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Elite Women

25.07.2026 London GBR
Race information and calculation basis
2026 World Triathlon Championship Series London

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 25.07.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 92/100 hoch
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 29 früheren Rennen und 374 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 47.2 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 14.07.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 3 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 22 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.8 km/h

Datenabdeckung 100.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 100.0 % · 29 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error5.9
Mean swim error6.8 s
Mean bike-speed error0.65 km/h
Correct bike groups39/43
No history0
Within the 80% range74.4 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 1 Cassandre Beaugrand
FRA
+10 s
+30 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:34
15:27
 45:29
Show details
Prediction details: Cassandre Beaugrand

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +10 s
Time: 9:26
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: -19.9 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 327 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (39 people)
Gruppe 1: 80 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 2.2 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.47 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:34 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 293 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:27 (3:05 / km)
Error: +0:07 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 45:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:26 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 15:34 (3:07 / km)
Total: 45:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 7.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
2 / 5 Leonie Periault
FRA
+34 s
+25 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:56
15:45
 45:51
Show details
Prediction details: Leonie Periault

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 3–22
Top-10 probability: 65 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 9:50
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: 9.3 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 369 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (39 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.28 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:56 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 385 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:45 (3:09 / km)
Error: +0:11 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 45:51
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:50 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 15:56 (3:11 / km)
Total: 45:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 32 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 12 Taylor Spivey
USA
+22 s
+26 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:57
16:07
 45:52
Show details
Prediction details: Taylor Spivey

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 2–11
Top-10 probability: 84 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 9:38
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: -4.1 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 435 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (39 people)
Gruppe 1: 56 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.45 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:57 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 397 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:07 (3:13 / km)
Error: −0:10 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 45:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:38 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 15:57 (3:11 / km)
Total: 45:52
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
4 / 10 Emma Lombardi
FRA
+24 s
+26 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:58
16:08
 45:53
Show details
Prediction details: Emma Lombardi

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 2–7
Top-10 probability: 98 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 9:40
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: -2.3 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 321 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (39 people)
Gruppe 1: 60 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.45 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:58 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 322 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:08 (3:14 / km)
Error: −0:10 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 45:53
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:40 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 15:58 (3:12 / km)
Total: 45:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
5 / 3 Tilda Månsson
SWE
+33 s
+34 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:59
15:42
 45:54
Show details
Prediction details: Tilda Månsson

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 2–28
Top-10 probability: 53 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: -1.3 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 343 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (39 people)
Gruppe 1: 29 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.69 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:59 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 321 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:42 (3:08 / km)
Error: +0:17 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 45:54
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:49 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 15:59 (3:12 / km)
Total: 45:54
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 30.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 2 Lisa Tertsch
GER
+9 s
+19 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:03
15:36
 45:58
Show details
Prediction details: Lisa Tertsch

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 3–9
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +9 s
Time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: -10.2 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 498 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (39 people)
Gruppe 1: 78 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.1 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.18 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:03 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 470 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:36 (3:07 / km)
Error: +0:27 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 45:58
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:25 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 16:03 (3:13 / km)
Total: 45:58
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 5.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 6 Georgia Taylor-Brown
GBR
+31 s
+28 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:08
15:53
 46:03
Show details
Prediction details: Georgia Taylor-Brown

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 4–26
Top-10 probability: 61 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: 3.3 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 283 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (39 people)
Gruppe 1: 35 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:08 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 284 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:53 (3:11 / km)
Error: +0:15 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 46:03
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:47 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 16:08 (3:14 / km)
Total: 46:03
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 28.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 16 Valentina Riasova
AIN
+34 s
+34 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:18
16:16
 46:13
Show details
Prediction details: Valentina Riasova

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 5–35
Top-10 probability: 34 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 9:50
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: -0.3 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 148 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (39 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:18 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 148 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:16 (3:15 / km)
Error: +0:02 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 46:13
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:50 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 16:18 (3:16 / km)
Total: 46:13
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
9 / 14 Roksana Slupek
POL
+34 s
+26 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:20
16:12
 46:15
Show details
Prediction details: Roksana Slupek

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 8–27
Top-10 probability: 29 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 9:50
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: 7.9 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 282 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (39 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.47 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:20 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 281 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:12 (3:14 / km)
Error: +0:08 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 46:15
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:50 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 16:20 (3:16 / km)
Total: 46:15
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
10 / 8 Jeanne Lehair
LUX
+24 s
+12 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:21
15:56
 46:16
Show details
Prediction details: Jeanne Lehair

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 6–17
Top-10 probability: 43 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 9:40
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 11.7 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 492 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (39 people)
Gruppe 1: 53 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:21 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 462 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:56 (3:11 / km)
Error: +0:25 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 46:16
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:40 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 16:21 (3:16 / km)
Total: 46:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
11 / 4 Beth Potter
GBR
+26 s
+21 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:22
15:45
 46:17
Show details
Prediction details: Beth Potter

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 7–25
Top-10 probability: 44 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 9:42
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 5.1 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 440 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (39 people)
Gruppe 1: 49 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.26 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 402 Duelle, Korrektur -0.42 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:45 (3:09 / km)
Error: +0:37 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 46:17
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:42 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Total: 46:17
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
12 / 40 Sophie Malowiecki
AUS
+36 s
+42 s
G2 / G3
 16:22
16:46
 46:17
Show details
Prediction details: Sophie Malowiecki

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 8–34
Top-10 probability: 21 %
Result: 40
Deviation: -28

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: -5.6 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 89 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (39 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 3 (6 people)
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 89 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:46 (3:21 / km)
Error: −0:24 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 46:17
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:52 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Total: 46:17
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 33.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 13 Fanni Szalai
HUN
+6 s
+1 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:24
16:06
 46:19
Show details
Prediction details: Fanni Szalai

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 5–15
Top-10 probability: 60 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +6 s
Time: 9:22
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 4.6 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (39 people)
Gruppe 1: 81 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.6 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.04 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:24 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:06 (3:13 / km)
Error: +0:18 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 46:19
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:22 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 16:24 (3:17 / km)
Total: 46:19
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 2.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 11 Gina Sereno
USA
+33 s
+30 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:27
16:04
 46:22
Show details
Prediction details: Gina Sereno

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 5–28
Top-10 probability: 31 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: 3.4 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 316 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (39 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:27 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 312 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:04 (3:13 / km)
Error: +0:23 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 46:22
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:49 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 16:27 (3:17 / km)
Total: 46:22
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 30.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 19 Nicole Van Der Kaay
NZL
+32 s
+35 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:33
16:16
 46:28
Show details
Prediction details: Nicole Van Der Kaay

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 9–37
Top-10 probability: 14 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: -2.7 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 313 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (39 people)
Gruppe 1: 30 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.60 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:33 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:44 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 274 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:16 (3:15 / km)
Error: +0:17 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 46:28
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:48 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 16:33 (3:19 / km)
Total: 46:28
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
16 / 15 Tanja Neubert
GER
+36 s
+35 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:33
16:20
 46:28
Show details
Prediction details: Tanja Neubert

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 10–29
Top-10 probability: 13 %
Result: 15
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: 0.8 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 320 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (39 people)
Gruppe 1: 25 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.74 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:33 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 316 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:20 (3:16 / km)
Error: +0:13 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 46:28
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:52 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 16:33 (3:19 / km)
Total: 46:28
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 33.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 17 Sian Rainsley
GBR
+26 s
+27 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:35
16:19
 46:30
Show details
Prediction details: Sian Rainsley

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 7–29
Top-10 probability: 29 %
Result: 17
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 9:42
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: -1.1 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 277 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (39 people)
Gruppe 1: 49 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.50 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 273 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:19 (3:16 / km)
Error: +0:16 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 46:30
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:42 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Total: 46:30
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
18 / 34 Maria Tomé
POR
+30 s
+33 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:35
17:22
 46:30
Show details
Prediction details: Maria Tomé

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 9–30
Top-10 probability: 15 %
Result: 34
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 9:46
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: -2.6 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 415 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (39 people)
Gruppe 1: 41 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.62 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 391 Duelle, Korrektur 0.37 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Error: −0:47 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 46:30
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:46 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Total: 46:30
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 15.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 27 Djenyfer Arnold
BRA
+30 s
+30 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:41
16:47
 46:36
Show details
Prediction details: Djenyfer Arnold

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 5–32
Top-10 probability: 23 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 9:46
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: 0.1 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 369 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (39 people)
Gruppe 1: 38 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:41 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 344 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:47 (3:21 / km)
Error: −0:06 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 46:36
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:46 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 16:41 (3:20 / km)
Total: 46:36
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 14.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +15.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 22 Jessica Fullagar
GBR
+12 s
+36 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:45
16:36
 46:40
Show details
Prediction details: Jessica Fullagar

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 6–24
Top-10 probability: 24 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 9:28
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: -23.7 s
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 192 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (39 people)
Gruppe 1: 73 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.2 s
Gap behind: 5.6 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.67 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:45 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 192 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:36 (3:19 / km)
Error: +0:09 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 46:40
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:28 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 16:45 (3:21 / km)
Total: 46:40
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 9.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 9 Diana Isakova
AIN
+20 s
+22 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:46
16:00
 46:41
Show details
Prediction details: Diana Isakova

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 7–27
Top-10 probability: 20 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 9:36
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: -1.8 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 261 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (39 people)
Gruppe 1: 64 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.3 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.28 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:46 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 261 Duelle, Korrektur -0.45 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:00 (3:12 / km)
Error: +0:46 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 46:41
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:36 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 16:46 (3:21 / km)
Total: 46:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 17.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 37 Gwen Jorgensen
USA
+27 s
+28 s
G2 / G3
 16:48
16:13
 46:43
Show details
Prediction details: Gwen Jorgensen

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 2–39
Top-10 probability: 31 %
Result: 37
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 9:43
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: -0.6 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 272 Duelle, Korrektur 0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (39 people)
Gruppe 1: 43 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 3 (6 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:48 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 241 Duelle, Korrektur -0.51 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:13 (3:15 / km)
Error: +0:35 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 46:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:43 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 16:48 (3:22 / km)
Total: 46:43
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 24.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 23 Sophie Evans
GBR
+25 s
+10 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:50
16:37
 46:45
Show details
Prediction details: Sophie Evans

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 14–26
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 23
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: 15.4 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 205 Duelle, Korrektur -0.39 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (39 people)
Gruppe 1: 55 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.02 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:50 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: −0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 206 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:37 (3:19 / km)
Error: +0:13 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 46:45
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 16:50 (3:22 / km)
Total: 46:45
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 22.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 29 Marta Pintanel Raymundo
ESP
+33 s
+24 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:51
17:00
 46:46
Show details
Prediction details: Marta Pintanel Raymundo

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 18–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: 8.5 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 383 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (39 people)
Gruppe 1: 30 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.38 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:51 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 383 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:00 (3:24 / km)
Error: −0:09 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 46:46
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:49 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 16:51 (3:22 / km)
Total: 46:46
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 29.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 33 Sara Guerrero Manso
ESP
+27 s
+21 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:53
17:08
 46:48
Show details
Prediction details: Sara Guerrero Manso

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 14–32
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 33
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 9:43
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 5.7 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 281 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (39 people)
Gruppe 1: 38 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.23 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:53 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 281 Duelle, Korrektur 0.60 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:08 (3:26 / km)
Error: −0:15 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 46:48
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:43 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 16:53 (3:23 / km)
Total: 46:48
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 23.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 21 Bianca Seregni
ITA
+9 s
+6 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:56
16:21
 46:51
Show details
Prediction details: Bianca Seregni

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 14–25
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 21
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +9 s
Time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 3.0 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 382 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (39 people)
Gruppe 1: 75 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:56 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 383 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:21 (3:16 / km)
Error: +0:35 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 46:51
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:25 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 16:56 (3:23 / km)
Total: 46:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 6.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 7 Taylor Knibb
USA
+0 s
+5 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:01
16:15
 46:51
Show details
Prediction details: Taylor Knibb

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 17–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 20

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:16
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: -5.0 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 166 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 94 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 5.6 s
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.27 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:01 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 167 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:15 (3:15 / km)
Error: +0:46 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 46:51
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:16 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:50 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 17:01 (3:24 / km)
Total: 46:51
28 / 20 Erika Ackerlund
USA
+26 s
+28 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:01
16:29
 46:56
Show details
Prediction details: Erika Ackerlund

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 15–31
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 20
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 9:42
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: -1.8 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 338 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (39 people)
Gruppe 1: 54 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.55 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:01 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 337 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:29 (3:18 / km)
Error: +0:32 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 46:56
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:42 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 17:01 (3:24 / km)
Total: 46:56
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
29 / 26 Carlotta Missaglia
ITA
+36 s
+34 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:11
16:43
 47:06
Show details
Prediction details: Carlotta Missaglia

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 21–41
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: 2.1 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 186 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (39 people)
Gruppe 1: 26 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.55 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:11 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: −0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 159 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:43 (3:21 / km)
Error: +0:28 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 47:06
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:52 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 17:11 (3:26 / km)
Total: 47:06
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 33.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
30 / 18 Maria Carolina Velasquez Soto
COL
+36 s
+24 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:16
16:18
 47:11
Show details
Prediction details: Maria Carolina Velasquez Soto

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 28–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: 12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: 12.3 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 215 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (39 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.35 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:16 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 215 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:18 (3:16 / km)
Error: +0:58 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 47:11
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:52 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 17:16 (3:27 / km)
Total: 47:11
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 33.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
31 / 30 Brea Roderick
NZL
+23 s
+32 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:17
17:12
 47:12
Show details
Prediction details: Brea Roderick

Placement

Prediction: 31
80% range: 21–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 30
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: -8.8 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 246 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (39 people)
Gruppe 1: 59 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.50 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:17 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 226 Duelle, Korrektur 0.50 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:12 (3:26 / km)
Error: +0:05 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 47:12
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:39 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 17:17 (3:27 / km)
Total: 47:12
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 20.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
32 / 24 Karolina Helga Horváth
HUN
+28 s
+23 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:18
16:38
 47:13
Show details
Prediction details: Karolina Helga Horváth

Placement

Prediction: 32
80% range: 23–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: 5.1 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 127 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (39 people)
Gruppe 1: 34 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 127 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:38 (3:20 / km)
Error: +0:40 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 47:13
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:44 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Total: 47:13
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 25.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
33 / 25 Naomi Ruff
USA
+26 s
+37 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:19
16:35
 47:14
Show details
Prediction details: Naomi Ruff

Placement

Prediction: 33
80% range: 24–36
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 9:42
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: -11.5 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 53 Duelle, Korrektur -0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (39 people)
Gruppe 1: 45 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:19 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Error: +0:44 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 47:14
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:42 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 17:19 (3:28 / km)
Total: 47:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 22.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
34 / 28 Eva Goodisson
NZL
+30 s
+29 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:39
16:55
 47:34
Show details
Prediction details: Eva Goodisson

Placement

Prediction: 34
80% range: 29–39
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 9:46
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: 1.4 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 239 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (39 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.45 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:39 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 229 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Error: +0:44 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 47:34
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:46 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 17:39 (3:32 / km)
Total: 47:34
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
35 / 41 Diana Dunajska
SVK
+37 s
+56 s
G2 / G3
 17:40
17:24
 47:35
Show details
Prediction details: Diana Dunajska

Placement

Prediction: 35
80% range: 30–41
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 41
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 9:53
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +56 s
Fehler: -18.9 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 154 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (39 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 3 (6 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.76 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:40 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 154 Duelle, Korrektur -0.43 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:24 (3:29 / km)
Error: +0:16 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 47:35
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:53 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 17:40 (3:32 / km)
Total: 47:35
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 34.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
36 / 36 Sophia Howell
CAN
+18 s
+24 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:41
17:30
 47:36
Show details
Prediction details: Sophia Howell

Placement

Prediction: 36
80% range: 27–36
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 36
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +18 s
Time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: -6.1 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 185 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (39 people)
Gruppe 1: 69 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.6 s
Gap behind: 2.3 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:41 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 185 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:30 (3:30 / km)
Error: +0:11 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 47:36
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:34 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 17:41 (3:32 / km)
Total: 47:36
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
37 / 32 Barbara De Koning
NED
+36 s
+31 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:51
17:09
 47:46
Show details
Prediction details: Barbara De Koning

Placement

Prediction: 37
80% range: 32–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 32
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 5.4 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 372 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (39 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.50 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:51 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 10
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 373 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:09 (3:26 / km)
Error: +0:42 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 47:46
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:52 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 17:51 (3:34 / km)
Total: 47:46
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 33.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
38 / 35 Therese Feuersinger
AUT
+23 s
+35 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:52
17:31
 47:47
Show details
Prediction details: Therese Feuersinger

Placement

Prediction: 38
80% range: 27–41
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 35
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: -11.9 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 236 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (39 people)
Gruppe 1: 48 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.74 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:52 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 235 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Error: +0:21 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 47:47
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:39 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 17:52 (3:34 / km)
Total: 47:47
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 20.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
39 / 43 Romana Gajdošová
SVK
+37 s
+48 s
G2 / G4
 18:05
17:43
 48:00
Show details
Prediction details: Romana Gajdošová

Placement

Prediction: 39
80% range: 33–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 43
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 9:53
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +48 s
Fehler: -10.8 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 222 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (39 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 15.0 s
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.68 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:05 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 219 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:43 (3:33 / km)
Error: +0:22 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 48:00
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:53 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 18:05 (3:37 / km)
Total: 48:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 34.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
40 / 38 Mariana Vargem
POR
+52 s
+56 s
G3 / G3
correct 		16:35
16:20
 48:36
Show details
Prediction details: Mariana Vargem

Placement

Prediction: 40
80% range: 20–43
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 38
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +56 s
Fehler: -3.8 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 128 Duelle, Korrektur -0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 15.0 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 3 (6 people)
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 128 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:20 (3:16 / km)
Error: +0:15 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 48:36
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:08 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:03 (39.6 km/h)
Run: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Total: 48:36
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 49.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
41 / 31 Zsanett Kuttor-Bragmayer
HUN
+7 s
+33 s
G2 / G2
correct 		18:43
17:14
 48:38
Show details
Prediction details: Zsanett Kuttor-Bragmayer

Placement

Prediction: 41
80% range: 35–41
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 31
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +7 s
Time: 9:23
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: -26.3 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 233 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 83 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (39 people)
Gruppe 1: 79 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 2.1 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:43 (3:45 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 199 Duelle, Korrektur -1.16 %, Sicherheit 60 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:14 (3:27 / km)
Error: +1:29 / +0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 48:38
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:23 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:18 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 18:43 (3:45 / km)
Total: 48:38
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 3.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
42 / 39 Carina Reicht
AUT
+58 s
+56 s
G3 / G3
correct 		16:51
16:31
 48:52
Show details
Prediction details: Carina Reicht

Placement

Prediction: 42
80% range: 25–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 39
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +58 s
Time: 10:14
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +56 s
Fehler: 2.0 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 133 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.6 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (6 people)
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.59 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:51 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 129 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:31 (3:18 / km)
Error: +0:20 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 48:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:14 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:03 (39.6 km/h)
Run: 16:51 (3:22 / km)
Total: 48:52
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 55.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
43 / 42 Cathia Schär
SUI
+53 s
+58 s
G3 / G3
correct 		16:55
17:51
 48:56
Show details
Prediction details: Cathia Schär

Placement

Prediction: 43
80% range: 27–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 42
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 10:09
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +58 s
Fehler: -4.6 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 360 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 4.6 s
Result: Group 3 (6 people)
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.66 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 321 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:51 (3:34 / km)
Error: −0:56 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 48:56
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:09 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:03 (39.6 km/h)
Run: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Total: 48:56
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.