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Final Junior Women

28.06.2026 HUN
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Junior Cup Tiszaujvaros

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 28.06.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 100/100 hoch
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 65 früheren Rennen und 932 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 49.8 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 28.06.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 100.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 100.0 % · 65 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error4.0
Mean swim error2.9 s
Mean bike-speed error2.96 km/h
Correct bike groups15/28
No history0
Within the 80% range50.0 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 3 Hanna Månsson
SWE
+9 s
+3 s
G1 / G1
correct 		12:54
12:52
 32:08
Show details
Prediction details: Hanna Månsson

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +9 s
Time: 6:39
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 6.0 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 73 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.3 s
Gap behind: 5.7 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 12:54 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur -0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:52 (3:34 / km)
Error: +0:02 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 32:08
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:39 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:47 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 12:54 (3:35 / km)
Total: 32:08
2 / 10 Hannah Kennedy
IRL
+24 s
+13 s
G1 / G1
correct 		12:58
13:54
 32:12
Show details
Prediction details: Hannah Kennedy

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 1–8
Top-10 probability: 96 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 6:54
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: 10.8 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur -1.47 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 36 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.19 km/h

Running and total

Run: 12:58 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur 0.48 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 13:54 (3:52 / km)
Error: −0:56 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 32:12
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 6:54 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:47 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 12:58 (3:36 / km)
Total: 32:12
3 / 14 Gwen Watson
AUS
+17 s
+17 s
G1 / G1
correct 		13:04
14:19
 32:18
Show details
Prediction details: Gwen Watson

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 2–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +17 s
Time: 6:47
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: -0.3 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 46 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: 13:04 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur 0.70 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:19 (3:59 / km)
Error: −1:15 / −0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 32:18
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:47 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:47 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 13:04 (3:38 / km)
Total: 32:18
4 / 4 Korinna Katona
HUN
+15 s
+15 s
G1 / G1
correct 		13:11
12:59
 32:25
Show details
Prediction details: Korinna Katona

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 4–8
Top-10 probability: 98 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +15 s
Time: 6:45
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: -0.3 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 98 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 51 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.7 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.28 km/h

Running and total

Run: 13:11 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 103 Duelle, Korrektur -0.51 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:59 (3:36 / km)
Error: +0:12 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 32:25
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:45 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:47 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 13:11 (3:40 / km)
Total: 32:25
5 / 2 Jázmin Kropkó
HUN
+2 s
+2 s
G1 / G1
correct 		13:13
12:52
 32:27
Show details
Prediction details: Jázmin Kropkó

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 2–9
Top-10 probability: 94 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +2 s
Time: 6:32
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 88 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 88 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 2.7 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: 13:13 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 93 Duelle, Korrektur -0.57 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:52 (3:34 / km)
Error: +0:21 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 32:27
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:32 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:47 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 13:13 (3:40 / km)
Total: 32:27
6 / 1 Csenge Orsolya Szász
HUN
+37 s
+41 s
G2 / G1
 12:24
12:40
 32:31
Show details
Prediction details: Csenge Orsolya Szász

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 1–10
Top-10 probability: 91 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 7:07
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: -4.1 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 84 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 19 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.67 km/h

Running and total

Run: 12:24 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 89 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:40 (3:31 / km)
Error: −0:16 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 32:31
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:07 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:23 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 12:24 (3:27 / km)
Total: 32:31
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 7:01
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 5.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 13 Petra Bán
HUN
+5 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		13:20
14:17
 32:34
Show details
Prediction details: Petra Bán

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 4–9
Top-10 probability: 94 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +5 s
Time: 6:35
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 4.7 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 81 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 81 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.7 s
Gap behind: 4.3 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.76 km/h

Running and total

Run: 13:20 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 86 Duelle, Korrektur 0.54 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:17 (3:58 / km)
Error: −0:57 / −0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 32:34
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:35 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:47 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 13:20 (3:42 / km)
Total: 32:34
8 / 6 Nóra Szalai
HUN
+24 s
+24 s
G1 / G1
correct 		13:22
13:24
 32:36
Show details
Prediction details: Nóra Szalai

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 6–13
Top-10 probability: 79 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 6:54
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: -0.3 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 35 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.95 km/h

Running and total

Run: 13:22 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 13:24 (3:43 / km)
Error: −0:02 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 32:36
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 6:54 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:47 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 13:22 (3:43 / km)
Total: 32:36
9 / 9 Alíz Júlia Geri
HUN
+15 s
+13 s
G1 / G1
correct 		13:23
13:48
 32:37
Show details
Prediction details: Alíz Júlia Geri

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 6–11
Top-10 probability: 85 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +15 s
Time: 6:45
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: 2.3 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 46 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.25 km/h

Running and total

Run: 13:23 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:41 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 79 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 13:48 (3:50 / km)
Error: −0:25 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 32:37
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:45 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:47 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 13:23 (3:43 / km)
Total: 32:37
10 / 8 Kaisa Keränen
FIN
+23 s
+23 s
G1 / G1
correct 		13:36
13:37
 32:50
Show details
Prediction details: Kaisa Keränen

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 9–15
Top-10 probability: 33 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 6:53
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: -0.3 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 76 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 44 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.3 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 37.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.04 km/h

Running and total

Run: 13:36 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 77 Duelle, Korrektur -0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 13:37 (3:47 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 32:50
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:53 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:47 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 13:36 (3:47 / km)
Total: 32:50
11 / 11 Zóra Filep
HUN
+19 s
+20 s
G1 / G1
correct 		13:38
14:09
 32:52
Show details
Prediction details: Zóra Filep

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 5–17
Top-10 probability: 38 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 6:49
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: -0.6 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 91 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 44 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 3.3 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.19 km/h

Running and total

Run: 13:38 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 95 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:09 (3:56 / km)
Error: −0:31 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 32:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:49 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:47 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 13:38 (3:47 / km)
Total: 32:52
12 / 17 Boglárka Gál
HUN
+15 s
+15 s
G1 / G1
correct 		13:43
14:46
 32:57
Show details
Prediction details: Boglárka Gál

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 9–14
Top-10 probability: 19 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +15 s
Time: 6:45
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: -0.3 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 62 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 53 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: 13:43 (3:48 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:45 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 63 Duelle, Korrektur 0.53 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:46 (4:06 / km)
Error: −1:03 / −0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 32:57
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:45 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:47 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 13:43 (3:48 / km)
Total: 32:57
13 / 15 Kira Dobrovoczky
HUN
+27 s
+28 s
G1 / G1
correct 		13:45
14:29
 32:59
Show details
Prediction details: Kira Dobrovoczky

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 12–18
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 6:57
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: -0.6 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 20 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.1 s
Gap behind: 8.4 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.82 km/h

Running and total

Run: 13:45 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:49 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:29 (4:01 / km)
Error: −0:44 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 32:59
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 6:57 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:47 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 13:45 (3:49 / km)
Total: 32:59
14 / 12 Hayley Cornwall
NZL
+25 s
+42 s
G1 / G1
correct 		14:01
14:16
 33:15
Show details
Prediction details: Hayley Cornwall

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 13–21
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 12
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 6:55
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: -16.7 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 2.1 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:01 (3:54 / km)
Historical basis: 3:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:41 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:16 (3:58 / km)
Error: −0:15 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 33:15
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:55 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:47 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 14:01 (3:54 / km)
Total: 33:15
15 / 5 Eszter Fabók
HUN
+44 s
+44 s
G2 / G1
 13:12
13:14
 33:19
Show details
Prediction details: Eszter Fabók

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 9–18
Top-10 probability: 14 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 7:14
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: -0.3 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 118 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.45 km/h

Running and total

Run: 13:12 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 118 Duelle, Korrektur -0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 13:14 (3:41 / km)
Error: −0:02 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 33:19
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:14 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:23 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 13:12 (3:40 / km)
Total: 33:19
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 7:02
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 12.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 7 Míra Miszlai
HUN
+42 s
+43 s
G2 / G1
 13:19
13:32
 33:26
Show details
Prediction details: Míra Miszlai

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 9–20
Top-10 probability: 19 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 7:12
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: -0.6 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 71 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.7 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: 13:19 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 76 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 13:32 (3:46 / km)
Error: −0:13 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 33:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:12 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:23 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 13:19 (3:42 / km)
Total: 33:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 7:01
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 11.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 23 Dorka Rácz
HUN
+17 s
+18 s
G1 / G2
 14:19
15:30
 33:33
Show details
Prediction details: Dorka Rácz

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 15–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +17 s
Time: 6:47
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: -0.6 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (14 people)
Gruppe 1: 48 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.98 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:19 (3:59 / km)
Historical basis: 3:57 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:57 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur 0.54 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:30 (4:18 / km)
Error: −1:11 / −0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 33:33
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 6:47 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:47 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 14:19 (3:59 / km)
Total: 33:33
18 / 25 Kincső Verebélyi
HUN
+44 s
+45 s
G2 / G4
 13:44
14:36
 33:51
Show details
Prediction details: Kincső Verebélyi

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 17–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 7:14
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: -0.6 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 4.4 s
Result: Group 4 (7 people)
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.76 km/h

Running and total

Run: 13:44 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur 0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:36 (4:03 / km)
Error: −0:52 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 33:51
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 7:14 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:23 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 13:44 (3:49 / km)
Total: 33:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 7:01
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 13.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 22 Emma Urban
HUN
+38 s
+46 s
G2 / G3
 13:54
14:58
 34:01
Show details
Prediction details: Emma Urban

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 5–25
Top-10 probability: 23 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 7:08
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: -8.3 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 4.7 s
Result: Group 3 (3 people)
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.98 km/h

Running and total

Run: 13:54 (3:52 / km)
Historical basis: 3:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 62 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:58 (4:09 / km)
Error: −1:04 / −0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 34:01
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:08 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:23 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 13:54 (3:52 / km)
Total: 34:01
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 7:02
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 6.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 18 Lotti Lédeczi
HUN
+66 s
+77 s
G4 / G4
correct 		12:50
13:07
 34:26
Show details
Prediction details: Lotti Lédeczi

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 15–24
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 18
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +66 s
Time: 7:36
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +77 s
Fehler: -10.8 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 80 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 10.5 s
Gap behind: 7.2 s
Result: Group 4 (7 people)
Speed: 35.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.53 km/h

Running and total

Run: 12:50 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 93 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 13:07 (3:39 / km)
Error: −0:17 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 34:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:36 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 20:29 (36.6 km/h)
Run: 12:50 (3:34 / km)
Total: 34:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 7:01
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 34.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 16 Bernadett Nyíri
HUN
+36 s
+27 s
G2 / G1
 14:29
14:33
 34:36
Show details
Prediction details: Bernadett Nyíri

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 18–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 7:06
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: 8.8 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 94 Duelle, Korrektur -0.90 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.4 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.98 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:29 (4:01 / km)
Historical basis: 4:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 95 Duelle, Korrektur -0.50 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:33 (4:03 / km)
Error: −0:04 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 34:36
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:06 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:23 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 14:29 (4:01 / km)
Total: 34:36
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 7:02
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 4.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 26 Sofia Hämäläinen
FIN
+38 s
+38 s
G2 / G3
 14:31
15:33
 34:38
Show details
Prediction details: Sofia Hämäläinen

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 16–27
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 26
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 7:08
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: -0.3 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 3 (3 people)
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.96 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:31 (4:02 / km)
Historical basis: 4:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:52 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:33 (4:19 / km)
Error: −1:02 / −0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 34:38
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:08 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:23 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 14:31 (4:02 / km)
Total: 34:38
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 7:02
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 6.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 19 Miléna Kovács
HUN
+49 s
+47 s
G3 / G3
correct 		13:53
13:59
 34:52
Show details
Prediction details: Miléna Kovács

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 15–25
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 19
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 7:19
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: 1.8 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.4 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 3 (3 people)
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.45 km/h

Running and total

Run: 13:53 (3:51 / km)
Historical basis: 3:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 71 Duelle, Korrektur -0.59 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 13:59 (3:53 / km)
Error: −0:06 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 34:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:19 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 20:03 (37.7 km/h)
Run: 13:53 (3:51 / km)
Total: 34:52
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 7:02
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 17.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 24 Sarlota Jurcova
SVK
+55 s
+55 s
G3 / G4
 14:01
14:28
 35:00
Show details
Prediction details: Sarlota Jurcova

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 20–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +55 s
Time: 7:25
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +55 s
Fehler: -0.3 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.3 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 4 (7 people)
Speed: 34.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.99 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:01 (3:54 / km)
Historical basis: 3:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:28 (4:01 / km)
Error: −0:27 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 35:00
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 7:25 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 20:03 (37.7 km/h)
Run: 14:01 (3:54 / km)
Total: 35:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 7:02
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 23.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 27 Gréta Emma Hajdu
HUN
+49 s
+50 s
G3 / G4
 14:12
14:57
 35:11
Show details
Prediction details: Gréta Emma Hajdu

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 21–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 7:19
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +50 s
Fehler: -0.6 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 5.3 s
Result: Group 4 (7 people)
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.23 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:12 (3:57 / km)
Historical basis: 3:56 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:56 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:57 (4:09 / km)
Error: −0:45 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 35:11
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 7:19 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 20:03 (37.7 km/h)
Run: 14:12 (3:57 / km)
Total: 35:11
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 7:01
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 18.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 21 Eva Korošec
SLO
+73 s
+74 s
G5 / G4
 13:37
14:08
 35:17
Show details
Prediction details: Eva Korošec

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 25–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +73 s
Time: 7:43
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +74 s
Fehler: -0.6 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.2 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 4 (7 people)
Speed: 35.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 13:37 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:08 (3:56 / km)
Error: −0:31 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 35:17
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 7:43 (1:33 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 20:24 (36.8 km/h)
Run: 13:37 (3:47 / km)
Total: 35:17
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 7:01
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 42.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 20 Nenna Mäkinen
FIN
+75 s
+75 s
G5 / G4
 13:44
13:48
 35:24
Show details
Prediction details: Nenna Mäkinen

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 23–28
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 20
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +75 s
Time: 7:45
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +75 s
Fehler: 0.4 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (7 people)
Speed: 35.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.62 km/h

Running and total

Run: 13:44 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur -0.53 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 13:48 (3:50 / km)
Error: −0:04 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 35:24
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:45 (1:33 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 20:24 (36.8 km/h)
Run: 13:44 (3:49 / km)
Total: 35:24
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 7:01
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 44.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 28 Kata Bianka Nagy
HUN
+56 s
+56 s
G3 / G4
 14:27
15:17
 35:26
Show details
Prediction details: Kata Bianka Nagy

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 18–28
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 28
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +56 s
Time: 7:26
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +56 s
Fehler: -0.3 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 10.5 s
Result: Group 4 (7 people)
Speed: 34.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:27 (4:01 / km)
Historical basis: 4:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:17 (4:15 / km)
Error: −0:50 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 35:26
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:26 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 20:03 (37.7 km/h)
Run: 14:27 (4:01 / km)
Total: 35:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 7:02
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 24.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.