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Elite Men

31.05.2026 Hallstahammar SWE
Race information and calculation basis
2026 SWE Sprint Triathlon National Championship

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 31.05.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 64/100 mittel
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 75 früheren Rennen und 2190 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 47.8 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 31.05.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 3 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 28.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 48.0 % · 75 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error5.2
Mean swim error24.2 s
Mean bike-speed error1.50 km/h
Correct bike groups2/13
No history12
Within the 80% range4.0 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 2 Andreas Carlsson
SWE
+23 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:12
17:04
 46:38
Show details
Prediction details: Andreas Carlsson

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 5–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 23.3 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.80 %, Sicherheit 36 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 86 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 1 (2 people)
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.28 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:12 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.41 %, Sicherheit 17 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:04 (3:25 / km)
Error: −0:52 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 46:38
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:32 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:02 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 16:12 (3:14 / km)
Total: 46:38
2 / 1 Oscar Lilja
SWE
+32 s
+28 s
G2 / G1
 16:10
16:30
 47:42
Show details
Prediction details: Oscar Lilja

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 4–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: 4.0 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur 0.49 %, Sicherheit 49 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 61 %
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 20.5 s
Result: Group 1 (2 people)
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.69 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:10 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 29 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:30 (3:18 / km)
Error: −0:20 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 47:42
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:33 (39.6 km/h)
Run: 16:10 (3:14 / km)
Total: 47:42
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 3.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 3 Leon Dahlin
SWE
+53 s
+60 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:37
16:31
 48:09
Show details
Prediction details: Leon Dahlin

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 6–8
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 10:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +60 s
Fehler: -7.4 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur 0.65 %, Sicherheit 77 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 7.3 s
Result: Group 2 (3 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.11 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:37 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 46 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:31 (3:18 / km)
Error: +0:06 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 48:09
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:02 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:33 (39.6 km/h)
Run: 16:37 (3:19 / km)
Total: 48:09
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:36
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 25.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +26.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 4 August Siverskog
SWE
+60 s
+60 s
G2 / G3
 17:29
18:12
 49:01
Show details
Prediction details: August Siverskog

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 7–9
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +60 s
Time: 10:09
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +60 s
Fehler: -0.1 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 0.53 %, Sicherheit 64 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.3 s
Gap behind: 6.1 s
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:29 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 1.05 %, Sicherheit 30 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:12 (3:38 / km)
Error: −0:43 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 49:01
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:09 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:33 (39.6 km/h)
Run: 17:29 (3:30 / km)
Total: 49:01
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 11.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +48.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 6 Oskar Arvidsson
SWE
+53 s
+80 s
G2 / G4
 18:33
18:42
 50:05
Show details
Prediction details: Oskar Arvidsson

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 9–12
Top-10 probability: 45 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 10:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +80 s
Fehler: -27.5 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur -1.17 %, Sicherheit 44 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 20.5 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 4 (2 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.86 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:33 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:45 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -1.21 %, Sicherheit 26 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:42 (3:44 / km)
Error: −0:09 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 50:05
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:02 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:33 (39.6 km/h)
Run: 18:33 (3:43 / km)
Total: 50:05
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:36
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 25.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +26.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 7 Gustav Bach
SWE
+31 s
+60 s
G2 / G4
 18:57
18:54
 50:29
Show details
Prediction details: Gustav Bach

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 8–12
Top-10 probability: 59 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 9:40
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +60 s
Fehler: -28.6 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -0.96 %, Sicherheit 20 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 36 %
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.5 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 4 (2 people)
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.63 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:57 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -1.35 %, Sicherheit 14 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:54 (3:47 / km)
Error: +0:03 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 50:29
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:40 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:33 (39.6 km/h)
Run: 18:57 (3:47 / km)
Total: 50:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 4.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +26.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 10 Linus Jansson
SWE
+78 s
+60 s
G3 / G6
 17:56
20:16
 51:26
Show details
Prediction details: Linus Jansson

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 9–11
Top-10 probability: 83 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +78 s
Time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +60 s
Fehler: 17.7 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 56 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.4 s
Gap behind: 28.9 s
Result: Group 6 (2 people)
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.86 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:56 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.59 %, Sicherheit 31 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:16 (4:03 / km)
Error: −2:20 / −0:28 / km
Overall prediction: 51:26
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 10:27 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:43 (37.3 km/h)
Run: 17:56 (3:35 / km)
Total: 51:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
8 / 5 Noah Petersson
SWE
+66 s
+0 s
G3 / G2
 18:42
19:10
 52:12
Show details
Prediction details: Noah Petersson

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 10–12
Top-10 probability: 16 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +66 s
Time: 10:15
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 66.0 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -1.54 %, Sicherheit 50 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.1 s
Gap behind: 8.3 s
Result: Group 2 (3 people)
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.77 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:42 (3:44 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur -0.20 %, Sicherheit 23 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:10 (3:50 / km)
Error: −0:28 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 52:12
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:15 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:43 (37.3 km/h)
Run: 18:42 (3:44 / km)
Total: 52:12
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:36
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 39.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +26.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 9 Oskar Holmes
SWE
+24 s
+76 s
G1 / G2
 22:56
21:07
 53:22
Show details
Prediction details: Oskar Holmes

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 13–13
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +76 s
Fehler: -52.1 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 70 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 7.5 s
Result: Group 2 (3 people)
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 22:56 (4:35 / km)
Historical basis: 4:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:07 (4:13 / km)
Error: +1:49 / +0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 53:22
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 9:33 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:02 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 22:56 (4:35 / km)
Total: 53:22
0 / 8 Niklas Akerström
SWE
+125 s
+120 s
G4 / G5
18:14
Show details
Prediction details: Niklas Akerström

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +125 s
Time: 11:14
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +120 s
Fehler: 4.7 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.69 %, Sicherheit 36 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 18.1 s
Gap behind: 138.9 s
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.80 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:14 (3:39 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 11:14 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:00 (37.5 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:36
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 97.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +26.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 11 Felix Perez
SWE
+74 s
+103 s
G3 / G6
20:50
Show details
Prediction details: Felix Perez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +74 s
Time: 10:23
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +103 s
Fehler: -28.7 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 49 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.3 s
Gap behind: 3.4 s
Result: Group 6 (2 people)
Speed: 34.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.59 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:50 (4:10 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:23 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:43 (37.3 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 46 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 12 Ruben Skärlund
SWE
+0 s
+120 s
G0 / G7
20:20
Show details
Prediction details: Ruben Skärlund

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 14–14
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +120 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 7 (4 people)
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:20 (4:04 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:09 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 13 Quirin Hirt
SWE
+107 s
+138 s
G3 / G7
22:34
Show details
Prediction details: Quirin Hirt

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +107 s
Time: 10:56
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +138 s
Fehler: -31.4 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 49 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 28.9 s
Gap behind: 18.1 s
Result: Group 7 (4 people)
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.15 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:34 (4:31 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:56 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:43 (37.3 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:38
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 78.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 14 Theo Göpel
SWE
+0 s
+241 s
G0 / G8
22:45
Show details
Prediction details: Theo Göpel

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 15–15
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +241 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 8 (2 people)
Speed: 36.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:45 (4:33 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:09 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 15 Kalle Nordborg
SWE
+0 s
+180 s
G0 / G7
23:58
Show details
Prediction details: Kalle Nordborg

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 16–16
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +180 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 7 (4 people)
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:58 (4:48 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:09 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 16 Linus Framme
SWE
+0 s
+120 s
G0 / G8
23:32
Show details
Prediction details: Linus Framme

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 17–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +120 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 8 (2 people)
Speed: 33.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:32 (4:42 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:09 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 17 Alvin Dernegård
SWE
+0 s
+143 s
G0 / G7
24:01
Show details
Prediction details: Alvin Dernegård

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 18–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +143 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 7 (4 people)
Speed: 35.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:01 (4:48 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:09 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 18 Gustav Rosén
SWE
+0 s
+120 s
G0 / G9
24:08
Show details
Prediction details: Gustav Rosén

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 19–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +120 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 9 (1 people)
Speed: 32.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:08 (4:50 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:09 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 19 Oscar Persson
SWE
+0 s
+500 s
G0 / G11
22:05
Show details
Prediction details: Oscar Persson

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 20–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +500 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 11 (1 people)
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:05 (4:25 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:09 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 20 Alvin Nord
SWE
+0 s
+244 s
G0 / G10
24:00
Show details
Prediction details: Alvin Nord

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 21–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +244 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 10 (3 people)
Speed: 32.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:00 (4:48 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:09 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 21 Nils Spetz
SWE
+0 s
+300 s
G0 / G13
22:35
Show details
Prediction details: Nils Spetz

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 22–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +300 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 13 (1 people)
Speed: 30.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:35 (4:31 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:09 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 22 Leonardo Dell'Amico
SWE
+0 s
+300 s
G0 / G12
23:47
Show details
Prediction details: Leonardo Dell'Amico

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 23–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +300 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 12 (1 people)
Speed: 31.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:47 (4:45 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:09 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 23 Robin Westberg
SWE
+0 s
+140 s
G0 / G10
26:23
Show details
Prediction details: Robin Westberg

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 24–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +140 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 10 (3 people)
Speed: 30.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:23 (5:17 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:09 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 24 Elias Birgander
SWE
+0 s
+326 s
G0 / G10
27:26
Show details
Prediction details: Elias Birgander

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 25–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +326 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 10 (3 people)
Speed: 32.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 27:26 (5:29 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:09 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 25 Hugo Lagerberg
SWE
+264 s
+240 s
G5 / G14
22:52
Show details
Prediction details: Hugo Lagerberg

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 4–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -25

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +264 s
Time: 13:33
Pace: 1:48 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +240 s
Fehler: 23.6 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 49 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 28.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 138.9 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 14 (1 people)
Speed: 28.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.06 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:52 (4:34 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 13:33 (1:48 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 41:33 (28.9 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:36
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 236.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +26.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.