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PTS3 Men

21.06.2026 Athens GRE
Race information and calculation basis
2026 GRE Paratriathlon National Championship

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 21.06.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 75/100 mittel
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 41 früheren Rennen und 1181 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 53.1 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 21.06.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 3 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 50.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 0.0 % · 41 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error0.0
Mean swim error30.3 s
Mean bike-speed error3.10 km/h
Correct bike groups2/2
No history0
Within the 80% range100.0 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 1 Stylianos Malakopoulos
GRE
+24 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		18:19
17:57
 55:04
Show details
Prediction details: Stylianos Malakopoulos

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 11:26
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 24.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 33.2 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 414.6 s
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 31.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.06 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:19 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:57 (3:35 / km)
Error: +0:22 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 55:04
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:26 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:21 (33.2 km/h)
Run: 18:19 (3:40 / km)
Total: 55:04
2 / 2 Achileas Stamatiadis
GRE
+439 s
+402 s
G2 / G2
correct 		31:56
35:04
 1:21:57
Show details
Prediction details: Achileas Stamatiadis

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 2–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +439 s
Time: 18:21
Pace: 2:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +402 s
Fehler: 36.6 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 28.2 km/h
Gap ahead: 414.6 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 24.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.13 km/h

Running and total

Run: 31:56 (6:23 / km)
Historical basis: 6:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 6:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Ergebnis Lauf: 35:04 (7:01 / km)
Error: −3:08 / −0:38 / km
Overall prediction: 1:21:57
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 18:21 (2:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 42:43 (28.2 km/h)
Run: 31:56 (6:23 / km)
Total: 1:21:57
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 11:29
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
About 411.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +26.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.