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Elite Women

14.03.2026 Costa Teguise ESP
Race information and calculation basis
2026 World Triathlon Cup Lanzarote

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 14.03.2026 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 calibrated
Prediction quality 98/100 hoch
Show model parameters and data quality

Kalibriert mit 69 früheren Rennen und 564 Athlet:innen. Paarweise Gruppengüte: 31.6 %.

Trainingsdaten ausschließlich vor 14.03.2026.

Einzelabstand ≤ 6 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 18 s Gruppeneffekt 0.85 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 96.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 100.0 % · 69 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error9.4
Mean swim error11.8 s
Mean bike-speed error3.39 km/h
Correct bike groups13/50
No history0
Within the 80% range60.0 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 3 Laura Lindemann
GER
+6 s
+2 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:05
16:53
 47:50
Show details
Prediction details: Laura Lindemann

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +6 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 4.0 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 132 Duelle, Korrektur 0.65 %, Sicherheit 49 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 98 %
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.4 s
Gap behind: 5.0 s
Result: Group 1 (8 people)
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.54 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:05 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 112 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 30 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:53 (3:23 / km)
Error: −0:48 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 47:50
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:21 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:24 (39.6 km/h)
Run: 16:05 (3:13 / km)
Total: 47:50
2 / 6 Jeanne Lehair
LUX
+15 s
+12 s
G1 / G3
 16:20
16:35
 48:05
Show details
Prediction details: Jeanne Lehair

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 2–7
Top-10 probability: 96 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +15 s
Time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 3.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 200 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 64 %
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.4 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 3 (16 people)
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.26 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:20 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 184 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Error: −0:15 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 48:05
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:30 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:24 (39.6 km/h)
Run: 16:20 (3:16 / km)
Total: 48:05
3 / 4 Marta Pintanel Raymundo
ESP
+21 s
+16 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:40
17:09
 48:25
Show details
Prediction details: Marta Pintanel Raymundo

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 3–15
Top-10 probability: 71 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 9:36
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: 5.4 s
H2H: 45 Gegner:innen, 250 Duelle, Korrektur 0.39 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 50 %
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 5.1 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 1 (8 people)
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.24 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:40 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 44 Gegner:innen, 247 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:09 (3:26 / km)
Error: −0:29 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 48:25
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:36 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:24 (39.6 km/h)
Run: 16:40 (3:20 / km)
Total: 48:25
4 / 1 Nina Eim
GER
+32 s
+20 s
G2 / G1
 16:00
16:46
 48:39
Show details
Prediction details: Nina Eim

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 1–10
Top-10 probability: 90 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 12.2 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 134 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 30 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 1 (8 people)
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.53 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:00 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 134 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:46 (3:21 / km)
Error: −0:46 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 48:39
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:47 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:59 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 16:00 (3:12 / km)
Total: 48:39
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:36
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 10.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 28 Cecilia Santamaria Surroca
ESP
+13 s
+3 s
G1 / G3
 16:57
19:27
 48:42
Show details
Prediction details: Cecilia Santamaria Surroca

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 4–13
Top-10 probability: 80 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -23

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +13 s
Time: 9:28
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 9.6 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 159 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 84 %
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 2.4 s
Result: Group 3 (16 people)
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.13 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:57 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 151 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:27 (3:53 / km)
Error: −2:30 / −0:30 / km
Overall prediction: 48:42
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:28 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:24 (39.6 km/h)
Run: 16:57 (3:23 / km)
Total: 48:42
6 / 2 Georgia Taylor-Brown
GBR
+37 s
+25 s
G2 / G1
 16:06
16:50
 48:45
Show details
Prediction details: Georgia Taylor-Brown

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 2–10
Top-10 probability: 94 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: 11.9 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 106 Duelle, Korrektur -0.41 %, Sicherheit 54 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s
Result: Group 1 (8 people)
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.36 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:06 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 105 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 54 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:50 (3:22 / km)
Error: −0:44 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 48:45
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:52 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:59 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 16:06 (3:13 / km)
Total: 48:45
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 15.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 7 Mathilde Gautier
FRA
+12 s
+3 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:07
17:20
 48:52
Show details
Prediction details: Mathilde Gautier

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 3–19
Top-10 probability: 55 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 9.4 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 151 Duelle, Korrektur -0.56 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 94 %
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 1 (8 people)
Speed: 37.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:07 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 151 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:20 (3:28 / km)
Error: −0:13 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 48:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:27 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:24 (39.6 km/h)
Run: 17:07 (3:25 / km)
Total: 48:52
8 / 5 Sophie Evans
GBR
+11 s
+26 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:08
17:15
 48:53
Show details
Prediction details: Sophie Evans

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 5–14
Top-10 probability: 63 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +11 s
Time: 9:26
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: -15.0 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 96 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 35 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 95 %
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 5.0 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 1 (8 people)
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.07 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:08 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 95 Duelle, Korrektur -0.62 %, Sicherheit 31 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:15 (3:27 / km)
Error: −0:07 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 48:53
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:26 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:24 (39.6 km/h)
Run: 17:08 (3:26 / km)
Total: 48:53
9 / 42 Hasse Fleerackers
BEL
+15 s
+37 s
G1 / G6
 17:31
18:37
 49:16
Show details
Prediction details: Hasse Fleerackers

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 10–30
Top-10 probability: 15 %
Result: 42
Deviation: -33

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +15 s
Time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: -22.0 s
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 73 Duelle, Korrektur 0.58 %, Sicherheit 69 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 61 %
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 6 (14 people)
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.25 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 60 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:37 (3:43 / km)
Error: −1:06 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 49:16
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:30 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:24 (39.6 km/h)
Run: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Total: 49:16
10 / 13 Cathia Schär
SUI
+49 s
+35 s
G3 / G3
correct 		16:17
17:21
 49:20
Show details
Prediction details: Cathia Schär

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 7–19
Top-10 probability: 36 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 10:04
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: 14.0 s
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 185 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 3 (16 people)
Speed: 37.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.55 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:17 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 169 Duelle, Korrektur 0.49 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:21 (3:28 / km)
Error: −1:04 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 49:20
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:04 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:02 (38.6 km/h)
Run: 16:17 (3:15 / km)
Total: 49:20
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 27.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 23 Franka Rust
GER
+30 s
+35 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:41
18:02
 49:20
Show details
Prediction details: Franka Rust

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 6–21
Top-10 probability: 45 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 9:45
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: -5.2 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 127 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 2 (4 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:41 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 127 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:02 (3:36 / km)
Error: −1:21 / −0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 49:20
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:45 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:59 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 16:41 (3:20 / km)
Total: 49:20
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 8.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 10 Lea Coninx
FRA
+40 s
+18 s
G2 / G3
 16:43
16:58
 49:22
Show details
Prediction details: Lea Coninx

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 10–22
Top-10 probability: 14 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 9:55
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 21.5 s
H2H: 43 Gegner:innen, 126 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 3 (16 people)
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.42 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:43 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 43 Gegner:innen, 126 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:58 (3:24 / km)
Error: −0:15 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 49:22
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:55 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:59 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 16:43 (3:21 / km)
Total: 49:22
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 18 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 29 Diana Dunajska
SVK
+16 s
+35 s
G1 / G6
 17:39
17:13
 49:24
Show details
Prediction details: Diana Dunajska

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 10–33
Top-10 probability: 14 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: -18.7 s
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur 0.53 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 68 %
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 5.1 s
Result: Group 6 (14 people)
Speed: 34.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.07 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:39 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur -0.37 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:13 (3:27 / km)
Error: +0:26 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 49:24
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:31 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:24 (39.6 km/h)
Run: 17:39 (3:32 / km)
Total: 49:24
14 / 16 Naomi Ruff
USA
+22 s
+22 s
G2 / G3
 16:52
17:21
 49:31
Show details
Prediction details: Naomi Ruff

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 6–20
Top-10 probability: 43 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 0.3 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 92 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 40 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 2.1 s
Result: Group 3 (16 people)
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.32 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:52 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 88 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:21 (3:28 / km)
Error: −0:29 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 49:31
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:37 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:59 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 16:52 (3:22 / km)
Total: 49:31
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:36
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 0.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 9 Fanni Szalai
HUN
+25 s
+0 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:52
17:05
 49:31
Show details
Prediction details: Fanni Szalai

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 8–23
Top-10 probability: 24 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 9:40
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 25.0 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 25 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 2 (4 people)
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.33 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:52 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 20 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:05 (3:25 / km)
Error: −0:13 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 49:31
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:40 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:59 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 16:52 (3:22 / km)
Total: 49:31
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 3.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 32 Ilona Hadhoum
FRA
+15 s
+18 s
G1 / G6
 17:46
17:28
 49:31
Show details
Prediction details: Ilona Hadhoum

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 14–34
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 32
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +15 s
Time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: -2.7 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 82 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 68 %
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 6 (14 people)
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.47 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:46 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur -0.57 %, Sicherheit 73 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:28 (3:30 / km)
Error: +0:18 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 49:31
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:30 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:24 (39.6 km/h)
Run: 17:46 (3:33 / km)
Total: 49:31
17 / 39 Sidney Clement
CAN
+12 s
+4 s
G1 / G6
 17:47
18:01
 49:32
Show details
Prediction details: Sidney Clement

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 13–28
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 39
Deviation: -22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +4 s
Fehler: 8.4 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 95 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 95 %
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 6 (14 people)
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.73 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:47 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 98 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:01 (3:36 / km)
Error: −0:14 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 49:32
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:27 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:24 (39.6 km/h)
Run: 17:47 (3:33 / km)
Total: 49:32
18 / 21 Candice Denizot
FRA
+4 s
+0 s
G1 / G2
 17:48
17:49
 49:33
Show details
Prediction details: Candice Denizot

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 15–28
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +4 s
Time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 3.6 s
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 94 Duelle, Korrektur 0.47 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 99 %
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 2.4 s
Result: Group 2 (4 people)
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:48 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 80 Duelle, Korrektur -0.68 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:49 (3:34 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 49:33
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:19 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:24 (39.6 km/h)
Run: 17:48 (3:34 / km)
Total: 49:33
19 / 22 Ana Carballo Gómez
ESP
+28 s
+4 s
G2 / G3
 16:57
17:45
 49:36
Show details
Prediction details: Ana Carballo Gómez

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 9–23
Top-10 probability: 18 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 9:43
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +4 s
Fehler: 24.2 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 87 Duelle, Korrektur -0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 3 (16 people)
Speed: 36.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:57 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 88 Duelle, Korrektur 0.48 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:45 (3:33 / km)
Error: −0:48 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 49:36
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:43 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:59 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 16:57 (3:23 / km)
Total: 49:36
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:36
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 6.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 11 Beatrice Mallozzi
ITA
+34 s
+21 s
G2 / G1
 16:59
17:57
 49:38
Show details
Prediction details: Beatrice Mallozzi

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 7–34
Top-10 probability: 18 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 12.7 s
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 100 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 1 (8 people)
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.57 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:59 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 10
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 98 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:57 (3:35 / km)
Error: −0:58 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 49:38
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:49 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:59 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 16:59 (3:24 / km)
Total: 49:38
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 12.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 30 María Teresa Jiménez-Orta Guerrero
ESP
+24 s
+21 s
G2 / G6
 17:03
17:17
 49:42
Show details
Prediction details: María Teresa Jiménez-Orta Guerrero

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 4–28
Top-10 probability: 35 %
Result: 30
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 3.4 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 137 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.1 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 6 (14 people)
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.74 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:03 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 120 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:17 (3:27 / km)
Error: −0:14 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 49:42
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:39 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:59 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 17:03 (3:25 / km)
Total: 49:42
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:36
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 2.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 15 Verena Steinhauser
ITA
+34 s
+35 s
G2 / G3
 17:04
17:23
 49:43
Show details
Prediction details: Verena Steinhauser

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 12–28
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 15
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: -0.8 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 243 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 3 (16 people)
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.79 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:04 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 227 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:23 (3:29 / km)
Error: −0:19 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 49:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:49 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:59 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 17:04 (3:25 / km)
Total: 49:43
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:36
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 12.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 19 Karolina Helga Horváth
HUN
+30 s
+19 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:11
17:37
 49:50
Show details
Prediction details: Karolina Helga Horváth

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 7–30
Top-10 probability: 19 %
Result: 19
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 9:45
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 10.6 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 40 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 30 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (4 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:11 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 53 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 36 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:37 (3:31 / km)
Error: −0:26 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 49:50
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:45 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:59 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 17:11 (3:26 / km)
Total: 49:50
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 8.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 20 Ilaria Zane
ITA
+22 s
+22 s
G2 / G3
 17:16
17:34
 49:55
Show details
Prediction details: Ilaria Zane

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 10–28
Top-10 probability: 13 %
Result: 20
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: -0.1 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 161 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 25 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 3 (16 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.19 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:16 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 151 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:34 (3:31 / km)
Error: −0:18 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 49:55
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:37 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:59 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 17:16 (3:27 / km)
Total: 49:55
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 0.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 8 Miriam Casillas García
ESP
+40 s
+14 s
G2 / G1
 17:19
17:27
 49:58
Show details
Prediction details: Miriam Casillas García

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 21–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 9:55
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 25.5 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 159 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 1 (8 people)
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.62 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:19 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 158 Duelle, Korrektur -0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:27 (3:29 / km)
Error: −0:08 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 49:58
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:55 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:59 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 17:19 (3:28 / km)
Total: 49:58
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 18 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 34 Appoline Foltz
FRA
+28 s
+17 s
G2 / G6
 17:22
17:33
 50:01
Show details
Prediction details: Appoline Foltz

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 9–34
Top-10 probability: 15 %
Result: 34
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 9:43
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 10.6 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 93 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 6 (14 people)
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.77 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 84 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:33 (3:31 / km)
Error: −0:11 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 50:01
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:43 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:59 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Total: 50:01
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 6.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 41 Shanae Williams
RSA
+33 s
+20 s
G2 / G6
 17:22
18:32
 50:01
Show details
Prediction details: Shanae Williams

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 13–35
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 41
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 12.7 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 105 Duelle, Korrektur -0.41 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 25 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 6 (14 people)
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.74 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 83 Duelle, Korrektur 0.61 %, Sicherheit 70 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:32 (3:42 / km)
Error: −1:10 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 50:01
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:48 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:59 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Total: 50:01
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 11.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 45 Mariana Vargem
POR
+52 s
+35 s
G3 / G6
 17:08
20:26
 50:11
Show details
Prediction details: Mariana Vargem

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 20–45
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 45
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 10:07
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: 16.9 s
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 108 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 9.1 s
Result: Group 6 (14 people)
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.23 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:08 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 109 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:26 (4:05 / km)
Error: −3:18 / −0:40 / km
Overall prediction: 50:11
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:07 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:02 (38.6 km/h)
Run: 17:08 (3:26 / km)
Total: 50:11
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 30.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 / 25 Tjasa Vrtacic
SLO
+25 s
+28 s
G2 / G3
 17:35
18:32
 50:14
Show details
Prediction details: Tjasa Vrtacic

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 13–35
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 25
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 9:40
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: -3.2 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 117 Duelle, Korrektur -0.29 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 41 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 3 (16 people)
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.17 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:35 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 108 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:32 (3:42 / km)
Error: −0:57 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 50:14
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:40 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:59 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 17:35 (3:31 / km)
Total: 50:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 3.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
30 / 33 Annabel Morton
GBR
+50 s
+34 s
G3 / G6
 17:12
17:28
 50:15
Show details
Prediction details: Annabel Morton

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 22–41
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 33
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: 15.6 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 117 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 6 (14 people)
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.31 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:12 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 117 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:28 (3:30 / km)
Error: −0:16 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 50:15
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:05 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:02 (38.6 km/h)
Run: 17:12 (3:26 / km)
Total: 50:15
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 28.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
31 / 43 Dominika Peszleg
HUN
+42 s
+36 s
G3 / G7
 17:22
18:27
 50:25
Show details
Prediction details: Dominika Peszleg

Placement

Prediction: 31
80% range: 13–39
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 43
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 9:57
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: 6.2 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 83 Duelle, Korrektur -0.37 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 7 (3 people)
Speed: 33.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.18 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 83 Duelle, Korrektur 0.52 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:27 (3:41 / km)
Error: −1:05 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 50:25
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:57 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:02 (38.6 km/h)
Run: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Total: 50:25
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:36
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 20.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
32 / 18 Marina Muñoz Hernando
ESP
+51 s
+34 s
G3 / G3
correct 		17:23
17:38
 50:26
Show details
Prediction details: Marina Muñoz Hernando

Placement

Prediction: 32
80% range: 25–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: 14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 10:06
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: 17.2 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 76 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 3 (16 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.76 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:23 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 77 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:38 (3:32 / km)
Error: −0:15 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 50:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:06 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:02 (38.6 km/h)
Run: 17:23 (3:29 / km)
Total: 50:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:36
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 29.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
33 / 14 Carlotta Missaglia
ITA
+29 s
+34 s
G2 / G3
 17:47
17:22
 50:26
Show details
Prediction details: Carlotta Missaglia

Placement

Prediction: 33
80% range: 13–43
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 14
Deviation: 19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: -4.6 s
H2H: 46 Gegner:innen, 154 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 20 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 3 (16 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.99 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:47 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 46 Gegner:innen, 135 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Error: +0:25 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 50:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:44 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:59 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 17:47 (3:33 / km)
Total: 50:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:36
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 7.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
34 / 49 Clara Aulinas Prat
ESP
+31 s
+27 s
G2 / G8
 18:00
19:55
 50:39
Show details
Prediction details: Clara Aulinas Prat

Placement

Prediction: 34
80% range: 32–41
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 49
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 9:46
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: 3.7 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur -0.48 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 8 (3 people)
Speed: 32.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:00 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur 0.48 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:55 (3:59 / km)
Error: −1:55 / −0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 50:39
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:46 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:59 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 18:00 (3:36 / km)
Total: 50:39
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 9.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
35 / 35 Sinem Francisca Tous Servera
TUR
+41 s
+21 s
G3 / G5
 17:37
18:02
 50:40
Show details
Prediction details: Sinem Francisca Tous Servera

Placement

Prediction: 35
80% range: 24–48
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 35
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 9:56
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 20.0 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 152 Duelle, Korrektur -0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.17 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:37 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 149 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:02 (3:36 / km)
Error: −0:25 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 50:40
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:56 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:02 (38.6 km/h)
Run: 17:37 (3:31 / km)
Total: 50:40
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 19.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
36 / 26 Hannelore Willen
BEL
+28 s
+34 s
G2 / G3
 18:02
18:42
 50:41
Show details
Prediction details: Hannelore Willen

Placement

Prediction: 36
80% range: 23–44
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 26
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 9:43
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: -6.1 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 3 (16 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:02 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:42 (3:44 / km)
Error: −0:40 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 50:41
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:43 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:59 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 18:02 (3:36 / km)
Total: 50:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 6.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
37 / 12 Noelia Juan
ESP
+43 s
+32 s
G3 / G3
correct 		17:39
17:14
 50:42
Show details
Prediction details: Noelia Juan

Placement

Prediction: 37
80% range: 25–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation: 25

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: 10.9 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 201 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 5.9 s
Result: Group 3 (16 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.78 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:39 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 201 Duelle, Korrektur -0.47 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:14 (3:27 / km)
Error: +0:25 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 50:42
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:58 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:02 (38.6 km/h)
Run: 17:39 (3:32 / km)
Total: 50:42
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 21.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
38 / 17 Isla Britton
CAN
+61 s
+25 s
G3 / G3
correct 		17:45
17:24
 50:48
Show details
Prediction details: Isla Britton

Placement

Prediction: 38
80% range: 27–48
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 17
Deviation: 21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +61 s
Time: 10:16
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: 36.0 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur -0.84 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 9.1 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (16 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.98 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:45 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:21 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur 0.76 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:24 (3:29 / km)
Error: +0:21 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 50:48
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:16 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:02 (38.6 km/h)
Run: 17:45 (3:33 / km)
Total: 50:48
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 39.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
39 / 38 Romana Gajdošová
SVK
+36 s
+23 s
G2 / G6
 18:10
17:55
 50:49
Show details
Prediction details: Romana Gajdošová

Placement

Prediction: 39
80% range: 34–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 38
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 9:51
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: 13.0 s
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 133 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 6 (14 people)
Speed: 34.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.58 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:10 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 128 Duelle, Korrektur -0.29 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:55 (3:35 / km)
Error: +0:15 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 50:49
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:51 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:59 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 18:10 (3:38 / km)
Total: 50:49
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 14.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
40 / 36 Liis Kapten
EST
+22 s
+33 s
G2 / G6
 18:12
17:44
 50:51
Show details
Prediction details: Liis Kapten

Placement

Prediction: 40
80% range: 23–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 36
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: -11.0 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 50 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 44 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 6 (14 people)
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.55 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:12 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 44 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:44 (3:33 / km)
Error: +0:28 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 50:51
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:37 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:59 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 18:12 (3:38 / km)
Total: 50:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 0.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
41 / 47 Nora Romina Nádas
HUN
+29 s
+34 s
G2 / G8
 18:22
19:30
 51:01
Show details
Prediction details: Nora Romina Nádas

Placement

Prediction: 41
80% range: 34–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 47
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: -5.1 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 64 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 8 (3 people)
Speed: 32.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.36 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:22 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 58 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:30 (3:54 / km)
Error: −1:08 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 51:01
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:44 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:59 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 18:22 (3:40 / km)
Total: 51:01
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 7.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
42 / 27 Barbara Riveros
CHI
+41 s
+28 s
G3 / G3
correct 		18:02
18:44
 51:05
Show details
Prediction details: Barbara Riveros

Placement

Prediction: 42
80% range: 31–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation: 15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 9:56
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: 12.7 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 3 (16 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.75 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:02 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:44 (3:45 / km)
Error: −0:42 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 51:05
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:56 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:02 (38.6 km/h)
Run: 18:02 (3:36 / km)
Total: 51:05
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 19.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
43 / 50 Rhune Vansteenkiste
BEL
+26 s
+34 s
G2 / G7
 18:31
21:48
 51:10
Show details
Prediction details: Rhune Vansteenkiste

Placement

Prediction: 43
80% range: 30–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 50
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: -8.3 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 20 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 7 (3 people)
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:31 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 67 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:48 (4:22 / km)
Error: −3:17 / −0:39 / km
Overall prediction: 51:10
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:59 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 18:31 (3:42 / km)
Total: 51:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 4.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
44 / 46 Aniek Mars
NED
+36 s
+41 s
G2 / G7
 18:32
19:57
 51:11
Show details
Prediction details: Aniek Mars

Placement

Prediction: 44
80% range: 37–47
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 46
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 9:51
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: -4.7 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 62 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 7 (3 people)
Speed: 33.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.11 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:32 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:46 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 56 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:57 (3:59 / km)
Error: −1:25 / −0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 51:11
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:51 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:59 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 18:32 (3:42 / km)
Total: 51:11
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:36
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 14.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
45 / 31 Finja Schierl
GER
+26 s
+20 s
G2 / G4
 18:34
18:57
 51:13
Show details
Prediction details: Finja Schierl

Placement

Prediction: 45
80% range: 37–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 31
Deviation: 14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 6.1 s
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 110 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.19 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:34 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 100 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:57 (3:47 / km)
Error: −0:23 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 51:13
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:59 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 18:34 (3:43 / km)
Total: 51:13
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:36
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 4.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
46 / 37 Paola Sacchi
ITA
+35 s
+19 s
G2 / G6
 18:45
17:50
 51:24
Show details
Prediction details: Paola Sacchi

Placement

Prediction: 46
80% range: 37–49
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 37
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 9:50
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 15.7 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 82 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 6 (14 people)
Speed: 34.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.80 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:45 (3:45 / km)
Historical basis: 3:46 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 57 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:50 (3:34 / km)
Error: +0:55 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 51:24
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:50 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:59 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 18:45 (3:45 / km)
Total: 51:24
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 13.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
47 / 48 María Barceló Serra
ESP
+39 s
+33 s
G2 / G8
 18:54
19:42
 51:33
Show details
Prediction details: María Barceló Serra

Placement

Prediction: 47
80% range: 41–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 48
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: 5.8 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 8 (3 people)
Speed: 32.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.57 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:54 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:42 (3:56 / km)
Error: −0:48 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 51:33
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:59 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 18:54 (3:47 / km)
Total: 51:33
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 17.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
48 / 40 Alzbeta Hruskova
CZE
+42 s
+12 s
G3 / G6
 18:57
18:23
 52:00
Show details
Prediction details: Alzbeta Hruskova

Placement

Prediction: 48
80% range: 44–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 40
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 9:57
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 29.7 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 128 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 6 (14 people)
Speed: 34.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.56 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:57 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 119 Duelle, Korrektur -0.67 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:23 (3:41 / km)
Error: +0:34 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 52:00
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:57 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:02 (38.6 km/h)
Run: 18:57 (3:47 / km)
Total: 52:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 20.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
49 / 24 Míriam Andreu Diaz
ESP
+49 s
+36 s
G3 / G3
correct 		19:08
18:22
 52:11
Show details
Prediction details: Míriam Andreu Diaz

Placement

Prediction: 49
80% range: 47–49
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: 25

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 10:04
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: 13.4 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 3 (16 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.76 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:08 (3:50 / km)
Historical basis: 3:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur -0.47 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:22 (3:40 / km)
Error: +0:46 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 52:11
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:04 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:02 (38.6 km/h)
Run: 19:08 (3:50 / km)
Total: 52:11
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:36
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 27.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
50 / 44 Désirée Gmür
SUI
+49 s
+18 s
G3 / G6
 20:42
19:25
 53:45
Show details
Prediction details: Désirée Gmür

Placement

Prediction: 50
80% range: 50–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 44
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 10:04
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 30.8 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur -1.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.9 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 6 (14 people)
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.54 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:42 (4:08 / km)
Historical basis: 4:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 90 Duelle, Korrektur -0.80 %, Sicherheit 98 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:25 (3:53 / km)
Error: +1:17 / +0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 53:45
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:04 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:02 (38.6 km/h)
Run: 20:42 (4:08 / km)
Total: 53:45
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 27.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +21.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.