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Semifinal 3 Junior Men

27.06.2026 HUN
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Junior Cup Tiszaujvaros

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 27.06.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 55/100 niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 21 früheren Rennen und 450 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 44.2 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 13.06.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 38.5 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 50.0 % · 21 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error7.2
Mean swim error7.5 s
Mean bike-speed error1.00 km/h
Correct bike groups5/17
No history9
Within the 80% range19.2 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 3 Michael Stiebel
ISR
+5 s
+9 s
G1 / G1
correct 		10:21
10:56
 27:52
Show details
Prediction details: Michael Stiebel

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 4–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +5 s
Time: 3:06
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +9 s
Fehler: -4.0 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 26 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 76 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 4.0 s
Result: Group 1 (6 people)
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.50 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:21 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.76 %, Sicherheit 15 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:56 (3:19 / km)
Error: −0:35 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 27:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 3:06 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:19 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 10:21 (3:08 / km)
Total: 27:52
2 / 16 Bálint Szilágyi
HUN
+47 s
+44 s
G2 / G4
 9:36
10:54
 27:53
Show details
Prediction details: Bálint Szilágyi

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 4–10
Top-10 probability: 94 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 3:48
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: 3.0 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 6 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.6 s
Gap behind: 4.0 s
Result: Group 4 (10 people)
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.68 km/h

Running and total

Run: 9:36 (2:54 / km)
Historical basis: 2:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 17 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:54 (3:18 / km)
Error: −1:18 / −0:24 / km
Overall prediction: 27:53
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 3:48 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:24 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 9:36 (2:54 / km)
Total: 27:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 3:17
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 31 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 1 Zsombor Holba
HUN
+20 s
+11 s
G2 / G2
correct 		9:54
10:39
 28:11
Show details
Prediction details: Zsombor Holba

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 4–8
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 3:21
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 8.5 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 24 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 49 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.4 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 43.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.93 km/h

Running and total

Run: 9:54 (3:00 / km)
Historical basis: 2:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 1.17 %, Sicherheit 32 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:39 (3:14 / km)
Error: −0:45 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 28:11
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 3:21 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:24 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 9:54 (3:00 / km)
Total: 28:11
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 3:18
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 3.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 15 Zsombor Jakab
HUN
+34 s
+35 s
G2 / G3
 10:01
11:08
 28:18
Show details
Prediction details: Zsombor Jakab

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 4–10
Top-10 probability: 94 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 3:35
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: -1.4 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -0.36 %, Sicherheit 20 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 26 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 8.5 s
Result: Group 3 (9 people)
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:01 (3:02 / km)
Historical basis: 3:00 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 1.33 %, Sicherheit 25 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:08 (3:22 / km)
Error: −1:07 / −0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 28:18
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 3:35 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:24 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 10:01 (3:02 / km)
Total: 28:18
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 3:17
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 17.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 21 András Deli
HUN
+12 s
+7 s
G1 / G1
correct 		10:57
13:55
 28:28
Show details
Prediction details: András Deli

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 5–13
Top-10 probability: 69 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 3:13
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +7 s
Fehler: 5.1 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.44 %, Sicherheit 15 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 48 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 4.0 s
Result: Group 1 (6 people)
Speed: 43.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.32 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:57 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 2.40 %, Sicherheit 24 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 13:55 (4:13 / km)
Error: −2:58 / −0:54 / km
Overall prediction: 28:28
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 3:13 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:19 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 10:57 (3:19 / km)
Total: 28:28
6 / 5 Arthur Baigidin
RUS
+9 s
+1 s
G1 / G1
correct 		11:08
10:58
 28:39
Show details
Prediction details: Arthur Baigidin

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 7–11
Top-10 probability: 73 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +9 s
Time: 3:10
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 8.0 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.27 %, Sicherheit 15 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 71 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 4.0 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 1 (6 people)
Speed: 43.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.19 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:08 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 13 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:58 (3:19 / km)
Error: +0:10 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 28:39
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 3:10 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:19 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 11:08 (3:22 / km)
Total: 28:39
7 / 4 Liran Pelzman
ISR
+16 s
+4 s
G2 / G1
 10:36
10:58
 28:53
Show details
Prediction details: Liran Pelzman

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 6–10
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 3:17
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +4 s
Fehler: 12.1 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.42 %, Sicherheit 14 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 33 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.0 s
Gap behind: 3.4 s
Result: Group 1 (6 people)
Speed: 43.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.24 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:36 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.52 %, Sicherheit 33 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:58 (3:19 / km)
Error: −0:22 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 28:53
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 3:17 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:24 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 10:36 (3:13 / km)
Total: 28:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 3:17
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 0.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 8 Maks Mori
SLO
+21 s
+25 s
G2 / G3
 10:53
10:06
 29:10
Show details
Prediction details: Maks Mori

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 8–12
Top-10 probability: 46 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 3:22
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: -4.0 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.57 %, Sicherheit 28 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 20 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 3 (9 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.17 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:53 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.81 %, Sicherheit 36 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:06 (3:04 / km)
Error: +0:47 / +0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 29:10
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 3:22 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:24 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 10:53 (3:18 / km)
Total: 29:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 3:17
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 11 Álmos Hóbor
HUN
+33 s
+32 s
G2 / G3
 10:57
10:22
 29:14
Show details
Prediction details: Álmos Hóbor

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 10–13
Top-10 probability: 19 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 3:34
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: 1.2 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 16 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.4 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 3 (9 people)
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:57 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 2.44 %, Sicherheit 29 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:22 (3:08 / km)
Error: +0:35 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 29:14
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 3:34 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:24 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 10:57 (3:19 / km)
Total: 29:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 3:17
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 17.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 7 Omri Margalit
ISR
+10 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		12:00
11:10
 29:31
Show details
Prediction details: Omri Margalit

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 11–14
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +10 s
Time: 3:11
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 10.1 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.99 %, Sicherheit 7 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 53 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 1 (6 people)
Speed: 43.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.23 km/h

Running and total

Run: 12:00 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.52 %, Sicherheit 25 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:10 (3:23 / km)
Error: +0:50 / +0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 29:31
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 3:11 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:19 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 12:00 (3:38 / km)
Total: 29:31
11 / 18 Mauro Burger
SUI
+51 s
+66 s
G2 / G4
 11:39
11:35
 29:56
Show details
Prediction details: Mauro Burger

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 12–14
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 3:52
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +66 s
Fehler: -15.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.0 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 4 (10 people)
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:39 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:35 (3:31 / km)
Error: +0:04 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 29:56
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 3:52 (1:33 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:24 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 11:39 (3:32 / km)
Total: 29:56
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 3:17
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 35 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 17 Matvii Malysh
UKR
+44 s
+42 s
G2 / G4
 12:13
11:13
 30:30
Show details
Prediction details: Matvii Malysh

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 15–15
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 3:45
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: 2.4 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.57 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.3 s
Gap behind: 2.6 s
Result: Group 4 (10 people)
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.32 km/h

Running and total

Run: 12:13 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 2.30 %, Sicherheit 24 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:13 (3:24 / km)
Error: +1:00 / +0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 30:30
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 3:45 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:24 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 12:13 (3:42 / km)
Total: 30:30
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 3:17
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 28.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 9 Fedir Bezlepkin
UKR
+26 s
+16 s
G2 / G3
 21:39
10:06
 39:56
Show details
Prediction details: Fedir Bezlepkin

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 16–16
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 3:27
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: 9.8 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.86 %, Sicherheit 14 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 7.4 s
Result: Group 3 (9 people)
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.68 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:39 (6:34 / km)
Historical basis: 6:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:41 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 24 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:06 (3:04 / km)
Error: +11:33 / +3:30 / km
Overall prediction: 39:56
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 3:27 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:24 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 21:39 (6:34 / km)
Total: 39:56
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 3:17
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 9.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 13 David Pakšec
CRO
+42 s
+36 s
G2 / G3
 23:18
10:31
 41:35
Show details
Prediction details: David Pakšec

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 17–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 3:43
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: 6.1 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 10 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.5 s
Gap behind: 2.3 s
Result: Group 3 (9 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 23:18 (7:04 / km)
Historical basis: 7:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 7:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 17 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:31 (3:11 / km)
Error: +12:47 / +3:52 / km
Overall prediction: 41:35
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 3:43 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:24 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 23:18 (7:04 / km)
Total: 41:35
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 3:17
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 26.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 2 Gergő Marádi
HUN
+0 s
+14 s
G0 / G1
10:55
Show details
Prediction details: Gergő Marádi

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 18–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (6 people)
Speed: 44.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:55 (3:18 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 3:01 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 6 Michael Hershkovitch
ISR
+0 s
+22 s
G0 / G3
9:49
Show details
Prediction details: Michael Hershkovitch

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 19–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (9 people)
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:49 (2:58 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 3:01 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 10 Noel Kovács
HUN
+53 s
+37 s
G2 / G3
10:14
Show details
Prediction details: Noel Kovács

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 3:54
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: 16.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (9 people)
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:14 (3:06 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 3:54 (1:34 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:24 (41.7 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 3:17
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 37 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 12 Ádám Tóth
HUN
+0 s
+69 s
G0 / G4
10:05
Show details
Prediction details: Ádám Tóth

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 20–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +69 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (10 people)
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:05 (3:03 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 3:01 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 14 Dávid Nyári
HUN
+0 s
+42 s
G0 / G4
10:29
Show details
Prediction details: Dávid Nyári

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 21–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (10 people)
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:29 (3:11 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 3:01 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 19 Mateo Macias Laureano
MEX
+22 s
+40 s
G2 / G4
11:44
Show details
Prediction details: Mateo Macias Laureano

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 3:23
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: -18.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 3.0 s
Result: Group 4 (10 people)
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.72 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:44 (3:33 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 3:23 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:24 (41.7 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 3:17
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 20 Valer Belko
SVK
+0 s
+59 s
G0 / G4
12:04
Show details
Prediction details: Valer Belko

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 22–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +59 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (10 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:04 (3:39 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 3:01 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 22 Yuval Parness
ISR
+0 s
+39 s
G0 / G4
12:23
Show details
Prediction details: Yuval Parness

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 23–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +39 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (10 people)
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:23 (3:45 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 3:01 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 23 Tavish Quinn
USA
+25 s
+28 s
G2 / G3
13:58
Show details
Prediction details: Tavish Quinn

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -23

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 3:26
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: -3.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.0 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 3 (9 people)
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.25 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 13:58 (4:14 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 3:26 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:24 (41.7 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 3:17
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 24 Huba Korompay
HUN
+0 s
+64 s
G0 / G4
14:12
Show details
Prediction details: Huba Korompay

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 24–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +64 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (10 people)
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:12 (4:18 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 3:01 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 25 Zénó Rádi
HUN
+0 s
+78 s
G0 / G5
12:13
Show details
Prediction details: Zénó Rádi

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 25–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +78 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 36.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:13 (3:42 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 3:01 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 26 Jaša Pregelj
SLO
+0 s
+74 s
G0 / G5
13:33
Show details
Prediction details: Jaša Pregelj

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 26–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 3:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +74 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 36.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 13:33 (4:06 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 3:01 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.