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Performance Workspace
Predicition
Prediction comparison

PTS5 Men

21.06.2026 Athens GRE
Race information and calculation basis
2026 GRE Paratriathlon National Championship

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 21.06.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 50/100 niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 41 früheren Rennen und 1181 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 53.1 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 21.06.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 3 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 0.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 0.0 % · 41 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error1.0
Mean swim error300.0 s
Mean bike-speed error2.75 km/h
Correct bike groups0/1
No history1
Within the 80% range0.0 %
Place
Prediction / result
Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result
Bike group
Prediction / result
Run
Prediction / result
Overall prediction Details
1 / 2 Theodoros Moraitis
GRE
+306 s
+6 s
G1 / G2
23:32
25:48
1:06:53
Show details
Prediction details: Theodoros Moraitis

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +306 s
Time: 19:35
Pace: 2:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 300.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 31.5 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 28.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.75 km/h

Running and total

Run: 23:32 (4:42 / km)
Historical basis: 4:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:42 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1

Ergebnis Lauf: 25:48 (5:10 / km)
Error: −2:16 / −0:27 / km
Overall prediction: 1:06:53
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 19:35 (2:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 38:15 (31.5 km/h)
Run: 23:32 (4:42 / km)
Total: 1:06:53
0 / 1 Panagiotis Alevizos
GRE
+0 s
+0 s
G0 / G1
18:51
Show details
Prediction details: Panagiotis Alevizos

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 14:29
Pace: 1:56 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 29.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 18:51 (3:46 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 14:29 (1:56 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.