Zum Inhalt springen
Performance Workspace
Predicition
Live data
Prediction comparison

Junior Men

12.07.2026 Černá Perla CZE
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Junior Cup Tabor

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 12.07.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 75/100 mittel
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 35 früheren Rennen und 809 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 47.7 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 05.07.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 3 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 56.7 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 81.7 % · 35 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error11.1
Mean swim error14.5 s
Mean bike-speed error3.07 km/h
Correct bike groups16/50
No history10
Within the 80% range23.3 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 10 Raphael Schweiger
AUT
+25 s
+19 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:54
17:15
 44:22
Show details
Prediction details: Raphael Schweiger

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 3–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 9:29
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 6.2 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 123 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 88 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 1 (25 people)
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.91 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:54 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:36 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 82 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:15 (3:27 / km)
Error: −1:21 / −0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 44:22
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:29 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:45 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 15:54 (3:11 / km)
Total: 44:22
2 / 1 Jakub Marik
CZE
+51 s
+50 s
G2 / G1
 15:28
16:10
 44:35
Show details
Prediction details: Jakub Marik

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 3–26
Top-10 probability: 68 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 9:55
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +50 s
Fehler: 0.6 s
H2H: 45 Gegner:innen, 96 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 19 %
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 1 (25 people)
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.50 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:28 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 71 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:10 (3:14 / km)
Error: −0:42 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 44:35
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:55 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:13 (42.5 km/h)
Run: 15:28 (3:06 / km)
Total: 44:35
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 6.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +44.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 29 Benett Kovács
HUN
+41 s
+46 s
G1 / G2
 16:12
18:22
 44:40
Show details
Prediction details: Benett Kovács

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 3–27
Top-10 probability: 53 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -26

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 9:45
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: -5.3 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur 0.41 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 39 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.36 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:12 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 0.73 %, Sicherheit 46 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:22 (3:40 / km)
Error: −2:10 / −0:26 / km
Overall prediction: 44:40
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:45 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:45 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 16:12 (3:14 / km)
Total: 44:40
4 / 9 Szabolcs Mihály
HUN
+22 s
+14 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:13
16:56
 44:41
Show details
Prediction details: Szabolcs Mihály

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 4–9
Top-10 probability: 94 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 9:26
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 8.3 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 84 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 89 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.0 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 1 (25 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.07 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:13 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 66 Duelle, Korrektur 0.85 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:56 (3:23 / km)
Error: −0:43 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 44:41
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:26 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:45 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 16:13 (3:15 / km)
Total: 44:41
5 / 33 Adriano Rosamilia
SUI
+38 s
+43 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:20
18:57
 44:48
Show details
Prediction details: Adriano Rosamilia

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 6–14
Top-10 probability: 66 %
Result: 33
Deviation: -28

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 9:42
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: -5.0 s
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur 0.67 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 55 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.4 s
Gap behind: 2.7 s
Result: Group 1 (25 people)
Speed: 40.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.45 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:20 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 0.97 %, Sicherheit 60 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:57 (3:47 / km)
Error: −2:37 / −0:31 / km
Overall prediction: 44:48
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:42 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:45 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 16:20 (3:16 / km)
Total: 44:48
6 / 14 Riccardo Bruselles
ITA
+26 s
+49 s
G1 / G2
 16:26
17:22
 44:54
Show details
Prediction details: Riccardo Bruselles

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 6–13
Top-10 probability: 71 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +49 s
Fehler: -23.0 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur 0.48 %, Sicherheit 64 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 88 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:26 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -1.52 %, Sicherheit 1 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Error: −0:56 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 44:54
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:30 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:45 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 16:26 (3:17 / km)
Total: 44:54
7 / 17 Ludovico Trincheri
ITA
+16 s
+18 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:30
17:30
 44:58
Show details
Prediction details: Ludovico Trincheri

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 6–14
Top-10 probability: 70 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 9:20
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: -1.7 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 60 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 91 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 6.0 s
Result: Group 1 (25 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.04 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:30 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 6
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 6 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:30 (3:30 / km)
Error: −1:00 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 44:58
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:20 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:45 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 16:30 (3:18 / km)
Total: 44:58
8 / 12 Liran Pelzman
ISR
+25 s
+50 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:39
17:12
 45:07
Show details
Prediction details: Liran Pelzman

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 8–17
Top-10 probability: 34 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 9:29
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +50 s
Fehler: -24.7 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 83 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 1 (25 people)
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:39 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur 0.84 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:12 (3:26 / km)
Error: −0:33 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 45:07
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:29 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:45 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 16:39 (3:20 / km)
Total: 45:07
9 / 45 Paul Weiß
AUT
+32 s
+24 s
G1 / G7
 16:40
17:56
 45:08
Show details
Prediction details: Paul Weiß

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 8–17
Top-10 probability: 35 %
Result: 45
Deviation: -36

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 9:36
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: 8.2 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 74 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 2.1 s
Result: Group 7 (3 people)
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.83 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:40 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:56 (3:35 / km)
Error: −1:16 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 45:08
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:36 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:45 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 16:40 (3:20 / km)
Total: 45:08
10 / 15 Victor Mauersperger
AUT
+50 s
+37 s
G2 / G1
 16:02
17:22
 45:09
Show details
Prediction details: Victor Mauersperger

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 6–16
Top-10 probability: 60 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: 12.6 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 63 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 1 (25 people)
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.89 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:02 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur 0.70 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Error: −1:20 / −0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 45:09
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:13 (42.5 km/h)
Run: 16:02 (3:12 / km)
Total: 45:09
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 5.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +44.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 3 Alessandro Villa
ITA
+41 s
+56 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:41
16:13
 45:09
Show details
Prediction details: Alessandro Villa

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 3–30
Top-10 probability: 45 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 9:45
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +56 s
Fehler: -15.3 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -1.07 %, Sicherheit 22 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 43 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.7 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 1 (25 people)
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.31 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:41 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.87 %, Sicherheit 8 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:13 (3:15 / km)
Error: +0:28 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 45:09
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:45 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:45 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 16:41 (3:20 / km)
Total: 45:09
12 / 34 Davide Faldini
ITA
+41 s
+47 s
G1 / G5
 16:46
17:03
 45:14
Show details
Prediction details: Davide Faldini

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 10–22
Top-10 probability: 14 %
Result: 34
Deviation: -22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 9:45
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: -5.7 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 70 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 5 (7 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:46 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 16 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:03 (3:25 / km)
Error: −0:17 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 45:14
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:45 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:45 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 16:46 (3:21 / km)
Total: 45:14
13 / 35 Szabolcs Abrahám
HUN
+27 s
+41 s
G1 / G5
 16:55
17:00
 45:23
Show details
Prediction details: Szabolcs Abrahám

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 11–19
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 35
Deviation: -22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: -14.1 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 86 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 5 (7 people)
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.13 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 79 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:00 (3:24 / km)
Error: −0:05 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 45:23
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:31 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:45 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Total: 45:23
14 / 18 Tim Goergen
LUX
+26 s
+25 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:04
17:39
 45:32
Show details
Prediction details: Tim Goergen

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 13–21
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: 1.2 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 88 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 1 (25 people)
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.66 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:04 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:39 (3:32 / km)
Error: −0:35 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 45:32
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:30 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:45 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 17:04 (3:25 / km)
Total: 45:32
15 / 2 Levente Szabó
HUN
+29 s
+38 s
G1 / G2
 17:04
16:03
 45:32
Show details
Prediction details: Levente Szabó

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 13–26
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: -9.4 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur 0.37 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 59 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.70 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:04 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur -0.70 %, Sicherheit 81 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:03 (3:13 / km)
Error: +1:01 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 45:32
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:33 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:45 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 17:04 (3:25 / km)
Total: 45:32
16 / 5 Matěj Homola
CZE
+45 s
+52 s
G2 / G1
 16:29
16:37
 45:36
Show details
Prediction details: Matěj Homola

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 8–33
Top-10 probability: 33 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +52 s
Fehler: -6.7 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur 0.78 %, Sicherheit 82 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 38 %
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.3 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 1 (25 people)
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:29 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur 0.70 %, Sicherheit 72 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:37 (3:19 / km)
Error: −0:08 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 45:36
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:49 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:13 (42.5 km/h)
Run: 16:29 (3:18 / km)
Total: 45:36
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 1.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +44.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 32 Filip Zatloukal
CZE
+36 s
+31 s
G1 / G2
 17:19
18:47
 45:47
Show details
Prediction details: Filip Zatloukal

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 17–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 32
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 9:40
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 4.6 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur -0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 58 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 2.4 s
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.89 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:19 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 70 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:47 (3:45 / km)
Error: −1:28 / −0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 45:47
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:40 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:45 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 17:19 (3:28 / km)
Total: 45:47
18 / 36 Tobias Leirer
AUT
+31 s
+32 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:24
19:21
 45:52
Show details
Prediction details: Tobias Leirer

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 16–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 36
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: -0.8 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur 0.95 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 78 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.5 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 1 (25 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:24 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: −0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:21 (3:52 / km)
Error: −1:57 / −0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 45:52
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:35 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:45 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 17:24 (3:29 / km)
Total: 45:52
19 / 20 Daniel Janitsch
AUT
+50 s
+42 s
G2 / G1
 16:50
17:46
 45:57
Show details
Prediction details: Daniel Janitsch

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 14–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: 8.0 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 81 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 1 (25 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.85 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:50 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur -0.45 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:46 (3:33 / km)
Error: −0:56 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 45:57
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:13 (42.5 km/h)
Run: 16:50 (3:22 / km)
Total: 45:57
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 5.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +44.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 19 Giovanni Patriarca
ITA
+27 s
+26 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:34
17:42
 46:02
Show details
Prediction details: Giovanni Patriarca

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 18–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: 1.1 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.66 %, Sicherheit 48 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 85 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 1 (25 people)
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.89 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:34 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:42 (3:32 / km)
Error: −0:08 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 46:02
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 9:31 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:45 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 17:34 (3:31 / km)
Total: 46:02
21 / 37 Márton Janos Gyarmati
HUN
+52 s
+36 s
G2 / G4
 16:59
17:28
 46:06
Show details
Prediction details: Márton Janos Gyarmati

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 18–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 37
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 9:56
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: 15.9 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 2.3 s
Result: Group 4 (4 people)
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:59 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:28 (3:30 / km)
Error: −0:29 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 46:06
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:56 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:13 (42.5 km/h)
Run: 16:59 (3:24 / km)
Total: 46:06
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 7.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +44.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 23 Ondrej Plic
CZE
+41 s
+52 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:38
18:16
 46:06
Show details
Prediction details: Ondrej Plic

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 21–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 9:45
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +52 s
Fehler: -10.8 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 67 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 45 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 1 (25 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.79 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:38 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 53 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:16 (3:39 / km)
Error: −0:38 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 46:06
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:45 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:45 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 17:38 (3:32 / km)
Total: 46:06
23 / 30 Artur Abras
EST
+47 s
+45 s
G2 / G3
 17:05
18:08
 46:12
Show details
Prediction details: Artur Abras

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 5–38
Top-10 probability: 23 %
Result: 30
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 9:51
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: 1.5 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 68 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 45 %
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.39 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:05 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 51 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:08 (3:38 / km)
Error: −1:03 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 46:12
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:51 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:13 (42.5 km/h)
Run: 17:05 (3:25 / km)
Total: 46:12
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 2.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +44.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 4 Jacopo Mapelli
ITA
+50 s
+57 s
G2 / G1
 17:10
16:42
 46:17
Show details
Prediction details: Jacopo Mapelli

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 17–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 20

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +57 s
Fehler: -7.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur 1.02 %, Sicherheit 63 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 35 %
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 1 (25 people)
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:10 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:42 (3:20 / km)
Error: +0:28 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 46:17
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:13 (42.5 km/h)
Run: 17:10 (3:26 / km)
Total: 46:17
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 5.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +44.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 24 Matej Kubias
CZE
+35 s
+29 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:50
18:18
 46:18
Show details
Prediction details: Matej Kubias

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 8–35
Top-10 probability: 14 %
Result: 24
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: 5.8 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 96 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 63 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 1 (25 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.77 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:50 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 85 Duelle, Korrektur -0.35 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:18 (3:40 / km)
Error: −0:28 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 46:18
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:39 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:45 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 17:50 (3:34 / km)
Total: 46:18
26 / 21 Tommaso Pedrini
ITA
+15 s
+20 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:51
18:02
 46:19
Show details
Prediction details: Tommaso Pedrini

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 22–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +15 s
Time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: -5.5 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.42 %, Sicherheit 65 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 93 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.5 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 1 (25 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.04 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:51 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:02 (3:36 / km)
Error: −0:11 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 46:19
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:19 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:45 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 17:51 (3:34 / km)
Total: 46:19
27 / 28 Samuele Iaconi
SUI
+42 s
+26 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:56
18:34
 46:24
Show details
Prediction details: Samuele Iaconi

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 10–38
Top-10 probability: 11 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 9:46
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: 16.3 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 39 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 1 (25 people)
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.86 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:56 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur -0.61 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:34 (3:43 / km)
Error: −0:38 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 46:24
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:46 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:45 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 17:56 (3:35 / km)
Total: 46:24
28 / 46 Alex Zanutto
ITA
+29 s
+54 s
G1 / G4
 18:19
19:38
 46:47
Show details
Prediction details: Alex Zanutto

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 26–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 46
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +54 s
Fehler: -25.3 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.57 %, Sicherheit 57 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 84 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 2.5 s
Result: Group 4 (4 people)
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.60 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:19 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:38 (3:56 / km)
Error: −1:19 / −0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 46:47
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:33 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:45 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 18:19 (3:40 / km)
Total: 46:47
29 / 43 Alessandro Gigli
ITA
+12 s
+31 s
G1 / G5
 18:22
18:38
 46:50
Show details
Prediction details: Alessandro Gigli

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 26–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 43
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 9:16
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: -19.0 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.66 %, Sicherheit 54 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 93 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.4 s
Gap behind: 2.5 s
Result: Group 5 (7 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.27 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:22 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:38 (3:44 / km)
Error: −0:16 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 46:50
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:16 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:45 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 18:22 (3:40 / km)
Total: 46:50
30 / 11 Jules Clément
BEL
+48 s
+43 s
G2 / G1
 17:50
17:09
 46:57
Show details
Prediction details: Jules Clément

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 25–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: 5.1 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.72 %, Sicherheit 82 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 19 %
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 1 (25 people)
Speed: 40.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.68 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:50 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 0.32 %, Sicherheit 80 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:09 (3:26 / km)
Error: +0:41 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 46:57
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:52 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:13 (42.5 km/h)
Run: 17:50 (3:34 / km)
Total: 46:57
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 3.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +44.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
31 / 25 Michael Stiebel
ISR
+9 s
+29 s
G1 / G1
correct 		18:35
18:17
 47:03
Show details
Prediction details: Michael Stiebel

Placement

Prediction: 31
80% range: 28–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +9 s
Time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: -20.4 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 75 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 93 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 3.4 s
Result: Group 1 (25 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.70 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:35 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur -1.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:17 (3:39 / km)
Error: +0:18 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 47:03
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:13 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:45 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 18:35 (3:43 / km)
Total: 47:03
32 / 27 Jan Kovář
CZE
+23 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		18:53
18:35
 47:21
Show details
Prediction details: Jan Kovář

Placement

Prediction: 32
80% range: 31–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 23.3 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 86 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s
Result: Group 1 (25 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.25 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:53 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:35 (3:43 / km)
Error: +0:18 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 47:21
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:27 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:45 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 18:53 (3:47 / km)
Total: 47:21
33 / 42 Filip Kniz
SVK
+61 s
+62 s
G3 / G5
 16:45
18:19
 47:54
Show details
Prediction details: Filip Kniz

Placement

Prediction: 33
80% range: 15–40
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 42
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +61 s
Time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +62 s
Fehler: -1.0 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 2.4 s
Result: Group 5 (7 people)
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:45 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:19 (3:40 / km)
Error: −1:34 / −0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 47:54
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:05 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:42 (40.3 km/h)
Run: 16:45 (3:21 / km)
Total: 47:54
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 16.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +44.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
34 / 39 Álmos Hóbor
HUN
+43 s
+48 s
G1 / G5
 19:26
17:34
 47:54
Show details
Prediction details: Álmos Hóbor

Placement

Prediction: 34
80% range: 35–39
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 39
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +48 s
Fehler: -5.3 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 35 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 5 (7 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.93 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:26 (3:53 / km)
Historical basis: 3:57 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur -1.76 %, Sicherheit 82 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:34 (3:31 / km)
Error: +1:52 / +0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 47:54
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:47 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:45 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 19:26 (3:53 / km)
Total: 47:54
35 / 31 Guglielmo Marafatto
ITA
+43 s
+16 s
G1 / G1
correct 		19:46
18:53
 48:14
Show details
Prediction details: Guglielmo Marafatto

Placement

Prediction: 35
80% range: 36–40
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 31
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: 27.0 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 62 Duelle, Korrektur -0.84 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 34 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 2.3 s
Result: Group 1 (25 people)
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.93 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:46 (3:57 / km)
Historical basis: 3:57 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:57 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:53 (3:47 / km)
Error: +0:53 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 48:14
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:47 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:45 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 19:46 (3:57 / km)
Total: 48:14
36 / 40 Eduard Matak
SVK
+68 s
+46 s
G3 / G4
 17:08
18:08
 48:17
Show details
Prediction details: Eduard Matak

Placement

Prediction: 36
80% range: 33–39
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 40
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +68 s
Time: 10:12
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: 21.6 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -0.49 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.2 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 4 (4 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.73 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:08 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:08 (3:38 / km)
Error: −1:00 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 48:17
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 10:12 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:42 (40.3 km/h)
Run: 17:08 (3:26 / km)
Total: 48:17
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 23.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +44.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
37 / 52 Viktor Szekfű
HUN
+77 s
+55 s
G3 / G8
 17:10
19:35
 48:19
Show details
Prediction details: Viktor Szekfű

Placement

Prediction: 37
80% range: 34–40
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 52
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +77 s
Time: 10:21
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +55 s
Fehler: 21.9 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 2.7 s
Result: Group 8 (2 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:10 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:35 (3:55 / km)
Error: −2:25 / −0:29 / km
Overall prediction: 48:19
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:21 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:42 (40.3 km/h)
Run: 17:10 (3:26 / km)
Total: 48:19
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 32.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +44.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
38 / 41 Stepan Volf
CZE
+59 s
+56 s
G3 / G6
 18:34
17:53
 49:43
Show details
Prediction details: Stepan Volf

Placement

Prediction: 38
80% range: 33–41
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 41
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +59 s
Time: 10:03
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +56 s
Fehler: 3.1 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 60 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.9 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s
Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:34 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur -0.52 %, Sicherheit 42 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:53 (3:35 / km)
Error: +0:41 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 49:43
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:03 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:42 (40.3 km/h)
Run: 18:34 (3:43 / km)
Total: 49:43
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 14.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +44.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
39 / 58 Martin Cesnak
SVK
+70 s
+64 s
G3 / G10
 18:59
20:33
 50:08
Show details
Prediction details: Martin Cesnak

Placement

Prediction: 39
80% range: 41–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 58
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +70 s
Time: 10:14
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +64 s
Fehler: 5.6 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur -0.45 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 10 (6 people)
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.80 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:59 (3:48 / km)
Historical basis: 3:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:33 (4:07 / km)
Error: −1:34 / −0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 50:08
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:14 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:42 (40.3 km/h)
Run: 18:59 (3:48 / km)
Total: 50:08
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 25.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +44.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
40 / 50 Hugo Arias Gallardo
ESP
+34 s
+63 s
G1 / G10
 21:48
17:48
 50:16
Show details
Prediction details: Hugo Arias Gallardo

Placement

Prediction: 40
80% range: 41–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 50
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 9:38
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +63 s
Fehler: -28.7 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 61 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.1 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 10 (6 people)
Speed: 35.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 7.83 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:48 (4:22 / km)
Historical basis: 4:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:48 (3:34 / km)
Error: +4:00 / +0:48 / km
Overall prediction: 50:16
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:38 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:45 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 21:48 (4:22 / km)
Total: 50:16
41 / 60 Adam Boďo
SVK
+63 s
+51 s
G3 / G11
 19:15
21:35
 50:24
Show details
Prediction details: Adam Boďo

Placement

Prediction: 41
80% range: 36–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 60
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +63 s
Time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +51 s
Fehler: 12.4 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 50 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.4 s
Gap behind: 4.2 s
Result: Group 11 (1 people)
Speed: 33.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.56 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:15 (3:51 / km)
Historical basis: 3:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:42 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.87 %, Sicherheit 35 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:35 (4:19 / km)
Error: −2:20 / −0:28 / km
Overall prediction: 50:24
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:07 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:42 (40.3 km/h)
Run: 19:15 (3:51 / km)
Total: 50:24
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 19.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +44.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
42 / 48 Maxim Mihaľov
SVK
+80 s
+60 s
G3 / G7
 19:27
18:48
 50:36
Show details
Prediction details: Maxim Mihaľov

Placement

Prediction: 42
80% range: 42–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 48
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +80 s
Time: 10:24
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +60 s
Fehler: 19.6 s
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 73 Duelle, Korrektur -0.50 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.7 s
Gap behind: 8.1 s
Result: Group 7 (3 people)
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.02 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:27 (3:53 / km)
Historical basis: 3:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:48 (3:46 / km)
Error: +0:39 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 50:36
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:24 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:42 (40.3 km/h)
Run: 19:27 (3:53 / km)
Total: 50:36
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 35.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +44.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
43 / 57 Oliver Ambrus
SVK
+70 s
+48 s
G3 / G5
 19:44
23:22
 50:53
Show details
Prediction details: Oliver Ambrus

Placement

Prediction: 43
80% range: 43–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 57
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +70 s
Time: 10:14
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +48 s
Fehler: 22.3 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur -0.57 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 6.2 s
Result: Group 5 (7 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.99 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:44 (3:57 / km)
Historical basis: 3:57 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:57 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:22 (4:40 / km)
Error: −3:38 / −0:44 / km
Overall prediction: 50:53
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:14 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:42 (40.3 km/h)
Run: 19:44 (3:57 / km)
Total: 50:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 26.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +44.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
44 / 26 Gustav Langkær
DEN
+97 s
+39 s
G4 / G2
 20:25
18:13
 52:19
Show details
Prediction details: Gustav Langkær

Placement

Prediction: 44
80% range: 45–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: 18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +97 s
Time: 10:41
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +39 s
Fehler: 58.2 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -1.56 %, Sicherheit 18 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 9.5 s
Gap behind: 3.3 s
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:25 (4:05 / km)
Historical basis: 4:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.93 %, Sicherheit 11 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:13 (3:39 / km)
Error: +2:12 / +0:26 / km
Overall prediction: 52:19
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:41 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:17 (39.6 km/h)
Run: 20:25 (4:05 / km)
Total: 52:19
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 53 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +44.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
45 / 47 Arimantas Sakalas
LTU
+168 s
+86 s
G6 / G8
 17:20
17:55
 54:53
Show details
Prediction details: Arimantas Sakalas

Placement

Prediction: 45
80% range: 46–47
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 47
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +168 s
Time: 11:52
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +86 s
Fehler: 82.0 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.75 %, Sicherheit 16 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 47.1 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 8 (2 people)
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.54 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:20 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.54 %, Sicherheit 14 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:55 (3:35 / km)
Error: −0:35 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 54:53
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 11:52 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:45 (33.8 km/h)
Run: 17:20 (3:28 / km)
Total: 54:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 123.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +44.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
46 / 53 Tomas Dvorak
CZE
+77 s
+55 s
G3 / G7
 24:21
20:16
 55:30
Show details
Prediction details: Tomas Dvorak

Placement

Prediction: 46
80% range: 47–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 53
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +77 s
Time: 10:21
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +55 s
Fehler: 21.5 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -0.35 %, Sicherheit 58 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.2 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 7 (3 people)
Speed: 37.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: 24:21 (4:52 / km)
Historical basis: 4:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 36 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:16 (4:03 / km)
Error: +4:05 / +0:49 / km
Overall prediction: 55:30
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 10:21 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:42 (40.3 km/h)
Run: 24:21 (4:52 / km)
Total: 55:30
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 32.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +44.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
47 / 56 Přemysl Hašlar
CZE
+121 s
+131 s
G6 / G10
 20:03
19:17
 57:36
Show details
Prediction details: Přemysl Hašlar

Placement

Prediction: 47
80% range: 48–49
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 56
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +121 s
Time: 11:05
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +131 s
Fehler: -10.1 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 66 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 20.4 s
Gap behind: 47.1 s
Result: Group 10 (6 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.93 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:03 (4:01 / km)
Historical basis: 4:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:51 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.37 %, Sicherheit 63 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:17 (3:51 / km)
Error: +0:46 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 57:36
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:05 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:45 (33.8 km/h)
Run: 20:03 (4:01 / km)
Total: 57:36
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 76.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +44.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
48 / 51 Stepan Tabulka
CZE
+101 s
+120 s
G5 / G9
 23:43
18:12
 1:00:22
Show details
Prediction details: Stepan Tabulka

Placement

Prediction: 48
80% range: 49–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 51
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +101 s
Time: 10:45
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +120 s
Fehler: -19.5 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 29 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.3 s
Gap behind: 20.4 s
Result: Group 9 (2 people)
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 23:43 (4:45 / km)
Historical basis: 4:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:52 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 27 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:12 (3:38 / km)
Error: +5:31 / +1:06 / km
Overall prediction: 1:00:22
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:45 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:59 (34.3 km/h)
Run: 23:43 (4:45 / km)
Total: 1:00:22
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 56.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +44.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 6 Vincent Weiß
GER
+0 s
+17 s
G0 / G2
16:48
Show details
Prediction details: Vincent Weiß

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 51–51
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:04
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:48 (3:22 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:04 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 7 Maxime Dewilde
BEL
+0 s
+39 s
G0 / G2
16:38
Show details
Prediction details: Maxime Dewilde

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 52–52
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:04
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +39 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:38 (3:20 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:04 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 8 Antonin Michalek
CZE
+88 s
+53 s
G3 / G1
17:00
Show details
Prediction details: Antonin Michalek

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +88 s
Time: 10:32
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +53 s
Fehler: 34.7 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.99 %, Sicherheit 15 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.1 s
Gap behind: 9.5 s
Result: Group 1 (25 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.85 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:00 (3:24 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:32 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:42 (40.3 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 43.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +44.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 13 Tom Kaebel
GER
+0 s
+34 s
G0 / G2
17:14
Show details
Prediction details: Tom Kaebel

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 53–53
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:04
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:14 (3:27 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:04 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 16 Jakub Malik
CZE
+0 s
+59 s
G0 / G1
17:28
Show details
Prediction details: Jakub Malik

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 54–54
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:04
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +59 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (25 people)
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:28 (3:30 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:04 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 22 Florian Debroux
BEL
+0 s
+41 s
G0 / G1
18:05
Show details
Prediction details: Florian Debroux

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 55–55
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:04
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (25 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:05 (3:37 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:04 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 38 Václav  Šoula
CZE
+54 s
+64 s
G2 / G5
17:37
Show details
Prediction details: Václav  Šoula

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 38
Deviation: -38

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +54 s
Time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +64 s
Fehler: -9.8 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 9 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.3 s
Gap behind: 4.9 s
Result: Group 5 (7 people)
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:37 (3:31 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:58 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:13 (42.5 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 10 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +44.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 44 Matyas Vecera
CZE
+0 s
+47 s
G0 / G4
19:08
Show details
Prediction details: Matyas Vecera

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 56–56
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 44
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:04
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (4 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:08 (3:50 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:04 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 49 Tom Nezer
BEL
+0 s
+84 s
G0 / G10
17:35
Show details
Prediction details: Tom Nezer

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 57–57
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 49
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:04
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +84 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 10 (6 people)
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:35 (3:31 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:04 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 54 Daniel Polakovic
SVK
+0 s
+144 s
G0 / G10
18:55
Show details
Prediction details: Daniel Polakovic

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 58–58
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 54
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:04
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +144 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 10 (6 people)
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:55 (3:47 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:04 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 55 Matej Horvath
SVK
+0 s
+154 s
G0 / G10
19:24
Show details
Prediction details: Matej Horvath

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 59–59
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 55
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:04
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +154 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 10 (6 people)
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:24 (3:53 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:04 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 59 Sebastian Elmelund Thing
DEN
+0 s
+76 s
G0 / G9
22:19
Show details
Prediction details: Sebastian Elmelund Thing

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 60–60
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 59
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:04
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +76 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 9 (2 people)
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:19 (4:28 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:04 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.