Zum Inhalt springen
Performance Workspace
Predicition
Live data
Prediction comparison

Junior Women

12.07.2026 Černá Perla CZE
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Junior Cup Tabor

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 12.07.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 66/100 mittel
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 26 früheren Rennen und 463 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 49.6 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 11.07.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 1.6 km/h

Datenabdeckung 52.6 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 84.2 % · 26 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error4.5
Mean swim error29.9 s
Mean bike-speed error4.23 km/h
Correct bike groups8/18
No history1
Within the 80% range47.4 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 2 Zóra Filep
HUN
+20 s
+2 s
G1 / G1
correct 		18:53
20:09
 49:59
Show details
Prediction details: Zóra Filep

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 2–6
Top-10 probability: 95 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 17.6 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 71 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 51 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.8 s
Gap behind: 16.2 s
Result: Group 1 (2 people)
Speed: 34.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.22 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:53 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 0.91 %, Sicherheit 68 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:09 (4:02 / km)
Error: −1:16 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 49:59
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:05 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:46 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 18:53 (3:47 / km)
Total: 49:59
2 / 15 Chiara Guarisco
ITA
+13 s
+1 s
G1 / G3
 19:48
20:12
 50:54
Show details
Prediction details: Chiara Guarisco

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 2–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +13 s
Time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 12.1 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -1.12 %, Sicherheit 32 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 51 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 11.1 s
Gap behind: 3.7 s
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 31.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 7.66 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:48 (3:58 / km)
Historical basis: 3:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:54 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 10
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 1.19 %, Sicherheit 5 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:12 (4:02 / km)
Error: −0:24 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 50:54
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:58 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:46 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 19:48 (3:58 / km)
Total: 50:54
3 / 1 Petra Bán
HUN
+2 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		19:55
18:57
 51:01
Show details
Prediction details: Petra Bán

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 2–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +2 s
Time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 2.0 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur 0.52 %, Sicherheit 99 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 98 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 11.1 s
Result: Group 1 (2 people)
Speed: 34.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.22 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:55 (3:59 / km)
Historical basis: 3:59 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:59 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 68 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:57 (3:47 / km)
Error: +0:58 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 51:01
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:47 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:46 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 19:55 (3:59 / km)
Total: 51:01
4 / 4 Edita Pozlerova
CZE
+42 s
+49 s
G2 / G2
correct 		19:14
20:23
 51:41
Show details
Prediction details: Edita Pozlerova

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 3–8
Top-10 probability: 96 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +49 s
Fehler: -7.5 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 58 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.96 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:14 (3:51 / km)
Historical basis: 3:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -0.74 %, Sicherheit 24 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:23 (4:05 / km)
Error: −1:09 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 51:41
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:27 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:42 (37.8 km/h)
Run: 19:14 (3:51 / km)
Total: 51:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:51
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 35.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +5.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 6 Boglárka Gál
HUN
+17 s
+5 s
G1 / G2
 20:57
20:34
 52:03
Show details
Prediction details: Boglárka Gál

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 6–9
Top-10 probability: 96 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +17 s
Time: 10:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 11.8 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 69 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 55 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.7 s
Gap behind: 2.8 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 33.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.91 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:57 (4:11 / km)
Historical basis: 4:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 57 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:34 (4:07 / km)
Error: +0:23 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 52:03
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:02 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:46 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 20:57 (4:11 / km)
Total: 52:03
6 / 11 Bettina Ecker
AUT
+54 s
+56 s
G4 / G2
 19:43
21:23
 52:18
Show details
Prediction details: Bettina Ecker

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 5–12
Top-10 probability: 88 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +54 s
Time: 10:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +56 s
Fehler: -2.2 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.5 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 34.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.88 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:43 (3:57 / km)
Historical basis: 3:59 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:54 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 67 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:23 (4:17 / km)
Error: −1:40 / −0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 52:18
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:39 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:40 (37.9 km/h)
Run: 19:43 (3:57 / km)
Total: 52:18
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:51
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 47.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +5.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 5 Luisa Rohe
AUT
+61 s
+58 s
G3 / G2
 19:53
20:32
 52:27
Show details
Prediction details: Luisa Rohe

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 6–14
Top-10 probability: 75 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +61 s
Time: 10:46
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +58 s
Fehler: 2.8 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 50 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.7 s
Gap behind: 16.9 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.95 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:53 (3:59 / km)
Historical basis: 3:59 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:59 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 29 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:32 (4:06 / km)
Error: −0:39 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 52:27
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:46 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:33 (38.0 km/h)
Run: 19:53 (3:59 / km)
Total: 52:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:09
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 37.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 13 Sara Dolejsova
CZE
+54 s
+60 s
G4 / G2
 19:56
21:54
 52:31
Show details
Prediction details: Sara Dolejsova

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 7–15
Top-10 probability: 54 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +54 s
Time: 10:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +60 s
Fehler: -5.9 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.92 %, Sicherheit 40 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 37.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 6.7 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 34.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.91 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:56 (3:59 / km)
Historical basis: 3:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.68 %, Sicherheit 36 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:54 (4:23 / km)
Error: −1:58 / −0:24 / km
Overall prediction: 52:31
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:39 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:40 (37.9 km/h)
Run: 19:56 (3:59 / km)
Total: 52:31
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:51
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 48.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +5.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 14 Dóra Terézia Gál
HUN
+46 s
+60 s
G2 / G2
correct 		20:39
22:03
 53:06
Show details
Prediction details: Dóra Terézia Gál

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 7–12
Top-10 probability: 69 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 10:31
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +60 s
Fehler: -14.4 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 74 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 5.7 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.75 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:39 (4:08 / km)
Historical basis: 4:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:07 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 63 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:03 (4:25 / km)
Error: −1:24 / −0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 53:06
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:31 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:42 (37.8 km/h)
Run: 20:39 (4:08 / km)
Total: 53:06
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:51
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 39.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +5.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 8 Emma Urban
HUN
+51 s
+47 s
G4 / G2
 20:35
20:45
 53:10
Show details
Prediction details: Emma Urban

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 7–14
Top-10 probability: 55 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 10:36
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: 4.3 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 59 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.7 s
Gap behind: 2.5 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.07 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:35 (4:07 / km)
Historical basis: 4:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:41 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 45 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:45 (4:09 / km)
Error: −0:10 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 53:10
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:36 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:40 (37.9 km/h)
Run: 20:35 (4:07 / km)
Total: 53:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:51
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 45.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +5.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 9 Nicole Fasano
ITA
+36 s
+55 s
G2 / G2
correct 		21:18
21:06
 53:45
Show details
Prediction details: Nicole Fasano

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 9–14
Top-10 probability: 26 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 10:21
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +55 s
Fehler: -19.2 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 39 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 16.2 s
Gap behind: 5.5 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.89 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:18 (4:16 / km)
Historical basis: 4:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -2.31 %, Sicherheit 9 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:06 (4:13 / km)
Error: +0:12 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 53:45
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:21 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:42 (37.8 km/h)
Run: 21:18 (4:16 / km)
Total: 53:45
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:51
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 29.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +5.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 7 Maxine Hollaus
AUT
+43 s
+46 s
G2 / G2
correct 		21:33
20:41
 54:00
Show details
Prediction details: Maxine Hollaus

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 11–15
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 10:28
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: -3.5 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -0.49 %, Sicherheit 56 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 2.3 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.99 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:33 (4:19 / km)
Historical basis: 4:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:19 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 28 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:41 (4:08 / km)
Error: +0:52 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 54:00
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:28 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:42 (37.8 km/h)
Run: 21:33 (4:19 / km)
Total: 54:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:51
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 36.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +5.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 12 Manuella Lima
USA
+41 s
+45 s
G2 / G2
correct 		21:45
21:43
 54:12
Show details
Prediction details: Manuella Lima

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 10–15
Top-10 probability: 20 %
Result: 12
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 10:26
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: -3.7 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.5 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.02 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:45 (4:21 / km)
Historical basis: 4:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:21 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:43 (4:21 / km)
Error: +0:02 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 54:12
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:26 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:42 (37.8 km/h)
Run: 21:45 (4:21 / km)
Total: 54:12
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:16
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 9.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 3 Verena Zehentmayr
AUT
+78 s
+62 s
G5 / G2
 19:15
19:46
 54:14
Show details
Prediction details: Verena Zehentmayr

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 6–15
Top-10 probability: 19 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +78 s
Time: 11:03
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +62 s
Fehler: 15.7 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 52 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 16.9 s
Gap behind: 15.1 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.49 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:15 (3:51 / km)
Historical basis: 3:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:51 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 25 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:46 (3:57 / km)
Error: −0:31 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 54:14
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:03 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:42 (35.6 km/h)
Run: 19:15 (3:51 / km)
Total: 54:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:51
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 71.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +5.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 10 Kristyna Krizova
CZE
+45 s
+44 s
G2 / G2
correct 		24:59
21:05
 57:26
Show details
Prediction details: Kristyna Krizova

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 16–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 10:30
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: 0.8 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.83 %, Sicherheit 13 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.3 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 2 (12 people)
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: 24:59 (5:00 / km)
Historical basis: 5:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.63 %, Sicherheit 13 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:05 (4:13 / km)
Error: +3:54 / +0:47 / km
Overall prediction: 57:26
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:30 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:42 (37.8 km/h)
Run: 24:59 (5:00 / km)
Total: 57:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:51
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 38.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +5.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 19 Zuzana Vedejová
SVK
+93 s
+168 s
G6 / G7
 21:22
23:21
 57:54
Show details
Prediction details: Zuzana Vedejová

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 16–18
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +93 s
Time: 11:18
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +168 s
Fehler: -75.2 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur -0.84 %, Sicherheit 59 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 15.1 s
Gap behind: 23.9 s
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 29.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.22 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:22 (4:16 / km)
Historical basis: 4:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.40 %, Sicherheit 36 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:21 (4:40 / km)
Error: −1:59 / −0:24 / km
Overall prediction: 57:54
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:18 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:35 (34.4 km/h)
Run: 21:22 (4:16 / km)
Total: 57:54
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:51
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 86.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +5.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 17 Nela Markova
CZE
+117 s
+173 s
G6 / G5
 21:55
23:08
 58:27
Show details
Prediction details: Nela Markova

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 16–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +117 s
Time: 11:42
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +173 s
Fehler: -56.3 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 44 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 23.9 s
Gap behind: 241.5 s
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 32.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.36 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:55 (4:23 / km)
Historical basis: 4:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.83 %, Sicherheit 36 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:08 (4:38 / km)
Error: −1:13 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 58:27
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:42 (1:34 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:35 (34.4 km/h)
Run: 21:55 (4:23 / km)
Total: 58:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:51
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 110.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +5.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 16 Daniela Beranova
CZE
+0 s
+85 s
G0 / G4
20:42
Show details
Prediction details: Daniela Beranova

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 19–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:45
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +85 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 32.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:42 (4:08 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:45 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 18 Veronika  Červinková
CZE
+358 s
+75 s
G7 / G6
23:00
Show details
Prediction details: Veronika  Červinková

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +358 s
Time: 15:43
Pace: 2:06 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +75 s
Fehler: 283.2 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 241.5 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 29.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:00 (4:36 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 15:43 (2:06 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:50 (35.5 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:51
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 352.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +5.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.