Zum Inhalt springen
Performance Workspace
Predicition
Live data
Prediction comparison

Junior Men

14.03.2026 AUS
Race information and calculation basis
2026 Oceania Triathlon Junior Championships Devonport

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 14.03.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 62/100 mittel
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 73 früheren Rennen und 1464 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 43.2 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 14.03.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 24.6 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 59.0 % · 73 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error12.3
Mean swim error25.2 s
Mean bike-speed error2.51 km/h
Correct bike groups9/39
No history22
Within the 80% range11.5 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 1 Zahn Spies
AUS
+16 s
+5 s
G2 / G1
 15:30
15:01
 46:06
Show details
Prediction details: Zahn Spies

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 3–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 11.1 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 84 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 55 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.3 s
Gap behind: 2.7 s
Result: Group 1 (20 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.46 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:30 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 84 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:01 (3:00 / km)
Error: +0:29 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 46:06
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:34 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:31 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 15:30 (3:06 / km)
Total: 46:06
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 1.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
2 / 4 Jack Woodberry
AUS
+36 s
+6 s
G2 / G1
 15:32
15:41
 46:08
Show details
Prediction details: Jack Woodberry

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 3–6
Top-10 probability: 96 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 30.3 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur 0.64 %, Sicherheit 86 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 55 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 1 (20 people)
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.49 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:32 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 85 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:41 (3:08 / km)
Error: −0:09 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 46:08
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:31 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 15:32 (3:06 / km)
Total: 46:08
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 21.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 3 Caleb Wagener
NZL
+38 s
+5 s
G2 / G1
 15:54
15:26
 46:30
Show details
Prediction details: Caleb Wagener

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 4–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 9:56
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 32.9 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 90 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 54 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 5.8 s
Result: Group 1 (20 people)
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.51 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:54 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 84 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:26 (3:05 / km)
Error: +0:28 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 46:30
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:56 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:31 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 15:54 (3:11 / km)
Total: 46:30
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 23.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 2 Kyle Mason
AUS
+55 s
+16 s
G2 / G1
 15:54
15:15
 46:30
Show details
Prediction details: Kyle Mason

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 5–22
Top-10 probability: 84 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +55 s
Time: 10:13
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: 38.8 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 26 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.0 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 1 (20 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.38 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:54 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur 0.42 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:15 (3:03 / km)
Error: +0:39 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 46:30
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:13 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:31 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 15:54 (3:11 / km)
Total: 46:30
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 40.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 5 Connor Kemp
NZL
+46 s
+22 s
G2 / G1
 16:06
15:42
 46:42
Show details
Prediction details: Connor Kemp

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 5–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 10:04
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 24.0 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 90 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 41 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.3 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 1 (20 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:06 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 84 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:42 (3:08 / km)
Error: +0:24 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 46:42
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:04 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:31 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 16:06 (3:13 / km)
Total: 46:42
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 31.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 30 William Cramsie
AUS
+63 s
+12 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:14
17:32
 46:50
Show details
Prediction details: William Cramsie

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 6–14
Top-10 probability: 85 %
Result: 30
Deviation: -24

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +63 s
Time: 10:21
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 51.4 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 84 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.5 s
Gap behind: 2.3 s
Result: Group 2 (19 people)
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.02 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:14 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 84 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:32 (3:30 / km)
Error: −1:18 / −0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 46:50
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:21 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:31 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 16:14 (3:15 / km)
Total: 46:50
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
7 / 18 William McNally
AUS
+61 s
+59 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:35
16:15
 47:11
Show details
Prediction details: William McNally

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 8–11
Top-10 probability: 80 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +61 s
Time: 10:19
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +59 s
Fehler: 1.9 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.87 %, Sicherheit 80 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 25 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 2.5 s
Result: Group 2 (19 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 80 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:15 (3:15 / km)
Error: +0:20 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 47:11
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:19 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:31 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Total: 47:11
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 46.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 10 Oliver Moxon
AUS
+22 s
+6 s
G2 / G1
 16:53
16:45
 47:29
Show details
Prediction details: Oliver Moxon

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 7–18
Top-10 probability: 46 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 9:40
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 16.3 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 91 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 50 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.5 s
Gap behind: 4.7 s
Result: Group 1 (20 people)
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:53 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -0.46 %, Sicherheit 87 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:45 (3:21 / km)
Error: +0:08 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 47:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:40 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:31 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 16:53 (3:23 / km)
Total: 47:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:29
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 11.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +10.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 6 Benjamin Devries
AUS
+4 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:02
15:39
 47:33
Show details
Prediction details: Benjamin Devries

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 9–12
Top-10 probability: 54 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +4 s
Time: 9:22
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 4.1 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 94 %
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.1 s
Gap behind: 6.7 s
Result: Group 1 (20 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.56 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:02 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -0.46 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:39 (3:08 / km)
Error: +1:23 / +0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 47:33
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:22 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:20 (39.6 km/h)
Run: 17:02 (3:24 / km)
Total: 47:33
10 / 11 William Kisby
AUS
+48 s
+19 s
G2 / G1
 17:09
16:51
 47:45
Show details
Prediction details: William Kisby

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 10–14
Top-10 probability: 20 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 10:06
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 28.5 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -0.50 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 41 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 1 (20 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.26 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:09 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:51 (3:22 / km)
Error: +0:18 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 47:45
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:06 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:31 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 17:09 (3:26 / km)
Total: 47:45
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
11 / 37 Luke Swindale
AUS
+66 s
+48 s
G2 / G4
 17:19
16:56
 47:55
Show details
Prediction details: Luke Swindale

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 11–22
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 37
Deviation: -26

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +66 s
Time: 10:24
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +48 s
Fehler: 17.9 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.87 %, Sicherheit 80 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 9.5 s
Result: Group 4 (5 people)
Speed: 36.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.70 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:19 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 80 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:56 (3:23 / km)
Error: +0:23 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 47:55
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:24 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:31 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 17:19 (3:28 / km)
Total: 47:55
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 51.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 12 Ethan Mackie
AUS
+50 s
+24 s
G2 / G1
 17:23
17:07
 47:59
Show details
Prediction details: Ethan Mackie

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 9–31
Top-10 probability: 16 %
Result: 12
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: 26.1 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 89 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.2 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 1 (20 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:23 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -0.63 %, Sicherheit 81 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:07 (3:25 / km)
Error: +0:16 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 47:59
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:08 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:31 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 17:23 (3:29 / km)
Total: 47:59
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 35.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 8 Alexander Eason
AUS
+11 s
+4 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:31
16:23
 48:02
Show details
Prediction details: Alexander Eason

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 12–16
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +11 s
Time: 9:29
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +4 s
Fehler: 6.8 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 93 %
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.7 s
Gap behind: 5.3 s
Result: Group 1 (20 people)
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.50 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -0.40 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:23 (3:17 / km)
Error: +1:08 / +0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 48:02
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:29 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:20 (39.6 km/h)
Run: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Total: 48:02
14 / 20 Alec Ball
NZL
+44 s
+13 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:28
16:44
 48:04
Show details
Prediction details: Alec Ball

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 12–17
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 10:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: 30.7 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 90 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 38 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.8 s
Gap behind: 2.3 s
Result: Group 2 (19 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:28 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 80 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:44 (3:21 / km)
Error: +0:44 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 48:04
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:02 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:31 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 17:28 (3:30 / km)
Total: 48:04
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 29 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 28 Harry Fraser
AUS
+27 s
+37 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:52
17:13
 48:28
Show details
Prediction details: Harry Fraser

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 13–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 9:45
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: -10.0 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.87 %, Sicherheit 80 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 51 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.7 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 2 (19 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.97 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:52 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 80 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:13 (3:27 / km)
Error: +0:39 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 48:28
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:45 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:31 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 17:52 (3:34 / km)
Total: 48:28
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 12.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 23 Baxter Fiedler
AUS
+19 s
+14 s
G2 / G1
 17:54
18:24
 48:30
Show details
Prediction details: Baxter Fiedler

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 15–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 4.8 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.50 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 54 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.7 s
Gap behind: 3.5 s
Result: Group 1 (20 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.24 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:54 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -0.95 %, Sicherheit 2 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:24 (3:41 / km)
Error: −0:30 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 48:30
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:37 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:31 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 17:54 (3:35 / km)
Total: 48:30
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 4.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 45 Preston Rae
AUS
+28 s
+30 s
G2 / G4
 17:55
17:58
 48:31
Show details
Prediction details: Preston Rae

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 15–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 45
Deviation: -28

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 9:46
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: -2.1 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.84 %, Sicherheit 79 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 48 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 2.3 s
Result: Group 4 (5 people)
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.50 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:55 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 80 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:58 (3:36 / km)
Error: −0:03 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 48:31
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:46 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:31 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 17:55 (3:35 / km)
Total: 48:31
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 13.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 26 Bentley Crisp
AUS
+61 s
+59 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:57
16:54
 48:33
Show details
Prediction details: Bentley Crisp

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 16–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +61 s
Time: 10:19
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +59 s
Fehler: 1.9 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.87 %, Sicherheit 80 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 26 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.0 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 2 (19 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:57 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 80 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:54 (3:23 / km)
Error: +1:03 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 48:33
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:19 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:31 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 17:57 (3:35 / km)
Total: 48:33
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 46.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 44 Oliver Christie
NZL
+66 s
+48 s
G2 / G1
 18:02
20:41
 48:38
Show details
Prediction details: Oliver Christie

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 18–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 44
Deviation: -25

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +66 s
Time: 10:24
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +48 s
Fehler: 17.7 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -0.40 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 20 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.3 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 1 (20 people)
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.63 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:02 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:41 (4:08 / km)
Error: −2:39 / −0:32 / km
Overall prediction: 48:38
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:24 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:31 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 18:02 (3:36 / km)
Total: 48:38
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 51 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 15 Oliver Barnett
NZL
+30 s
+15 s
G2 / G1
 18:06
17:26
 48:42
Show details
Prediction details: Oliver Barnett

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 17–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: 15.2 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 90 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 46 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.3 s
Gap behind: 5.2 s
Result: Group 1 (20 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.18 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:06 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 83 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:26 (3:29 / km)
Error: +0:40 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 48:42
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:48 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:31 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 18:06 (3:37 / km)
Total: 48:42
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 15.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 34 Luke Williams
AUS
+35 s
+5 s
G2 / G1
 18:33
19:40
 49:09
Show details
Prediction details: Luke Williams

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 21–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 34
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 9:53
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 30.4 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 84 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 45 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.2 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 1 (20 people)
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.53 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:33 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:42 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 84 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:40 (3:56 / km)
Error: −1:07 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 49:09
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:53 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:31 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 18:33 (3:43 / km)
Total: 49:09
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 20.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 59 Dylan Fleischer
AUS
+56 s
+70 s
G2 / G9
 18:40
20:47
 49:16
Show details
Prediction details: Dylan Fleischer

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 21–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 59
Deviation: -37

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +56 s
Time: 10:14
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +70 s
Fehler: -14.1 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.87 %, Sicherheit 80 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 30 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 5.0 s
Result: Group 9 (1 people)
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.92 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:40 (3:44 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 80 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:47 (4:09 / km)
Error: −2:07 / −0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 49:16
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:14 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:31 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 18:40 (3:44 / km)
Total: 49:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 41.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 32 Lachlan El-Ansary
AUS
+51 s
+21 s
G2 / G2
correct 		18:50
17:45
 49:26
Show details
Prediction details: Lachlan El-Ansary

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 22–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 32
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 10:09
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 29.7 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 40 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 2 (19 people)
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.04 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:50 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:46 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:46 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:45 (3:33 / km)
Error: +1:05 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 49:26
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:09 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:31 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 18:50 (3:46 / km)
Total: 49:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 36 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 36 Xavier Christie
NZL
+51 s
+49 s
G2 / G2
correct 		19:06
18:22
 49:42
Show details
Prediction details: Xavier Christie

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 24–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 36
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 10:09
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +49 s
Fehler: 1.8 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 36 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 4.0 s
Result: Group 2 (19 people)
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.53 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:06 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:49 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:22 (3:40 / km)
Error: +0:44 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 49:42
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 10:09 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:31 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 19:06 (3:49 / km)
Total: 49:42
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 36.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 51 Leif Eriksson
AUS
+48 s
+58 s
G2 / G6
 19:24
19:04
 50:00
Show details
Prediction details: Leif Eriksson

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 25–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 51
Deviation: -26

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 10:06
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +58 s
Fehler: -10.1 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.87 %, Sicherheit 80 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 40 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 2.2 s
Result: Group 6 (5 people)
Speed: 35.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.74 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:24 (3:53 / km)
Historical basis: 3:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 80 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:04 (3:49 / km)
Error: +0:20 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 50:00
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:06 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:31 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 19:24 (3:53 / km)
Total: 50:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 33.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 40 Joshua Persen
AUS
+80 s
+65 s
G3 / G6
 16:03
16:30
 50:15
Show details
Prediction details: Joshua Persen

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 24–28
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 40
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +80 s
Time: 10:38
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +65 s
Fehler: 15.4 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 85 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.0 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 6 (5 people)
Speed: 35.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.43 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:03 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 84 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:30 (3:18 / km)
Error: −0:27 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 50:15
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:38 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:07 (37.5 km/h)
Run: 16:03 (3:13 / km)
Total: 50:15
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
27 / 14 Jude Brimelow
AUS
+83 s
+45 s
G3 / G2
 16:39
16:06
 50:51
Show details
Prediction details: Jude Brimelow

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 28–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation: 13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +83 s
Time: 10:41
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: 37.9 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -0.70 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 3.5 s
Result: Group 2 (19 people)
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.32 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:39 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:06 (3:13 / km)
Error: +0:33 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 50:51
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:41 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:07 (37.5 km/h)
Run: 16:39 (3:20 / km)
Total: 50:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 68.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 9 Angus Argent-Smith
AUS
+75 s
+20 s
G3 / G1
 16:43
16:29
 50:55
Show details
Prediction details: Angus Argent-Smith

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 21–31
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +75 s
Time: 10:33
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 55.4 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 84 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 9.5 s
Gap behind: 5.0 s
Result: Group 1 (20 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.15 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:43 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 84 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:29 (3:18 / km)
Error: +0:14 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 50:55
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:33 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:07 (37.5 km/h)
Run: 16:43 (3:21 / km)
Total: 50:55
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
29 / 19 Isaiah Ryan
AUS
+96 s
+52 s
G3 / G2
 16:49
16:25
 51:01
Show details
Prediction details: Isaiah Ryan

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 29–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +96 s
Time: 10:54
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +52 s
Fehler: 44.4 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 86 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.0 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 2 (19 people)
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.09 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:49 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 86 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:25 (3:17 / km)
Error: +0:24 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 51:01
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:54 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:07 (37.5 km/h)
Run: 16:49 (3:22 / km)
Total: 51:01
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
30 / 27 Caide Ellis
AUS
+82 s
+62 s
G3 / G2
 16:55
16:54
 51:07
Show details
Prediction details: Caide Ellis

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 30–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +82 s
Time: 10:40
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +62 s
Fehler: 20.4 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 84 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 2 (19 people)
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 84 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:54 (3:23 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 51:07
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:40 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:07 (37.5 km/h)
Run: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Total: 51:07
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
31 / 42 Ruie Hyslop
NZL
+114 s
+107 s
G3 / G6
 16:59
16:35
 51:11
Show details
Prediction details: Ruie Hyslop

Placement

Prediction: 31
80% range: 31–34
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 42
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +114 s
Time: 11:12
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +107 s
Fehler: 7.2 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.87 %, Sicherheit 80 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 13.8 s
Gap behind: 11.4 s
Result: Group 6 (5 people)
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.89 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:59 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 80 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Error: +0:24 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 51:11
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 11:12 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:07 (37.5 km/h)
Run: 16:59 (3:24 / km)
Total: 51:11
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
About 83.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +30.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
32 / 53 Alexander Gardner
AUS
+100 s
+63 s
G3 / G1
 17:06
23:36
 51:18
Show details
Prediction details: Alexander Gardner

Placement

Prediction: 32
80% range: 32–34
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 53
Deviation: -21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +100 s
Time: 10:58
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +63 s
Fehler: 37.4 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 84 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 13.8 s
Result: Group 1 (20 people)
Speed: 39.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.92 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:06 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 84 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:36 (4:43 / km)
Error: −6:30 / −1:18 / km
Overall prediction: 51:18
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:58 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:07 (37.5 km/h)
Run: 17:06 (3:25 / km)
Total: 51:18
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
33 / 31 Zac Booth
AUS
+126 s
+83 s
G3 / G2
 17:55
17:35
 52:07
Show details
Prediction details: Zac Booth

Placement

Prediction: 33
80% range: 35–36
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 31
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +126 s
Time: 11:24
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +83 s
Fehler: 42.6 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -0.93 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 13, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 11.4 s
Gap behind: 31.8 s
Result: Group 2 (19 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.50 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:55 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur 0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:35 (3:31 / km)
Error: +0:20 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 52:07
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 11:24 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:07 (37.5 km/h)
Run: 17:55 (3:35 / km)
Total: 52:07
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 114.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +11.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
34 / 22 Jacob McAuliffe
AUS
+86 s
+73 s
G3 / G2
 17:59
16:52
 52:11
Show details
Prediction details: Jacob McAuliffe

Placement

Prediction: 34
80% range: 35–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation: 12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +86 s
Time: 10:44
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +73 s
Fehler: 13.4 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 84 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.5 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 2 (19 people)
Speed: 37.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:59 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 84 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:52 (3:22 / km)
Error: +1:07 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 52:11
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:44 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:07 (37.5 km/h)
Run: 17:59 (3:36 / km)
Total: 52:11
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
35 / 17 Jake Smith
AUS
+88 s
+54 s
G3 / G2
 18:16
16:15
 52:28
Show details
Prediction details: Jake Smith

Placement

Prediction: 35
80% range: 36–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: 18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +88 s
Time: 10:46
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +54 s
Fehler: 34.4 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 84 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 8.0 s
Result: Group 2 (19 people)
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:16 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 84 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:15 (3:15 / km)
Error: +2:01 / +0:24 / km
Overall prediction: 52:28
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:46 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:07 (37.5 km/h)
Run: 18:16 (3:39 / km)
Total: 52:28
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
36 / 49 Oliver Thiessen
AUS
+98 s
+110 s
G3 / G5
 19:09
18:54
 53:21
Show details
Prediction details: Oliver Thiessen

Placement

Prediction: 36
80% range: 38–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 49
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +98 s
Time: 10:56
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +110 s
Fehler: -11.6 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 84 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 36.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:09 (3:50 / km)
Historical basis: 3:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:50 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 84 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:54 (3:47 / km)
Error: +0:15 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 53:21
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:56 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:07 (37.5 km/h)
Run: 19:09 (3:50 / km)
Total: 53:21
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
37 / 56 Mark Rainey
AUS
+157 s
+128 s
G4 / G7
 19:11
20:11
 57:53
Show details
Prediction details: Mark Rainey

Placement

Prediction: 37
80% range: 39–39
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 56
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +157 s
Time: 11:55
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +128 s
Fehler: 29.4 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 84 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 14, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 31.8 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 7 (2 people)
Speed: 35.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.99 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:11 (3:50 / km)
Historical basis: 3:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:50 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 84 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:11 (4:02 / km)
Error: −1:00 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 57:53
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 11:55 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:04 (33.3 km/h)
Run: 19:11 (3:50 / km)
Total: 57:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 7 Theo Bray
NZL
+36 s
+55 s
G2 / G1
16:08
Show details
Prediction details: Theo Bray

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +55 s
Fehler: -19.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 48 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 1 (20 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.42 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:08 (3:14 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:31 (40.7 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 21.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 13 Cooper Smeulders
AUS
+0 s
+47 s
G0 / G1
17:15
Show details
Prediction details: Cooper Smeulders

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 40–40
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (20 people)
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:15 (3:27 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 16 Rory Treharne
GBR
+0 s
+11 s
G0 / G1
17:43
Show details
Prediction details: Rory Treharne

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 41–41
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (20 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:43 (3:33 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 21 Iskandar Wan
AUS
+0 s
+67 s
G0 / G2
16:38
Show details
Prediction details: Iskandar Wan

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 42–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +67 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (19 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:38 (3:20 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 24 Koby Read
AUS
+0 s
+6 s
G0 / G1
18:22
Show details
Prediction details: Koby Read

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 43–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (20 people)
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:22 (3:40 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 25 Adam Conway
AUS
+0 s
+62 s
G0 / G2
16:52
Show details
Prediction details: Adam Conway

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 44–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +62 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (19 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:52 (3:22 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 29 Vince Bell
AUS
+0 s
+81 s
G0 / G2
17:24
Show details
Prediction details: Vince Bell

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 45–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +81 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (19 people)
Speed: 37.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:24 (3:29 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 33 Jack Wicks
AUS
+0 s
+2 s
G0 / G3
17:08
Show details
Prediction details: Jack Wicks

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 46–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 33
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 35.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:08 (3:26 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 35 Alexander Donaldson
AUS
+0 s
+47 s
G0 / G4
16:28
Show details
Prediction details: Alexander Donaldson

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 47–47
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 35
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (5 people)
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:28 (3:18 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 38 Rory Boyd
AUS
+0 s
+125 s
G0 / G4
17:00
Show details
Prediction details: Rory Boyd

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 48–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 38
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +125 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (5 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:00 (3:24 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 39 Bodhi Jackson
AUS
+0 s
+37 s
G0 / G2
18:40
Show details
Prediction details: Bodhi Jackson

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 49–49
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 39
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (19 people)
Speed: 37.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:40 (3:44 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 41 Rhys Cameron
AUS
+0 s
+41 s
G0 / G2
18:39
Show details
Prediction details: Rhys Cameron

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 50–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 41
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (19 people)
Speed: 37.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:39 (3:44 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 43 Milton Stepanovski
AUS
+0 s
+60 s
G0 / G2
19:15
Show details
Prediction details: Milton Stepanovski

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 51–51
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 43
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +60 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (19 people)
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:15 (3:51 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 46 Luca Phillips
AUS
+0 s
+55 s
G0 / G4
18:56
Show details
Prediction details: Luca Phillips

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 52–52
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 46
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +55 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (5 people)
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:56 (3:47 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 47 Bayley Read
AUS
+0 s
+94 s
G0 / G6
18:12
Show details
Prediction details: Bayley Read

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 53–53
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 47
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +94 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (5 people)
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:12 (3:38 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 48 Matthew More
NZL
+0 s
+97 s
G0 / G8
17:32
Show details
Prediction details: Matthew More

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 54–54
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 48
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +97 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 8 (4 people)
Speed: 34.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:32 (3:30 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 50 George Dickie
AUS
+0 s
+124 s
G0 / G8
17:29
Show details
Prediction details: George Dickie

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 55–55
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 50
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +124 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 8 (4 people)
Speed: 35.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:29 (3:30 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 52 Jackson Pinique
NZL
+0 s
+154 s
G1 / G10
17:18
Show details
Prediction details: Jackson Pinique

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 52
Deviation: -52

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +154 s
Fehler: -154.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 94 %
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 4.1 s
Result: Group 10 (1 people)
Speed: 34.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.97 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:20 (39.6 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 54 Josiah Dirs
AUS
+0 s
+58 s
G0 / G5
20:18
Show details
Prediction details: Josiah Dirs

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 56–56
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 54
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +58 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 35.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:18 (4:04 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 55 Nathan Byrne
AUS
+0 s
+57 s
G0 / G8
20:09
Show details
Prediction details: Nathan Byrne

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 57–57
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 55
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +57 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 8 (4 people)
Speed: 34.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:09 (4:02 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 57 Lachlan Jones
AUS
+0 s
+68 s
G0 / G7
20:19
Show details
Prediction details: Lachlan Jones

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 58–58
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 57
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +68 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 7 (2 people)
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:19 (4:04 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 58 Millan Power
AUS
+0 s
+69 s
G0 / G6
21:24
Show details
Prediction details: Millan Power

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 59–59
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 58
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +69 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (5 people)
Speed: 35.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:24 (4:17 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 60 Yahav Wiezel
NZL
+0 s
+83 s
G0 / G8
21:27
Show details
Prediction details: Yahav Wiezel

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 60–60
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 60
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +83 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 8 (4 people)
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:27 (4:17 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 61 Jonah Smit
AUS
+0 s
+124 s
G0 / G11
17:29
Show details
Prediction details: Jonah Smit

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 61–61
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 61
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +124 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 11 (1 people)
Speed: 31.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:29 (3:30 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.