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Race prediction

Junior Women

31.07.2026 POL
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Europe Triathlon Sprint and Relay Championships Elblag

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 31.07.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 76/100 mittel
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 22 früheren Rennen und 122 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 5.9 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 18.07.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 3 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 10 s Gruppeneffekt 0.45 Max. Vorteil 1.6 km/h

Datenabdeckung 79.4 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 100.0 % · 22 Kalibrierungsrennen

Rank Athlete Swimming Bike group Run Total Details
1 Jázmin Kropkó
HUN
 +2 s Gruppe 1
2 Personen
 13:11
2:38 / km
 45:52
Show details
Prediction details: Jázmin Kropkó

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +2 s
Time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
H2H: 52 Gegner:innen, 169 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 88 %
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 4.4 s

Running and total

Run: 13:11 (2:38 / km)
Historical basis: 2:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:37 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 51 Gegner:innen, 159 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 45:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:49 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:35 (36.8 km/h)
Run: 13:11 (2:38 / km)
Total: 45:52
2 Julia Benito Valdazo
ESP
 +6 s Gruppe 1
2 Personen
 13:42
2:44 / km
 46:23
Show details
Prediction details: Julia Benito Valdazo

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 2–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +6 s
Time: 9:53
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 1.36 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 73 %
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.4 s
Gap behind: 5.7 s

Running and total

Run: 13:42 (2:44 / km)
Historical basis: 2:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:45 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 58 %
Overall prediction: 46:23
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:53 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:35 (36.8 km/h)
Run: 13:42 (2:44 / km)
Total: 46:23
3 Anouk Danna
SUI
 +25 s Gruppe 3
21 Personen
 16:45
3:21 / km
 50:12
Show details
Prediction details: Anouk Danna

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 3–13
Top-10 probability: 88 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 10:12
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
H2H: 51 Gegner:innen, 167 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s

Running and total

Run: 16:45 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 53 Gegner:innen, 151 Duelle, Korrektur -0.35 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 50:12
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:12 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:56 (36.4 km/h)
Run: 16:45 (3:21 / km)
Total: 50:12
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:56
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 15.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +9.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 Linda Krombach
LUX
 +27 s Gruppe 3
21 Personen
 16:54
3:23 / km
 50:21
Show details
Prediction details: Linda Krombach

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 4–14
Top-10 probability: 80 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 10:14
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 67 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 76 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s

Running and total

Run: 16:54 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 75 %
Overall prediction: 50:21
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:14 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:56 (36.4 km/h)
Run: 16:54 (3:23 / km)
Total: 50:21
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 21.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 Amit Ben Adiva
ISR
 +19 s Gruppe 2
11 Personen
 17:32
3:30 / km
 50:39
Show details
Prediction details: Amit Ben Adiva

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 5–17
Top-10 probability: 70 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 10:06
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 26 %
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s

Running and total

Run: 17:32 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 67 %
Overall prediction: 50:39
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:06 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:46 (36.6 km/h)
Run: 17:32 (3:30 / km)
Total: 50:39
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 14.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 Anouk Rigaud
FRA
 +16 s Gruppe 2
11 Personen
 17:38
3:32 / km
 50:45
Show details
Prediction details: Anouk Rigaud

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 5–12
Top-10 probability: 79 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 10:03
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
H2H: 45 Gegner:innen, 115 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 43 %
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s

Running and total

Run: 17:38 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -0.94 %, Sicherheit 91 %
Overall prediction: 50:45
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:03 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:46 (36.6 km/h)
Run: 17:38 (3:32 / km)
Total: 50:45
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:56
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 6.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +9.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 Anja Bezlaj
SLO
 +50 s Gruppe 5
8 Personen
 14:24
2:53 / km
 50:48
Show details
Prediction details: Anja Bezlaj

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 3–15
Top-10 probability: 79 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 10:37
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
H2H: 48 Gegner:innen, 149 Duelle, Korrektur -0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s

Running and total

Run: 14:24 (2:53 / km)
Historical basis: 2:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:52 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 90 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 50:48
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:37 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:29 (33.8 km/h)
Run: 14:24 (2:53 / km)
Total: 50:48
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 44.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 Kimey Casanova
SUI
 +25 s Gruppe 3
21 Personen
 17:23
3:29 / km
 50:50
Show details
Prediction details: Kimey Casanova

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 5–13
Top-10 probability: 74 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 10:12
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 66 Duelle, Korrektur -0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s

Running and total

Run: 17:23 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur -0.62 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 50:50
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:12 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:56 (36.4 km/h)
Run: 17:23 (3:29 / km)
Total: 50:50
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:56
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 15.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +9.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 Hanna Månsson
SWE
 +12 s Gruppe 2
11 Personen
 17:51
3:34 / km
 50:58
Show details
Prediction details: Hanna Månsson

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 8–15
Top-10 probability: 48 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 9:59
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 106 Duelle, Korrektur 0.53 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 30 %
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.7 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s

Running and total

Run: 17:51 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 108 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 50:58
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:59 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:46 (36.6 km/h)
Run: 17:51 (3:34 / km)
Total: 50:58
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 7.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 Carlotta Bülck
GER
 +21 s Gruppe 2
11 Personen
 17:55
3:35 / km
 51:02
Show details
Prediction details: Carlotta Bülck

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 8–22
Top-10 probability: 30 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s

Running and total

Run: 17:55 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur -0.90 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 51:02
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:08 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:46 (36.6 km/h)
Run: 17:55 (3:35 / km)
Total: 51:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:56
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 11.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +9.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 Vilgustė Gustaitytė
LTU
 +54 s Gruppe 5
8 Personen
 14:40
2:56 / km
 51:04
Show details
Prediction details: Vilgustė Gustaitytė

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 3–19
Top-10 probability: 73 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +54 s
Time: 10:41
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 95 Duelle, Korrektur -1.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s

Running and total

Run: 14:40 (2:56 / km)
Historical basis: 2:55 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:55 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 78 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 51:04
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:41 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:29 (33.8 km/h)
Run: 14:40 (2:56 / km)
Total: 51:04
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 49.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 Lėja Bubulaitė
LTU
 +61 s Gruppe 6
2 Personen
 14:25
2:53 / km
 51:09
Show details
Prediction details: Lėja Bubulaitė

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 3–16
Top-10 probability: 70 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +61 s
Time: 10:48
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur -0.39 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 5.3 s

Running and total

Run: 14:25 (2:53 / km)
Historical basis: 2:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:52 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 51:09
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:48 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:43 (33.6 km/h)
Run: 14:25 (2:53 / km)
Total: 51:09
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 56.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 Candela Sánchez Touza
ESP
 +21 s Gruppe 2
11 Personen
 18:06
3:37 / km
 51:13
Show details
Prediction details: Candela Sánchez Touza

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 11–21
Top-10 probability: 6 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -0.53 %, Sicherheit 85 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s

Running and total

Run: 18:06 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -0.55 %, Sicherheit 80 %
Overall prediction: 51:13
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:08 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:46 (36.6 km/h)
Run: 18:06 (3:37 / km)
Total: 51:13
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 15.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 Martyna Gajda
POL
 +18 s Gruppe 2
11 Personen
 18:11
3:38 / km
 51:18
Show details
Prediction details: Martyna Gajda

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 9–25
Top-10 probability: 18 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +18 s
Time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 130 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s

Running and total

Run: 18:11 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 45 Gegner:innen, 118 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 51:18
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:05 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:46 (36.6 km/h)
Run: 18:11 (3:38 / km)
Total: 51:18
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 12.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 Emma Graham-Brown
GBR
 +16 s Gruppe 2
11 Personen
 18:15
3:39 / km
 51:22
Show details
Prediction details: Emma Graham-Brown

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 12–21
Top-10 probability: 3 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 10:03
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.53 %, Sicherheit 68 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s

Running and total

Run: 18:15 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.63 %, Sicherheit 68 %
Overall prediction: 51:22
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:03 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:46 (36.6 km/h)
Run: 18:15 (3:39 / km)
Total: 51:22
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 11.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 Luca Vanderbruggen
BEL
 +25 s Gruppe 3
21 Personen
 17:59
3:36 / km
 51:26
Show details
Prediction details: Luca Vanderbruggen

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 7–31
Top-10 probability: 35 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 10:12
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s

Running and total

Run: 17:59 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 51:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:12 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:56 (36.4 km/h)
Run: 17:59 (3:36 / km)
Total: 51:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 19.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 Giulia Bergamin
ITA
 +25 s Gruppe 3
21 Personen
 18:08
3:38 / km
 51:35
Show details
Prediction details: Giulia Bergamin

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 13–26
Top-10 probability: 3 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 10:12
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 81 Duelle, Korrektur 0.44 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s

Running and total

Run: 18:08 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 43 %
Overall prediction: 51:35
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:12 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:56 (36.4 km/h)
Run: 18:08 (3:38 / km)
Total: 51:35
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 20.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 Kitty Scott
GBR
 +22 s Gruppe 3
21 Personen
 18:11
3:38 / km
 51:38
Show details
Prediction details: Kitty Scott

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 12–27
Top-10 probability: 5 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 10:09
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.80 %, Sicherheit 83 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 2.4 s

Running and total

Run: 18:11 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur -0.37 %, Sicherheit 90 %
Overall prediction: 51:38
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:09 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:56 (36.4 km/h)
Run: 18:11 (3:38 / km)
Total: 51:38
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 17.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 Elizaveta Polianskaia
AIN
 +25 s Gruppe 3
21 Personen
 18:16
3:39 / km
 51:43
Show details
Prediction details: Elizaveta Polianskaia

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 9–31
Top-10 probability: 19 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 10:12
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur -1.57 %, Sicherheit 43 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.4 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s

Running and total

Run: 18:16 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur 0.47 %, Sicherheit 43 %
Overall prediction: 51:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:12 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:56 (36.4 km/h)
Run: 18:16 (3:39 / km)
Total: 51:43
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 19.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 Léa Reviglio
FRA
 +29 s Gruppe 3
21 Personen
 18:20
3:40 / km
 51:47
Show details
Prediction details: Léa Reviglio

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 14–33
Top-10 probability: 1 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 10:16
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur -0.41 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s

Running and total

Run: 18:20 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:41 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 82 %
Overall prediction: 51:47
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:16 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:56 (36.4 km/h)
Run: 18:20 (3:40 / km)
Total: 51:47
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:56
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 19.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +9.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 Ava Martha Brambier
GER
 +32 s Gruppe 3
21 Personen
 18:25
3:41 / km
 51:52
Show details
Prediction details: Ava Martha Brambier

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 19–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 10:19
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.79 %, Sicherheit 45 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s

Running and total

Run: 18:25 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.39 %, Sicherheit 45 %
Overall prediction: 51:52
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:19 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:56 (36.4 km/h)
Run: 18:25 (3:41 / km)
Total: 51:52
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:57
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 22.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +9.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 Hannah Kennedy
IRL
 +14 s Gruppe 2
11 Personen
 18:49
3:46 / km
 51:56
Show details
Prediction details: Hannah Kennedy

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 19–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +14 s
Time: 10:01
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 80 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 20 %
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s

Running and total

Run: 18:49 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:46 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:46 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 80 %
Overall prediction: 51:56
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 10:01 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:46 (36.6 km/h)
Run: 18:49 (3:46 / km)
Total: 51:56
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 8.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 Lauren Mitchell
GBR
 +13 s Gruppe 2
11 Personen
 18:54
3:47 / km
 52:01
Show details
Prediction details: Lauren Mitchell

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 16–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +13 s
Time: 10:00
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur 0.52 %, Sicherheit 97 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s

Running and total

Run: 18:54 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur -0.47 %, Sicherheit 82 %
Overall prediction: 52:01
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:00 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:46 (36.6 km/h)
Run: 18:54 (3:47 / km)
Total: 52:01
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 8.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 Vanessa Del Carlo
ITA
 +20 s Gruppe 2
11 Personen
 18:55
3:47 / km
 52:02
Show details
Prediction details: Vanessa Del Carlo

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 22–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 81 Duelle, Korrektur -0.68 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s

Running and total

Run: 18:55 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 89 %
Overall prediction: 52:02
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:07 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:46 (36.6 km/h)
Run: 18:55 (3:47 / km)
Total: 52:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 14.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 Elisa Bonora
ITA
 +22 s Gruppe 3
21 Personen
 18:41
3:44 / km
 52:08
Show details
Prediction details: Elisa Bonora

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 18–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 10:09
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 56 Duelle, Korrektur 0.78 %, Sicherheit 75 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s

Running and total

Run: 18:41 (3:44 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:49 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 5
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction: 52:08
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:09 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:56 (36.4 km/h)
Run: 18:41 (3:44 / km)
Total: 52:08
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 17.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 Kaisa Keränen
FIN
 +25 s Gruppe 3
21 Personen
 18:47
3:45 / km
 52:14
Show details
Prediction details: Kaisa Keränen

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 21–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 10:12
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 104 Duelle, Korrektur 0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s

Running and total

Run: 18:47 (3:45 / km)
Historical basis: 3:46 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 76 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 52:14
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:12 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:56 (36.4 km/h)
Run: 18:47 (3:45 / km)
Total: 52:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 20.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 Evamaria Albert
EST
 +32 s Gruppe 3
21 Personen
 18:52
3:46 / km
 52:19
Show details
Prediction details: Evamaria Albert

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 26–39
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 10:19
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 77 Duelle, Korrektur -0.65 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s

Running and total

Run: 18:52 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:49 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 10
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur 0.48 %, Sicherheit 35 %
Overall prediction: 52:19
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:19 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:56 (36.4 km/h)
Run: 18:52 (3:46 / km)
Total: 52:19
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 26.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 Mikkeline Fugleberg
DEN
 +29 s Gruppe 3
21 Personen
 18:55
3:47 / km
 52:22
Show details
Prediction details: Mikkeline Fugleberg

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 17–44
Top-10 probability: 1 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 10:16
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 99 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s

Running and total

Run: 18:55 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:46 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 70 Duelle, Korrektur -0.42 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 52:22
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:16 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:56 (36.4 km/h)
Run: 18:55 (3:47 / km)
Total: 52:22
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 24.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 Esmee De Haan
AUT
 +43 s Gruppe 4
15 Personen
 18:08
3:38 / km
 52:27
Show details
Prediction details: Esmee De Haan

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 22–36
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 10:30
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -0.20 %, Sicherheit 70 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 2.4 s

Running and total

Run: 18:08 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 63 %
Overall prediction: 52:27
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:30 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:32 (35.9 km/h)
Run: 18:08 (3:38 / km)
Total: 52:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 37.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
30 Sofia Tikhonova
AIN
 +33 s Gruppe 4
15 Personen
 18:19
3:40 / km
 52:38
Show details
Prediction details: Sofia Tikhonova

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 13–42
Top-10 probability: 3 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 10:20
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 47 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 4.0 s

Running and total

Run: 18:19 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur -1.23 %, Sicherheit 44 %
Overall prediction: 52:38
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:20 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:32 (35.9 km/h)
Run: 18:19 (3:40 / km)
Total: 52:38
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:56
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 24.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +9.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
31 Dana Soroka
UKR
 +25 s Gruppe 3
21 Personen
 19:11
3:50 / km
 52:38
Show details
Prediction details: Dana Soroka

Placement

Prediction: 31
80% range: 19–44
Top-10 probability: 1 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 10:12
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
H2H: 45 Gegner:innen, 138 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s

Running and total

Run: 19:11 (3:50 / km)
Historical basis: 3:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 46 Gegner:innen, 126 Duelle, Korrektur -0.65 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 52:38
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:12 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:56 (36.4 km/h)
Run: 19:11 (3:50 / km)
Total: 52:38
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:56
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 15.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +9.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
32 Clara Robert
BEL
 +39 s Gruppe 4
15 Personen
 18:34
3:43 / km
 52:53
Show details
Prediction details: Clara Robert

Placement

Prediction: 32
80% range: 22–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 10:26
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur -0.65 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s

Running and total

Run: 18:34 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:42 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 62 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 52:53
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:26 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:32 (35.9 km/h)
Run: 18:34 (3:43 / km)
Total: 52:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 34 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
33 Marta Ribeiro
POR
 +42 s Gruppe 4
15 Personen
 18:43
3:45 / km
 53:02
Show details
Prediction details: Marta Ribeiro

Placement

Prediction: 33
80% range: 31–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 10:29
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 66 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s

Running and total

Run: 18:43 (3:45 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:49 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 53:02
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:29 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:32 (35.9 km/h)
Run: 18:43 (3:45 / km)
Total: 53:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 37.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
34 Viktoriia Shutova
AIN
 +33 s Gruppe 4
15 Personen
 18:46
3:45 / km
 53:05
Show details
Prediction details: Viktoriia Shutova

Placement

Prediction: 34
80% range: 13–51
Top-10 probability: 6 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 10:20
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.54 %, Sicherheit 42 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s

Running and total

Run: 18:46 (3:45 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -0.95 %, Sicherheit 45 %
Overall prediction: 53:05
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:20 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:32 (35.9 km/h)
Run: 18:46 (3:45 / km)
Total: 53:05
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 27.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
35 Alíz Júlia Geri
HUN
 +15 s Gruppe 2
11 Personen
 20:03
4:01 / km
 53:10
Show details
Prediction details: Alíz Júlia Geri

Placement

Prediction: 35
80% range: 34–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +15 s
Time: 10:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 94 Duelle, Korrektur 0.61 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s

Running and total

Run: 20:03 (4:01 / km)
Historical basis: 4:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 67 Duelle, Korrektur -1.41 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 53:10
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:02 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:46 (36.6 km/h)
Run: 20:03 (4:01 / km)
Total: 53:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 9.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
36 Noemi Badrutt
SUI
 +25 s Gruppe 3
21 Personen
 19:49
3:58 / km
 53:16
Show details
Prediction details: Noemi Badrutt

Placement

Prediction: 36
80% range: 17–54
Top-10 probability: 5 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 10:12
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 76 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s

Running and total

Run: 19:49 (3:58 / km)
Historical basis: 4:00 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur -0.86 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 53:16
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:12 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:56 (36.4 km/h)
Run: 19:49 (3:58 / km)
Total: 53:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 19.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
37 Kathrin Ritter
AUT
 +26 s Gruppe 3
21 Personen
 19:49
3:58 / km
 53:16
Show details
Prediction details: Kathrin Ritter

Placement

Prediction: 37
80% range: 30–47
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 10:13
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
H2H: 51 Gegner:innen, 176 Duelle, Korrektur -0.61 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s

Running and total

Run: 19:49 (3:58 / km)
Historical basis: 3:59 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 47 Gegner:innen, 118 Duelle, Korrektur -0.49 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 53:16
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:13 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:56 (36.4 km/h)
Run: 19:49 (3:58 / km)
Total: 53:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 21.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
38 Sofia Hämäläinen
FIN
 +42 s Gruppe 4
15 Personen
 18:58
3:48 / km
 53:17
Show details
Prediction details: Sofia Hämäläinen

Placement

Prediction: 38
80% range: 36–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 10:29
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s

Running and total

Run: 18:58 (3:48 / km)
Historical basis: 3:46 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:46 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur 0.66 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 53:17
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:29 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:32 (35.9 km/h)
Run: 18:58 (3:48 / km)
Total: 53:17
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 37.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
39 Catarina Felício Santos
POR
 +39 s Gruppe 4
15 Personen
 19:00
3:48 / km
 53:19
Show details
Prediction details: Catarina Felício Santos

Placement

Prediction: 39
80% range: 29–52
Top-10 probability: 1 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 10:26
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 113 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s

Running and total

Run: 19:00 (3:48 / km)
Historical basis: 3:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:46 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 76 Duelle, Korrektur -0.80 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 53:19
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:26 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:32 (35.9 km/h)
Run: 19:00 (3:48 / km)
Total: 53:19
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 34.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
40 Jara Banka
GER
 +25 s Gruppe 3
21 Personen
 19:59
4:00 / km
 53:26
Show details
Prediction details: Jara Banka

Placement

Prediction: 40
80% range: 27–55
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 10:12
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s

Running and total

Run: 19:59 (4:00 / km)
Historical basis: 4:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:46 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur -1.55 %, Sicherheit 89 %
Overall prediction: 53:26
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:12 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:56 (36.4 km/h)
Run: 19:59 (4:00 / km)
Total: 53:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 19.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
41 Shai Meital
ISR
 +40 s Gruppe 4
15 Personen
 19:22
3:52 / km
 53:41
Show details
Prediction details: Shai Meital

Placement

Prediction: 41
80% range: 33–52
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
H2H: 43 Gegner:innen, 114 Duelle, Korrektur 0.37 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 2.5 s

Running and total

Run: 19:22 (3:52 / km)
Historical basis: 3:59 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 94 Duelle, Korrektur -0.85 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 53:41
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:27 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:32 (35.9 km/h)
Run: 19:22 (3:52 / km)
Total: 53:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 34.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
42 Mirtel-Madlen Siimar
EST
 +27 s Gruppe 3
21 Personen
 20:16
4:03 / km
 53:43
Show details
Prediction details: Mirtel-Madlen Siimar

Placement

Prediction: 42
80% range: 38–53
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 10:14
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 145 Duelle, Korrektur 0.72 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s

Running and total

Run: 20:16 (4:03 / km)
Historical basis: 4:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:56 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 121 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 53:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:14 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:56 (36.4 km/h)
Run: 20:16 (4:03 / km)
Total: 53:43
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 21.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
43 Zofia Rosin
POL
 +25 s Gruppe 3
21 Personen
 20:17
4:03 / km
 53:44
Show details
Prediction details: Zofia Rosin

Placement

Prediction: 43
80% range: 40–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 10:12
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur 0.58 %, Sicherheit 95 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s

Running and total

Run: 20:17 (4:03 / km)
Historical basis: 4:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur -0.74 %, Sicherheit 92 %
Overall prediction: 53:44
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:12 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:56 (36.4 km/h)
Run: 20:17 (4:03 / km)
Total: 53:44
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 19.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
44 Etriin Etverk
EST
 +30 s Gruppe 3
21 Personen
 20:17
4:03 / km
 53:44
Show details
Prediction details: Etriin Etverk

Placement

Prediction: 44
80% range: 29–55
Top-10 probability: 1 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 10:17
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
H2H: 46 Gegner:innen, 196 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s

Running and total

Run: 20:17 (4:03 / km)
Historical basis: 4:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:49 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 107 Duelle, Korrektur -0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 53:44
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:17 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:56 (36.4 km/h)
Run: 20:17 (4:03 / km)
Total: 53:44
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 24.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
45 Tunde Georgiana Crisan
ROU
 +37 s Gruppe 4
15 Personen
 19:37
3:55 / km
 53:56
Show details
Prediction details: Tunde Georgiana Crisan

Placement

Prediction: 45
80% range: 33–56
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 10:24
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 71 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.0 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s

Running and total

Run: 19:37 (3:55 / km)
Historical basis: 4:00 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:41 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 26 %
Overall prediction: 53:56
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:24 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:32 (35.9 km/h)
Run: 19:37 (3:55 / km)
Total: 53:56
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:56
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 28.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +9.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
46 Adar Haya Kurant
ISR
 +48 s Gruppe 5
8 Personen
 17:34
3:31 / km
 53:58
Show details
Prediction details: Adar Haya Kurant

Placement

Prediction: 46
80% range: 15–43
Top-10 probability: 4 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 10:35
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 83 Duelle, Korrektur 0.40 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s

Running and total

Run: 17:34 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 44 Gegner:innen, 99 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 53:58
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:35 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:29 (33.8 km/h)
Run: 17:34 (3:31 / km)
Total: 53:58
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 42.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
47 Dorota Stramberska
CZE
 +45 s Gruppe 4
15 Personen
 19:44
3:57 / km
 54:03
Show details
Prediction details: Dorota Stramberska

Placement

Prediction: 47
80% range: 39–58
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 10:32
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
H2H: 43 Gegner:innen, 80 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.4 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s

Running and total

Run: 19:44 (3:57 / km)
Historical basis: 4:00 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:58 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 43 Gegner:innen, 80 Duelle, Korrektur 0.54 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 54:03
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:32 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:32 (35.9 km/h)
Run: 19:44 (3:57 / km)
Total: 54:03
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 40 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
48 Laura Dugovičová
SVK
 +87 s Gruppe 7
4 Personen
 17:14
3:27 / km
 54:10
Show details
Prediction details: Laura Dugovičová

Placement

Prediction: 48
80% range: 31–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +87 s
Time: 11:14
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 63 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: –

Running and total

Run: 17:14 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 63 %
Overall prediction: 54:10
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 11:14 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:29 (33.5 km/h)
Run: 17:14 (3:27 / km)
Total: 54:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:57
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 77.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +9.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
49 Csenge Orsolya Szász
HUN
 +42 s Gruppe 4
15 Personen
 19:52
3:58 / km
 54:11
Show details
Prediction details: Csenge Orsolya Szász

Placement

Prediction: 49
80% range: 38–57
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 10:29
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 96 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.5 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s

Running and total

Run: 19:52 (3:58 / km)
Historical basis: 4:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 63 Duelle, Korrektur -2.44 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 54:11
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:29 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:32 (35.9 km/h)
Run: 19:52 (3:58 / km)
Total: 54:11
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 37.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
50 Eszter Fabók
HUN
 +50 s Gruppe 5
8 Personen
 18:05
3:37 / km
 54:29
Show details
Prediction details: Eszter Fabók

Placement

Prediction: 50
80% range: 25–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 10:37
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
H2H: 43 Gegner:innen, 141 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s

Running and total

Run: 18:05 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 73 Duelle, Korrektur -0.44 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 54:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:37 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:29 (33.8 km/h)
Run: 18:05 (3:37 / km)
Total: 54:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 44.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
51 Beate Jansone
LAT
 +46 s Gruppe 4
15 Personen
 20:16
4:03 / km
 54:35
Show details
Prediction details: Beate Jansone

Placement

Prediction: 51
80% range: 49–57
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 10:33
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
H2H: 48 Gegner:innen, 237 Duelle, Korrektur -0.64 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s

Running and total

Run: 20:16 (4:03 / km)
Historical basis: 4:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 44 Gegner:innen, 151 Duelle, Korrektur -1.69 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 54:35
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:33 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:32 (35.9 km/h)
Run: 20:16 (4:03 / km)
Total: 54:35
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 41.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
52 Lucie Philippe
BEL
 +38 s Gruppe 4
15 Personen
 20:24
4:05 / km
 54:43
Show details
Prediction details: Lucie Philippe

Placement

Prediction: 52
80% range: 45–56
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 10:25
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s

Running and total

Run: 20:24 (4:05 / km)
Historical basis: 4:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur -0.85 %, Sicherheit 83 %
Overall prediction: 54:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:25 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:32 (35.9 km/h)
Run: 20:24 (4:05 / km)
Total: 54:43
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:57
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 28.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +9.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
53 Míra Miszlai
HUN
 +48 s Gruppe 5
8 Personen
 18:24
3:41 / km
 54:48
Show details
Prediction details: Míra Miszlai

Placement

Prediction: 53
80% range: 21–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 10:35
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 63 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s

Running and total

Run: 18:24 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 83 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 54:48
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:35 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:29 (33.8 km/h)
Run: 18:24 (3:41 / km)
Total: 54:48
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 42.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
54 Ula Sijaviciute
LTU
 +28 s Gruppe 3
21 Personen
 21:32
4:18 / km
 54:59
Show details
Prediction details: Ula Sijaviciute

Placement

Prediction: 54
80% range: 51–58
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 10:15
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 125 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (21 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s

Running and total

Run: 21:32 (4:18 / km)
Historical basis: 4:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 80 Duelle, Korrektur -1.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 54:59
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:15 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:56 (36.4 km/h)
Run: 21:32 (4:18 / km)
Total: 54:59
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 22.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
55 Liv Frost Juhler
DEN
 +47 s Gruppe 4
15 Personen
 21:19
4:16 / km
 55:38
Show details
Prediction details: Liv Frost Juhler

Placement

Prediction: 55
80% range: 55–61
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 10:34
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur 0.76 %, Sicherheit 58 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s

Running and total

Run: 21:19 (4:16 / km)
Historical basis: 4:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur -0.96 %, Sicherheit 51 %
Overall prediction: 55:38
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:34 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:32 (35.9 km/h)
Run: 21:19 (4:16 / km)
Total: 55:38
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 41.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
56 Leticia Magalhães
POR
 +53 s Gruppe 5
8 Personen
 19:40
3:56 / km
 56:04
Show details
Prediction details: Leticia Magalhães

Placement

Prediction: 56
80% range: 45–59
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 10:40
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -1.67 %, Sicherheit 40 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.3 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s

Running and total

Run: 19:40 (3:56 / km)
Historical basis: 3:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 1.25 %, Sicherheit 30 %
Overall prediction: 56:04
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:40 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:29 (33.8 km/h)
Run: 19:40 (3:56 / km)
Total: 56:04
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 48.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
57 Inês Fernandes
POR
 +67 s Gruppe 7
4 Personen
 19:20
3:52 / km
 56:16
Show details
Prediction details: Inês Fernandes

Placement

Prediction: 57
80% range: 46–60
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +67 s
Time: 10:54
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur 0.64 %, Sicherheit 95 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.3 s
Gap behind: 5.2 s

Running and total

Run: 19:20 (3:52 / km)
Historical basis: 3:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur -0.52 %, Sicherheit 83 %
Overall prediction: 56:16
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:54 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:29 (33.5 km/h)
Run: 19:20 (3:52 / km)
Total: 56:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 61.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
58 Nina Pircova
SVK
 +85 s Gruppe 7
4 Personen
 19:21
3:52 / km
 56:17
Show details
Prediction details: Nina Pircova

Placement

Prediction: 58
80% range: 52–59
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +85 s
Time: 11:12
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 63 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 12.8 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s

Running and total

Run: 19:21 (3:52 / km)
Historical basis: 3:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 63 %
Overall prediction: 56:17
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 11:12 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:29 (33.5 km/h)
Run: 19:21 (3:52 / km)
Total: 56:17
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:57
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 75.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +9.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
59 Nerea Demuyt
BEL
 +60 s Gruppe 6
2 Personen
 19:41
3:56 / km
 56:25
Show details
Prediction details: Nerea Demuyt

Placement

Prediction: 59
80% range: 45–59
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +60 s
Time: 10:47
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 33.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.4 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s

Running and total

Run: 19:41 (3:56 / km)
Historical basis: 3:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:51 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -0.68 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 56:25
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:47 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:43 (33.6 km/h)
Run: 19:41 (3:56 / km)
Total: 56:25
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 55.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
60 Edita Pozlerova
CZE
 +51 s Gruppe 5
8 Personen
 20:02
4:00 / km
 56:26
Show details
Prediction details: Edita Pozlerova

Placement

Prediction: 60
80% range: 48–58
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 10:38
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
H2H: 45 Gegner:innen, 182 Duelle, Korrektur -0.61 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 2.3 s

Running and total

Run: 20:02 (4:00 / km)
Historical basis: 4:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 94 Duelle, Korrektur -1.72 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Overall prediction: 56:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:38 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:29 (33.8 km/h)
Run: 20:02 (4:00 / km)
Total: 56:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 45.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
61 Sara Dolejsova
CZE
 +72 s Gruppe 7
4 Personen
 21:41
4:20 / km
 58:37
Show details
Prediction details: Sara Dolejsova

Placement

Prediction: 61
80% range: 61–62
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +72 s
Time: 10:59
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur -0.40 %, Sicherheit 74 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.2 s
Gap behind: 12.8 s

Running and total

Run: 21:41 (4:20 / km)
Historical basis: 4:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur -0.97 %, Sicherheit 72 %
Overall prediction: 58:37
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:59 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:29 (33.5 km/h)
Run: 21:41 (4:20 / km)
Total: 58:37
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 66.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
62 Nela Habasová
SVK
 +56 s Gruppe 5
8 Personen
 22:58
4:36 / km
 59:22
Show details
Prediction details: Nela Habasová

Placement

Prediction: 62
80% range: 61–62
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +56 s
Time: 10:43
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.62 %, Sicherheit 14 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 4.4 s

Running and total

Run: 22:58 (4:36 / km)
Historical basis: 4:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:36 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Overall prediction: 59:22
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:43 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:29 (33.8 km/h)
Run: 22:58 (4:36 / km)
Total: 59:22
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 50.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
63 Alba Nuñez Hernández
ESP
 +46 s Gruppe 4
15 Personen
 35:32
7:06 / km
 1:09:51
Show details
Prediction details: Alba Nuñez Hernández

Placement

Prediction: 63
80% range: 63–63
Top-10 probability: 0 %

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 10:33
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -1.39 %, Sicherheit 21 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s

Running and total

Run: 35:32 (7:06 / km)
Historical basis: 7:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 7:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 27 %
Overall prediction: 1:09:51
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:33 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:32 (35.9 km/h)
Run: 35:32 (7:06 / km)
Total: 1:09:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 40.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.