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Junior Men

29.03.2026 Quarteira POR
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Junior Cup Quarteira

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 29.03.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 82/100 hoch
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 73 früheren Rennen und 1464 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 43.2 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 14.03.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 64.4 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 84.7 % · 73 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error17.2
Mean swim error15.5 s
Mean bike-speed error1.65 km/h
Correct bike groups3/52
No history7
Within the 80% range23.7 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 15 Sebestyén Pál Kendeh-Kirchknopf
HUN
+10 s
+30 s
G1 / G3
 16:01
16:31
 44:51
Show details
Prediction details: Sebestyén Pál Kendeh-Kirchknopf

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 7–11
Top-10 probability: 84 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +10 s
Time: 9:22
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: -19.8 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 81 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (30 people)
Gruppe 1: 90 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 3 (30 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.99 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:01 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur 0.60 %, Sicherheit 56 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:31 (3:18 / km)
Error: −0:30 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 44:51
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:22 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:15 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 16:01 (3:12 / km)
Total: 44:51
2 / 3 Thibault Rivier
SUI
+23 s
+37 s
G1 / G3
 16:03
15:32
 44:53
Show details
Prediction details: Thibault Rivier

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 7–25
Top-10 probability: 59 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: -14.5 s
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (30 people)
Gruppe 1: 60 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 3 (30 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.92 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:03 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 73 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 99 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:32 (3:06 / km)
Error: +0:31 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 44:53
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:35 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:15 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 16:03 (3:13 / km)
Total: 44:53
3 / 1 Damian Suarez Couto
ESP
+4 s
+0 s
G1 / G3
 16:10
15:21
 45:00
Show details
Prediction details: Damian Suarez Couto

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 7–15
Top-10 probability: 69 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +4 s
Time: 9:16
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 4.4 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (30 people)
Gruppe 1: 95 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 3 (30 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.78 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:10 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 97 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:21 (3:04 / km)
Error: +0:49 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 45:00
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:16 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:15 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 16:10 (3:14 / km)
Total: 45:00
4 / 35 Mihály Márton Szabó
HUN
+35 s
+51 s
G1 / G7
 16:16
16:18
 45:06
Show details
Prediction details: Mihály Márton Szabó

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 9–19
Top-10 probability: 24 %
Result: 35
Deviation: -31

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +51 s
Fehler: -16.5 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 28 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (30 people)
Gruppe 1: 29 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 7 (8 people)
Speed: 39.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:16 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 18 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:18 (3:16 / km)
Error: −0:02 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 45:06
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:47 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:15 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 16:16 (3:15 / km)
Total: 45:06
5 / 30 Ruben Espuna Larramona
ITA
+33 s
+33 s
G1 / G3
 16:21
17:35
 45:11
Show details
Prediction details: Ruben Espuna Larramona

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 9–24
Top-10 probability: 19 %
Result: 30
Deviation: -25

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 9:45
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: -0.2 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (30 people)
Gruppe 1: 39 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 3 (30 people)
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:21 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 97 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:35 (3:31 / km)
Error: −1:14 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 45:11
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:45 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:15 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 16:21 (3:16 / km)
Total: 45:11
6 / 42 Alexander Urschitz
AUT
+22 s
+35 s
G1 / G4
 16:31
18:59
 45:21
Show details
Prediction details: Alexander Urschitz

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 10–22
Top-10 probability: 13 %
Result: 42
Deviation: -36

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: -13.0 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur 0.83 %, Sicherheit 68 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (30 people)
Gruppe 1: 51 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 4 (6 people)
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.06 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:31 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 1.22 %, Sicherheit 36 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:59 (3:48 / km)
Error: −2:28 / −0:30 / km
Overall prediction: 45:21
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:34 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:15 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 16:31 (3:18 / km)
Total: 45:21
7 / 6 Finlay Goodman
GBR
+32 s
+45 s
G1 / G3
 16:34
15:41
 45:24
Show details
Prediction details: Finlay Goodman

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 11–25
Top-10 probability: 10 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: -12.6 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.96 %, Sicherheit 12 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (30 people)
Gruppe 1: 26 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.6 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 3 (30 people)
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.72 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:34 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.95 %, Sicherheit 16 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:41 (3:08 / km)
Error: +0:53 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 45:24
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:44 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:15 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 16:34 (3:19 / km)
Total: 45:24
8 / 16 Runar De Meulenaere
BEL
+9 s
+26 s
G1 / G3
 16:35
16:53
 45:25
Show details
Prediction details: Runar De Meulenaere

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 10–19
Top-10 probability: 11 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +9 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: -16.6 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 83 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (30 people)
Gruppe 1: 89 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 3 (30 people)
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.13 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur 1.66 %, Sicherheit 61 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:53 (3:23 / km)
Error: −0:18 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 45:25
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:21 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:15 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Total: 45:25
9 / 7 Mats Decoene
BEL
+21 s
+25 s
G1 / G3
 16:39
15:48
 45:29
Show details
Prediction details: Mats Decoene

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 11–22
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: -4.0 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur 0.61 %, Sicherheit 94 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (30 people)
Gruppe 1: 64 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 3 (30 people)
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.15 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:39 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 77 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:48 (3:10 / km)
Error: +0:51 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 45:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:33 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:15 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 16:39 (3:20 / km)
Total: 45:29
10 / 19 Adrián Sancho Fernández
ESP
+36 s
+44 s
G1 / G4
 16:39
16:55
 45:29
Show details
Prediction details: Adrián Sancho Fernández

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 13–30
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: -8.2 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 88 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (30 people)
Gruppe 1: 39 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 2.2 s
Result: Group 4 (6 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:39 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.58 %, Sicherheit 71 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Error: −0:16 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 45:29
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:48 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:15 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 16:39 (3:20 / km)
Total: 45:29
11 / 44 Rodrigo Neves
POR
+18 s
+48 s
G1 / G7
 16:42
18:07
 45:32
Show details
Prediction details: Rodrigo Neves

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 12–22
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 44
Deviation: -33

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +18 s
Time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +48 s
Fehler: -30.3 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur 0.49 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (30 people)
Gruppe 1: 80 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 7 (8 people)
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.24 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:42 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 53 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 72 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:07 (3:37 / km)
Error: −1:25 / −0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 45:32
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:30 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:15 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 16:42 (3:20 / km)
Total: 45:32
12 / 37 Naël Gumy
SUI
+8 s
+18 s
G1 / G3
 16:43
18:20
 45:33
Show details
Prediction details: Naël Gumy

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 7–36
Top-10 probability: 29 %
Result: 37
Deviation: -25

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +8 s
Time: 9:20
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: -10.5 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 83 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (30 people)
Gruppe 1: 93 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.5 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s
Result: Group 3 (30 people)
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:43 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 69 Duelle, Korrektur 0.84 %, Sicherheit 71 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:20 (3:40 / km)
Error: −1:37 / −0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 45:33
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:20 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:15 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 16:43 (3:21 / km)
Total: 45:33
13 / 17 Anton Befayt
BEL
+16 s
+40 s
G1 / G3
 16:44
16:56
 45:34
Show details
Prediction details: Anton Befayt

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 12–23
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 9:28
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: -23.7 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 52 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (30 people)
Gruppe 1: 80 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 3 (30 people)
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.87 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:44 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:57 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur 0.47 %, Sicherheit 29 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:56 (3:23 / km)
Error: −0:12 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 45:34
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:28 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:15 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 16:44 (3:21 / km)
Total: 45:34
14 / 48 Gilles Vanhaelen
BEL
+38 s
+45 s
G2 / G8
 15:50
18:45
 45:39
Show details
Prediction details: Gilles Vanhaelen

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 7–42
Top-10 probability: 41 %
Result: 48
Deviation: -34

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 9:50
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: -7.0 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur -1.06 %, Sicherheit 45 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.2 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 8 (2 people)
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:50 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:54 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur 1.02 %, Sicherheit 32 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:45 (3:45 / km)
Error: −2:55 / −0:35 / km
Overall prediction: 45:39
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:50 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:09 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 15:50 (3:10 / km)
Total: 45:39
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:50
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 0.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +37.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 9 Jelle Kaindl
AUT
+11 s
+15 s
G1 / G3
 16:53
15:54
 45:43
Show details
Prediction details: Jelle Kaindl

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 13–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +11 s
Time: 9:23
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: -4.1 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 71 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (30 people)
Gruppe 1: 93 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 3 (30 people)
Speed: 40.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.62 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:53 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:54 (3:11 / km)
Error: +0:59 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 45:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:23 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:15 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 16:53 (3:23 / km)
Total: 45:43
16 / 18 Xavi Cabanilles Añó
ESP
+19 s
+31 s
G1 / G3
 16:55
17:03
 45:45
Show details
Prediction details: Xavi Cabanilles Añó

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 14–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: -11.6 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur -0.20 %, Sicherheit 69 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (30 people)
Gruppe 1: 83 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 3 (30 people)
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.87 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 63 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:03 (3:25 / km)
Error: −0:08 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 45:45
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:31 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:15 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Total: 45:45
17 / 20 Ricardo Pissarra
POR
+16 s
+29 s
G1 / G3
 17:05
17:07
 45:55
Show details
Prediction details: Ricardo Pissarra

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 18–26
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 9:28
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: -13.3 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (30 people)
Gruppe 1: 88 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.1 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 3 (30 people)
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.18 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:05 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur 0.51 %, Sicherheit 72 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:07 (3:25 / km)
Error: −0:02 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 45:55
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:28 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:15 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 17:05 (3:25 / km)
Total: 45:55
18 / 28 Francisco Carvalho
POR
+26 s
+40 s
G1 / G3
 17:13
17:31
 46:03
Show details
Prediction details: Francisco Carvalho

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 21–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 9:38
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: -14.3 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 62 Duelle, Korrektur 0.40 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (30 people)
Gruppe 1: 46 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 3 (30 people)
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.77 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:13 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 68 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Error: −0:18 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 46:03
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:38 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:15 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 17:13 (3:27 / km)
Total: 46:03
19 / 24 Sebastiano Margaria
ITA
+12 s
+44 s
G1 / G3
 17:22
17:23
 46:12
Show details
Prediction details: Sebastiano Margaria

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 18–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: -32.4 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 31 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (30 people)
Gruppe 1: 81 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 4.1 s
Result: Group 3 (30 people)
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.72 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 10
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.75 %, Sicherheit 7 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:23 (3:29 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 46:12
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:24 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:15 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Total: 46:12
20 / 23 William Bailey
GBR
+17 s
+41 s
G1 / G3
 17:32
17:15
 46:22
Show details
Prediction details: William Bailey

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 23–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +17 s
Time: 9:29
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: -23.9 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 1.73 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (30 people)
Gruppe 1: 84 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 3 (30 people)
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.82 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:32 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 1.08 %, Sicherheit 5 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:15 (3:27 / km)
Error: +0:17 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 46:22
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:29 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:15 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 17:32 (3:30 / km)
Total: 46:22
21 / 11 Pablo Joel Calderon Garcia
MEX
+26 s
+31 s
G1 / G3
 17:36
16:23
 46:26
Show details
Prediction details: Pablo Joel Calderon Garcia

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 26–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 9:38
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: -5.3 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur -0.25 %, Sicherheit 49 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (30 people)
Gruppe 1: 53 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 3 (30 people)
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.13 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:36 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 33 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:23 (3:17 / km)
Error: +1:13 / +0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 46:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:38 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:15 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 17:36 (3:31 / km)
Total: 46:26
22 / 10 Lucas Gorrill
GBR
+19 s
+40 s
G1 / G3
 17:39
16:12
 46:29
Show details
Prediction details: Lucas Gorrill

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 25–34
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: -21.0 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 10 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (30 people)
Gruppe 1: 80 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 3 (30 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:39 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -1.51 %, Sicherheit 13 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:12 (3:14 / km)
Error: +1:27 / +0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 46:29
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 9:31 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:15 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 17:39 (3:32 / km)
Total: 46:29
23 / 8 András Szűcs
HUN
+20 s
+45 s
G1 / G3
 17:53
15:50
 46:43
Show details
Prediction details: András Szűcs

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 27–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: -24.9 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 55 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (30 people)
Gruppe 1: 69 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 3 (30 people)
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.72 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:53 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur -2.33 %, Sicherheit 31 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:50 (3:10 / km)
Error: +2:03 / +0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 46:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:32 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:15 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 17:53 (3:35 / km)
Total: 46:43
24 / 5 Lucas García Picón
ESP
+46 s
+22 s
G3 / G3
correct 		16:21
15:35
 46:45
Show details
Prediction details: Lucas García Picón

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 14–34
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 24.4 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -1.53 %, Sicherheit 32 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 3 (30 people)
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.57 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:21 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 26 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:35 (3:07 / km)
Error: +0:46 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 46:45
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:58 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:32 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 16:21 (3:16 / km)
Total: 46:45
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 8.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +37.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 29 Rik Vereycken
BEL
+24 s
+30 s
G1 / G3
 18:06
17:33
 46:56
Show details
Prediction details: Rik Vereycken

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 31–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 9:36
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: -6.3 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur -0.29 %, Sicherheit 54 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (30 people)
Gruppe 1: 61 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 3 (30 people)
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.13 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:06 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 58 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:33 (3:31 / km)
Error: +0:33 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 46:56
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:36 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:15 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 18:06 (3:37 / km)
Total: 46:56
26 / 14 Adriano Rosamilia
SUI
+45 s
+40 s
G3 / G4
 16:41
16:30
 47:05
Show details
Prediction details: Adriano Rosamilia

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 9–39
Top-10 probability: 11 %
Result: 14
Deviation: 12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 9:57
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: 5.0 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 75 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.7 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 4 (6 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.87 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:41 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 67 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:30 (3:18 / km)
Error: +0:11 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 47:05
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:57 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:32 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 16:41 (3:20 / km)
Total: 47:05
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:50
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 7.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +37.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 2 Lucas Riola Delgado
ESP
+39 s
+46 s
G2 / G3
 17:19
15:26
 47:08
Show details
Prediction details: Lucas Riola Delgado

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 24–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 25

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 9:51
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: -6.7 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.48 %, Sicherheit 60 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 34 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 5.7 s
Result: Group 3 (30 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:19 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur -0.88 %, Sicherheit 38 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:26 (3:05 / km)
Error: +1:53 / +0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 47:08
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:51 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:09 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 17:19 (3:28 / km)
Total: 47:08
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 1.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +37.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 27 Matteo Belli
ITA
+20 s
+21 s
G1 / G3
 18:26
17:24
 47:16
Show details
Prediction details: Matteo Belli

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 33–40
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: -1.1 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -1.40 %, Sicherheit 1 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (30 people)
Gruppe 1: 75 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 3 (30 people)
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.27 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:26 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -1.11 %, Sicherheit 3 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:24 (3:29 / km)
Error: +1:02 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 47:16
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:32 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:15 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 18:26 (3:41 / km)
Total: 47:16
29 / 39 Reuben Wadey
GBR
+49 s
+35 s
G3 / G3
correct 		17:06
18:41
 47:30
Show details
Prediction details: Reuben Wadey

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 25–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 39
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 10:01
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: 14.0 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 19 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 3 (30 people)
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.97 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:06 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 5 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:41 (3:44 / km)
Error: −1:35 / −0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 47:30
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 10:01 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:32 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 17:06 (3:25 / km)
Total: 47:30
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:50
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 11.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +37.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
30 / 34 Tom Mythen
GBR
+35 s
+49 s
G1 / G7
 18:42
16:14
 47:32
Show details
Prediction details: Tom Mythen

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 37–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 34
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +49 s
Fehler: -14.3 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.69 %, Sicherheit 14 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (30 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 7 (8 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.09 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:42 (3:44 / km)
Historical basis: 3:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -1.66 %, Sicherheit 14 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:14 (3:15 / km)
Error: +2:28 / +0:30 / km
Overall prediction: 47:32
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 9:47 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:15 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 18:42 (3:44 / km)
Total: 47:32
31 / 50 Samuel Sánchez Grandal
ESP
+38 s
+52 s
G2 / G8
 17:51
19:42
 47:40
Show details
Prediction details: Samuel Sánchez Grandal

Placement

Prediction: 31
80% range: 31–40
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 50
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 9:50
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +52 s
Fehler: -13.8 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 90 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 8 (2 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.90 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:51 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 73 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:42 (3:56 / km)
Error: −1:51 / −0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 47:40
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:50 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:09 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 17:51 (3:34 / km)
Total: 47:40
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 0.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +37.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
32 / 38 Afonso Pais de Almeida
POR
+16 s
+21 s
G1 / G3
 18:55
18:19
 47:45
Show details
Prediction details: Afonso Pais de Almeida

Placement

Prediction: 32
80% range: 37–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 38
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 9:28
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: -4.9 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 56 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (30 people)
Gruppe 1: 86 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 3 (30 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.37 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:55 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:46 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:46 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur 0.58 %, Sicherheit 46 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:19 (3:40 / km)
Error: +0:36 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 47:45
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:28 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:15 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 18:55 (3:47 / km)
Total: 47:45
33 / 4 Rube Claus
BEL
+57 s
+52 s
G4 / G3
 16:31
15:39
 47:47
Show details
Prediction details: Rube Claus

Placement

Prediction: 33
80% range: 21–41
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 29

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +57 s
Time: 10:09
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +52 s
Fehler: 5.0 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.35 %, Sicherheit 62 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 3 (30 people)
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.31 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:31 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 57 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:39 (3:08 / km)
Error: +0:52 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 47:47
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:09 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:18 (39.6 km/h)
Run: 16:31 (3:18 / km)
Total: 47:47
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:50
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 19.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +37.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
34 / 22 Dinis Ferreira
POR
+64 s
+61 s
G5 / G7
 16:12
15:20
 47:49
Show details
Prediction details: Dinis Ferreira

Placement

Prediction: 34
80% range: 14–42
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 22
Deviation: 12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +64 s
Time: 10:16
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +61 s
Fehler: 2.7 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 84 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.2 s
Gap behind: 7.5 s
Result: Group 7 (8 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.78 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:12 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.29 %, Sicherheit 62 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:20 (3:04 / km)
Error: +0:52 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 47:49
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:16 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:58 (40.1 km/h)
Run: 16:12 (3:14 / km)
Total: 47:49
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:50
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 26.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +37.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
35 / 41 Hugo Souto Andújar
ESP
+47 s
+63 s
G3 / G7
 17:29
17:05
 47:53
Show details
Prediction details: Hugo Souto Andújar

Placement

Prediction: 35
80% range: 29–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 41
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 9:59
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +63 s
Fehler: -16.2 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 94 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 7 (8 people)
Speed: 39.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.19 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:29 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 75 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:05 (3:25 / km)
Error: +0:24 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 47:53
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:59 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:32 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 17:29 (3:30 / km)
Total: 47:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:50
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 9.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +37.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
36 / 21 Tenzin Vanwijnsberghe
BEL
+52 s
+37 s
G3 / G3
correct 		17:30
17:09
 47:54
Show details
Prediction details: Tenzin Vanwijnsberghe

Placement

Prediction: 36
80% range: 31–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: 15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 10:04
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: 14.5 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 69 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 4.7 s
Result: Group 3 (30 people)
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.26 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:30 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 60 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:09 (3:26 / km)
Error: +0:21 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 47:54
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:04 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:32 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 17:30 (3:30 / km)
Total: 47:54
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:50
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 13.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +37.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
37 / 12 Artur Gaspar
POR
+26 s
+29 s
G1 / G3
 19:52
16:33
 48:42
Show details
Prediction details: Artur Gaspar

Placement

Prediction: 37
80% range: 43–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation: 25

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 9:38
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: -2.9 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.69 %, Sicherheit 14 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (30 people)
Gruppe 1: 54 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 2.7 s
Result: Group 3 (30 people)
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.18 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:52 (3:58 / km)
Historical basis: 4:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -1.44 %, Sicherheit 9 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:33 (3:19 / km)
Error: +3:19 / +0:40 / km
Overall prediction: 48:42
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 9:38 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:15 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 19:52 (3:58 / km)
Total: 48:42
38 / 32 Alex Dack
GBR
+50 s
+45 s
G3 / G6
 18:28
16:43
 48:52
Show details
Prediction details: Alex Dack

Placement

Prediction: 38
80% range: 33–47
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 32
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 10:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: 4.6 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.78 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 6 (2 people)
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.54 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:28 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -1.81 %, Sicherheit 5 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:43 (3:21 / km)
Error: +1:45 / +0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 48:52
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:02 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:32 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 18:28 (3:42 / km)
Total: 48:52
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:50
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 12 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +37.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
39 / 13 Jack Llewellyn
GBR
+29 s
+36 s
G1 / G3
 20:27
16:25
 49:17
Show details
Prediction details: Jack Llewellyn

Placement

Prediction: 39
80% range: 45–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 26

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: -7.2 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 35 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (30 people)
Gruppe 1: 35 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.7 s
Gap behind: 3.6 s
Result: Group 3 (30 people)
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.04 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:27 (4:05 / km)
Historical basis: 4:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur -2.21 %, Sicherheit 30 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:25 (3:17 / km)
Error: +4:02 / +0:48 / km
Overall prediction: 49:17
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:15 (42.4 km/h)
Run: 20:27 (4:05 / km)
Total: 49:17
40 / 45 Jari Stappaerts
BEL
+56 s
+53 s
G4 / G7
 18:04
18:12
 49:20
Show details
Prediction details: Jari Stappaerts

Placement

Prediction: 40
80% range: 39–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 45
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +56 s
Time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +53 s
Fehler: 3.2 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.79 %, Sicherheit 32 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.7 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 7 (8 people)
Speed: 39.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.19 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:04 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur -0.55 %, Sicherheit 26 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:12 (3:38 / km)
Error: −0:08 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 49:20
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:08 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:18 (39.6 km/h)
Run: 18:04 (3:37 / km)
Total: 49:20
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 18.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +37.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
41 / 53 Markiian Harmatii
UKR
+47 s
+43 s
G3 / G11
 19:07
18:31
 49:31
Show details
Prediction details: Markiian Harmatii

Placement

Prediction: 41
80% range: 38–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 53
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 9:59
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: 4.3 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.41 %, Sicherheit 72 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 23 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 11 (2 people)
Speed: 36.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.55 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:07 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 67 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:31 (3:42 / km)
Error: +0:36 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 49:31
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:59 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:32 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 19:07 (3:49 / km)
Total: 49:31
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 9.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +37.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
42 / 43 Oliver Hayward
BER
+95 s
+47 s
G5 / G6
 18:25
18:13
 50:02
Show details
Prediction details: Oliver Hayward

Placement

Prediction: 42
80% range: 47–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 43
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +95 s
Time: 10:47
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: 48.0 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -1.49 %, Sicherheit 1 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.7 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 6 (2 people)
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:25 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 1 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:13 (3:39 / km)
Error: +0:12 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 50:02
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:47 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:58 (40.1 km/h)
Run: 18:25 (3:41 / km)
Total: 50:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:50
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 57.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +37.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
43 / 40 Daniele Pizzorni
ITA
+99 s
+55 s
G5 / G7
 18:55
17:08
 50:32
Show details
Prediction details: Daniele Pizzorni

Placement

Prediction: 43
80% range: 48–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 40
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +99 s
Time: 10:51
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +55 s
Fehler: 43.6 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 15 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.3 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 7 (8 people)
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.45 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:55 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:08 (3:26 / km)
Error: +1:47 / +0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 50:32
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:51 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:58 (40.1 km/h)
Run: 18:55 (3:47 / km)
Total: 50:32
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:50
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 61 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +37.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
44 / 25 Benjamin Douglas
BEL
+58 s
+43 s
G4 / G3
 19:23
17:28
 50:39
Show details
Prediction details: Benjamin Douglas

Placement

Prediction: 44
80% range: 46–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: 19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +58 s
Time: 10:10
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: 14.5 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 49 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 6.2 s
Result: Group 3 (30 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.24 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:23 (3:53 / km)
Historical basis: 3:56 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -1.30 %, Sicherheit 48 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:28 (3:30 / km)
Error: +1:55 / +0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 50:39
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:10 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:18 (39.6 km/h)
Run: 19:23 (3:53 / km)
Total: 50:39
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:50
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 19.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +37.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
45 / 59 Xander Boets
NED
+71 s
+89 s
G5 / G12
 20:34
20:10
 52:11
Show details
Prediction details: Xander Boets

Placement

Prediction: 45
80% range: 50–52
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 59
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +71 s
Time: 10:23
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +89 s
Fehler: -17.8 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.39 %, Sicherheit 63 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.5 s
Gap behind: 7.4 s
Result: Group 12 (7 people)
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:34 (4:07 / km)
Historical basis: 4:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 53 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:10 (4:02 / km)
Error: +0:24 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 52:11
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:23 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:58 (40.1 km/h)
Run: 20:34 (4:07 / km)
Total: 52:11
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 33.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +37.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
46 / 26 Samuel Fernández Vázquez
ESP
+51 s
+49 s
G3 / G4
 22:30
17:19
 52:54
Show details
Prediction details: Samuel Fernández Vázquez

Placement

Prediction: 46
80% range: 51–52
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: 20

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 10:03
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +49 s
Fehler: 1.8 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 49 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 4 (6 people)
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.02 km/h

Running and total

Run: 22:30 (4:30 / km)
Historical basis: 4:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -0.46 %, Sicherheit 49 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:19 (3:28 / km)
Error: +5:11 / +1:02 / km
Overall prediction: 52:54
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:03 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:32 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 22:30 (4:30 / km)
Total: 52:54
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:50
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 13.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +37.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 31 Tomás Champalimaud
POR
+0 s
+29 s
G0 / G4
17:34
Show details
Prediction details: Tomás Champalimaud

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 53–53
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 31
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (6 people)
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:34 (3:31 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:12 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 33 Francisco Pinto
POR
+0 s
+43 s
G0 / G3
17:55
Show details
Prediction details: Francisco Pinto

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 54–54
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 33
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (30 people)
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:55 (3:35 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:12 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 36 Aaron Crende López
ESP
+0 s
+38 s
G0 / G4
18:11
Show details
Prediction details: Aaron Crende López

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 55–55
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 36
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (6 people)
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:11 (3:38 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:12 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 46 Rodrigo Narigueta
POR
+90 s
+58 s
G5 / G9
17:06
Show details
Prediction details: Rodrigo Narigueta

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 46
Deviation: -46

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +90 s
Time: 10:42
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +58 s
Fehler: 32.3 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -1.60 %, Sicherheit 25 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 11.7 s
Gap behind: 4.7 s
Result: Group 9 (1 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.07 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:06 (3:25 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:42 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:58 (40.1 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 52.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +37.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 47 Rafael Pacheco
POR
+96 s
+48 s
G5 / G7
18:41
Show details
Prediction details: Rafael Pacheco

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 47
Deviation: -47

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +96 s
Time: 10:48
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +48 s
Fehler: 48.3 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -1.60 %, Sicherheit 25 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 2.3 s
Result: Group 7 (8 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.80 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:41 (3:44 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:48 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:58 (40.1 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 58.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +37.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 49 Gaspar Santiago
POR
+0 s
+61 s
G0 / G12
16:11
Show details
Prediction details: Gaspar Santiago

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 56–56
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 49
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +61 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 12 (7 people)
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:11 (3:14 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:12 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 51 António Leão
POR
+96 s
+74 s
G5 / G12
17:23
Show details
Prediction details: António Leão

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 51
Deviation: -51

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +96 s
Time: 10:48
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +74 s
Fehler: 22.3 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -1.60 %, Sicherheit 25 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 12 (7 people)
Speed: 36.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:23 (3:29 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:48 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:58 (40.1 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 58.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +37.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 52 Martim Rodrigues
POR
+79 s
+55 s
G5 / G12
17:16
Show details
Prediction details: Martim Rodrigues

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 4–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 52
Deviation: -52

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +79 s
Time: 10:31
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +55 s
Fehler: 23.6 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -1.60 %, Sicherheit 25 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.4 s
Gap behind: 11.7 s
Result: Group 12 (7 people)
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.38 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:16 (3:27 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:31 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:58 (40.1 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:50
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 41 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +37.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 54 Pedro Rasquilho
POR
+0 s
+42 s
G0 / G10
19:31
Show details
Prediction details: Pedro Rasquilho

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 57–57
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 54
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 10 (1 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:31 (3:54 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:12 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 55 Daniel Soriano Fernández
ESP
+0 s
+69 s
G0 / G12
18:29
Show details
Prediction details: Daniel Soriano Fernández

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 58–58
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 55
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +69 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 12 (7 people)
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:29 (3:42 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:12 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 56 Camilo Gazol Torres
MEX
+5 s
+33 s
G1 / G11
19:29
Show details
Prediction details: Camilo Gazol Torres

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 56
Deviation: -56

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +5 s
Time: 9:17
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: -28.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (30 people)
Gruppe 1: 94 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 2.5 s
Result: Group 11 (2 people)
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.71 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:29 (3:54 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:17 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:15 (42.4 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 57 Miguel Ángel Cáceres Nangusé
MEX
+3 s
+48 s
G1 / G12
19:02
Show details
Prediction details: Miguel Ángel Cáceres Nangusé

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 57
Deviation: -57

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +3 s
Time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +48 s
Fehler: -45.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (30 people)
Gruppe 1: 93 %
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 12 (7 people)
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.85 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:02 (3:48 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:15 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:15 (42.4 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 58 Miguel Medronheira
POR
+0 s
+64 s
G0 / G12
19:04
Show details
Prediction details: Miguel Medronheira

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 59–59
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 58
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +64 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 12 (7 people)
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:04 (3:49 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:12 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.