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Junior Men

31.05.2026 Stein NED
Race information and calculation basis
2026 NED Sprint Triathlon National Championships

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 31.05.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 58/100 niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 75 früheren Rennen und 2190 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 47.8 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 31.05.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 3 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 16.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 56.0 % · 75 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error8.2
Mean swim error51.2 s
Mean bike-speed error2.11 km/h
Correct bike groups3/16
No history9
Within the 80% range4.0 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 5 Josh Garrone
NED
+34 s
+17 s
G1 / G2
 17:52
17:50
 49:14
Show details
Prediction details: Josh Garrone

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 6–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 10:14
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 16.9 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -0.25 %, Sicherheit 42 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 81 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 15.1 s
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.86 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:52 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.99 %, Sicherheit 15 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:50 (3:34 / km)
Error: +0:02 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 49:14
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:14 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:48 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 17:52 (3:34 / km)
Total: 49:14
2 / 4 Jiri Heppener
NED
+34 s
+47 s
G1 / G3
 18:34
17:06
 49:56
Show details
Prediction details: Jiri Heppener

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 7–9
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 10:14
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: -13.4 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.84 %, Sicherheit 46 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 73 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 3 (3 people)
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:34 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 1.38 %, Sicherheit 23 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:06 (3:25 / km)
Error: +1:28 / +0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 49:56
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:14 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:48 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 18:34 (3:43 / km)
Total: 49:56
3 / 12 Danny Hemelrijk
NED
+27 s
+69 s
G1 / G5
 18:36
17:25
 49:58
Show details
Prediction details: Danny Hemelrijk

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 7–9
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +69 s
Fehler: -42.5 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.68 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 70 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 6.5 s
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 39.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:36 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:25 (3:29 / km)
Error: +1:11 / +0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 49:58
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:07 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:48 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 18:36 (3:43 / km)
Total: 49:58
4 / 8 Senna Mol
NED
+56 s
+25 s
G2 / G3
 18:36
18:47
 50:16
Show details
Prediction details: Senna Mol

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 7–9
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +56 s
Time: 10:36
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: 31.1 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 46 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 34 %
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.6 s
Gap behind: 10.0 s
Result: Group 3 (3 people)
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.46 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:36 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:42 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.58 %, Sicherheit 24 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:47 (3:45 / km)
Error: −0:11 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 50:16
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:36 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:44 (39.0 km/h)
Run: 18:36 (3:43 / km)
Total: 50:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:26
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 10.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +45.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 2 Jetze Van Popta
NED
+115 s
+22 s
G3 / G2
 19:01
16:36
 51:13
Show details
Prediction details: Jetze Van Popta

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 10–12
Top-10 probability: 61 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +115 s
Time: 11:35
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 92.7 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.33 %, Sicherheit 34 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.7 s
Gap behind: 28.3 s
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.81 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:01 (3:48 / km)
Historical basis: 3:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 21 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:36 (3:19 / km)
Error: +2:25 / +0:29 / km
Overall prediction: 51:13
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 11:35 (1:33 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:17 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 19:01 (3:48 / km)
Total: 51:13
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:26
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 68.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +45.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 7 Lars Beijk
NED
+108 s
+57 s
G3 / G4
 19:28
17:13
 51:40
Show details
Prediction details: Lars Beijk

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 10–13
Top-10 probability: 19 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +108 s
Time: 11:28
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +57 s
Fehler: 51.0 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 1.02 %, Sicherheit 38 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 26.0 s
Gap behind: 6.7 s
Result: Group 4 (3 people)
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.83 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:28 (3:54 / km)
Historical basis: 3:55 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.48 %, Sicherheit 21 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:13 (3:27 / km)
Error: +2:15 / +0:27 / km
Overall prediction: 51:40
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:28 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:17 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 19:28 (3:54 / km)
Total: 51:40
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:26
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 62.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +45.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 9 Arcan Vanoverschelden
BEL
+33 s
+0 s
G1 / G2
 20:37
19:04
 51:59
Show details
Prediction details: Arcan Vanoverschelden

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 10–14
Top-10 probability: 14 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 10:13
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 33.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 63 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.5 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:37 (4:07 / km)
Historical basis: 4:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:04 (3:49 / km)
Error: +1:33 / +0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 51:59
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:13 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:48 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 20:37 (4:07 / km)
Total: 51:59
8 / 10 Xander Boets
NED
+66 s
+40 s
G3 / G3
correct 		20:04
18:55
 52:16
Show details
Prediction details: Xander Boets

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 11–14
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +66 s
Time: 10:46
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: 26.1 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 46 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 10.0 s
Gap behind: 15.9 s
Result: Group 3 (3 people)
Speed: 40.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.72 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:04 (4:01 / km)
Historical basis: 4:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:02 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 21 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:55 (3:47 / km)
Error: +1:09 / +0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 52:16
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:46 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:17 (39.1 km/h)
Run: 20:04 (4:01 / km)
Total: 52:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:17
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 29.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +36.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 6 Pieterjan Cornelis
BEL
+52 s
+13 s
G2 / G2
correct 		20:36
18:09
 52:16
Show details
Prediction details: Pieterjan Cornelis

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 12–14
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 10:32
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: 38.5 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.5 s
Gap behind: 4.6 s
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.71 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:36 (4:07 / km)
Historical basis: 4:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:09 (3:38 / km)
Error: +2:27 / +0:29 / km
Overall prediction: 52:16
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:32 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:44 (39.0 km/h)
Run: 20:36 (4:07 / km)
Total: 52:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:17
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 14.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +36.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 13 Niels Van der Meer
NED
+145 s
+110 s
G4 / G6
 20:40
17:49
 56:37
Show details
Prediction details: Niels Van der Meer

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 15–15
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +145 s
Time: 12:05
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +110 s
Fehler: 35.0 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 40 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 21.7 s
Result: Group 6 (4 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.91 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:40 (4:08 / km)
Historical basis: 4:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.76 %, Sicherheit 20 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:49 (3:34 / km)
Error: +2:51 / +0:34 / km
Overall prediction: 56:37
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 12:05 (1:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:32 (35.8 km/h)
Run: 20:40 (4:08 / km)
Total: 56:37
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:17
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 108.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +36.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 21 Sander Vondeling
NED
+49 s
+51 s
G2 / G6
 26:22
22:13
 58:02
Show details
Prediction details: Sander Vondeling

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 16–16
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 10:29
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +51 s
Fehler: -2.0 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.20 %, Sicherheit 40 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 15.1 s
Gap behind: 2.5 s
Result: Group 6 (4 people)
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.45 km/h

Running and total

Run: 26:22 (5:16 / km)
Historical basis: 5:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -2.25 %, Sicherheit 17 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:13 (4:27 / km)
Error: +4:09 / +0:50 / km
Overall prediction: 58:02
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:29 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:44 (39.0 km/h)
Run: 26:22 (5:16 / km)
Total: 58:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:17
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 12.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +36.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 1 Seppe Vanoverbeke
BEL
+0 s
+6 s
G0 / G1
16:32
Show details
Prediction details: Seppe Vanoverbeke

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 17–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:40
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:32 (3:18 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:40 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 3 Siebe Scheipers
BEL
+0 s
+20 s
G0 / G2
17:07
Show details
Prediction details: Siebe Scheipers

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 18–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:40
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:07 (3:25 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:40 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 11 Mees Meuge
NED
+143 s
+54 s
G4 / G4
correct
17:54
Show details
Prediction details: Mees Meuge

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +143 s
Time: 12:03
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +54 s
Fehler: 89.0 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 39 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 28.3 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 4 (3 people)
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:54 (3:35 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 12:03 (1:36 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:32 (35.8 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:17
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 106.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +36.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 14 Julius Nothnagel
GER
+0 s
+53 s
G0 / G4
20:19
Show details
Prediction details: Julius Nothnagel

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 19–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:40
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +53 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (3 people)
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:19 (4:04 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:40 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 15 Matti Flinterhoff
GER
+0 s
+40 s
G0 / G6
19:03
Show details
Prediction details: Matti Flinterhoff

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 20–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:40
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (4 people)
Speed: 37.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:03 (3:49 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:40 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 16 Mathijs Ippel
NED
+167 s
+116 s
G5 / G6
19:09
Show details
Prediction details: Mathijs Ippel

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +167 s
Time: 12:27
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +116 s
Fehler: 50.7 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 39 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 21.7 s
Gap behind: 77.0 s
Result: Group 6 (4 people)
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.98 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:09 (3:50 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 12:27 (1:40 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:40 (35.6 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:17
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 129.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +36.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 17 Koen Van Elswijk
NED
+244 s
+160 s
G6 / G8
18:12
Show details
Prediction details: Koen Van Elswijk

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +244 s
Time: 13:44
Pace: 1:50 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +160 s
Fehler: 83.7 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 39 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 77.0 s
Gap behind: 149.0 s
Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.97 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:12 (3:38 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 13:44 (1:50 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:27 (37.0 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:17
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 206.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +36.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 18 Noud Dammer
NED
+0 s
+182 s
G0 / G9
17:50
Show details
Prediction details: Noud Dammer

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 21–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:40
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +182 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 9 (1 people)
Speed: 37.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:50 (3:34 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:40 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 19 Hidde Terpstra
NED
+82 s
+73 s
G3 / G7
20:00
Show details
Prediction details: Hidde Terpstra

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +82 s
Time: 11:02
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +73 s
Fehler: 9.0 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 39 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 15.9 s
Gap behind: 26.0 s
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.62 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:00 (4:00 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 11:02 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:17 (39.1 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:17
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 45.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +36.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 20 Hein Tates
NED
+0 s
+249 s
G0 / G10
18:08
Show details
Prediction details: Hein Tates

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 22–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:40
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +249 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 10 (3 people)
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:08 (3:38 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:40 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 22 Jens Van Wifferen
NED
+0 s
+186 s
G0 / G10
19:56
Show details
Prediction details: Jens Van Wifferen

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 23–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:40
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +186 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 10 (3 people)
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:56 (3:59 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:40 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 23 Maarten Hoogerwerf
NED
+0 s
+190 s
G0 / G10
20:45
Show details
Prediction details: Maarten Hoogerwerf

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 24–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:40
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +190 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 10 (3 people)
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:45 (4:09 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:40 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 24 Owen Nijenhuis
NED
+0 s
+271 s
G0 / G12
18:51
Show details
Prediction details: Owen Nijenhuis

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 25–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:40
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +271 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 12 (1 people)
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:51 (3:46 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:40 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 25 Niels Van Gerrevink
NED
+393 s
+188 s
G7 / G11
20:56
Show details
Prediction details: Niels Van Gerrevink

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 5–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -25

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +393 s
Time: 16:13
Pace: 2:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +188 s
Fehler: 204.7 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 39 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 29.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 149.0 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 11 (1 people)
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.92 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:56 (4:11 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 16:13 (2:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 40:17 (29.8 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:17
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 355.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +36.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.