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Elite Men

12.04.2026 Broadwater, Gold Coast AUS
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Oceania Triathlon Cup Gold Coast

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 12.04.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 84/100 hoch
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 74 früheren Rennen und 1629 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 40.0 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 12.04.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 67.2 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 90.2 % · 74 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error9.7
Mean swim error23.3 s
Mean bike-speed error1.79 km/h
Correct bike groups1/59
No history2
Within the 80% range37.7 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 1 Brayden Mercer
AUS
+19 s
+12 s
G1 / G2
 14:39
15:36
 44:39
Show details
Prediction details: Brayden Mercer

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 3–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 8:16
Pace: 1:06 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 7.1 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 117 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.1 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 44.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:39 (2:56 / km)
Historical basis: 2:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:56 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 114 Duelle, Korrektur 0.74 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:36 (3:07 / km)
Error: −0:57 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 44:39
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:16 (1:06 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 14:39 (2:56 / km)
Total: 44:39
2 / 3 Luke Schofield
AUS
+22 s
+5 s
G1 / G2
 14:54
15:42
 44:54
Show details
Prediction details: Luke Schofield

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 3–8
Top-10 probability: 98 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 8:19
Pace: 1:07 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 17.3 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 116 Duelle, Korrektur 0.48 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 43.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.74 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:54 (2:59 / km)
Historical basis: 2:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 116 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 94 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:42 (3:08 / km)
Error: −0:48 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 44:54
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:19 (1:07 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 14:54 (2:59 / km)
Total: 44:54
3 / 17 Zahn Spies
AUS
+11 s
+18 s
G1 / G5
 15:02
16:32
 45:02
Show details
Prediction details: Zahn Spies

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 4–9
Top-10 probability: 96 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +11 s
Time: 8:08
Pace: 1:05 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: -7.4 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 0.42 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.9 s
Gap behind: 6.4 s
Result: Group 5 (11 people)
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.73 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:02 (3:00 / km)
Historical basis: 3:00 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:32 (3:18 / km)
Error: −1:30 / −0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 45:02
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:08 (1:05 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 15:02 (3:00 / km)
Total: 45:02
4 / 4 Saxon Morgan
NZL
+27 s
+10 s
G1 / G2
 15:04
15:47
 45:04
Show details
Prediction details: Saxon Morgan

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 4–9
Top-10 probability: 95 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 8:24
Pace: 1:07 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: 16.9 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 141 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.3 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 43.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.85 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:04 (3:01 / km)
Historical basis: 3:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 141 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:47 (3:09 / km)
Error: −0:43 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 45:04
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:24 (1:07 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 15:04 (3:01 / km)
Total: 45:04
5 / 11 Toby Powers
AUS
+52 s
+27 s
G1 / G5
 15:06
15:50
 45:06
Show details
Prediction details: Toby Powers

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 5–30
Top-10 probability: 59 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 8:49
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: 24.7 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 88 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 53 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 5 (11 people)
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:06 (3:01 / km)
Historical basis: 3:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 88 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 86 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:50 (3:10 / km)
Error: −0:44 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 45:06
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:49 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 15:06 (3:01 / km)
Total: 45:06
6 / 5 Jordan Rieck
AUS
+44 s
+5 s
G1 / G2
 15:12
16:06
 45:12
Show details
Prediction details: Jordan Rieck

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 5–13
Top-10 probability: 80 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 8:41
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 38.5 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 95 Duelle, Korrektur -0.41 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 84 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 2.4 s
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 43.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:12 (3:02 / km)
Historical basis: 3:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 95 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 95 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:06 (3:13 / km)
Error: −0:54 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 45:12
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:41 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 15:12 (3:02 / km)
Total: 45:12
7 / 35 Kyle Mason
AUS
+34 s
+65 s
G1 / G7
 15:17
17:13
 45:17
Show details
Prediction details: Kyle Mason

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 7–13
Top-10 probability: 73 %
Result: 35
Deviation: -28

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 8:31
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +65 s
Fehler: -31.0 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur -1.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 99 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 3.0 s
Result: Group 7 (9 people)
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:17 (3:03 / km)
Historical basis: 3:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:13 (3:27 / km)
Error: −1:56 / −0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 45:17
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:31 (1:08 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 15:17 (3:03 / km)
Total: 45:17
8 / 23 Reece Harris
AUS
+32 s
+24 s
G1 / G5
 15:21
17:07
 45:21
Show details
Prediction details: Reece Harris

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 7–15
Top-10 probability: 50 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 8:29
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: 8.3 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur 0.57 %, Sicherheit 71 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 94 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 5 (11 people)
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.96 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:21 (3:04 / km)
Historical basis: 3:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur 1.14 %, Sicherheit 53 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:07 (3:25 / km)
Error: −1:46 / −0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 45:21
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:29 (1:08 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 15:21 (3:04 / km)
Total: 45:21
9 / 2 Jayden Schofield
AUS
+53 s
+9 s
G1 / G2
 15:24
15:40
 45:24
Show details
Prediction details: Jayden Schofield

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 10–37
Top-10 probability: 21 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +9 s
Fehler: 43.9 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 116 Duelle, Korrektur 0.42 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 45 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 43.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.85 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:24 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:57 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 116 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 85 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:40 (3:08 / km)
Error: −0:16 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 45:24
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:50 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 15:24 (3:05 / km)
Total: 45:24
10 / 10 Luke Bate
AUS
+31 s
+13 s
G1 / G2
 15:29
16:26
 45:29
Show details
Prediction details: Luke Bate

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 8–15
Top-10 probability: 49 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 8:28
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: 17.6 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 65 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 44.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.93 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:29 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:59 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 53 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:26 (3:17 / km)
Error: −0:57 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 45:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:28 (1:08 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 15:29 (3:06 / km)
Total: 45:29
11 / 8 Logan Campbell
AUS
+46 s
+16 s
G1 / G2
 15:31
16:21
 45:31
Show details
Prediction details: Logan Campbell

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 8–22
Top-10 probability: 23 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: 29.9 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 75 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.4 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 44.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.96 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:31 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:21 (3:16 / km)
Error: −0:50 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 45:31
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:43 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 15:31 (3:06 / km)
Total: 45:31
12 / 19 William Taylor
NZL
+49 s
+22 s
G1 / G5
 15:36
16:32
 45:36
Show details
Prediction details: William Taylor

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 13–25
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 26.6 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 120 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 53 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 5 (11 people)
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.78 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:36 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 120 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:32 (3:18 / km)
Error: −0:56 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 45:36
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:46 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 15:36 (3:07 / km)
Total: 45:36
13 / 18 Jack Woodberry
AUS
+43 s
+25 s
G1 / G5
 15:39
16:32
 45:39
Show details
Prediction details: Jack Woodberry

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 12–34
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 8:40
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: 17.5 s
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 64 Duelle, Korrektur -0.91 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 73 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.2 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 5 (11 people)
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.86 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:39 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 64 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:32 (3:18 / km)
Error: −0:53 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 45:39
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:40 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 15:39 (3:08 / km)
Total: 45:39
14 / 9 Robbie White
NZL
+39 s
+13 s
G1 / G3
 15:41
16:23
 45:41
Show details
Prediction details: Robbie White

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 11–19
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 8:36
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: 25.6 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 30 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 95 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 43.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.88 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:41 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.36 %, Sicherheit 28 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:23 (3:17 / km)
Error: −0:42 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 45:41
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:36 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 15:41 (3:08 / km)
Total: 45:41
15 / 27 Benjamin Devries
AUS
+0 s
+12 s
G1 / G5
 15:42
17:20
 45:42
Show details
Prediction details: Benjamin Devries

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 11–19
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 7:57
Pace: 1:04 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: -12.0 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 5 (11 people)
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:42 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:20 (3:28 / km)
Error: −1:38 / −0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 45:42
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 7:57 (1:04 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 15:42 (3:08 / km)
Total: 45:42
16 / 39 Connor Kemp
NZL
+37 s
+34 s
G1 / G7
 15:43
17:35
 45:43
Show details
Prediction details: Connor Kemp

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 12–20
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 39
Deviation: -23

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 8:34
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: 3.0 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur 0.63 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 89 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.0 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 7 (9 people)
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.28 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:43 (3:09 / km)
Historical basis: 3:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:35 (3:31 / km)
Error: −1:52 / −0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 45:43
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:34 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 15:43 (3:09 / km)
Total: 45:43
17 / 12 Rory Thornhill
AUS
+33 s
+13 s
G1 / G2
 15:57
16:49
 45:57
Show details
Prediction details: Rory Thornhill

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 14–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 8:30
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: 19.5 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 139 Duelle, Korrektur -0.41 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 43.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.82 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:57 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 139 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 96 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:49 (3:22 / km)
Error: −0:52 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 45:57
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:30 (1:08 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 15:57 (3:11 / km)
Total: 45:57
18 / 14 Gus Marfell
NZL
+54 s
+30 s
G1 / G5
 16:05
16:06
 46:05
Show details
Prediction details: Gus Marfell

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 11–42
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 14
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +54 s
Time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: 24.3 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 120 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 39 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 5 (11 people)
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.93 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:05 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 120 Duelle, Korrektur 0.50 %, Sicherheit 85 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:06 (3:13 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 46:05
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:51 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 16:05 (3:13 / km)
Total: 46:05
19 / 22 Wade Barr
AUS
+57 s
+43 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:06 46:06
Show details
Prediction details: Wade Barr

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 20–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +57 s
Time: 8:54
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: 14.2 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 81 Duelle, Korrektur -1.00 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 33 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 4.8 s
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:06 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 81 Duelle, Korrektur 1.52 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction: 46:06
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:54 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 16:06 (3:13 / km)
Total: 46:06
20 / 15 Finnley Oliver
NZL
+24 s
+19 s
G1 / G5
 16:07
16:10
 46:07
Show details
Prediction details: Finnley Oliver

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 17–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 8:21
Pace: 1:07 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 5.4 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur -0.57 %, Sicherheit 84 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 5 (11 people)
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.68 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:07 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -0.58 %, Sicherheit 76 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:10 (3:14 / km)
Error: −0:03 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 46:07
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:21 (1:07 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 16:07 (3:13 / km)
Total: 46:07
21 / 16 Joel Lange
NZL
+30 s
+1 s
G1 / G3
 16:10
17:17
 46:10
Show details
Prediction details: Joel Lange

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 17–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 8:27
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 28.6 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 98 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 43.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.53 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:10 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:17 (3:27 / km)
Error: −1:07 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 46:10
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:27 (1:08 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 16:10 (3:14 / km)
Total: 46:10
22 / 21 Alexander Eason
AUS
+4 s
+23 s
G1 / G4
 16:25
17:08
 46:25
Show details
Prediction details: Alexander Eason

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 20–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +4 s
Time: 8:01
Pace: 1:04 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: -19.0 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.3 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:25 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:08 (3:26 / km)
Error: −0:43 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 46:25
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 8:01 (1:04 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 16:25 (3:17 / km)
Total: 46:25
23 / 54 Isaiah Ryan
AUS
+52 s
+77 s
G1 / G9
 16:25
19:14
 46:25
Show details
Prediction details: Isaiah Ryan

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 23–41
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 54
Deviation: -31

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 8:49
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +77 s
Fehler: -24.7 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 0.64 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 45 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 9 (3 people)
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:25 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:14 (3:51 / km)
Error: −2:49 / −0:34 / km
Overall prediction: 46:25
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 8:49 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 16:25 (3:17 / km)
Total: 46:25
24 / 34 Angus Argent-Smith
AUS
+21 s
+68 s
G1 / G7
 16:29
16:55
 46:29
Show details
Prediction details: Angus Argent-Smith

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 20–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 34
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 8:18
Pace: 1:06 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +68 s
Fehler: -47.4 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 0.85 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 7 (9 people)
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:29 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Error: −0:26 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 46:29
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 8:18 (1:06 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 16:29 (3:18 / km)
Total: 46:29
25 / 44 Trevor Laupland
CAN
+40 s
+38 s
G1 / G7
 16:30
19:06
 46:30
Show details
Prediction details: Trevor Laupland

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 8–45
Top-10 probability: 16 %
Result: 44
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 8:37
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: 2.3 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 28 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 83 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 2.2 s
Result: Group 7 (9 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.50 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:30 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 24 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:06 (3:49 / km)
Error: −2:36 / −0:31 / km
Overall prediction: 46:30
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:37 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 16:30 (3:18 / km)
Total: 46:30
26 / 13 Tzu I Pan
TPE
+48 s
+13 s
G1 / G2
 16:30
16:59
 46:30
Show details
Prediction details: Tzu I Pan

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 22–34
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 8:45
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: 34.5 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 73 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 92 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 66 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 44.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.93 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:30 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 10
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur -0.29 %, Sicherheit 74 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:59 (3:24 / km)
Error: −0:29 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 46:30
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:45 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 16:30 (3:18 / km)
Total: 46:30
27 / 29 Bowen Bamford
AUS
+38 s
+31 s
G1 / G6
 16:37
16:59
 46:37
Show details
Prediction details: Bowen Bamford

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 22–34
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 8:35
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 6.6 s
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 62 Duelle, Korrektur -1.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 86 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 6 (8 people)
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.13 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:37 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur -0.45 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:59 (3:24 / km)
Error: −0:22 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 46:37
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:35 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 16:37 (3:19 / km)
Total: 46:37
28 / 31 Alec Ball
NZL
+29 s
+43 s
G1 / G7
 16:45
16:41
 46:45
Show details
Prediction details: Alec Ball

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 24–39
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 31
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 8:26
Pace: 1:07 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: -14.3 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur 0.65 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 80 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 7 (9 people)
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.59 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:45 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:41 (3:20 / km)
Error: +0:04 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 46:45
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:26 (1:07 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 16:45 (3:21 / km)
Total: 46:45
29 / 36 Ivan Nagel
AUS
+50 s
+57 s
G1 / G7
 16:50
17:27
 46:50
Show details
Prediction details: Ivan Nagel

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 27–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 36
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 8:47
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +57 s
Fehler: -7.3 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -2.41 %, Sicherheit 58 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 54 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 7 (9 people)
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.98 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:50 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 58 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:27 (3:29 / km)
Error: −0:37 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 46:50
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:47 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 16:50 (3:22 / km)
Total: 46:50
30 / 33 William Kisby
AUS
+19 s
+32 s
G1 / G6
 16:51
17:24
 46:51
Show details
Prediction details: William Kisby

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 24–34
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 33
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 8:16
Pace: 1:06 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: -12.7 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.61 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 6 (8 people)
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:51 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:24 (3:29 / km)
Error: −0:33 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 46:51
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 8:16 (1:06 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 16:51 (3:22 / km)
Total: 46:51
31 / 55 Kai Haynes
AUS
+56 s
+64 s
G1 / G10
 16:52
19:29
 46:52
Show details
Prediction details: Kai Haynes

Placement

Prediction: 31
80% range: 28–47
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 55
Deviation: -24

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +56 s
Time: 8:53
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +64 s
Fehler: -8.4 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 37 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 38 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 10 (6 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.25 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:52 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 38 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:29 (3:54 / km)
Error: −2:37 / −0:31 / km
Overall prediction: 46:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:53 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 16:52 (3:22 / km)
Total: 46:52
32 / 51 Ethan Mackie
AUS
+25 s
+73 s
G1 / G9
 17:06
18:30
 47:06
Show details
Prediction details: Ethan Mackie

Placement

Prediction: 32
80% range: 27–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 51
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 8:22
Pace: 1:07 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +73 s
Fehler: -48.4 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur 0.71 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 99 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 2.3 s
Result: Group 9 (3 people)
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.88 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:06 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:30 (3:42 / km)
Error: −1:24 / −0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 47:06
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:22 (1:07 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 17:06 (3:25 / km)
Total: 47:06
33 / 43 Jack Wicks
AUS
+2 s
+31 s
G1 / G8
 17:08
18:53
 47:08
Show details
Prediction details: Jack Wicks

Placement

Prediction: 33
80% range: 27–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 43
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +2 s
Time: 7:59
Pace: 1:04 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: -29.3 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 2.3 s
Result: Group 8 (4 people)
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:08 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:53 (3:47 / km)
Error: −1:45 / −0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 47:08
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 7:59 (1:04 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 17:08 (3:26 / km)
Total: 47:08
34 / 25 Sangmin Park
KOR
+34 s
+12 s
G1 / G5
 17:11
17:12
 47:11
Show details
Prediction details: Sangmin Park

Placement

Prediction: 34
80% range: 27–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 8:31
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 21.5 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 88 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 94 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 5 (11 people)
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.58 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:11 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 82 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:12 (3:26 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 47:11
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:31 (1:08 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 17:11 (3:26 / km)
Total: 47:11
35 / 20 Kye Wylde
AUS
+70 s
+35 s
G2 / G6
 15:19
16:06
 47:15
Show details
Prediction details: Kye Wylde

Placement

Prediction: 35
80% range: 11–40
Top-10 probability: 10 %
Result: 20
Deviation: 15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +70 s
Time: 9:07
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: 34.9 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 50 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 9.2 s
Result: Group 6 (8 people)
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.98 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:19 (3:04 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 40 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:06 (3:13 / km)
Error: −0:47 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 47:15
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:07 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:31 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 15:19 (3:04 / km)
Total: 47:15
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:58
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 8.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +61.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
36 / 6 Oscar Wootton
AUS
+23 s
+0 s
G1 / G2
 17:18
16:16
 47:18
Show details
Prediction details: Oscar Wootton

Placement

Prediction: 36
80% range: 31–40
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 30

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 8:20
Pace: 1:07 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 22.5 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur -0.75 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 43.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur -1.42 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:16 (3:15 / km)
Error: +1:02 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 47:18
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:20 (1:07 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Total: 47:18
37 / 37 Joshua Fletcher
AUS
+55 s
+39 s
G1 / G6
 17:32
18:02
 47:32
Show details
Prediction details: Joshua Fletcher

Placement

Prediction: 37
80% range: 32–47
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 37
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +55 s
Time: 8:52
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +39 s
Fehler: 15.7 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur -0.51 %, Sicherheit 99 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 36 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 6 (8 people)
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.30 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:32 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 77 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:02 (3:36 / km)
Error: −0:30 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 47:32
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:52 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 17:32 (3:30 / km)
Total: 47:32
38 / 28 Monty Dixon
AUS
+66 s
+52 s
G2 / G7
 15:42
16:15
 47:38
Show details
Prediction details: Monty Dixon

Placement

Prediction: 38
80% range: 17–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +66 s
Time: 9:03
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +52 s
Fehler: 13.9 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur 0.55 %, Sicherheit 47 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.9 s
Gap behind: 3.8 s
Result: Group 7 (9 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.54 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:42 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur -0.67 %, Sicherheit 46 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:15 (3:15 / km)
Error: −0:33 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 47:38
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:03 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:31 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 15:42 (3:08 / km)
Total: 47:38
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:58
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 4.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +61.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
39 / 7 Darcy Williams
AUS
+33 s
+12 s
G1 / G2
 17:39
16:17
 47:39
Show details
Prediction details: Darcy Williams

Placement

Prediction: 39
80% range: 35–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 32

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 8:30
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 21.1 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 99 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 2 (11 people)
Speed: 43.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.90 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:39 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur -1.10 %, Sicherheit 90 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:17 (3:15 / km)
Error: +1:22 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 47:39
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:30 (1:08 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 17:39 (3:32 / km)
Total: 47:39
40 / 24 Benjamin Airey
NZL
+38 s
+21 s
G1 / G5
 17:43
17:08
 47:43
Show details
Prediction details: Benjamin Airey

Placement

Prediction: 40
80% range: 33–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: 16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 8:35
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 16.8 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 88 Duelle, Korrektur -0.92 %, Sicherheit 96 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 91 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 5 (11 people)
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.73 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:43 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 85 Duelle, Korrektur -1.20 %, Sicherheit 78 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:08 (3:26 / km)
Error: +0:35 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 47:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:35 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 17:43 (3:33 / km)
Total: 47:43
41 / 32 Lachlan El-Ansary
AUS
+21 s
+27 s
G1 / G6
 17:46
17:18
 47:46
Show details
Prediction details: Lachlan El-Ansary

Placement

Prediction: 41
80% range: 36–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 32
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 8:18
Pace: 1:06 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: -6.0 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur 0.43 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 6 (8 people)
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.88 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:46 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Error: +0:28 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 47:46
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 8:18 (1:06 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 17:46 (3:33 / km)
Total: 47:46
42 / 40 Chan Uk Park
KOR
+53 s
+32 s
G1 / G5
 17:47
18:54
 47:47
Show details
Prediction details: Chan Uk Park

Placement

Prediction: 42
80% range: 36–49
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 40
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: 21.0 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 84 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 50 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 5 (11 people)
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.16 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:47 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 71 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:54 (3:47 / km)
Error: −1:07 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 47:47
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:50 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 17:47 (3:33 / km)
Total: 47:47
43 / 42 Koby Read
AUS
+6 s
+24 s
G1 / G6
 18:22
18:33
 48:22
Show details
Prediction details: Koby Read

Placement

Prediction: 43
80% range: 42–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 42
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +6 s
Time: 8:03
Pace: 1:04 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: -18.3 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 4.9 s
Result: Group 6 (8 people)
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.91 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:22 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:33 (3:43 / km)
Error: −0:11 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 48:22
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 8:03 (1:04 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 18:22 (3:40 / km)
Total: 48:22
44 / 26 Christophe Gardner
AUS
+83 s
+44 s
G2 / G6
 16:32
16:40
 48:28
Show details
Prediction details: Christophe Gardner

Placement

Prediction: 44
80% range: 29–49
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: 18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +83 s
Time: 9:20
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: 38.6 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -0.29 %, Sicherheit 90 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 6 (8 people)
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:32 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 91 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:40 (3:20 / km)
Error: −0:08 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 48:28
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:20 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:31 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 16:32 (3:18 / km)
Total: 48:28
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:59
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 21.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +61.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
45 / 47 Caide Ellis
AUS
+62 s
+113 s
G2 / G9
 16:53
17:57
 48:49
Show details
Prediction details: Caide Ellis

Placement

Prediction: 45
80% range: 32–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 47
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +62 s
Time: 8:59
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +113 s
Fehler: -51.0 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 0.41 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.8 s
Gap behind: 3.9 s
Result: Group 9 (3 people)
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.51 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:53 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:57 (3:35 / km)
Error: −1:04 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 48:49
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 8:59 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:31 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 16:53 (3:23 / km)
Total: 48:49
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:58
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 0.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +61.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
46 / 53 Vince Bell
AUS
+81 s
+97 s
G2 / G10
 17:24
19:10
 49:20
Show details
Prediction details: Vince Bell

Placement

Prediction: 46
80% range: 46–49
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 53
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +81 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +97 s
Fehler: -16.3 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s
Result: Group 10 (6 people)
Speed: 39.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.18 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:24 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:10 (3:50 / km)
Error: −1:46 / −0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 49:20
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:31 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 17:24 (3:29 / km)
Total: 49:20
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:58
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 19.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +61.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
47 / 57 Zac Booth
AUS
+83 s
+119 s
G2 / G13
 17:36
18:35
 49:32
Show details
Prediction details: Zac Booth

Placement

Prediction: 47
80% range: 47–49
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 57
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +83 s
Time: 9:20
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +119 s
Fehler: -35.7 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.47 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 13 (1 people)
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.28 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:36 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:35 (3:43 / km)
Error: −0:59 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 49:32
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 9:20 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:31 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 17:36 (3:31 / km)
Total: 49:32
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:58
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 22.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +61.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
48 / 50 Samuel McHale
NZL
+85 s
+78 s
G2 / G10
 18:10
18:15
 50:06
Show details
Prediction details: Samuel McHale

Placement

Prediction: 48
80% range: 49–51
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 50
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +85 s
Time: 9:22
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +78 s
Fehler: 6.9 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.92 %, Sicherheit 35 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 11.2 s
Result: Group 10 (6 people)
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.27 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:10 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 35 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:15 (3:39 / km)
Error: −0:05 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 50:06
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 9:22 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:31 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 18:10 (3:38 / km)
Total: 50:06
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:58
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 23.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +61.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
49 / 52 Oscar Skinner
NZL
+84 s
+76 s
G2 / G10
 18:27
18:58
 50:23
Show details
Prediction details: Oscar Skinner

Placement

Prediction: 49
80% range: 50–52
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 52
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +84 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +76 s
Fehler: 8.2 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.92 %, Sicherheit 35 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 10 (6 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.36 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:27 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:42 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 35 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:58 (3:48 / km)
Error: −0:31 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 50:23
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:21 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:31 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 18:27 (3:41 / km)
Total: 50:23
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:58
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 23.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +61.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
50 / 38 Cooper Carswell
AUS
+46 s
+44 s
G1 / G7
 21:46
17:40
 51:46
Show details
Prediction details: Cooper Carswell

Placement

Prediction: 50
80% range: 52–58
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 38
Deviation: 12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: 2.4 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -1.05 %, Sicherheit 12 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 59 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 7 (9 people)
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.69 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:46 (4:21 / km)
Historical basis: 4:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 12 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:40 (3:32 / km)
Error: +4:06 / +0:49 / km
Overall prediction: 51:46
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:43 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 21:46 (4:21 / km)
Total: 51:46
51 / 48 Samuel Lenarduzzi
AUS
+80 s
+70 s
G2 / G8
 20:00
20:32
 51:56
Show details
Prediction details: Samuel Lenarduzzi

Placement

Prediction: 51
80% range: 52–55
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 48
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +80 s
Time: 9:17
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +70 s
Fehler: 10.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 8 (4 people)
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.91 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:00 (4:00 / km)
Historical basis: 4:00 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:32 (4:06 / km)
Error: −0:32 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 51:56
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:17 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:31 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 20:00 (4:00 / km)
Total: 51:56
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:58
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 18.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +61.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
52 / 58 Oliver Anthony
AUS
+79 s
+69 s
G2 / G10
 20:11
22:08
 52:07
Show details
Prediction details: Oliver Anthony

Placement

Prediction: 52
80% range: 53–56
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 58
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +79 s
Time: 9:16
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +69 s
Fehler: 10.1 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur -1.92 %, Sicherheit 66 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 9.2 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 10 (6 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:11 (4:02 / km)
Historical basis: 4:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 62 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:08 (4:26 / km)
Error: −1:57 / −0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 52:07
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:16 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:31 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 20:11 (4:02 / km)
Total: 52:07
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:58
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 18 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +61.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
53 / 59 Dylan Fleischer
AUS
+70 s
+82 s
G2 / G12
 20:43
21:54
 52:39
Show details
Prediction details: Dylan Fleischer

Placement

Prediction: 53
80% range: 53–57
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 59
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +70 s
Time: 9:07
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +82 s
Fehler: -12.3 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.8 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 12 (1 people)
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.56 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:43 (4:09 / km)
Historical basis: 4:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -0.29 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:54 (4:23 / km)
Error: −1:11 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 52:39
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:07 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:31 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 20:43 (4:09 / km)
Total: 52:39
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:58
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 8.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +61.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
54 / 49 Ryan Marfell
NZL
+166 s
+88 s
G4 / G10
 17:17
18:11
 53:16
Show details
Prediction details: Ryan Marfell

Placement

Prediction: 54
80% range: 55–58
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 49
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +166 s
Time: 10:43
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +88 s
Fehler: 77.9 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 56.2 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 10 (6 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:17 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:11 (3:38 / km)
Error: −0:54 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 53:16
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:43 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:13 (35.2 km/h)
Run: 17:17 (3:27 / km)
Total: 53:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:58
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 104.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +61.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
55 / 56 Riley Abrahams
AUS
+96 s
+62 s
G3 / G11
 18:02
19:31
 53:48
Show details
Prediction details: Riley Abrahams

Placement

Prediction: 55
80% range: 51–55
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 56
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +96 s
Time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +62 s
Fehler: 34.1 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 41 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 11.2 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 11 (1 people)
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.22 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:02 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 41 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:31 (3:54 / km)
Error: −1:29 / −0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 53:48
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:33 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:08 (35.2 km/h)
Run: 18:02 (3:36 / km)
Total: 53:48
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:58
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 35 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +61.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
56 / 60 Oliver Thiessen
AUS
+110 s
+162 s
G4 / G14
 18:54
20:56
 54:53
Show details
Prediction details: Oliver Thiessen

Placement

Prediction: 56
80% range: 58–59
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 60
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +110 s
Time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +162 s
Fehler: -52.3 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 11.8 s
Gap behind: 56.2 s
Result: Group 14 (2 people)
Speed: 36.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.82 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:54 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:56 (4:11 / km)
Error: −2:02 / −0:24 / km
Overall prediction: 54:53
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:47 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:13 (35.2 km/h)
Run: 18:54 (3:47 / km)
Total: 54:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:58
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 48.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +61.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
57 / 61 Tyreece Collins
SAM
+98 s
+136 s
G3 / G14
 20:38
20:57
 56:24
Show details
Prediction details: Tyreece Collins

Placement

Prediction: 57
80% range: 54–59
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 61
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +98 s
Time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +136 s
Fehler: -38.1 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 11.8 s
Result: Group 14 (2 people)
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.45 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:38 (4:08 / km)
Historical basis: 4:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:08 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:57 (4:11 / km)
Error: −0:19 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 56:24
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:35 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:08 (35.2 km/h)
Run: 20:38 (4:08 / km)
Total: 56:24
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:58
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 36.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +61.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 30 Tom George Speed
AUS
+0 s
+74 s
G1 / G7
16:28
Show details
Prediction details: Tom George Speed

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 30
Deviation: -30

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 7:57
Pace: 1:04 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +74 s
Fehler: -74.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 7 (9 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.33 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:28 (3:18 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 7:57 (1:04 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 41 Charlie Churchill
AUS
+0 s
+14 s
G0 / G6
18:27
Show details
Prediction details: Charlie Churchill

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 60–60
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 41
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 7:57
Pace: 1:04 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (8 people)
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:27 (3:41 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 7:57 (1:04 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 45 Casper Larkin
AUS
+17 s
+59 s
G1 / G8
19:35
Show details
Prediction details: Casper Larkin

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 45
Deviation: -45

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +17 s
Time: 8:14
Pace: 1:06 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +59 s
Fehler: -42.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (44 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.4 s
Gap behind: 2.1 s
Result: Group 8 (4 people)
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.96 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:35 (3:55 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:14 (1:06 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:03 (41.0 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 46 Taeil Jun
KOR
+0 s
+11 s
G0 / G8
20:09
Show details
Prediction details: Taeil Jun

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 61–61
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 46
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 7:57
Pace: 1:04 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 8 (4 people)
Speed: 40.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:09 (4:02 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 7:57 (1:04 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.