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Final Junior Men

28.06.2026 HUN
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Junior Cup Tiszaujvaros

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 28.06.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 80/100 hoch
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 13 früheren Rennen und 313 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 48.2 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 28.06.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 5 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 100.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 100.0 % · 13 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error5.5
Mean swim error2.3 s
Mean bike-speed error2.66 km/h
Correct bike groups18/29
No history0
Within the 80% range72.4 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 15 Szabolcs Abrahám
HUN
+23 s
+23 s
G1 / G2
 10:54
11:52
 28:44
Show details
Prediction details: Szabolcs Abrahám

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–12
Top-10 probability: 75 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 6:26
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.90 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:54 (3:02 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 71 Duelle, Korrektur 0.61 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:52 (3:18 / km)
Error: −0:58 / −0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 28:44
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:26 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:25 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 10:54 (3:02 / km)
Total: 28:44
2 / 1 András Szűcs
HUN
+11 s
+9 s
G1 / G1
correct 		11:01
11:02
 28:51
Show details
Prediction details: András Szűcs

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 1–6
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +11 s
Time: 6:14
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +9 s
Fehler: 2.1 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 117 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 89 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 1 (10 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.95 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:01 (3:04 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 116 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:02 (3:04 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 28:51
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:14 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:25 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 11:01 (3:04 / km)
Total: 28:51
3 / 16 Daniel Hershkovitch
ISR
+23 s
+23 s
G1 / G2
 11:01
11:57
 28:51
Show details
Prediction details: Daniel Hershkovitch

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 2–14
Top-10 probability: 69 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 6:26
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 29 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:01 (3:04 / km)
Historical basis: 3:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur 0.52 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:57 (3:19 / km)
Error: −0:56 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 28:51
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 6:26 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:25 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 11:01 (3:04 / km)
Total: 28:51
4 / 7 Luis Miguel Chávez Sanchez
MEX
+26 s
+11 s
G1 / G1
correct 		11:04
11:43
 28:54
Show details
Prediction details: Luis Miguel Chávez Sanchez

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 2–20
Top-10 probability: 58 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 6:29
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 14.5 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur -1.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 45 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 1 (10 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.02 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:04 (3:04 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:43 (3:15 / km)
Error: −0:39 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 28:54
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:29 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:25 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 11:04 (3:04 / km)
Total: 28:54
5 / 2 Zsombor Holba
HUN
+22 s
+17 s
G1 / G1
correct 		11:08
11:10
 28:58
Show details
Prediction details: Zsombor Holba

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 2–14
Top-10 probability: 68 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 6:25
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 4.9 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 101 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 43 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 1 (10 people)
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.87 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:08 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 101 Duelle, Korrektur -0.37 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:10 (3:06 / km)
Error: −0:02 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 28:58
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:25 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:25 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 11:08 (3:05 / km)
Total: 28:58
6 / 6 Csaba Izsák
HUN
+10 s
+10 s
G1 / G1
correct 		11:22
11:32
 29:12
Show details
Prediction details: Csaba Izsák

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 4–11
Top-10 probability: 85 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +10 s
Time: 6:13
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 91 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.6 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 1 (10 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.02 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:22 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur -0.41 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:32 (3:12 / km)
Error: −0:10 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 29:12
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 6:13 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:25 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 11:22 (3:10 / km)
Total: 29:12
7 / 19 Michael Hershkovitch
ISR
+31 s
+31 s
G2 / G2
correct 		10:49
12:00
 29:14
Show details
Prediction details: Michael Hershkovitch

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 3–11
Top-10 probability: 84 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 6:34
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:49 (3:00 / km)
Historical basis: 2:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur 0.93 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:00 (3:20 / km)
Error: −1:11 / −0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 29:14
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 6:34 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:47 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 10:49 (3:00 / km)
Total: 29:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:29
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 5.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +25.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 13 Raziel Geovanni Muñoz Tun
MEX
+24 s
+12 s
G1 / G2
 11:26
11:39
 29:16
Show details
Prediction details: Raziel Geovanni Muñoz Tun

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 7–21
Top-10 probability: 34 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 6:27
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 12.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur -1.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 43 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.43 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:26 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur -0.35 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:39 (3:14 / km)
Error: −0:13 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 29:16
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:27 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:25 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 11:26 (3:11 / km)
Total: 29:16
9 / 18 Szabolcs Mihály
HUN
+19 s
+19 s
G1 / G2
 11:28
11:59
 29:18
Show details
Prediction details: Szabolcs Mihály

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 2–22
Top-10 probability: 39 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 6:22
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: -0.3 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 99 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 54 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 3.7 s
Gap behind: 2.3 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:28 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 99 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:59 (3:20 / km)
Error: −0:31 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 29:18
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:22 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:25 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 11:28 (3:11 / km)
Total: 29:18
10 / 3 Antonin Mathieu
FRA
+27 s
+28 s
G2 / G2
correct 		10:55
10:42
 29:20
Show details
Prediction details: Antonin Mathieu

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 1–15
Top-10 probability: 74 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 6:30
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: -1.4 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.98 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:55 (3:02 / km)
Historical basis: 3:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur -0.77 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:42 (2:58 / km)
Error: +0:13 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 29:20
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:30 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:47 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 10:55 (3:02 / km)
Total: 29:20
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:29
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 0.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +25.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 12 Mihály Márton Szabó
HUN
+30 s
+27 s
G2 / G2
correct 		10:59
11:33
 29:24
Show details
Prediction details: Mihály Márton Szabó

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 4–15
Top-10 probability: 55 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 6:33
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: 2.8 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 95 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:59 (3:03 / km)
Historical basis: 3:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 94 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:33 (3:13 / km)
Error: −0:34 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 29:24
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:33 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:47 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 10:59 (3:03 / km)
Total: 29:24
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:29
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 3.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +25.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 5 Sebestyén Pál Kendeh-Kirchknopf
HUN
+4 s
+3 s
G1 / G1
correct 		11:38
11:25
 29:28
Show details
Prediction details: Sebestyén Pál Kendeh-Kirchknopf

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 5–20
Top-10 probability: 35 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +4 s
Time: 6:07
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 1.4 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 100 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 98 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 1 (10 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.36 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:38 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 91 Duelle, Korrektur -0.73 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:25 (3:10 / km)
Error: +0:13 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 29:28
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:07 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:25 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 11:38 (3:14 / km)
Total: 29:28
13 / 9 Ézer Tomka
HUN
+32 s
+30 s
G2 / G2
correct 		11:09
11:25
 29:34
Show details
Prediction details: Ézer Tomka

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 9–17
Top-10 probability: 25 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 6:35
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: 1.5 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:09 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:25 (3:10 / km)
Error: −0:16 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 29:34
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:35 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:47 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 11:09 (3:06 / km)
Total: 29:34
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:29
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 5.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +25.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 4 Arthur Baigidin
RUS
+5 s
+1 s
G1 / G1
correct 		11:50
11:27
 29:40
Show details
Prediction details: Arthur Baigidin

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 10–19
Top-10 probability: 11 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +5 s
Time: 6:08
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 4.2 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur -0.48 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 96 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 1 (10 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.39 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:50 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur -1.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:27 (3:11 / km)
Error: +0:23 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 29:40
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:08 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:25 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 11:50 (3:17 / km)
Total: 29:40
15 / 8 Oliver Moxon
AUS
+5 s
+4 s
G1 / G1
correct 		11:52
11:56
 29:42
Show details
Prediction details: Oliver Moxon

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 13–20
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +5 s
Time: 6:08
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +4 s
Fehler: 1.4 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 99 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 1 (10 people)
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:52 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur -0.53 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:56 (3:19 / km)
Error: −0:04 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 29:42
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:08 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:25 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 11:52 (3:18 / km)
Total: 29:42
16 / 20 Gergő Marádi
HUN
+15 s
+15 s
G1 / G2
 11:53
12:10
 29:43
Show details
Prediction details: Gergő Marádi

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 15–22
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +15 s
Time: 6:18
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 74 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 3.8 s
Gap behind: 3.7 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.26 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:53 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:10 (3:23 / km)
Error: −0:17 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 29:43
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 6:18 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:25 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 11:53 (3:18 / km)
Total: 29:43
17 / 14 Michael Stiebel
ISR
+7 s
+8 s
G1 / G1
correct 		11:55
12:27
 29:45
Show details
Prediction details: Michael Stiebel

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 5–25
Top-10 probability: 30 %
Result: 14
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +7 s
Time: 6:10
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +8 s
Fehler: -0.6 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 88 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 91 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 2.6 s
Result: Group 1 (10 people)
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.06 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:55 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 80 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:27 (3:28 / km)
Error: −0:32 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 29:45
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:10 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:25 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 11:55 (3:19 / km)
Total: 29:45
18 / 10 Levente Szabó
HUN
+26 s
+24 s
G2 / G2
correct 		11:22
11:26
 29:47
Show details
Prediction details: Levente Szabó

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 6–22
Top-10 probability: 36 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 6:29
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: 2.1 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 89 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 33 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:22 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 88 Duelle, Korrektur -0.55 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:26 (3:11 / km)
Error: −0:04 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 29:47
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:29 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:47 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 11:22 (3:10 / km)
Total: 29:47
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:29
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 0.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +25.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 21 Diego Humberto Suarez Arias
MEX
+28 s
+28 s
G2 / G2
correct 		11:23
12:18
 29:48
Show details
Prediction details: Diego Humberto Suarez Arias

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 7–22
Top-10 probability: 30 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 6:31
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 34 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.98 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:23 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur 0.50 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:18 (3:25 / km)
Error: −0:55 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 29:48
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:31 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:47 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 11:23 (3:10 / km)
Total: 29:48
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:29
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 2.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +25.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 24 Liran Pelzman
ISR
+21 s
+22 s
G1 / G2
 12:01
13:17
 29:51
Show details
Prediction details: Liran Pelzman

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 12–26
Top-10 probability: 10 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 6:24
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: -1.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 66 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 50 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.3 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.87 km/h

Running and total

Run: 12:01 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 13:17 (3:41 / km)
Error: −1:16 / −0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 29:51
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:24 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:25 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 12:01 (3:20 / km)
Total: 29:51
21 / 27 Áron Bódizs
HUN
+36 s
+34 s
G2 / G4
 11:33
12:23
 29:58
Show details
Prediction details: Áron Bódizs

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 9–29
Top-10 probability: 14 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 6:39
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: 1.8 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.1 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s
Result: Group 4 (2 people)
Speed: 37.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:33 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur 0.43 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:23 (3:26 / km)
Error: −0:50 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 29:58
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:39 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:47 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 11:33 (3:12 / km)
Total: 29:58
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:29
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 9.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +25.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 11 Amir Sarid
ISR
+4 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		12:09
12:12
 29:59
Show details
Prediction details: Amir Sarid

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 18–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +4 s
Time: 6:07
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 4.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 1 (10 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.36 km/h

Running and total

Run: 12:09 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur -0.40 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:12 (3:23 / km)
Error: −0:03 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 29:59
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:07 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:25 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 12:09 (3:23 / km)
Total: 29:59
23 / 26 Maks Mori
SLO
+38 s
+38 s
G2 / G3
 11:36
12:39
 30:01
Show details
Prediction details: Maks Mori

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 4–29
Top-10 probability: 24 %
Result: 26
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 6:41
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: -0.3 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 66 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.89 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:36 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 64 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:39 (3:31 / km)
Error: −1:03 / −0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 30:01
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:41 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:47 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 11:36 (3:13 / km)
Total: 30:01
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:29
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 11.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +25.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 17 Fedir Bezlepkin
UKR
+28 s
+28 s
G2 / G2
correct 		11:43
11:58
 30:08
Show details
Prediction details: Fedir Bezlepkin

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 2–28
Top-10 probability: 30 %
Result: 17
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 6:31
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:43 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:58 (3:19 / km)
Error: −0:15 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 30:08
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:31 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:47 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 11:43 (3:15 / km)
Total: 30:08
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:29
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 2.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +25.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 29 Evyatar Getz
ISR
+33 s
+33 s
G2 / G4
 11:45
13:46
 30:10
Show details
Prediction details: Evyatar Getz

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 20–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 6:36
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 4 (2 people)
Speed: 37.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.09 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:45 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur 1.76 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 13:46 (3:49 / km)
Error: −2:01 / −0:34 / km
Overall prediction: 30:10
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 6:36 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:47 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 11:45 (3:16 / km)
Total: 30:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:29
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 7.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +25.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 22 Tomer Guy
ISR
+34 s
+34 s
G2 / G2
correct 		11:56
12:31
 30:21
Show details
Prediction details: Tomer Guy

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 19–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 6:37
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: -0.3 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 2.1 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.83 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:56 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 71 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:31 (3:29 / km)
Error: −0:35 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 30:21
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:37 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:47 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 11:56 (3:19 / km)
Total: 30:21
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:29
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 7.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +25.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 25 Arsen Adamov
UKR
+24 s
+22 s
G1 / G2
 12:35
13:28
 30:25
Show details
Prediction details: Arsen Adamov

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 17–29
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 25
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 6:27
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 1.8 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 79 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 39 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.97 km/h

Running and total

Run: 12:35 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 77 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 13:28 (3:44 / km)
Error: −0:53 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 30:25
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:27 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:25 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 12:35 (3:30 / km)
Total: 30:25
28 / 28 Zaкhar Tsivkovskyi
UKR
+38 s
+33 s
G2 / G3
 12:05
13:10
 30:30
Show details
Prediction details: Zaкhar Tsivkovskyi

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 20–29
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 28
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 6:41
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: 5.1 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 84 Duelle, Korrektur -0.66 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.06 km/h

Running and total

Run: 12:05 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 82 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 13:10 (3:39 / km)
Error: −1:05 / −0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 30:30
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:41 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:47 (42.2 km/h)
Run: 12:05 (3:22 / km)
Total: 30:30
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:29
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 12.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +25.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 / 23 Omri Margalit
ISR
+11 s
+7 s
G1 / G1
correct 		12:54
13:28
 30:44
Show details
Prediction details: Omri Margalit

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 25–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +11 s
Time: 6:14
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +7 s
Fehler: 4.2 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 78 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 3.8 s
Result: Group 1 (10 people)
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: 12:54 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 13:28 (3:44 / km)
Error: −0:34 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 30:44
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:14 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:25 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 12:54 (3:35 / km)
Total: 30:44