Zum Inhalt springen
Performance Workspace
Predicition
Live data
Prediction comparison

Semifinal 1 Junior Men

27.06.2026 HUN
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Junior Cup Tiszaujvaros

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 27.06.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 50/100 niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 21 früheren Rennen und 450 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 44.2 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 13.06.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 28.6 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 60.7 % · 21 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error6.1
Mean swim error12.8 s
Mean bike-speed error1.93 km/h
Correct bike groups10/19
No history9
Within the 80% range39.3 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 6 András Szűcs
HUN
+17 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		10:01
10:28
 27:41
Show details
Prediction details: András Szűcs

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 3–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +17 s
Time: 3:22
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 17.0 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 48 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 56 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 1 (10 people)
Speed: 43.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.78 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:01 (3:02 / km)
Historical basis: 3:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur 0.55 %, Sicherheit 39 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:28 (3:10 / km)
Error: −0:27 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 27:41
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 3:22 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:07 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 10:01 (3:02 / km)
Total: 27:41
2 / 4 Mihály Márton Szabó
HUN
+27 s
+18 s
G1 / G1
correct 		10:02
10:03
 27:42
Show details
Prediction details: Mihály Márton Szabó

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 3–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 3:32
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 8.5 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 40 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 34 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 1 (10 people)
Speed: 44.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.09 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:02 (3:02 / km)
Historical basis: 3:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 0.82 %, Sicherheit 31 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:03 (3:03 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 27:42
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 3:32 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:07 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 10:02 (3:02 / km)
Total: 27:42
3 / 7 Szabolcs Mihály
HUN
+15 s
+12 s
G1 / G1
correct 		10:10
10:30
 27:50
Show details
Prediction details: Szabolcs Mihály

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 3–7
Top-10 probability: 96 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +15 s
Time: 3:20
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 3.1 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 14 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 68 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 3.2 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s
Result: Group 1 (10 people)
Speed: 44.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:10 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 24 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:30 (3:11 / km)
Error: −0:20 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 27:50
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 3:20 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:07 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 10:10 (3:05 / km)
Total: 27:50
4 / 3 Antonin Mathieu
FRA
+20 s
+15 s
G1 / G1
correct 		10:31
10:05
 28:11
Show details
Prediction details: Antonin Mathieu

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 5–8
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 3:25
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: 5.3 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 38 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 53 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 1 (10 people)
Speed: 44.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.96 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:31 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -1.63 %, Sicherheit 15 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:05 (3:03 / km)
Error: +0:26 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 28:11
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 3:25 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:07 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 10:31 (3:11 / km)
Total: 28:11
5 / 1 Daniel Hershkovitch
ISR
+12 s
+12 s
G1 / G1
correct 		10:35
10:03
 28:15
Show details
Prediction details: Daniel Hershkovitch

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 6–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 3:17
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: -0.1 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 32 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 59 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 3.2 s
Result: Group 1 (10 people)
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:35 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.59 %, Sicherheit 15 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:03 (3:03 / km)
Error: +0:32 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 28:15
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 3:17 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:07 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 10:35 (3:13 / km)
Total: 28:15
6 / 2 Luis Miguel Chávez Sanchez
MEX
+27 s
+4 s
G1 / G1
correct 		10:45
10:07
 28:25
Show details
Prediction details: Luis Miguel Chávez Sanchez

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 4–16
Top-10 probability: 60 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 3:32
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +4 s
Fehler: 23.2 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 54 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 1 (10 people)
Speed: 43.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:45 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 10
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 11 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:07 (3:04 / km)
Error: +0:38 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 28:25
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 3:32 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:07 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 10:45 (3:15 / km)
Total: 28:25
7 / 8 Diego Humberto Suarez Arias
MEX
+33 s
+17 s
G1 / G1
correct 		10:59
10:23
 28:39
Show details
Prediction details: Diego Humberto Suarez Arias

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 7–18
Top-10 probability: 29 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 3:38
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 16.1 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 33 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 3.4 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 1 (10 people)
Speed: 44.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:59 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 9 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:23 (3:09 / km)
Error: +0:36 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 28:39
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 3:38 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:07 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 10:59 (3:20 / km)
Total: 28:39
8 / 21 Lénárd Temesvári
HUN
+25 s
+30 s
G1 / G2
 11:00
11:48
 28:40
Show details
Prediction details: Lénárd Temesvári

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 8–12
Top-10 probability: 69 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 3:30
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: -5.0 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 40 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.82 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:00 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 12 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:48 (3:35 / km)
Error: −0:48 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 28:40
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 3:30 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:07 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 11:00 (3:20 / km)
Total: 28:40
9 / 14 Rodrigo Benjamín Moreno Carballo
MEX
+19 s
+25 s
G1 / G2
 11:09
10:24
 28:49
Show details
Prediction details: Rodrigo Benjamín Moreno Carballo

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 9–13
Top-10 probability: 46 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 3:24
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: -6.2 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 45 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:09 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 10 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:24 (3:09 / km)
Error: +0:45 / +0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 28:49
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 3:24 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:07 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 11:09 (3:23 / km)
Total: 28:49
10 / 12 Evyatar Naor
ISR
+33 s
+23 s
G1 / G2
 11:10
10:21
 28:50
Show details
Prediction details: Evyatar Naor

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 11–17
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 3:38
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: 10.4 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 10 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 2.4 s
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:10 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.73 %, Sicherheit 10 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:21 (3:08 / km)
Error: +0:49 / +0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 28:50
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 3:38 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:07 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 11:10 (3:23 / km)
Total: 28:50
11 / 10 Tomer Guy
ISR
+25 s
+17 s
G1 / G1
correct 		11:13
10:51
 28:53
Show details
Prediction details: Tomer Guy

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 9–16
Top-10 probability: 33 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 3:30
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 7.8 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 6 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 3.8 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 1 (10 people)
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:13 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.90 %, Sicherheit 27 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:51 (3:17 / km)
Error: +0:22 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 28:53
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 3:30 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:07 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 11:13 (3:24 / km)
Total: 28:53
12 / 13 Benett Kovács
HUN
+28 s
+25 s
G1 / G2
 11:24
10:30
 29:04
Show details
Prediction details: Benett Kovács

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 5–19
Top-10 probability: 35 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 3:33
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: 3.0 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 39 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.36 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:24 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.29 %, Sicherheit 31 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:30 (3:11 / km)
Error: +0:54 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 29:04
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 3:33 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:07 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 11:24 (3:27 / km)
Total: 29:04
13 / 9 Arsen Adamov
UKR
+28 s
+3 s
G1 / G1
correct 		11:29
10:30
 29:09
Show details
Prediction details: Arsen Adamov

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 12–19
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 3:33
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 24.7 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.69 %, Sicherheit 10 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 26 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 1 (10 people)
Speed: 43.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.78 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:29 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -0.43 %, Sicherheit 32 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:30 (3:11 / km)
Error: +0:59 / +0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 29:09
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 3:33 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:07 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 11:29 (3:29 / km)
Total: 29:09
14 / 16 János Kardos
HUN
+30 s
+41 s
G1 / G2
 12:09
10:50
 29:49
Show details
Prediction details: János Kardos

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 14–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 3:35
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: -11.3 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 33 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 3.4 s
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.30 km/h

Running and total

Run: 12:09 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 30 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:50 (3:17 / km)
Error: +1:19 / +0:24 / km
Overall prediction: 29:49
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 3:35 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:07 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 12:09 (3:41 / km)
Total: 29:49
15 / 11 Áron Bódizs
HUN
+38 s
+26 s
G2 / G2
correct 		11:00
10:23
 29:51
Show details
Prediction details: Áron Bódizs

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 11–17
Top-10 probability: 10 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 3:43
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: 11.8 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 6 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 39.5 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 12.7 s
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.09 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:00 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 2.27 %, Sicherheit 14 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:23 (3:09 / km)
Error: +0:37 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 29:51
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 3:43 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:13 (39.5 km/h)
Run: 11:00 (3:20 / km)
Total: 29:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 3:39
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
About 4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 5 Zaкhar Tsivkovskyi
UKR
+37 s
+16 s
G2 / G1
 11:09
10:13
 30:00
Show details
Prediction details: Zaкhar Tsivkovskyi

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 10–18
Top-10 probability: 11 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 3:42
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: 21.3 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -0.42 %, Sicherheit 15 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 39.5 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 1 (10 people)
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.57 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:09 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 36 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:13 (3:06 / km)
Error: +0:56 / +0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 30:00
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 3:42 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:13 (39.5 km/h)
Run: 11:09 (3:23 / km)
Total: 30:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 3:39
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
About 3.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 15 Adam Horvath
HUN
+51 s
+41 s
G3 / G2
 10:58
10:49
 30:36
Show details
Prediction details: Adam Horvath

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 14–19
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 15
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 3:56
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: 9.5 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 12.7 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.98 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:58 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 10 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:49 (3:17 / km)
Error: +0:09 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 30:36
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 3:56 (1:34 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:48 (38.3 km/h)
Run: 10:58 (3:19 / km)
Total: 30:36
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 3:39
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
About 16.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 17 Yonatan Alkalay
ISR
+0 s
+24 s
G0 / G2
10:54
Show details
Prediction details: Yonatan Alkalay

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 20–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:05
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:54 (3:18 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 3:05 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 18 Alejandro López Pérez
ESP
+0 s
+35 s
G0 / G2
10:56
Show details
Prediction details: Alejandro López Pérez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 21–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:05
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:56 (3:19 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 3:05 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 19 Juraj Janković
CRO
+0 s
+28 s
G0 / G2
11:28
Show details
Prediction details: Juraj Janković

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 22–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:05
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:28 (3:28 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 3:05 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 20 Daniel Potyagaylo
ISR
+0 s
+39 s
G0 / G2
11:37
Show details
Prediction details: Daniel Potyagaylo

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 23–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:05
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +39 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:37 (3:31 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 3:05 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 22 Csaba Oroszi
HUN
+0 s
+43 s
G0 / G3
10:52
Show details
Prediction details: Csaba Oroszi

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 24–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:05
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (5 people)
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:52 (3:18 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 3:05 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 23 Santiago Silva Altamirano
MEX
+21 s
+46 s
G1 / G3
11:11
Show details
Prediction details: Santiago Silva Altamirano

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -23

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 3:26
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: -25.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 44 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 3.8 s
Result: Group 3 (5 people)
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.17 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:11 (3:23 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 3:26 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:07 (42.1 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 24 Szabolcs Demjén
HUN
+0 s
+50 s
G0 / G3
11:46
Show details
Prediction details: Szabolcs Demjén

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 25–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:05
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +50 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (5 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:46 (3:34 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 3:05 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 25 Nino Slanič
SLO
+0 s
+45 s
G0 / G3
12:48
Show details
Prediction details: Nino Slanič

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 26–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:05
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (5 people)
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:48 (3:53 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 3:05 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 26 Tine Jarc
SLO
+36 s
+69 s
G2 / G4
11:23
Show details
Prediction details: Tine Jarc

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 26
Deviation: -26

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 3:41
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +69 s
Fehler: -33.2 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 39.5 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.4 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.95 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:23 (3:27 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 3:41 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:13 (39.5 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 3:39
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
About 2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 27 Matic Klemen
SLO
+0 s
+67 s
G0 / G5
12:30
Show details
Prediction details: Matic Klemen

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 27–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:05
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +67 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:30 (3:47 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 3:05 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 28 Ferenc Kosztolányi
HUN
+0 s
+77 s
G0 / G5
12:58
Show details
Prediction details: Ferenc Kosztolányi

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 28–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:05
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +77 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:58 (3:56 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 3:05 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.