit 49 %

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction: 47:39
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:06 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:02 (41.4 km/h)
Run: 18:28 (3:42 / km)
Total: 47:39
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 4.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
30 / 7 Jayden Levy Silva
ISR
+23 s
+17 s
G1 / G3
18:33
15:56
47:43
Show details
Prediction details: Jayden Levy Silva

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 18–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 23

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:22
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 6.3 s
H2H: 44 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 36 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s

Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:33 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:46 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 71 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 15:56 (3:11 / km)
Error: +2:37 / +0:31 / km
Overall prediction: 47:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:22 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:28 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 18:33 (3:43 / km)
Total: 47:43
31 / 27 Liem Aviv
ISR
+46 s
+36 s
G3 / G3
correct
17:14
17:52
47:44
Show details
Prediction details: Liem Aviv

Placement

Prediction: 31
80% range: 10–38
Top-10 probability: 15 %
Result: 27
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 9:45
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: 10.0 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 64 Duelle, Korrektur 0.60 %, Sicherheit 95 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s

Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.97 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:14 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 33 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:52 (3:34 / km)
Error: −0:38 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 47:44
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:45 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:33 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 17:14 (3:27 / km)
Total: 47:44
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 25.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
32 / 10 Omer Peer
ISR
+66 s
+27 s
G5 / G3
16:46
16:25
47:46
Show details
Prediction details: Omer Peer

Placement

Prediction: 32
80% range: 19–48
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +66 s
Time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: 39.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 3.7 s

Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:46 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 91 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 16:25 (3:17 / km)
Error: +0:21 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 47:46
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:05 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:50 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 16:46 (3:21 / km)
Total: 47:46
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 52.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +13.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
33 / 25 Leopold Kohlmann
SUI
+25 s
+40 s
G1 / G4
18:38
17:20
47:48
Show details
Prediction details: Leopold Kohlmann

Placement

Prediction: 33
80% range: 28–41
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: -15.0 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 69 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 36 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s

Result: Group 4 (3 people)
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.75 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:38 (3:44 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:20 (3:28 / km)
Error: +1:18 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 47:48
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:24 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:28 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 18:38 (3:44 / km)
Total: 47:48
34 / 54 János Kardos
HUN
+40 s
+67 s
G1 / G6
18:49
20:02
47:59
Show details
Prediction details: János Kardos

Placement

Prediction: 34
80% range: 34–47
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 54
Deviation: -20

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +67 s
Fehler: -27.5 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 69 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s

Result: Group 6 (18 people)
Speed: 39.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.74 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:49 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:46 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:46 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 20:02 (4:00 / km)
Error: −1:13 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 47:59
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:39 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:28 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 18:49 (3:46 / km)
Total: 47:59
35 / 28 August Juul-Andersen
DEN
+70 s
+24 s
G5 / G4
17:00
17:30
48:00
Show details
Prediction details: August Juul-Andersen

Placement

Prediction: 35
80% range: 18–49
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 28
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +70 s
Time: 10:09
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: 46.0 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.79 %, Sicherheit 50 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 3.3 s

Result: Group 4 (3 people)
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.96 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:00 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.64 %, Sicherheit 53 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:30 (3:30 / km)
Error: −0:30 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 48:00
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:09 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:50 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 17:00 (3:24 / km)
Total: 48:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 49.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
36 / 30 Samuele Iaconi
SUI
+42 s
+46 s
G1 / G3
18:50
18:03
48:00
Show details
Prediction details: Samuele Iaconi

Placement

Prediction: 36
80% range: 19–50
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 30
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: -3.8 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 67 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.1 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s

Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:50 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 67 Duelle, Korrektur -0.87 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 18:03 (3:37 / km)
Error: +0:47 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 48:00
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:28 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 18:50 (3:46 / km)
Total: 48:00
37 / 15 Barak Sakal
ISR
+5 s
+0 s
G2 / G3
18:50
16:52
48:01
Show details
Prediction details: Barak Sakal

Placement

Prediction: 37
80% range: 30–40
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation: 22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +5 s
Time: 9:04
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 5.2 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur 0.55 %, Sicherheit 91 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 84 %
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.2 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s

Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.68 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:50 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:45 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur 0.44 %, Sicherheit 72 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 16:52 (3:22 / km)
Error: +1:58 / +0:24 / km
Overall prediction: 48:01
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:04 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:02 (41.4 km/h)
Run: 18:50 (3:46 / km)
Total: 48:01
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 2.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
38 / 34 Oliver Dyrholm Pilegaard
DEN
+49 s
+34 s
G3 / G3
correct
17:33
18:21
48:03
Show details
Prediction details: Oliver Dyrholm Pilegaard

Placement

Prediction: 38
80% range: 19–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 34
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: 14.7 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur -0.27 %, Sicherheit 66 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s

Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:33 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur 0.90 %, Sicherheit 59 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 18:21 (3:40 / km)
Error: −0:48 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 48:03
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:48 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:33 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 17:33 (3:31 / km)
Total: 48:03
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 28.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
39 / 9 Andrin Gallert
SUI
+24 s
+18 s
G1 / G3
18:54
16:04
48:04
Show details
Prediction details: Andrin Gallert

Placement

Prediction: 39
80% range: 33–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 30

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 9:23
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 5.8 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -0.41 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 35 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s

Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:54 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:51 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -1.73 %, Sicherheit 38 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 16:04 (3:13 / km)
Error: +2:50 / +0:34 / km
Overall prediction: 48:04
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:23 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:28 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 18:54 (3:47 / km)
Total: 48:04
40 / 11 Lior Hendroker
ISR
+45 s
+43 s
G3 / G3
correct
17:39
16:32
48:09
Show details
Prediction details: Lior Hendroker

Placement

Prediction: 40
80% range: 17–41
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 29

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: 2.2 s
H2H: 43 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s

Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.16 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:39 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur -0.54 %, Sicherheit 96 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 16:32 (3:18 / km)
Error: +1:07 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 48:09
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:44 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:33 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 17:39 (3:32 / km)
Total: 48:09
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 25.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
41 / 56 Michał Paliński
POL
+52 s
+43 s
G3 / G8
17:40
17:41
48:10
Show details
Prediction details: Michał Paliński

Placement

Prediction: 41
80% range: 18–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 56
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 9:51
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: 9.3 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 98 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s

Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 35.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:40 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 79 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:41 (3:32 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 48:10
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:51 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:33 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 17:40 (3:32 / km)
Total: 48:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 40.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
42 / 43 Illia Honcharuk
UKR
+70 s
+71 s
G5 / G6
17:13
17:15
48:13
Show details
Prediction details: Illia Honcharuk

Placement

Prediction: 42
80% range: 28–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 43
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +70 s
Time: 10:09
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +71 s
Fehler: -1.2 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s

Result: Group 6 (18 people)
Speed: 39.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.83 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:13 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:15 (3:27 / km)
Error: −0:02 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 48:13
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:09 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:50 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 17:13 (3:27 / km)
Total: 48:13
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 57.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
43 / 58 Jonas Saulius Jonaitis
LTU
+56 s
+45 s
G3 / G9
17:44
17:47
48:14
Show details
Prediction details: Jonas Saulius Jonaitis

Placement

Prediction: 43
80% range: 23–51
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 58
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +56 s
Time: 9:55
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: 10.6 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s

Result: Group 9 (2 people)
Speed: 34.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.56 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:44 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur 1.34 %, Sicherheit 78 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:47 (3:33 / km)
Error: −0:03 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 48:14
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:55 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:33 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 17:44 (3:33 / km)
Total: 48:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 43.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
44 / 53 Algimantas Smolskas
LTU
+37 s
+31 s
G1 / G6
19:06
19:33
48:16
Show details
Prediction details: Algimantas Smolskas

Placement

Prediction: 44
80% range: 23–52
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 53
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 9:36
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 6.0 s
H2H: 46 Gegner:innen, 95 Duelle, Korrektur -0.91 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s

Result: Group 6 (18 people)
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.73 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:06 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur 1.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 19:33 (3:55 / km)
Error: −0:27 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 48:16
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:36 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:28 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 19:06 (3:49 / km)
Total: 48:16
45 / 36 Leo Kervinen
FIN
+40 s
+44 s
G1 / G3
19:06
18:29
48:16
Show details
Prediction details: Leo Kervinen

Placement

Prediction: 45
80% range: 41–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 36
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: -3.9 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.86 %, Sicherheit 16 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 2.1 s

Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.36 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:06 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:51 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.97 %, Sicherheit 16 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 18:29 (3:42 / km)
Error: +0:37 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 48:16
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:39 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:28 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 19:06 (3:49 / km)
Total: 48:16
46 / 23 Artur Abras
EST
+61 s
+31 s
G4 / G3
17:52
17:21
48:27
Show details
Prediction details: Artur Abras

Placement

Prediction: 46
80% range: 20–52
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 23
Deviation: 23

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +61 s
Time: 10:00
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 30.2 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.2 s
Gap behind: 3.6 s

Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.89 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:52 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:21 (3:28 / km)
Error: +0:31 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 48:27
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:00 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:34 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 17:52 (3:34 / km)
Total: 48:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
47 / 26 Łukasz Waniewski
POL
+56 s
+46 s
G3 / G3
correct
17:58
17:37
48:28
Show details
Prediction details: Łukasz Waniewski

Placement

Prediction: 47
80% range: 27–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: 21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +56 s
Time: 9:55
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: 9.6 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 87 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s

Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.30 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:58 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 69 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:37 (3:31 / km)
Error: +0:21 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 48:28
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:55 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:33 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 17:58 (3:36 / km)
Total: 48:28
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:20
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 35.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
48 / 46 Markiian Harmatii
UKR
+49 s
+40 s
G3 / G6
18:16
17:31
48:46
Show details
Prediction details: Markiian Harmatii

Placement

Prediction: 48
80% range: 31–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 46
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: 9.0 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s

Result: Group 6 (18 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.90 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:16 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.57 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Error: +0:45 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 48:46
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:48 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:33 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 18:16 (3:39 / km)
Total: 48:46
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 37.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
49 / 45 David Winner
AUT
+30 s
+36 s
G1 / G6
19:45
17:33
48:55
Show details
Prediction details: David Winner

Placement

Prediction: 49
80% range: 44–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 45
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 9:29
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: -5.8 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 64 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s

Result: Group 6 (18 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.30 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:45 (3:57 / km)
Historical basis: 3:57 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:57 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:33 (3:31 / km)
Error: +2:12 / +0:26 / km
Overall prediction: 48:55
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:29 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:28 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 19:45 (3:57 / km)
Total: 48:55
50 / 14 Zaкhar Tsivkovskyi
UKR
+70 s
+29 s
G5 / G3
18:29
16:52
49:29
Show details
Prediction details: Zaкhar Tsivkovskyi

Placement

Prediction: 50
80% range: 41–52
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation: 36

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +70 s
Time: 10:09
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: 40.7 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.7 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s

Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:29 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 16:52 (3:22 / km)
Error: +1:37 / +0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 49:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:09 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:50 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 18:29 (3:42 / km)
Total: 49:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 49.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
51 / 57 Jonas Hergaard
DEN
+51 s
+29 s
G3 / G6
21:12
21:07
51:42
Show details
Prediction details: Jonas Hergaard

Placement

Prediction: 51
80% range: 52–54
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 57
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 9:50
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: 21.5 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s

Result: Group 6 (18 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:12 (4:14 / km)
Historical basis: 4:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur -2.07 %, Sicherheit 86 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 21:07 (4:13 / km)
Error: +0:05 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 51:42
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:50 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:33 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 21:12 (4:14 / km)
Total: 51:42
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 38.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
52 / 59 Matvii Malysh
UKR
+73 s
+70 s
G6 / G9
18:14
19:45
52:00
Show details
Prediction details: Matvii Malysh

Placement

Prediction: 52
80% range: 36–54
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 59
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +73 s
Time: 10:12
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +70 s
Fehler: 3.3 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.44 %, Sicherheit 45 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.3 s
Gap behind: 29.8 s

Result: Group 9 (2 people)
Speed: 34.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.42 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:14 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 0.44 %, Sicherheit 34 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 19:45 (3:57 / km)
Error: −1:31 / −0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 52:00
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:12 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:03 (36.9 km/h)
Run: 18:14 (3:39 / km)
Total: 52:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 61.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
53 / 47 August Siverskog
SWE
+103 s
+62 s
G6 / G6
correct
18:26
17:39
52:12
Show details
Prediction details: August Siverskog

Placement

Prediction: 53
80% range: 50–54
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 47
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +103 s
Time: 10:42
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +62 s
Fehler: 41.1 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -1.41 %, Sicherheit 45 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 29.8 s
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 6 (18 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.42 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:26 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.60 %, Sicherheit 42 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:39 (3:32 / km)
Error: +0:47 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 52:12
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:42 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:03 (36.9 km/h)
Run: 18:26 (3:41 / km)
Total: 52:12
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 83 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
54 / 29 Patryk Jończyk
POL
+53 s
+14 s
G3 / G3
correct
34:04
18:01
1:04:34
Show details
Prediction details: Patryk Jończyk

Placement

Prediction: 54
80% range: 55–55
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: 25

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 38.7 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 20 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 2.5 s

Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: 34:04 (6:49 / km)
Historical basis: 6:59 / km
Best comparable pace: 6:59 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 11 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 18:01 (3:36 / km)
Error: +16:03 / +3:13 / km
Overall prediction: 1:04:34
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:52 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:33 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 34:04 (6:49 / km)
Total: 1:04:34
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 32.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 37 Gustav Karl Metspalu
EST
+0 s
+28 s
G0 / G6
16:20
Show details
Prediction details: Gustav Karl Metspalu

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 56–56
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 37
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:59
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 6 (18 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 16:20 (3:16 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:59 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 39 Wojciech Jaskólski
POL
+0 s
+37 s
G0 / G3
18:53
Show details
Prediction details: Wojciech Jaskólski

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 57–57
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 39
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:59
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 18:53 (3:47 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:59 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 44 Ben Sasson
ISR
+0 s
+22 s
G0 / G6
17:33
Show details
Prediction details: Ben Sasson

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 58–58
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 44
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:59
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 6 (18 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:33 (3:31 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:59 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 48 Michał Jańczak
POL
+0 s
+28 s
G0 / G3
19:49
Show details
Prediction details: Michał Jańczak

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 59–59
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 48
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:59
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 3 (29 people)
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 19:49 (3:58 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:59 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 51 Adam Mazur
POL
+0 s
+21 s
G2 / G4
20:28
Show details
Prediction details: Adam Mazur

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 51
Deviation: -51

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:59
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: -21.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 89 %
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 5.2 s

Result: Group 4 (3 people)
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 20:28 (4:06 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 8:59 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:02 (41.4 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.