Prediction comparison

Junior Men

28.06.2026 Wels AUT

Race information and calculation basis

2026 Europe Triathlon Junior Cup Wels

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 28.06.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used

Modell v14 calibrated

Prediction quality 75/100 mittel

Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 33 früheren Rennen und 667 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 47.3 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 28.06.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 3 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 60.7 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 91.8 % · 33 Kalibrierungsrennen

Retrospective backtest without using the analysed race or later results.

Show methodology

Only after the historical calculation is the prediction compared with the actual result.

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors

Mean place error14.5

Mean swim error15.4 s

Mean bike-speed error0.97 km/h

Correct bike groups11/57

No history4

Within the 80% range36.1 %

Place Prediction / result	Athlete	Swimming Prediction / result	Bike group Prediction / result	Run Prediction / result	Overall prediction	Details
1 / 51	Aaron Franceschini ITA	+6 s +59 s	G1 / G4	15:54 17:42	47:01	Show details Prediction details: Aaron Franceschini Placement Prediction: 1 80% range: 2–7 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 51 Deviation: -50 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +6 s Time: 8:39 Pace: 1:09 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +59 s Fehler: -53.4 s H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.54 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 93 % Speed: 42.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.2 s Gap behind: 7.2 s Result: Group 4 (10 people) Speed: 41.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.55 km/h Running and total Run: 15:54 (3:11 / km) Historical basis: 3:15 / km Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 7 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 17:42 (3:32 / km) Error: −1:48 / −0:22 / km Overall prediction: 47:01 Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 8:39 (1:09 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:50 (42.9 km/h) Run: 15:54 (3:11 / km) Total: 47:01
2 / 6	Albert Håkansson SUI	+22 s +18 s	G2 / G1	15:59 15:19	47:08	Show details Prediction details: Albert Håkansson Placement Prediction: 2 80% range: 2–8 Top-10 probability: 98 % Result: 6 Deviation: -4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +22 s Time: 8:55 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +18 s Fehler: 3.6 s H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur 0.51 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (19 people) Gruppe 1: 79 % Speed: 43.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.1 s Gap behind: 0.3 s Result: Group 1 (35 people) Speed: 43.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.15 km/h Running and total Run: 15:59 (3:12 / km) Historical basis: 3:16 / km Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 5 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 11 % Ergebnis Lauf: 15:19 (3:04 / km) Error: +0:40 / +0:08 / km Overall prediction: 47:08 Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 8:55 (1:11 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:28 (43.3 km/h) Run: 15:59 (3:12 / km) Total: 47:08 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:54 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 1.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 53	Guglielmo Marafatto ITA	+13 s +31 s	G1 / G2	16:13 19:45	47:20	Show details Prediction details: Guglielmo Marafatto Placement Prediction: 3 80% range: 3–11 Top-10 probability: 88 % Result: 53 Deviation: -50 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +13 s Time: 8:46 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +31 s Fehler: -17.6 s H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 73 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 90 % Speed: 42.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.6 s Gap behind: 1.6 s Result: Group 2 (11 people) Speed: 43.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.08 km/h Running and total Run: 16:13 (3:15 / km) Historical basis: 3:19 / km Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 5 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 19:45 (3:57 / km) Error: −3:32 / −0:42 / km Overall prediction: 47:20 Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 8:46 (1:10 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:50 (42.9 km/h) Run: 16:13 (3:15 / km) Total: 47:20
4 / 15	Nik Vučko SLO	+48 s +28 s	G3 / G1	15:38 15:57	47:21	Show details Prediction details: Nik Vučko Placement Prediction: 4 80% range: 5–20 Top-10 probability: 61 % Result: 15 Deviation: -11 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +48 s Time: 9:21 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +28 s Fehler: 20.2 s H2H: 45 Gegner:innen, 101 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (22 people) Gruppe 1: 6 % Speed: 42.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.9 s Gap behind: 1.2 s Result: Group 1 (35 people) Speed: 43.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.92 km/h Running and total Run: 15:38 (3:08 / km) Historical basis: 3:07 / km Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur 0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 15:57 (3:11 / km) Error: −0:19 / −0:04 / km Overall prediction: 47:21 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:21 (1:15 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:46 (42.9 km/h) Run: 15:38 (3:08 / km) Total: 47:21 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:53 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 27.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 24	Alex Mandak SVK	+46 s +40 s	G3 / G1	15:40 16:26	47:23	Show details Prediction details: Alex Mandak Placement Prediction: 5 80% range: 3–17 Top-10 probability: 64 % Result: 24 Deviation: -19 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +46 s Time: 9:19 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +40 s Fehler: 6.2 s H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur -0.56 %, Sicherheit 71 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (22 people) Gruppe 1: 18 % Speed: 42.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.8 s Gap behind: 1.1 s Result: Group 1 (35 people) Speed: 44.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.11 km/h Running and total Run: 15:40 (3:08 / km) Historical basis: 3:07 / km Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur 0.41 %, Sicherheit 52 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:26 (3:17 / km) Error: −0:46 / −0:09 / km Overall prediction: 47:23 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:19 (1:15 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:46 (42.9 km/h) Run: 15:40 (3:08 / km) Total: 47:23 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:53 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 25.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 4	Jelle Kaindl AUT	+33 s +26 s	G2 / G1	16:16 15:01	47:25	Show details Prediction details: Jelle Kaindl Placement Prediction: 6 80% range: 3–19 Top-10 probability: 54 % Result: 4 Deviation: 2 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +33 s Time: 9:06 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +26 s Fehler: 6.6 s H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 80 Duelle, Korrektur -1.34 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (19 people) Gruppe 1: 34 % Speed: 43.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.2 s Gap behind: 0.5 s Result: Group 1 (35 people) Speed: 43.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.29 km/h Running and total Run: 16:16 (3:15 / km) Historical basis: 3:19 / km Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 6 H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 56 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 15:01 (3:00 / km) Error: +1:15 / +0:15 / km Overall prediction: 47:25 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:06 (1:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:28 (43.3 km/h) Run: 16:16 (3:15 / km) Total: 47:25 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:54 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 12.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 16	Adel Rassineux FRA	+17 s +18 s	G1 / G1 correct	16:18 16:02	47:25	Show details Prediction details: Adel Rassineux Placement Prediction: 7 80% range: 3–13 Top-10 probability: 68 % Result: 16 Deviation: -9 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +17 s Time: 8:50 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +18 s Fehler: -1.4 s H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 81 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 86 % Speed: 42.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.6 s Gap behind: 0.8 s Result: Group 1 (35 people) Speed: 43.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.82 km/h Running and total Run: 16:18 (3:16 / km) Historical basis: 3:19 / km Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 6 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 15 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:02 (3:12 / km) Error: +0:16 / +0:03 / km Overall prediction: 47:25 Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 8:50 (1:11 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:50 (42.9 km/h) Run: 16:18 (3:16 / km) Total: 47:25
8 / 21	Jakub Marik CZE	+54 s +55 s	G3 / G2	15:49 15:25	47:32	Show details Prediction details: Jakub Marik Placement Prediction: 8 80% range: 5–33 Top-10 probability: 40 % Result: 21 Deviation: -13 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +54 s Time: 9:27 Pace: 1:16 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +55 s Fehler: -1.5 s H2H: 46 Gegner:innen, 90 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (22 people) Gruppe 1: 5 % Speed: 42.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.1 s Gap behind: 0.3 s Result: Group 2 (11 people) Speed: 43.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.44 km/h Running and total Run: 15:49 (3:10 / km) Historical basis: 3:10 / km Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 73 % Ergebnis Lauf: 15:25 (3:05 / km) Error: +0:24 / +0:05 / km Overall prediction: 47:32 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:27 (1:16 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:46 (42.9 km/h) Run: 15:49 (3:10 / km) Total: 47:32 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:54 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 33.2 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 2	Sebastian Ziekman LUX	+21 s +7 s	G2 / G1	16:26 14:52	47:35	Show details Prediction details: Sebastian Ziekman Placement Prediction: 9 80% range: 7–16 Top-10 probability: 50 % Result: 2 Deviation: 7 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +21 s Time: 8:54 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +7 s Fehler: 13.8 s H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.55 %, Sicherheit 10 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (19 people) Gruppe 1: 63 % Speed: 43.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 3.4 s Gap behind: 0.7 s Result: Group 1 (35 people) Speed: 43.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.05 km/h Running and total Run: 16:26 (3:17 / km) Historical basis: 3:19 / km Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.79 %, Sicherheit 12 % Ergebnis Lauf: 14:52 (2:58 / km) Error: +1:34 / +0:19 / km Overall prediction: 47:35 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 8:54 (1:11 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:28 (43.3 km/h) Run: 16:26 (3:17 / km) Total: 47:35 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:54 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 0.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 8	Giuseppe Basta ITA	+30 s +27 s	G2 / G1	16:32 15:27	47:41	Show details Prediction details: Giuseppe Basta Placement Prediction: 10 80% range: 2–37 Top-10 probability: 38 % Result: 8 Deviation: 2 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +30 s Time: 9:03 Pace: 1:12 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +27 s Fehler: 2.9 s H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 84 Duelle, Korrektur -0.79 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (19 people) Gruppe 1: 45 % Speed: 43.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.4 s Gap behind: 2.5 s Result: Group 1 (35 people) Speed: 43.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.53 km/h Running and total Run: 16:32 (3:18 / km) Historical basis: 3:22 / km Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 9 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 16 % Ergebnis Lauf: 15:27 (3:05 / km) Error: +1:05 / +0:13 / km Overall prediction: 47:41 Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:03 (1:12 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:28 (43.3 km/h) Run: 16:32 (3:18 / km) Total: 47:41 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:53 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 9.6 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 7	Matěj Procházka CZE	+28 s +0 s	G2 / G1	16:33 15:17	47:42	Show details Prediction details: Matěj Procházka Placement Prediction: 11 80% range: 4–20 Top-10 probability: 46 % Result: 7 Deviation: 4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +28 s Time: 9:01 Pace: 1:12 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +0 s Fehler: 28.0 s H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 79 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (19 people) Gruppe 1: 59 % Speed: 43.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.0 s Gap behind: 0.9 s Result: Group 1 (35 people) Speed: 43.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.28 km/h Running and total Run: 16:33 (3:19 / km) Historical basis: 3:21 / km Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 5 H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur 0.43 %, Sicherheit 81 % Ergebnis Lauf: 15:17 (3:03 / km) Error: +1:16 / +0:15 / km Overall prediction: 47:42 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:01 (1:12 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:28 (43.3 km/h) Run: 16:33 (3:19 / km) Total: 47:42 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:53 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 7.7 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 5	Dorian Esteve FRA	+16 s +18 s	G1 / G1 correct	16:36 15:25	47:43	Show details Prediction details: Dorian Esteve Placement Prediction: 12 80% range: 6–15 Top-10 probability: 46 % Result: 5 Deviation: 7 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +16 s Time: 8:49 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +18 s Fehler: -2.0 s H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur 0.60 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 85 % Speed: 42.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.0 s Gap behind: 0.6 s Result: Group 1 (35 people) Speed: 43.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.77 km/h Running and total Run: 16:36 (3:19 / km) Historical basis: 3:19 / km Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 15:25 (3:05 / km) Error: +1:11 / +0:14 / km Overall prediction: 47:43 Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80 Swimming: 8:49 (1:11 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:50 (42.9 km/h) Run: 16:36 (3:19 / km) Total: 47:43
13 / 44	Yağız Sarıkaya TUR	+22 s +31 s	G2 / G2 correct	16:36 17:51	47:45	Show details Prediction details: Yağız Sarıkaya Placement Prediction: 13 80% range: 7–15 Top-10 probability: 48 % Result: 44 Deviation: -31 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +22 s Time: 8:55 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +31 s Fehler: -9.5 s H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 83 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (19 people) Gruppe 1: 81 % Speed: 43.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.7 s Gap behind: 0.1 s Result: Group 2 (11 people) Speed: 42.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.39 km/h Running and total Run: 16:36 (3:19 / km) Historical basis: 3:19 / km Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 86 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:51 (3:34 / km) Error: −1:15 / −0:15 / km Overall prediction: 47:45 Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 8:55 (1:11 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:28 (43.3 km/h) Run: 16:36 (3:19 / km) Total: 47:45 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:54 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 1.2 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 23	Nico Kalberer SUI	+30 s +47 s	G2 / G1	16:40 16:27	47:49	Show details Prediction details: Nico Kalberer Placement Prediction: 14 80% range: 8–23 Top-10 probability: 20 % Result: 23 Deviation: -9 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +30 s Time: 9:03 Pace: 1:12 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +47 s Fehler: -17.5 s H2H: 45 Gegner:innen, 82 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (19 people) Gruppe 1: 44 % Speed: 43.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.6 s Gap behind: 0.4 s Result: Group 1 (35 people) Speed: 44.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.92 km/h Running and total Run: 16:40 (3:20 / km) Historical basis: 3:19 / km Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:27 (3:17 / km) Error: +0:13 / +0:03 / km Overall prediction: 47:49 Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:03 (1:12 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:28 (43.3 km/h) Run: 16:40 (3:20 / km) Total: 47:49 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:54 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 9.2 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 55	Lorenz Schatz AUT	+52 s +44 s	G3 / G3 correct	16:35 19:03	48:18	Show details Prediction details: Lorenz Schatz Placement Prediction: 15 80% range: 3–42 Top-10 probability: 26 % Result: 55 Deviation: -40 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +52 s Time: 9:25 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +44 s Fehler: 8.1 s H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur 0.35 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (22 people) Gruppe 1: 3 % Speed: 42.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.5 s Gap behind: 1.3 s Result: Group 3 (5 people) Speed: 42.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.81 km/h Running and total Run: 16:35 (3:19 / km) Historical basis: 3:18 / km Best comparable pace: 2:25 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 0.64 %, Sicherheit 52 % Ergebnis Lauf: 19:03 (3:49 / km) Error: −2:28 / −0:30 / km Overall prediction: 48:18 Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:25 (1:15 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:46 (42.9 km/h) Run: 16:35 (3:19 / km) Total: 48:18 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:53 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 31.8 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 39	Tobias Leirer AUT	+32 s +35 s	G2 / G1	17:09 17:38	48:18	Show details Prediction details: Tobias Leirer Placement Prediction: 16 80% range: 12–25 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 39 Deviation: -23 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +32 s Time: 9:05 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +35 s Fehler: -2.6 s H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur 0.35 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (19 people) Gruppe 1: 46 % Speed: 43.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 2.5 s Gap behind: 0.2 s Result: Group 1 (35 people) Speed: 44.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.80 km/h Running and total Run: 17:09 (3:26 / km) Historical basis: 3:29 / km Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur 0.49 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:38 (3:32 / km) Error: −0:29 / −0:06 / km Overall prediction: 48:18 Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:05 (1:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:28 (43.3 km/h) Run: 17:09 (3:26 / km) Total: 48:18 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:53 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 12.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 30	Omer Peer ISR	+56 s +45 s	G3 / G2	16:37 16:18	48:20	Show details Prediction details: Omer Peer Placement Prediction: 17 80% range: 12–44 Top-10 probability: 8 % Result: 30 Deviation: -13 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +56 s Time: 9:29 Pace: 1:16 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +45 s Fehler: 10.6 s H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.41 %, Sicherheit 98 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (22 people) Gruppe 1: 11 % Speed: 42.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.8 s Gap behind: 0.3 s Result: Group 2 (11 people) Speed: 43.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.32 km/h Running and total Run: 16:37 (3:19 / km) Historical basis: 3:20 / km Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 96 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:18 (3:16 / km) Error: +0:19 / +0:04 / km Overall prediction: 48:20 Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:29 (1:16 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:46 (42.9 km/h) Run: 16:37 (3:19 / km) Total: 48:20 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:54 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 35.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 28	Paul Weiß AUT	+33 s +19 s	G2 / G1	17:20 16:39	48:29	Show details Prediction details: Paul Weiß Placement Prediction: 18 80% range: 16–29 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 28 Deviation: -10 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +33 s Time: 9:06 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +19 s Fehler: 14.1 s H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 64 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (19 people) Gruppe 1: 41 % Speed: 43.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.5 s Gap behind: 1.4 s Result: Group 1 (35 people) Speed: 43.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.36 km/h Running and total Run: 17:20 (3:28 / km) Historical basis: 3:29 / km Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur -0.29 %, Sicherheit 56 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:39 (3:20 / km) Error: +0:41 / +0:08 / km Overall prediction: 48:29 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:06 (1:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:28 (43.3 km/h) Run: 17:20 (3:28 / km) Total: 48:29 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:53 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 12.8 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 20	Matteo Belli ITA	+22 s +4 s	G2 / G1	17:24 16:13	48:33	Show details Prediction details: Matteo Belli Placement Prediction: 19 80% range: 15–25 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 20 Deviation: -1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +22 s Time: 8:55 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +4 s Fehler: 17.9 s H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 56 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (19 people) Gruppe 1: 80 % Speed: 43.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.3 s Gap behind: 1.3 s Result: Group 1 (35 people) Speed: 43.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.04 km/h Running and total Run: 17:24 (3:29 / km) Historical basis: 3:29 / km Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 39 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:13 (3:15 / km) Error: +1:11 / +0:14 / km Overall prediction: 48:33 Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 8:55 (1:11 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:28 (43.3 km/h) Run: 17:24 (3:29 / km) Total: 48:33 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:53 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 1.6 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 33	Daniel Janitsch AUT	+49 s +43 s	G3 / G1	16:52 17:05	48:35	Show details Prediction details: Daniel Janitsch Placement Prediction: 20 80% range: 16–29 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 33 Deviation: -13 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +49 s Time: 9:22 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +43 s Fehler: 6.4 s H2H: 46 Gegner:innen, 85 Duelle, Korrektur 0.41 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (22 people) Gruppe 1: 1 % Speed: 42.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.2 s Gap behind: 0.3 s Result: Group 1 (35 people) Speed: 44.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.09 km/h Running and total Run: 16:52 (3:22 / km) Historical basis: 3:23 / km Best comparable pace: 2:37 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:05 (3:25 / km) Error: −0:13 / −0:03 / km Overall prediction: 48:35 Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:22 (1:15 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:46 (42.9 km/h) Run: 16:52 (3:22 / km) Total: 48:35 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:53 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 29.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 10	Ruben Espuna Larramona ITA	+44 s +25 s	G3 / G1	16:53 15:32	48:36	Show details Prediction details: Ruben Espuna Larramona Placement Prediction: 21 80% range: 12–33 Top-10 probability: 8 % Result: 10 Deviation: 11 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +44 s Time: 9:17 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +25 s Fehler: 18.5 s H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur -0.41 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (22 people) Gruppe 1: 4 % Speed: 42.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.1 s Gap behind: 0.3 s Result: Group 1 (35 people) Speed: 43.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.85 km/h Running and total Run: 16:53 (3:23 / km) Historical basis: 3:22 / km Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 89 % Ergebnis Lauf: 15:32 (3:06 / km) Error: +1:21 / +0:16 / km Overall prediction: 48:36 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:17 (1:14 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:46 (42.9 km/h) Run: 16:53 (3:23 / km) Total: 48:36 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:54 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 23.2 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 56	David Winner AUT	+41 s +44 s	G2 / G4	17:32 18:57	48:41	Show details Prediction details: David Winner Placement Prediction: 22 80% range: 23–34 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 56 Deviation: -34 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +41 s Time: 9:14 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +44 s Fehler: -2.9 s H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.71 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (19 people) Gruppe 1: 9 % Speed: 43.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.0 s Gap behind: 2.3 s Result: Group 4 (10 people) Speed: 41.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.72 km/h Running and total Run: 17:32 (3:30 / km) Historical basis: 3:31 / km Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 76 % Ergebnis Lauf: 18:57 (3:47 / km) Error: −1:25 / −0:17 / km Overall prediction: 48:41 Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60 Swimming: 9:14 (1:14 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:28 (43.3 km/h) Run: 17:32 (3:30 / km) Total: 48:41 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:53 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 20.8 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 19	Ram Kaduri ISR	+51 s +31 s	G3 / G1	17:00 16:12	48:43	Show details Prediction details: Ram Kaduri Placement Prediction: 23 80% range: 18–34 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 19 Deviation: 4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +51 s Time: 9:24 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +31 s Fehler: 19.5 s H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 96 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (22 people) Gruppe 1: 1 % Speed: 42.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.3 s Gap behind: 1.1 s Result: Group 1 (35 people) Speed: 43.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.92 km/h Running and total Run: 17:00 (3:24 / km) Historical basis: 3:24 / km Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 88 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:12 (3:14 / km) Error: +0:48 / +0:10 / km Overall prediction: 48:43 Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:24 (1:15 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:46 (42.9 km/h) Run: 17:00 (3:24 / km) Total: 48:43 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:54 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 30.2 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 54	Elia Di Bari SUI	+47 s +52 s	G3 / G3 correct	17:04 18:58	48:47	Show details Prediction details: Elia Di Bari Placement Prediction: 24 80% range: 15–44 Top-10 probability: 1 % Result: 54 Deviation: -30 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +47 s Time: 9:20 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +52 s Fehler: -4.7 s H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 80 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (22 people) Gruppe 1: 23 % Speed: 42.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.1 s Gap behind: 0.9 s Result: Group 3 (5 people) Speed: 42.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.78 km/h Running and total Run: 17:04 (3:25 / km) Historical basis: 3:21 / km Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 1.96 %, Sicherheit 10 % Ergebnis Lauf: 18:58 (3:48 / km) Error: −1:54 / −0:23 / km Overall prediction: 48:47 Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:20 (1:15 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:46 (42.9 km/h) Run: 17:04 (3:25 / km) Total: 48:47 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:53 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 27 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 22	Victor Mauersperger AUT	+54 s +40 s	G3 / G1	17:04 16:15	48:47	Show details Prediction details: Victor Mauersperger Placement Prediction: 25 80% range: 16–39 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 22 Deviation: 3 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +54 s Time: 9:27 Pace: 1:16 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +40 s Fehler: 13.8 s H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur -0.57 %, Sicherheit 89 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (22 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 42.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.3 s Gap behind: 1.8 s Result: Group 1 (35 people) Speed: 44.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.19 km/h Running and total Run: 17:04 (3:25 / km) Historical basis: 3:23 / km Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur 1.02 %, Sicherheit 48 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:15 (3:15 / km) Error: +0:49 / +0:10 / km Overall prediction: 48:47 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:27 (1:16 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:46 (42.9 km/h) Run: 17:04 (3:25 / km) Total: 48:47 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:54 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 33.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 12	Andri Schwarz SUI	+29 s +29 s	G2 / G1	17:39 15:46	48:48	Show details Prediction details: Andri Schwarz Placement Prediction: 26 80% range: 7–37 Top-10 probability: 18 % Result: 12 Deviation: 14 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +29 s Time: 9:02 Pace: 1:12 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +29 s Fehler: -0.1 s H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (19 people) Gruppe 1: 50 % Speed: 43.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.0 s Gap behind: 0.6 s Result: Group 1 (35 people) Speed: 43.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.44 km/h Running and total Run: 17:39 (3:32 / km) Historical basis: 3:30 / km Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 6 H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur 0.67 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 15:46 (3:09 / km) Error: +1:53 / +0:23 / km Overall prediction: 48:48 Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:02 (1:12 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:28 (43.3 km/h) Run: 17:39 (3:32 / km) Total: 48:48 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:53 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 8.6 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 13	Daniele Pizzorni ITA	+56 s +32 s	G3 / G1	17:07 15:46	48:50	Show details Prediction details: Daniele Pizzorni Placement Prediction: 27 80% range: 21–45 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 13 Deviation: 14 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +56 s Time: 9:29 Pace: 1:16 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +32 s Fehler: 23.9 s H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 68 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (22 people) Gruppe 1: 3 % Speed: 42.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.3 s Gap behind: 0.3 s Result: Group 1 (35 people) Speed: 43.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.94 km/h Running and total Run: 17:07 (3:25 / km) Historical basis: 3:26 / km Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 37 % Ergebnis Lauf: 15:46 (3:09 / km) Error: +1:21 / +0:16 / km Overall prediction: 48:50 Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:29 (1:16 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:46 (42.9 km/h) Run: 17:07 (3:25 / km) Total: 48:50 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:53 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 35.6 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 11	Guillaume Bohnert FRA	+15 s +8 s	G1 / G1 correct	17:44 15:44	48:51	Show details Prediction details: Guillaume Bohnert Placement Prediction: 28 80% range: 19–29 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 11 Deviation: 17 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +15 s Time: 8:48 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +8 s Fehler: 7.0 s H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 90 % Speed: 42.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.6 s Gap behind: 1.0 s Result: Group 1 (35 people) Speed: 43.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.48 km/h Running and total Run: 17:44 (3:33 / km) Historical basis: 3:35 / km Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.97 %, Sicherheit 35 % Ergebnis Lauf: 15:44 (3:09 / km) Error: +2:00 / +0:24 / km Overall prediction: 48:51 Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 8:48 (1:10 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:50 (42.9 km/h) Run: 17:44 (3:33 / km) Total: 48:51
29 / 1	Gaspard Chabanel FRA	+50 s +23 s	G3 / G1	17:09 14:36	48:52	Show details Prediction details: Gaspard Chabanel Placement Prediction: 29 80% range: 16–44 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 1 Deviation: 28 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +50 s Time: 9:23 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +23 s Fehler: 26.7 s H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -1.17 %, Sicherheit 20 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (22 people) Gruppe 1: 13 % Speed: 42.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.3 s Gap behind: 0.5 s Result: Group 1 (35 people) Speed: 43.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.75 km/h Running and total Run: 17:09 (3:26 / km) Historical basis: 3:28 / km Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.88 %, Sicherheit 20 % Ergebnis Lauf: 14:36 (2:55 / km) Error: +2:33 / +0:31 / km Overall prediction: 48:52 Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:23 (1:15 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:46 (42.9 km/h) Run: 17:09 (3:26 / km) Total: 48:52 Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
30 / 18	Valentin Aber FRA	+4 s +2 s	G1 / G1 correct	17:53 16:07	49:00	Show details Prediction details: Valentin Aber Placement Prediction: 30 80% range: 21–30 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 18 Deviation: 12 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +4 s Time: 8:37 Pace: 1:09 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +2 s Fehler: 2.4 s H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 62 Duelle, Korrektur 0.72 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 93 % Speed: 42.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: – Gap behind: 1.2 s Result: Group 1 (35 people) Speed: 43.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.41 km/h Running and total Run: 17:53 (3:35 / km) Historical basis: 3:33 / km Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.65 %, Sicherheit 45 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:07 (3:13 / km) Error: +1:46 / +0:21 / km Overall prediction: 49:00 Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 8:37 (1:09 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:50 (42.9 km/h) Run: 17:53 (3:35 / km) Total: 49:00
31 / 27	Naël Gumy SUI	+13 s +19 s	G1 / G1 correct	17:54 16:39	49:01	Show details Prediction details: Naël Gumy Placement Prediction: 31 80% range: 11–40 Top-10 probability: 10 % Result: 27 Deviation: 4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +13 s Time: 8:46 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +19 s Fehler: -6.2 s H2H: 45 Gegner:innen, 100 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 91 % Speed: 42.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 7.2 s Gap behind: 0.6 s Result: Group 1 (35 people) Speed: 43.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.72 km/h Running and total Run: 17:54 (3:35 / km) Historical basis: 3:36 / km Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 5 H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur -0.69 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:39 (3:20 / km) Error: +1:15 / +0:15 / km Overall prediction: 49:01 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 8:46 (1:10 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:50 (42.9 km/h) Run: 17:54 (3:35 / km) Total: 49:01
32 / 9	Achille Alessandri ITA	+23 s +28 s	G2 / G1	17:56 15:32	49:05	Show details Prediction details: Achille Alessandri Placement Prediction: 32 80% range: 22–32 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 9 Deviation: 23 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +23 s Time: 8:56 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +28 s Fehler: -4.8 s H2H: 43 Gegner:innen, 69 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (19 people) Gruppe 1: 74 % Speed: 43.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.3 s Gap behind: 0.8 s Result: Group 1 (35 people) Speed: 43.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.39 km/h Running and total Run: 17:56 (3:35 / km) Historical basis: 3:38 / km Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -1.06 %, Sicherheit 24 % Ergebnis Lauf: 15:32 (3:06 / km) Error: +2:24 / +0:29 / km Overall prediction: 49:05 Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 8:56 (1:11 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:28 (43.3 km/h) Run: 17:56 (3:35 / km) Total: 49:05 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:53 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 2.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
33 / 32	Liem Aviv ISR	+44 s +59 s	G3 / G2	17:31 16:23	49:14	Show details Prediction details: Liem Aviv Placement Prediction: 33 80% range: 23–36 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 32 Deviation: 1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +44 s Time: 9:17 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +59 s Fehler: -15.2 s H2H: 46 Gegner:innen, 91 Duelle, Korrektur 0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (22 people) Gruppe 1: 9 % Speed: 42.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.3 s Gap behind: 1.0 s Result: Group 2 (11 people) Speed: 43.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.51 km/h Running and total Run: 17:31 (3:30 / km) Historical basis: 3:30 / km Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:23 (3:17 / km) Error: +1:08 / +0:14 / km Overall prediction: 49:14 Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:17 (1:14 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:46 (42.9 km/h) Run: 17:31 (3:30 / km) Total: 49:14 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:54 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 23.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
34 / 59	Maxim Mihaľov SVK	+53 s +67 s	G3 / G4	17:44 19:27	49:27	Show details Prediction details: Maxim Mihaľov Placement Prediction: 34 80% range: 28–45 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 59 Deviation: -25 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +53 s Time: 9:26 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +67 s Fehler: -13.6 s H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 63 Duelle, Korrektur 0.67 %, Sicherheit 84 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (22 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 42.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.3 s Gap behind: 0.1 s Result: Group 4 (10 people) Speed: 41.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.18 km/h Running and total Run: 17:44 (3:33 / km) Historical basis: 3:30 / km Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 1.51 %, Sicherheit 15 % Ergebnis Lauf: 19:27 (3:53 / km) Error: −1:43 / −0:21 / km Overall prediction: 49:27 Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:26 (1:15 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:46 (42.9 km/h) Run: 17:44 (3:33 / km) Total: 49:27 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:53 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 33.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
35 / 25	Samuele Iaconi SUI	+45 s +36 s	G3 / G1	17:51 16:32	49:34	Show details Prediction details: Samuele Iaconi Placement Prediction: 35 80% range: 16–43 Top-10 probability: 6 % Result: 25 Deviation: 10 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +45 s Time: 9:18 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +36 s Fehler: 9.2 s H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (22 people) Gruppe 1: 14 % Speed: 42.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.4 s Gap behind: 0.2 s Result: Group 1 (35 people) Speed: 44.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.04 km/h Running and total Run: 17:51 (3:34 / km) Historical basis: 3:37 / km Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 7 H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 53 Duelle, Korrektur 0.67 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:32 (3:18 / km) Error: +1:19 / +0:16 / km Overall prediction: 49:34 Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:46 (42.9 km/h) Run: 17:51 (3:34 / km) Total: 49:34 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:53 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 24.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
36 / 17	Raphael Schweiger AUT	+35 s +15 s	G2 / G1	18:33 15:56	49:42	Show details Prediction details: Raphael Schweiger Placement Prediction: 36 80% range: 17–49 Top-10 probability: 5 % Result: 17 Deviation: 19 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +35 s Time: 9:08 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +15 s Fehler: 19.5 s H2H: 47 Gegner:innen, 133 Duelle, Korrektur -0.58 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (19 people) Gruppe 1: 29 % Speed: 43.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.4 s Gap behind: 2.9 s Result: Group 1 (35 people) Speed: 43.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.44 km/h Running and total Run: 18:33 (3:43 / km) Historical basis: 3:47 / km Best comparable pace: 2:36 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 73 Duelle, Korrektur -1.91 %, Sicherheit 71 % Ergebnis Lauf: 15:56 (3:11 / km) Error: +2:37 / +0:31 / km Overall prediction: 49:42 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:08 (1:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:28 (43.3 km/h) Run: 18:33 (3:43 / km) Total: 49:42 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:07 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m About 1.2 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
37 / 41	Alexander Urschitz AUT	+29 s +30 s	G2 / G1	18:46 17:59	49:55	Show details Prediction details: Alexander Urschitz Placement Prediction: 37 80% range: 32–42 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 41 Deviation: -4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +29 s Time: 9:02 Pace: 1:12 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +30 s Fehler: -1.1 s H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 106 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (19 people) Gruppe 1: 53 % Speed: 43.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.9 s Gap behind: 0.0 s Result: Group 1 (35 people) Speed: 44.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.75 km/h Running and total Run: 18:46 (3:45 / km) Historical basis: 3:47 / km Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur -0.77 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:59 (3:36 / km) Error: +0:47 / +0:09 / km Overall prediction: 49:55 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:02 (1:12 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:28 (43.3 km/h) Run: 18:46 (3:45 / km) Total: 49:55 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:53 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 8.6 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
38 / 26	Charel Schiltz LUX	+45 s +33 s	G3 / G1	18:14 16:26	49:57	Show details Prediction details: Charel Schiltz Placement Prediction: 38 80% range: 32–42 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 26 Deviation: 12 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +45 s Time: 9:18 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +33 s Fehler: 12.4 s H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.59 %, Sicherheit 15 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (22 people) Gruppe 1: 3 % Speed: 42.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.2 s Gap behind: 0.8 s Result: Group 1 (35 people) Speed: 43.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.92 km/h Running and total Run: 18:14 (3:39 / km) Historical basis: 3:39 / km Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 15 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:26 (3:17 / km) Error: +1:48 / +0:22 / km Overall prediction: 49:57 Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80 Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:46 (42.9 km/h) Run: 18:14 (3:39 / km) Total: 49:57 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:53 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 25.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
39 / 57	Martin Cesnak SVK	+57 s +57 s	G3 / G4	18:16 18:59	49:59	Show details Prediction details: Martin Cesnak Placement Prediction: 39 80% range: 35–50 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 57 Deviation: -18 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +57 s Time: 9:30 Pace: 1:16 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +57 s Fehler: -0.1 s H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur -1.44 %, Sicherheit 42 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (22 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 42.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.7 s Gap behind: 3.6 s Result: Group 4 (10 people) Speed: 41.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.38 km/h Running and total Run: 18:16 (3:39 / km) Historical basis: 3:39 / km Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 12 % Ergebnis Lauf: 18:59 (3:48 / km) Error: −0:43 / −0:09 / km Overall prediction: 49:59 Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:30 (1:16 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:46 (42.9 km/h) Run: 18:16 (3:39 / km) Total: 49:59 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:53 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 36.6 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
40 / 3	Martin Nedellec FRA	+17 s +22 s	G1 / G1 correct	18:55 14:51	50:02	Show details Prediction details: Martin Nedellec Placement Prediction: 40 80% range: 33–41 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 3 Deviation: 37 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +17 s Time: 8:50 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +22 s Fehler: -4.6 s H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 76 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 88 % Speed: 42.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.8 s Gap behind: 3.4 s Result: Group 1 (35 people) Speed: 43.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.70 km/h Running and total Run: 18:55 (3:47 / km) Historical basis: 3:47 / km Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 14:51 (2:58 / km) Error: +4:04 / +0:49 / km Overall prediction: 50:02 Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 8:50 (1:11 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:50 (42.9 km/h) Run: 18:55 (3:47 / km) Total: 50:02
41 / 36	Senna Mol NED	+52 s +43 s	G3 / G2	18:38 16:37	50:21	Show details Prediction details: Senna Mol Placement Prediction: 41 80% range: 35–50 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 36 Deviation: 5 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +52 s Time: 9:25 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +43 s Fehler: 8.6 s H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (22 people) Gruppe 1: 8 % Speed: 42.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.1 s Gap behind: 0.5 s Result: Group 2 (11 people) Speed: 43.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.34 km/h Running and total Run: 18:38 (3:44 / km) Historical basis: 3:42 / km Best comparable pace: 3:42 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.72 %, Sicherheit 27 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:37 (3:19 / km) Error: +2:01 / +0:24 / km Overall prediction: 50:21 Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:25 (1:15 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:46 (42.9 km/h) Run: 18:38 (3:44 / km) Total: 50:21 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:54 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 31.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
42 / 35	Filip Zatloukal CZE	+56 s +15 s	G3 / G1	18:46 17:16	50:29	Show details Prediction details: Filip Zatloukal Placement Prediction: 42 80% range: 40–51 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 35 Deviation: 7 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +56 s Time: 9:29 Pace: 1:16 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +15 s Fehler: 41.2 s H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur -0.62 %, Sicherheit 89 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (22 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 42.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.3 s Gap behind: 0.7 s Result: Group 1 (35 people) Speed: 43.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.65 km/h Running and total Run: 18:46 (3:45 / km) Historical basis: 3:46 / km Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur -0.42 %, Sicherheit 67 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:16 (3:27 / km) Error: +1:30 / +0:18 / km Overall prediction: 50:29 Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:29 (1:16 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:46 (42.9 km/h) Run: 18:46 (3:45 / km) Total: 50:29 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:53 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 35.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
43 / 14	Emile Vanolst LUX	+45 s +34 s	G3 / G1	18:59 15:45	50:42	Show details Prediction details: Emile Vanolst Placement Prediction: 43 80% range: 35–51 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 14 Deviation: 29 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +45 s Time: 9:18 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +34 s Fehler: 10.8 s H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.64 %, Sicherheit 17 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (22 people) Gruppe 1: 31 % Speed: 42.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.0 s Gap behind: 0.4 s Result: Group 1 (35 people) Speed: 43.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.92 km/h Running and total Run: 18:59 (3:48 / km) Historical basis: 3:53 / km Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -2.24 %, Sicherheit 15 % Ergebnis Lauf: 15:45 (3:09 / km) Error: +3:14 / +0:39 / km Overall prediction: 50:42 Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:46 (42.9 km/h) Run: 18:59 (3:48 / km) Total: 50:42 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:54 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 24.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
44 / 29	Matej Kubias CZE	+50 s +24 s	G3 / G1	19:06 16:47	50:49	Show details Prediction details: Matej Kubias Placement Prediction: 44 80% range: 39–53 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 29 Deviation: 15 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +50 s Time: 9:23 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +24 s Fehler: 26.2 s H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 87 Duelle, Korrektur -0.63 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (22 people) Gruppe 1: 14 % Speed: 42.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.5 s Gap behind: 0.3 s Result: Group 1 (35 people) Speed: 43.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.87 km/h Running and total Run: 19:06 (3:49 / km) Historical basis: 3:51 / km Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 62 Duelle, Korrektur -0.90 %, Sicherheit 69 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:47 (3:21 / km) Error: +2:19 / +0:28 / km Overall prediction: 50:49 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:23 (1:15 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:46 (42.9 km/h) Run: 19:06 (3:49 / km) Total: 50:49 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:53 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 29.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
45 / 31	Riccardo Rossi ITA	+43 s +18 s	G3 / G1	19:08 16:56	50:51	Show details Prediction details: Riccardo Rossi Placement Prediction: 45 80% range: 37–51 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 31 Deviation: 14 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +43 s Time: 9:16 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +18 s Fehler: 25.4 s H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 82 Duelle, Korrektur -0.60 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (22 people) Gruppe 1: 20 % Speed: 42.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 2.3 s Gap behind: 0.1 s Result: Group 1 (35 people) Speed: 43.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.77 km/h Running and total Run: 19:08 (3:50 / km) Historical basis: 3:53 / km Best comparable pace: 3:53 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -1.37 %, Sicherheit 25 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:56 (3:23 / km) Error: +2:12 / +0:26 / km Overall prediction: 50:51 Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:16 (1:14 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:46 (42.9 km/h) Run: 19:08 (3:50 / km) Total: 50:51 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:53 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 23.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
46 / 60	Oliver Ambrus SVK	+37 s +58 s	G2 / G4	19:42 19:43	50:51	Show details Prediction details: Oliver Ambrus Placement Prediction: 46 80% range: 43–49 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 60 Deviation: -14 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +37 s Time: 9:10 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +58 s Fehler: -20.6 s H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur 0.39 %, Sicherheit 79 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (19 people) Gruppe 1: 16 % Speed: 43.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 2.9 s Gap behind: 2.7 s Result: Group 4 (10 people) Speed: 41.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.68 km/h Running and total Run: 19:42 (3:56 / km) Historical basis: 3:56 / km Best comparable pace: 3:56 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 19:43 (3:57 / km) Error: −0:01 / −0:00 / km Overall prediction: 50:51 Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 9:10 (1:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:28 (43.3 km/h) Run: 19:42 (3:56 / km) Total: 50:51 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:08 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m About 2.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +35.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
47 / 47	Jan Kovář CZE	+24 s +2 s	G2 / G1	19:56 18:53	51:05	Show details Prediction details: Jan Kovář Placement Prediction: 47 80% range: 42–49 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 47 Deviation: 0 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +24 s Time: 8:57 Pace: 1:12 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +2 s Fehler: 22.0 s H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 74 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (19 people) Gruppe 1: 64 % Speed: 43.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.8 s Gap behind: 3.0 s Result: Group 1 (35 people) Speed: 43.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: 19:56 (3:59 / km) Historical basis: 4:00 / km Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -0.25 %, Sicherheit 60 % Ergebnis Lauf: 18:53 (3:47 / km) Error: +1:03 / +0:13 / km Overall prediction: 51:05 Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 8:57 (1:12 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:28 (43.3 km/h) Run: 19:56 (3:59 / km) Total: 51:05 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:53 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 3.7 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
48 / 46	Jiri Heppener NED	+61 s +64 s	G4 / G4 correct	18:21 16:32	51:49	Show details Prediction details: Jiri Heppener Placement Prediction: 48 80% range: 33–51 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 46 Deviation: 2 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +61 s Time: 9:34 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +64 s Fehler: -3.5 s H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (1 people) Gruppe 1: 6 % Speed: 40.7 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 3.6 s Gap behind: 4.0 s Result: Group 4 (10 people) Speed: 41.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.10 km/h Running and total Run: 18:21 (3:40 / km) Historical basis: 3:40 / km Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 24 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:32 (3:18 / km) Error: +1:49 / +0:22 / km Overall prediction: 51:49 Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:34 (1:17 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 32:27 (40.7 km/h) Run: 18:21 (3:40 / km) Total: 51:49 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:54 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 40.2 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
49 / 48	Filip Kniz SVK	+65 s +67 s	G6 / G4	17:23 16:40	52:00	Show details Prediction details: Filip Kniz Placement Prediction: 49 80% range: 27–51 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 48 Deviation: 1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +65 s Time: 9:38 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +67 s Fehler: -2.5 s H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur -0.43 %, Sicherheit 79 % Cycling Prediction: Group 6 (5 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 40.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 4.0 s Gap behind: 3.2 s Result: Group 4 (10 people) Speed: 41.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.63 km/h Running and total Run: 17:23 (3:29 / km) Historical basis: 3:27 / km Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur 0.81 %, Sicherheit 44 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:40 (3:20 / km) Error: +0:43 / +0:09 / km Overall prediction: 52:00 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:38 (1:17 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:17 (40.1 km/h) Run: 17:23 (3:29 / km) Total: 52:00 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:54 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 44.2 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
50 / 34	Tim Goergen LUX	+40 s +13 s	G2 / G1	21:04 17:03	52:13	Show details Prediction details: Tim Goergen Placement Prediction: 50 80% range: 49–54 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 34 Deviation: 16 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +40 s Time: 9:13 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +13 s Fehler: 27.1 s H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.29 %, Sicherheit 6 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (19 people) Gruppe 1: 21 % Speed: 43.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 2.7 s Gap behind: 1.0 s Result: Group 1 (35 people) Speed: 43.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.27 km/h Running and total Run: 21:04 (4:13 / km) Historical basis: 4:23 / km Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km Trend: −0:05 / km Comparable races: 4 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -1.99 %, Sicherheit 9 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:03 (3:25 / km) Error: +4:01 / +0:48 / km Overall prediction: 52:13 Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:13 (1:14 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:28 (43.3 km/h) Run: 21:04 (4:13 / km) Total: 52:13 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:53 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 19.8 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
51 / 52	Amit Shapira Bejerano ISR	+68 s +27 s	G6 / G2	18:25 19:24	53:02	Show details Prediction details: Amit Shapira Bejerano Placement Prediction: 51 80% range: 40–51 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 52 Deviation: -1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +68 s Time: 9:41 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +27 s Fehler: 40.7 s H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -1.68 %, Sicherheit 22 % Cycling Prediction: Group 6 (5 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 40.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 3.2 s Gap behind: 0.8 s Result: Group 2 (11 people) Speed: 42.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -2.68 km/h Running and total Run: 18:25 (3:41 / km) Historical basis: 3:38 / km Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 1.16 %, Sicherheit 12 % Ergebnis Lauf: 19:24 (3:53 / km) Error: −0:59 / −0:12 / km Overall prediction: 53:02 Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:17 (40.1 km/h) Run: 18:25 (3:41 / km) Total: 53:02 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:54 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 47.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
52 / 40	Eduard Matak SVK	+93 s +55 s	G5 / G2	18:55 17:07	53:13	Show details Prediction details: Eduard Matak Placement Prediction: 52 80% range: 52–55 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 40 Deviation: 12 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +93 s Time: 10:06 Pace: 1:21 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +55 s Fehler: 37.7 s H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -1.36 %, Sicherheit 70 % Cycling Prediction: Group 5 (1 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 40.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 12.5 s Gap behind: 43.5 s Result: Group 2 (11 people) Speed: 43.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -3.09 km/h Running and total Run: 18:55 (3:47 / km) Historical basis: 3:47 / km Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 17:07 (3:25 / km) Error: +1:48 / +0:22 / km Overall prediction: 53:13 Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60 Swimming: 10:06 (1:21 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 32:45 (40.3 km/h) Run: 18:55 (3:47 / km) Total: 53:13 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:54 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 72.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
53 / 42	Lars Beijk NED	+76 s +60 s	G6 / G3	19:23 16:33	54:00	Show details Prediction details: Lars Beijk Placement Prediction: 53 80% range: 46–55 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 42 Deviation: 11 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +76 s Time: 9:49 Pace: 1:19 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +60 s Fehler: 16.2 s H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 35 % Cycling Prediction: Group 6 (5 people) Gruppe 1: 4 % Speed: 40.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 7.7 s Gap behind: 4.0 s Result: Group 3 (5 people) Speed: 42.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -2.43 km/h Running and total Run: 19:23 (3:53 / km) Historical basis: 3:55 / km Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -0.97 %, Sicherheit 36 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:33 (3:19 / km) Error: +2:50 / +0:34 / km Overall prediction: 54:00 Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:49 (1:19 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:17 (40.1 km/h) Run: 19:23 (3:53 / km) Total: 54:00 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:53 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 55.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
54 / 61	Xander Boets NED	+80 s +54 s	G6 / G3	20:06 20:32	54:43	Show details Prediction details: Xander Boets Placement Prediction: 54 80% range: 53–56 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 61 Deviation: -7 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +80 s Time: 9:53 Pace: 1:19 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +54 s Fehler: 26.2 s H2H: 44 Gegner:innen, 79 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 6 (5 people) Gruppe 1: 1 % Speed: 40.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 4.0 s Gap behind: 12.5 s Result: Group 3 (5 people) Speed: 42.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -2.36 km/h Running and total Run: 20:06 (4:01 / km) Historical basis: 4:05 / km Best comparable pace: 4:02 / km Trend: −0:05 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 20:32 (4:06 / km) Error: −0:26 / −0:05 / km Overall prediction: 54:43 Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:53 (1:19 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:17 (40.1 km/h) Run: 20:06 (4:01 / km) Total: 54:43 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:53 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 59.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
55 / 38	Amit Levy ISR	+69 s +50 s	G6 / G2	20:18 16:43	54:55	Show details Prediction details: Amit Levy Placement Prediction: 55 80% range: 53–56 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 38 Deviation: 17 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +69 s Time: 9:42 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +50 s Fehler: 18.5 s H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 20 % Cycling Prediction: Group 6 (5 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 40.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.8 s Gap behind: 7.7 s Result: Group 2 (11 people) Speed: 43.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -3.03 km/h Running and total Run: 20:18 (4:04 / km) Historical basis: 4:06 / km Best comparable pace: 4:06 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.88 %, Sicherheit 20 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:43 (3:21 / km) Error: +3:35 / +0:43 / km Overall prediction: 54:55 Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 9:42 (1:18 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:17 (40.1 km/h) Run: 20:18 (4:04 / km) Total: 54:55 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:54 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 48.2 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
56 / 58	Timo Začka SVK	+136 s +57 s	G7 / G4	21:23 19:08	1:00:09	Show details Prediction details: Timo Začka Placement Prediction: 56 80% range: 57–57 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 58 Deviation: -2 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +136 s Time: 10:49 Pace: 1:27 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +57 s Fehler: 79.2 s H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -0.62 %, Sicherheit 48 % Cycling Prediction: Group 7 (1 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 36.2 km/h Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 43.5 s Gap behind: – Result: Group 4 (10 people) Speed: 41.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -5.32 km/h Running and total Run: 21:23 (4:17 / km) Historical basis: 4:15 / km Best comparable pace: 4:15 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.65 %, Sicherheit 45 % Ergebnis Lauf: 19:08 (3:50 / km) Error: +2:15 / +0:27 / km Overall prediction: 1:00:09 Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 10:49 (1:27 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 36:30 (36.2 km/h) Run: 21:23 (4:17 / km) Total: 1:00:09 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:53 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 115.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 37	Santiago Garcia Solarte COL	+27 s +48 s	G2 / G2 correct	16:46		Show details Prediction details: Santiago Garcia Solarte Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 1–1 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 37 Deviation: -37 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +27 s Time: 9:00 Pace: 1:12 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +48 s Fehler: -21.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (19 people) Gruppe 1: 59 % Speed: 43.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 3.0 s Gap behind: 1.0 s Result: Group 2 (11 people) Speed: 43.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.17 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 16:46 (3:21 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 9:00 (1:12 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:28 (43.3 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:53 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m About 6.7 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 43	Yair Butman ISR	+0 s +37 s	G0 / G2	17:24		Show details Prediction details: Yair Butman Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 58–58 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 43 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 8:33 Pace: 1:08 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +37 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 2 (11 people) Speed: 43.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 17:24 (3:29 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 8:33 (1:08 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 45	Márton Janos Gyarmati HUN	+0 s +39 s	G0 / G3	16:58		Show details Prediction details: Márton Janos Gyarmati Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 59–59 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 45 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 8:33 Pace: 1:08 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +39 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 3 (5 people) Speed: 41.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 16:58 (3:24 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 8:33 (1:08 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 49	Patrik Koncos SVK	+0 s +57 s	G0 / G4	16:55		Show details Prediction details: Patrik Koncos Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 60–60 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 49 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 8:33 Pace: 1:08 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +57 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 4 (10 people) Speed: 41.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 16:55 (3:23 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 8:33 (1:08 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 50	Viktor Szekfű HUN	+0 s +64 s	G0 / G4	17:09		Show details Prediction details: Viktor Szekfű Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 61–61 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 50 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 8:33 Pace: 1:08 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +64 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 4 (10 people) Speed: 41.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 17:09 (3:26 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 8:33 (1:08 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.

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